Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/5)-(2/10/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/10/5)-(2/10/5)-(2/10/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/10/5)-(8/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/10/5)-(8/5/2/1)-(6/3/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/2/1)-(6/3/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2/1)-(6/3/8/5)-(1/7/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/5)-(6/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/5)-(6/3/8/5)-(6/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/5)-(1/7/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/5)-(1/7/8/4)-(4/6/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/4)-(4/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/4)-(4/6/5/2)-(5/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/1/2)-(4/6/5/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/5/2)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/2)-(5/7)-(5/9/1/10) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/7)-(5/9/1/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(5/9/1/10)-(7/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/9/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/10)-(5/9/1/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/10)-(5/9/1/4/10)-(5/9/1/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/1/10)-(7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/1/10)-(7/4/8)-(5/8/9/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/8)-(7/4/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/8)-(7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/8)-(5/8/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/7)-(5/8/9/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/7)-(5/8/9/7/11)-(5/8/9/7/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAGMAN Dec23 Oct08 Sep25 Aug26 Jun25 (collins john)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00    
2  GUN RIGHT Dec23 Dec06 May20 Apr16 Mar10 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  FLAVIAN Dec30 Apr02 Dec09 Oct30 Sep17 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Dec09 Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr02 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 115 5.00    
5  DIVINING STONE Dec23 Dec16 Oct25 Oct05 Sep22 (lopez mar)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MINTENON Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 Sep29 Sep02 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 2.50    
7  BLACK SHAMAN Dec23 Jul16       (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 20.00    
8  NOBLE HERO Dec23 Dec06       (dobber ar)HERNANDEZ H 122 30.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN KHOZAN Sep02 Jun02       (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
10  BUFFALO SPIRIT Dec23 Nov25 Oct20 Aug13   (pompay terri)JARA FERNANDO 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  AMERICAN LAD Dec23 Jun27 Sep03     (crook-demasi ka)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 15.00    
SCR  TIMO Dec16 Oct22 Sep28 Aug24 Jul28 (potts wayne)CASTANON L 122 3.50    
SCR  BLACK ECHO Dec31 Dec01       (dobber ar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 30.00    
14  SMART JOKER Dec20 Jan08 Nov10 Sep15 Aug13 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
 
TAM-2   01/10/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUCE BANNER Dec24 Oct28 Sep09 Aug26 Aug04 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROL AGAIN DANCER Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 Apr27 Mar19 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 7% 13.10    
3  MR JACK Jan05 Dec15 Nov03 Aug18 Jul27 (sepulveda car)SOSA LAUREANO 112 4.00    
4  THE DOORMAN Dec24 Dec08 Nov10 Oct06 Sep10 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
5  WORLDS ON HIGH Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 Oct19 Sep27 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 5.00 32% 2.20    
6  REINVEST Jul10 Jun11 Apr15 Mar22 Feb04 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00    
7  DELTA RIDGE Sep15 Aug19 Jul22 Jun30 Jun14 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 119 6.00    
8  ROAD TO STARDOM Nov24 Oct07 Aug05 Jul08 May21 (rivera xavie)ARROYO S 119 5.00 32% 2.10    
 
TAM-3   01/10/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLADIATORA Dec22 Dec06 Nov11 Sep09 Jul01 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 15.00    
2  JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Dec22 Dec09 Nov29 Jul01 Apr05 (jones dou)HERRERA R 122 6.00    
3  MERRY GOLD Dec08 Oct27 Feb24 Jan27 Dec18 (correa maxine)FERRER C 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  GLACIE INHERITANCE Aug18 Aug02 Jul01 May19 Apr01 (mendieta alejandr)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
5  VICIOUS MOVES Dec16         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  EXAGERADORA Dec22 Dec06 Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  INSATIABLE EVA Oct08 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 (laurato mich)BATISTA A 122 4.00    
8  THE RAIN IS COMING Dec09         (lilly p)FUENTES MARIO 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
 
TAM-4   01/10/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Dec22 Dec06 Nov25 Aug26 Aug06 (richards rena)JARA FERNANDO 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  SHIPWRECK Dec06 Nov22 Jun11 May13 Apr30 (knoll d)FERRER C 118 20.00    
3  SALTIN' THE RIM Dec09 Nov22 Oct11 Sep09 Aug27 (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50    
4  GHOSTSTRYDER Dec13 Nov22 Mar31 Feb24 Dec02 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 8% 12.10    
5  B G LEE Dec27 Sep12 Sep04 Aug25 Aug05 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00    
6  STEEL HAWK Dec22 Dec09 Nov22 Oct03 Sep17 (marioth brand)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00    
7  REMEMBER THE TUNE Dec22 Jun30 Apr29 Apr05 Mar04 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 5.00 11% 8.20    
8  SIDNEY'S BID Dec06 Nov22 Nov04 Sep27 Aug30 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 118 5.00 8% 11.60    
 
