Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - January 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/8)-(5/6/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/3/1)-(10/3/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(10/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(10/3/7/4)-(8/3/10/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (10/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/7/4)-(10/3/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/7/4)-(10/3/7/4/5)-(10/3/7/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/3/7/4)-(8/3/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/3/7/4)-(8/3/10/9)-(2/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (8/3/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/4/9)-(8/3/10/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/10/9)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/10/9)-(2/3/5)-(10/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/1/8)-(2/3/5/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(10/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(10/8/4)-(9/4/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (10/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/4)-(10/8/4/12/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/4)-(10/8/4/12/11)-(10/8/4/12/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/8/4)-(9/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (9/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/3)-(9/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/3)-(9/4/7/3)-(9/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY FOR LOVE Dec11 Nov19 Sep27 Sep03 Jul27 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00    
2  GYPSY WANDERER Dec11 Nov29 Nov08 Oct09 Sep11 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00    
3  UNIVERSAL DESIGN Dec13 Nov22 Oct25 Sep14 Aug23 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00    
SCR  FREEDOM SAKE Dec11         (morzan e)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00    
5  DANCING BEAUTY Dec20         (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 63% 0.60    
6  PROBLEMS ABOUND         (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  MYGIRLSACROWNJEWEL Dec20         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
8  SISTER COUSIN Dec14 Nov30 Oct28 Sep09 May06 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 ★    
 
PEN-2   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES SIR ROBERT Nov16 Nov03 Sep20 Jul20 Jun29 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
2  FREEDOM'S START Dec22 Dec06 Nov16 Jun09 May18 (o'callahan )INIRIO J 120 20.00    
3  SUTTON BREEZE Dec08 Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  JUMPMASTER Dec22 Dec07 Nov03 Aug23 Jul27 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 39% 1.60    
SCR  CAJUN OCCASION Dec21 Dec01 Nov10 Sep15 Aug10 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
6  LOST IN NEWYORK Dec07 Nov17 Jul06 Jun17 May13 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
7  BOYS OF QUEENS Dec28 Nov29 Sep22 Dec13 Oct26 (ippolito mark)BAKER J 120 50.00    
 
PEN-3   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SON OF DARKNESS Dec14 Nov13 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50    
2  MERU Dec27 Dec20 Dec06 Oct26 Oct09 (flores-coba f)ROJAS MARTINA 117 20.00    
3  AZZARO STEEL Dec09 Nov18 Oct31 Oct04 Sep14 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  DIXIE CANNONBALL Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Jul20 Jun30 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
5  DROSSELMOON Dec07 Nov10 Jun09 May12 Apr28 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 ★    
6  POCOPSON STATION Dec13 Nov24 Nov15 Oct25 Sep15 (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 117 30.00    
7  HOPE FOR GOLD Dec13 Nov15 Oct11 Sep27 Jul29 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
8  JETTIN OUT Oct08 Sep01 Jul28 Mar16 Dec02 (martinez )VARGAS L 122 8.00    
9  VIOLENT PASS Dec13 Nov24 Oct25 Sep20 Aug30 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
10  NOBLE JON Dec29 Dec13 Oct27 Oct06 Aug02 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  DIALING DIXIE Nov02 Oct01 Aug27 Aug18 Jul06 (haughton donnovan)CORA D 122 3.00    
 
PEN-4   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY BREEZE Dec20 Dec13 Nov21 Nov13 Oct26 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
2  DISCO DAISY Dec29 Dec15 Nov30 Nov01 Sep11 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
3  THROWBACK Dec21 Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 Oct26 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 27% 2.60    
4  CELTIC REVIVAL Sep28 Sep14 Aug18 Jul20 Jun22 (chircop s)VARGAS L 122 3.00 ★    
5  EMPRESS PALPATINE Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 Sep18 Aug23 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00    
SCR  DIVINE PROMISE Dec14 Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 Sep29 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.00    
7  SIMPLE JUSTICE Sep21 Sep07 Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 122 50.00    
8  MY SWEET SUMMER Dec29 Dec15 Nov22 Nov13 Oct04 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
9  MARPIN Dec10 Nov27 Nov19 Oct15 Sep24 (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Dec21 Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 Sep21 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  BALI MOON Dec22 Nov26 Nov01 Oct18 Sep30 (alvarado dian)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
 
PEN-5   01/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL SENSE Dec09 Oct01 Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 ★    
2  DAVID'S TUITION Dec14 Nov23 Oct20 Aug15 Jul18 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 5.00 57% 0.70    
3  DIAMOND HEIST Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 Oct10 Sep25 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 14% 6.40    
4  NIEUWENDYK Dec20 Dec01 Oct28 Oct14 Aug31 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
5  NORTHWOODS Dec13 Nov08 Sep25 Sep01 Sep16 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAST FREEZE KAZ Dec01 Nov01 Sep20     (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
7  ROCKIN THE PALACE Dec16 Nov29 Sep19 Aug10 Jul19 (stites w)CORA D 122 10.00    
8  SOVEREIGN CAUSE Dec10 Nov16 Oct29 Sep17 Aug27 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
9  NECCO Dec21 Nov24 Nov03 May19 Apr21 (murtough )VARGAS L 122 10.00    
 
PEN-6   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ESTA CHUCK Nov15 Oct26 Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 (jackli)SMITH DANIEL 115 50.00    
2  HIGHWAY QUEEN Dec28 Dec14 Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
3  LA LUISA Dec11 Nov01 Oct02 Sep20 Sep04 (penaloza m)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
4  OUT OF AMMO Dec28 Dec01 Nov16 Oct25 Sep15 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
5  NADIABIZNIZ Dec28 Dec14 Nov15 Nov04 Oct19 (cooper stacey)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
6  ANGELOFTHEGALAXY Dec14 Nov29 Nov15 Oct30 Oct11 (salvaggio v)CORA D 120 15.00    
7  SCOREBOARD LILY Dec28 Dec14 Nov29 Nov17 Oct26 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
8  KEYSTONE WARRIOR Dec28 Nov17 Oct26 Sep22 Sep14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  LORD JOAN Dec13 Nov14 Oct02 Sep18 Feb22 (collazo d)ORTIZ JOSHUA 110 8.00    
10  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 Jun20 May10 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
11  ANGELIC GAL Dec21 Nov14 Oct23 Oct12 Sep04 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 3.00 ★    
12  SUPER DUPER FLY Dec28 Dec18 Dec11 Nov01 Oct18 (salvaggio m)INIRIO J 120 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEW JERSEY HEIST Dec06 Nov02 Oct04 Aug25 Jul29 (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00    
2  BACK EAST Dec20 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Aug16 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50    
3  GEM DANCER Dec06 Nov08 Oct25 Sep13 Aug24 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOUIE'S HEAT Dec21 Nov09 Oct05     (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
5  SPORTING THE GOLD Dec22 Aug31 Feb08     (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 6.00    
6  WATERMELON CRUSH Dec21 Nov22 Nov13 Oct25 Oct11 (wadams j)LLOYD W 124 30.00    
7  LLOYD Dec08         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  COMMANDING Oct17 Oct05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 124 15.00    
9  Z MYSTIQUE Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 Oct13 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 39% 1.50    
10  HE AROSE Dec21 Dec07 Jun28 May26 May11 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.