Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(6/3/1/2)-(3/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-2   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/2)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/10/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/8/2)-(3/5/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/10/8/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/10/8/5/7)-(3/10/12/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/10/8/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/8/5/7)-(3/10/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/8/5/7)-(3/10/8/5/7)-(3/10/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/8/5/7)-(3/10/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/10/8/5/7)-(3/10/12/7)-(2/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/10/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/12/7)-(3/10/12/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/12/7)-(3/10/12/7/4)-(3/10/12/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/10/12/7)-(2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/10/12/7)-(2/6/8)-(3/8/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/4)-(2/6/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(3/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8)-(3/8/1/5)-(5/1/3/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/5)-(3/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/5)-(3/8/1/5)-(3/8/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/1/5)-(5/1/3/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/1/3/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4/12)-(5/1/3/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4/12)-(5/1/3/4/12)-(5/1/3/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   01/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREENBRIER Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 Nov14 Oct22 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
2  TOP OF MY GAME Jan13 Dec08 Nov26 Mar25 Mar12 (o'neill doug)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.20    
3  ESPE'S GUY Dec05 Nov14 Sep24 Sep09 Jul22 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 49% 1.10    
4  FRISCO KID Dec05 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 122 15.00    
5  CONRADO Dec14 Sep26 Aug28 Aug15 Jul17 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
6  I'M NOBLE Oct29 Oct13 Sep23 Sep04 Aug20 (person a)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
 
TUP-2   01/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDGE PASS         (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 118 12.00 17% 5.00    
2  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Oct18 Apr11 Mar18     (barrio sergio)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  AS LUCK HAPPENS Dec26 Dec09 Nov24 Nov11 Oct28 (kenney ryan)RADKE K 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  YANKEE TEA PARTY Sep06 Aug08 Jul11 May16 Apr18 (vitali )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
5  OFF TO THE RACES Sep25 Aug23 Jun17 May21 Mar12 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50    
6  GOTHAM'S FINALE Nov18 Nov05 Oct09 Oct02 Sep16 (lawrence )VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
7  READY TO STORM Jan12 Nov23 Nov03 Oct07 Aug11 (o'neill doug)NEGRON LUIS 118 1.60    
 
TUP-3   01/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Apr25 Apr01 Mar12 Feb19 Feb02 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
2  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Dec22 Dec01 Jul11 Jun20 May22 (vitali j)RADKE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIG BEAUTY Dec19 Apr09 Mar18 Feb03 Dec26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
4  ILA VEIW TOO Dec01 Nov02 Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 (belvoir vann)VALDIVIA JR 124 2.50    
5  M G BIG MARIA Dec11 Nov13 Oct14 Jul02 Jun08 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
6  HELLO BABY Nov13 Oct25 Feb02 Dec22 May03 (ackerman)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00    
SCR  FOREST ACCLAMATION Dec10 Nov20 Nov08 Oct29 Oct17 (fearon johnathon)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00    
SCR  WORK N FLIRT Dec04 Nov26 Nov19 Oct31 Aug13 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   01/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEDDING CHAPEL Dec03 Nov22 Nov12 Nov01 Oct09 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 12.00    
SCR  DANIELLE'S SECRET Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 Aug25 Aug13 (lawrence heath)MAWING A 124 20.00    
3  JUMPING JILL FLASH Nov21 Oct22 Oct11 Sep27 Sep10 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  ALEX'S GIRL Oct22 Apr02 Mar18 Mar05 Feb25 (tubbs scot)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 20.00    
SCR  MIRACLE OF HOPE Nov21 Oct01 Sep11 Jan20 Jan02 (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
6  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Sep03 Aug05 Jul17 Jun25 Jun17 (moreno carlos)RADKE K 124 12.00    
7  FOLK HERO Nov05 Oct30 Oct23 Oct09 Sep28 (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAWN DART Oct11 Sep25 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 (rojas murray )VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
9  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Jan19 Dec19 Oct29 Oct06 Oct01 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00    
10  COALINGA HILLS Jul01 Dec18 Sep24 Jul09   (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  OLIVIAN Nov21 Oct18 Oct01 Sep11 Aug20 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00    
SCR  RED NOON RISING Dec30 Dec17 Oct08 Oct02 Sep03 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00    
 