TAM-5   01/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYOND REPROACH Dec27 Nov24 Nov12 Oct15 Sep08 (seale christ)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 ★    
2  UNO UNO Dec31 Dec20 Sep10     (cascallares n)SOSA LAUREANO 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  INSPIRING HONOR Nov24 Oct21       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50    
4  EL ROJO VIVO Dec22 Dec13 Jun17 Jun03   (mckathan kev)MORELOS E 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  JOSH'S DRAMA Dec13 Nov24 Sep09 Aug10 Jul20 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 15.00 6% 14.50    
6  PEYTON'S DAY Oct29 Oct08 Sep16     (rodriguez an)BATISTA A 120 2.00 31% 2.30    
7  IRON STREETS Nov24 Aug10 Aug03     (cascal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 30.00    
8  D BUCKAROO Dec13 Nov24       (jones dou)HERRERA R 120 20.00    
9  NOBLE STAR Dec22 Dec02 Nov04 Oct07   (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 120 8.00    
10  MR. RUIZ Nov24 Sep09 Aug25     (parra hernan)CASIQUE UBARDO 120 20.00    
SCR  IMPOSING RULER Dec22         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 6.00    
SCR  BIGLY DEAL Aug06 Jul08       (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 120 15.00    
SCR  TEXAS AIR FORCE Oct07 Sep15       (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 3.50    
SCR  T B TWELVE ALWAYS Dec22 Dec10 Oct22 Sep24   (stormfelt juli)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.00    
 
TAM-6   01/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL SENSATION Dec27 Dec08 Oct14 Aug25 Aug06 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.50    
2  GROUP TICKET Dec27 Dec08 Oct29 Sep09 Aug04 (stormfelt juli)CASTANON L 118 3.00 ★    
3  LE MISTRAL Dec03 Oct08       (palmer nicho)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
4  MIRACLE TRIP Oct13 Sep01 Aug04 Jul15   (d'angelo f)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
5  MITHRIX Dec20         (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 3.50 64% 0.60    
6  SAVE THE KING Dec01 Oct26 Sep30 Aug27 Aug11 (davis chris)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.50 ★    
7  TAP THE SKY Dec27 Oct28 Sep20 Aug23   (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   01/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEENA SWIFT         (baxter georgi)MORALES ANGEL 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  BUCCHANERA Dec23 Jul21       (torres r)DIAZ S 120 30.00    
3  HARD SPICE Dec22 Dec08       (santil)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 20.00    
4  HOPESNDREAMS Dec20 Sep28 Sep10 Aug13   (dini mike)CASTANON L 120 6.00 ★    
5  OBSTREPEROUS Dec02         (stewart chad)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
6  BELLY DANCE Dec23 Dec08 Nov12 Sep28 Sep06 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
7  MYA C Dec02 Oct28       (hardesty lesl)IORIO MELISSA 113 20.00    
8  PEGGYSUE I LOVE U         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
9  CALI CRUISER Dec23         (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
10  ADIOS MAC MAC         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   01/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COX CANYON Nov19 Oct28 Sep15 Apr26 Apr08 (o'connor robert)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 8.00    
2  BEAR CREEK Dec27 Dec13 Sep27 Sep18 Aug28 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
3  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Aug02 Jun25 May27 Apr08 Mar24 (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 111 3.00 ★    
4  MAKE IT BIG Dec27 Aug18 Oct14 Jul29 Feb12 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 30% 2.40    
5  MY MAN VITO Dec27 Dec01 Oct20 Oct04 Sep08 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 10.00    
6  EPIC LUCK Dec15 Oct16 Oct05 Sep07 Sep01 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 15.00    
7  DESERT RULER Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct21 Sep23 (amado enriq)ORTIZ A 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
8  SARATOGA BANKER Dec22 Nov24 Oct18 Sep17 Feb20 (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 118 5.00 8% 10.80    
 
TAM-9   01/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ATHENA'S WISDOM Dec20 Nov19 Oct11 Sep02 Jul28 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.00    
SCR  BEATIFUL KARLA Oct14 Sep02 Aug19 Jul14 May18 (avila c)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
3  GLITTER BAY Dec30 Oct17 Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 (curto beverly)SOSA LAUREANO 113 20.00    
SCR  FUNNY ENOUGH Aug31 Aug12 Jul22 May21 Apr02 (russo j)LOPEZ E 118 20.00    
5  TIZ HERSELF Dec16 Oct21 Sep14 Jul26 Jun21 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 4.50 34% 1.90    
6  A SMILE A DAY Dec27 Dec06 Sep11 Aug17 Jun15 (mendieta alej)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 30.00    
7  A KISS FOR KHOZAN Dec16 Nov24 Oct21 Aug04 Jun10 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 8% 11.70    
8  STYLE Nov25 Oct19 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (campbell joel)CASTANON L 118 8.00 24% 3.20    
9  RITABOOK Dec20 Nov25 Sep22 Aug16 Jul06 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 6.00 9% 9.80    
10  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Dec22 Nov16 Nov04 Oct11 Sep03 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00    
11  PRACTICALITY Dec20 Nov24 Sep23 Aug24 Jun18 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 122 5.00 ★    
12  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS Nov10 Sep22 Aug26 Aug01 May03 (o'connor rober)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.