Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (11/9/10/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/9/10/3/4)-(11/9/10/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/9/10/3/4)-(11/9/10/3/4)-(11/9/10/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/9/10/3/4)-(5/10/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/9/10/3/4)-(5/10/8/11)-(5/8/11/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/10/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/8/11)-(5/10/8/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/10/8/11)-(5/10/8/7/11)-(5/10/8/7/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/10/8/11)-(5/8/11/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/10/8/11)-(5/8/11/3)-(10/1/5/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (5/8/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/11/3)-(5/8/11/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/11/3)-(5/8/11/3/1)-(5/8/11/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/11/3)-(10/1/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/11/3)-(10/1/5/3/7)-(14/5/12/10/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-4   WIN (10/1/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/5/3/7)-(10/1/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/5/3/7)-(10/1/5/3/7)-(10/1/5/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/5/3/7)-(14/5/12/10/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/1/5/3/7)-(14/5/12/10/8)-(8/4/2/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-5   WIN (14/5/12/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (14/5/12/10/8)-(14/5/12/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (14/5/12/10/8)-(14/5/12/10/8)-(14/5/12/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (14/5/12/10/8)-(8/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (14/5/12/10/8)-(8/4/2/7)-(6/4/7/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (8/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/7)-(8/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/7)-(8/4/2/7)-(8/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/7)-(6/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/7)-(6/4/7/3)-(5/10/1/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3/8)-(6/4/7/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/7/3)-(5/10/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/3)-(5/10/1/7)-(10/6/5/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-8   WIN (5/10/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/1/7)-(5/10/1/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/10/1/7)-(5/10/1/8/7)-(5/10/1/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/10/1/7)-(10/6/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-9   WIN (10/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/9)-(10/6/5/9/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/9)-(10/6/5/9/11)-(10/6/5/9/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE THE BAND MAN Feb23 Feb09 Oct07 Sep10 Aug13 (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
RAP ARTIST Dec06 Nov18 Aug04 May29 May06 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 121 20.00    
SMOOTH COLLIERY Feb22 Jan27 Jan11 Nov10 Oct07 (bourgeois ke)TORRES A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SLITHER Feb07 Nov25 Oct07 Aug21 Aug12 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG SCULLY Jan11 Dec14 Sep11 Aug12 May20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00    
OUR FREDDIE MAC Mar06 Feb12 Jan25 Jan11 Nov30 (ladner herman)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
SABER RUN Feb17 Dec03 Sep04 Aug05 Jul01 (pedigo randy)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00    
COACH KENNY Mar03 Feb12 Jan21 Jan04 Dec03 (ducoing j)GRAHAM J 121 2.50    
BIBLEMAN Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
10  RECKLESS RANSOM Feb07 Dec21 Dec03 Jun25 May04 (knudsen kent)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
11  WIN YA WIN Feb18 Feb01 Dec21 Dec08 Nov18 (bourgeois keith)LANERIE J 121 4.00 45% 1.20    
12  ANDIAMO GIACOMO Feb07 Jan20 Dec28 Nov08 Oct12 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 12.00    
 