TUP-5   01/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEROLIJEAN (FR) Dec09 Oct13 Sep09 Aug13 Aug03 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00    
2  BEAT THE HEAT Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul12 Jun25 (perren a)CORBETT W 124 3.50    
3  PERFECT COME BACK Jan11 Mar13 Feb19 Jan31 Jan18 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 124 8.00 47% 1.10    
4  NORTHCUT Nov21 Oct28 Oct07 Sep15 Aug09 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 ★    
5  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Oct17 Sep18 Aug28 Aug15 Jul18 (rojas murray )VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00    
6  PARTYOFSIXTEEN Dec18 Nov28 Oct25 Oct13 Sep17 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
7  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Dec15 Nov29 Nov11 Nov01 Aug30 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAST MARTINI Oct25 Aug30 Jul23 Jul09 Jun14 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 6.00    
SCR  TAMANRASSETT Dec22 Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 Oct18 (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00    
10  PONTI PRIDE Dec11 Dec05 Nov22 Oct29 Sep19 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  TIZ TACT TOE Oct24 Oct09 Sep18 Sep06 Aug23 (rojas l)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
12  GOPHER GOLD Oct28 Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 (silva jose )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 4.00 6% 16.40    
 
TUP-6   01/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY QUIET PLACE         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
2  MUSICAL DIVA Nov09 Oct12 Jul31     (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  PRAIRIE MOON         (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00    
4  LINDYSNOTOBNOXIOUS Jan12 Dec20 Nov13 Sep03   (kereluk edward)MAWING A 121 5.00 ★    
5  STORMYLUX         (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 12.00    
6  PRETTYWITTYANDWISE Dec19 Nov28 Nov06 Aug28   (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
7  LUPITA Jan12 Dec11       (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 6.00    
8  TWIRLING GINNY         (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 17% 4.70    
 
TUP-7   01/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF RIGHT Dec12 Sep25 Sep10 Aug19 May07 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
2  TOM BOMBADIL Dec31 Dec08 Nov18 Oct09 Sep24 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00    
3  ITALIANO May06 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan02 (belvoir vann)VALDIVIA JR 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  RED HOT CAT Aug20 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
5  BLUE SKYE JADE Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 (williams dewey)LULL E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEET JOE Sep02 Aug07 May27 Apr14 Mar17 (kenney ryan)RADKE K 122 15.00    
7  BUGLER Aug17 Jul22 Jun17 May05 Jan02 (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 122 5.00    
8  LOVE MY JIMMY Dec04 Nov14 Sep16 Aug20 Jul12 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
TUP-8   01/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hank Mills Sr. Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUTH SEEKER Nov28 Oct21 Oct01 Sep02 Jul22 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 8.00 18% 4.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FOR ROYALTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  TULANE TRYST Nov28 Oct27 Oct01 Sep02 Jun25 (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 120 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DESIRE STREET by CONGRATS)
3  MINISTER OF SOUL Jan05 Dec20 Nov28 Oct27 Oct01 (martinez esteba)CORBETT W 124 5.00 8% 11.20    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of SENSITIVE SOUL by BERNSTEIN)
4  PRAYER OF JABEZ Jan05 Nov28 Oct27 Sep03 Aug20 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00 6% 15.50    
  (by STANFORD out of ALWAZABRIDESMAID by KAFWAIN)
5  TONY'S TAPIT Dec20 Feb18 Feb04 Jan23 Dec21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 15.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TONALIST out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
6  EXXEL Jan05 Dec16 Nov24 Nov04 May06 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 20.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LEMON DROP BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
7  KINGDOM HEART Nov25 Oct09 Sep17 Aug26 Jul21 (cerin vladimi)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE CARD by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
8  DIAMOND RIM Dec20 Nov28 Nov07 Aug14 Jul24 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NURSE DONNA by VINDICATION)
9  PRINCIPE CARLO Jan13 Dec10 Nov18 Aug26 Jul22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00    
  (by COIL out of PRINCESS EZRA by RAHY)
10  SANTOS TO WILSON Nov26 Oct06 Aug18 Jul21 Oct15 (belvoir vann)VALDIVIA JR 120 8.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of SPRING ECLIPSE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  PEACEFUL WATERS Dec30 Nov25 Jul29 Apr16 Oct14 (sadler john )CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SHINE SOFTLY by ALDEBARAN)
12  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Jan05 Oct27 Oct07 Sep17 Apr25 (valerio raymo)VALDES ALEXIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of MAGDA by HAMAZING DESTINY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.