FG-2   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUNG TUSCAN Aug21 Jul24 Jun25 May27 Mar16 (munoz yovani)MORALES EDGAR 117 20.00    
INDIMAAJ Feb16 Jan27 Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 (knudsen kent)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00    
POMEROY HAZE Jan26 Jan06 Nov30 Nov14 Oct20 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE Jan25 Dec30 Nov18 Oct06 Sep03 (falcone rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Jan19 Dec09 Nov15 Nov04 Oct07 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
SAILOR CHOW Mar03 Feb13 Jan27 Dec29 Dec06 (guillory henry )MCMAHON J 122 8.00    
IN THE ARCH Dec29 Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Nov03 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 120 5.00    
HERD IMMUNITY Mar01 Jan25 Jan07 Dec16 Nov17 (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
TWO DOT Feb13 Jan21 Dec30 Dec08 Nov18 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
10  DOUBLE BARREL MAN Feb03 Jan12 Nov30 Nov10 Oct07 (ramirez eduardo)CURTIS BEN 117 6.00 25% 3.00    
11  GOLDEN PALACE Feb03 Jan12 Nov30 Nov10 Oct20 (ramirez edua)TORRES A 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   03/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYKAT Feb22 Jan27 Dec10 Nov18 Nov04 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
CAVE CREEK Feb22 Jan27 Jan06 Dec19 Dec10 (dussette alv)CARROLL DECLAN 122 6.00    
MARY JACK Mar01 Jan27 Jan06 Dec15 Nov25 (jeansonne justin)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN MAFIA Jan15 Nov18 Sep03 Aug10 Jul13 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 115 3.50    
ZING Mar02 Feb16 Jan25 Dec30 Nov04 (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 43% 1.30    
ATOMIC ROSE Jan20 Dec30 Dec08 Nov21 Jul04 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 120 20.00    
ANGEL OF VERDUN Feb22 Jan06 Nov18 Oct13 Sep11 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
JUST PASSING THRU Feb22 Jan27 Dec30 Aug27 Jul23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
FADED MEMORIES Jan27 Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Oct11 (duhon paul)LANERIE J 120 12.00    
10  BAR TAP Mar02 Feb15 Dec30 Dec06 Nov25 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
11  QUINN MURPHY Feb22 Jan27 Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 7% 12.50    
 
FG-4   03/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($59K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANADA'S CUSTOMS Feb10 Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 Oct05 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
LOVELYREDSTILETTOS Feb09 Jan26 Dec15 Nov04 May26 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 122 10.00    
MICHELLES LIL STAR Feb25 Jan26 Oct19 Sep10 Mar15 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 8% 11.80    
CAJUN NINJA Feb10 Jan11 Dec14 Nov02 Sep28 (silva miguel)TORRES A 120 8.00    
ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Feb10 Jan15 Dec22 Nov17 Aug05 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
SUMITUP Feb25 Dec22 Jul24 May28 Mar23 (dandridge cour)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
MISS PRIORITY Jan15 Dec22 Dec09 Nov17 Oct19 (duhon paul)LANERIE J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
DROP DEAD SEXY Feb10 Jan15 Nov25 Sep10 Jul24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00    
LAKE MARIE Feb25 Jan26 Jan06 Nov25 Sep10 (munoz yov)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
10  WON DAY Feb29 Feb03 Jan05 Dec15 Dec02 (landry all)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 39% 1.60    
 
FG-5   03/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NILES CHANNEL Feb13 Jan21 Dec29 Dec08 Nov17 (tracy tanner)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50    
GROUP EIGHTEEN Feb08 Dec22 Nov19 Oct19 Sep21 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
SCR  SMOKEY HARBOR Feb13 Jan07 Jun24 May29 Mar04 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
HALEYS SAILOR Feb01 Jan05 Dec14 Nov23 Sep12 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 15.00    
TWOKO BAY Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 Aug09 Jul20 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  TELEPHONE TALKER Mar06 Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Oct13 (hernandez ar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
SUPER WISE Jan21 Jan07 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
MAU MAU (BRZ) Jan25 Jan05 Dec02 Sep15 Aug26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
PALACE KITTEN Feb22 Feb01 Jan07 Nov22 Nov05 (mckeever a)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
10  SEVEN CHANNELS Feb08 Sep07 Aug11 Jun22 Apr16 (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 8% 11.20    
11  SILENT POWER Feb01 Jan05 Nov02 Aug03 Jul01 (gelner j)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
12  FREEDOM FACTOR Feb22 Jan05 Dec14 Sep11 Aug07 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  DREAMER'S DISEASE Mar01 Jan14 Dec22 Nov05 Oct23 (courville ri)MAGNON H 121 15.00    
14  OPTIMUS KAT Feb13 Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 (camejo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  AWE SHACKLE Feb22 Feb08 Feb11 Jan16 Sep04 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00    
 
FG-6   03/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKING FOR GINNY Feb13         (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of G MOM by DYNAFORMER)
MONTCLAIR ROAD Feb13 Dec31 Nov11 Sep21   (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DOTHRAKI QUEEN by PURE PRIZE)
GOURMET Feb17         (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AMAZING BELLE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
BEELIEVE HER Feb17 Jan20 Dec16 Nov25   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of AARONESS by AARON'S CONCORDE)
SCR  ELECTRIFYING MOJO Feb17         (casse w)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TEST OF TIME by CAPOTE)
YES INDEED Jan20         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of CREATIVE CONTESSA by CREATIVE CAUSE)
CHURNING BERNI Feb13 Dec21 Nov25 Nov03   (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
MISCHIEVOUSNESS Feb13 Jan18 Dec17 Nov05 Sep16 (lovell miche)TORRES A 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of WILD FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
STYLISH SUE Feb17         (sharp joe)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of MARIA MARIA by INDIAN GROOM)
 
FG-7   03/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. TIN MAN Sep04 Aug19 Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 (romero dal)BOREL H 120 20.00    
PERRINS Feb08 Jan13 Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 (stall m)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
CAJUN EDDIE Feb01 Jan13 Dec29 Oct21 Oct12 (delany sara)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
MI SOLUTION Feb29 Jan13 Dec09 Jul20 Jul07 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Feb22 Feb08 Jan13 Dec17 Nov21 (turner pa)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
DEER CROSSING Feb08 Jan13 Nov24 Sep11 Aug04 (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
REAL CITY SPEED Jan13 Dec09 Nov24 Aug05 Jul13 (amoss m)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
IZZY'S BABY BOY Feb16 Feb03 Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 8.00    
GUITAR DOCTOR Feb22 Jan27 Dec30 Dec07 Nov17 (ramirez edua)TORRES A 120 15.00    
SCR  HUDSON'S TURN Feb08 Jan13 Nov24 Sep11 May28 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  HOME VISIT Feb24 Jan26 Oct20 Sep15 Sep07 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
 
FG-8   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRO OXIDANT Jan19 Nov23 Oct28 Aug25 Jun01 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
CAMPFIRE CREED Nov24 Oct26 Oct11 Dec17 Oct28 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 120 20.00    
EYEING CLOVER Jul08 May29 Apr01 Mar04 Jan28 (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
TODO FINO (CHI) Jan05 Oct22 Jul29 Jul01 Oct15 (sanchez amado)JARA FERNANDO 120 8.00    
MARSALIS Feb13 Aug11 Jul01 Nov23 Nov04 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  WENT WEST Feb17 Sep05 Jul27 Jun11 Oct02 (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
BOSS' DIALIN IN Feb24 Jan27 Dec31 Dec03 Jan14 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KAVOD Feb13 Jan19 Dec23 Nov23 Oct07 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
WILLTORUN Feb13 Dec31 Nov17 Oct21 Aug04 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
10  MR. WIRELESS May05 Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
FG-9   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE HER AWAY Feb03 Jan18 Jan04 Dec08 Nov11 (ward ronn)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 10.00    
SCR  CUSTOM SUNSHINE Feb22 Jan19 Dec31 Dec18 Nov30 (pomier d)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
ONE LINE RULER Dec27 Dec09 Nov11 Oct14 Aug04 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 119 12.00    
SCR  MISS ROSIE Feb03         (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
GEAUX MAW P Feb23 Feb03 Dec29     (landry all)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 7% 13.50    
LIL CHILLY Feb22 Jan18 Jan01     (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 27% 2.80    
KENTUCKY CAJUN Nov17 Aug26       (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
RUNTOLIVE Feb15 Jan18 Nov03 Oct16 Sep25 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 12.00    
MONI DESIGN Feb29 Feb07 Jan05 Nov30   (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  ARMY DAY Feb22 Jan01 Dec10     (gelner jayde)TORRES A 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
11  CIRCLE UP Feb10 Jan11 Dec08     (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.