Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(7/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(7/6/2/5)-(5/3/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/5)-(5/3/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/5)-(5/3/8/4)-(9/4/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/2/4)-(5/3/8/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/8/4)-(9/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/4)-(9/4/2/7)-(2/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (9/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/7)-(9/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/7)-(9/4/2/7)-(9/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/2/7)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2/7)-(2/7/1)-(1/8/6/10/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(1/8/6/10/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(1/8/6/10/3)-(7/1/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/8/6/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/10/3)-(1/8/6/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/10/3)-(1/8/6/10/3)-(1/8/6/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/6/10/3)-(7/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/10/3)-(7/1/8/10)-(6/3/9/8/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (7/1/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/10)-(7/1/8/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/10)-(7/1/8/10/2)-(7/1/8/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/8/10)-(6/3/9/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/10)-(6/3/9/8/7)-(3/7/2/6/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (6/3/9/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/8/7)-(6/3/9/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/8/7)-(6/3/9/8/7)-(6/3/9/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/9/8/7)-(3/7/2/6/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/7/2/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/08/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER WINSTON Nov19 Oct27 Sep29 Sep16 Sep05 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 9% 10.20    
2  ALMASHRIQ Nov10 Oct27 Oct15 Sep23 Apr19 (pita daniel)MORELOS E 121 10.00    
3  KUHL STAR Nov24 Nov03 Sep22 Apr21 Apr08 (agostini arthu)LINDSAY CHAD 121 6.00    
4  KHOZANDO Oct30 Oct11 Aug28 Jul17 Jul03 (ferraro an)BATISTA A 121 4.00 18% 4.70    
5  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Nov24 Jun30 Mar18 Mar04 Feb05 (drake robert)MBATHA LUCKY 111 10.00    
6  COMMANDER KEITH Nov24 Oct09 Oct01 Sep09 Aug10 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 121 20.00    
7  SICILIA MIKE Nov04 Oct27 Sep08 Aug26 Aug12 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 121 1.20 42% 1.40    
 
TAM-2   12/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIPATIA Sep29         (d'angelo jo)ORTIZ A 119 5.00    
2  BELLY DANCE Nov12 Sep28 Sep06 Aug18   (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 3.50 11% 7.70    
3  MONEYSLOT Oct05 Sep09       (avila carl)OLIVERO A 119 10.00    
4  FORTY MINER Oct20 Sep03       (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
5  CHIEF LADY         (ramirez jos)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00 9% 10.70    
6  WHATS UP BUTTERCUP Nov17 Oct08 Sep29 Sep10 Aug18 (pita daniel)MORELOS E 119 4.50 12% 7.20    
7  AMIRATI Nov23 Oct25 Oct07 Jul29 Jul13 (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
8  REPAYNT Nov22         (santillana)ALONSO LUIS 119 15.00    
 
TAM-3   12/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARRIO Sep14 Jun22 May29 Nov12 Oct09 (paragallo)VARGAS A 121 5.00    
2  SHIMMERING LEROID Nov25 Sep16 Aug04 Jul08 May29 (dini mike)FERRER C 121 8.00 ★    
3  WORLDS ON HIGH Nov24 Oct19 Sep27 Aug28 Aug15 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 8.00 23% 3.30    
4  TITLE SHOT Nov25 Sep22 Aug25 Aug04 Jul08 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HONOR LEO JEAN Nov25 Oct10 Aug10 Jul10 Apr26 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 111 4.00 39% 1.60    
6  DON'T LET ME DOWN Nov24 Jul26 Jun24 May21 Apr21 (rodriguez da)ARROYO S 120 3.50    
SCR  MAJOR FRONTIER Nov25 Jan11 Dec02 Nov06 Sep04 (barbazonii)ALONSO LUIS 121 20.00    
8  RECYCLE Sep21 Jul24 Jul13 Jun20 May29 (wilson tony)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 14% 5.90    
9  TAPIT BRIO Sep08 Aug02 Jul14 Jun03 May19 (kurtinecz)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00    
10  IRWANI (ARG) Nov25 Jul09 Jun30 Jun04   (d'angelo j)SANCHEZ J 121 10.00    
11  AND THE OSCAR GOES Oct02 Sep07 Aug15 Jul20 Jul01 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 114 20.00    
SCR  KITTEN'S CLOWN Nov24 Nov01 Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 15.00    
SCR  BLACK LIMO Oct15 Aug26 Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 (rarick ly)RODRIGUEZ A 121 15.00    
SCR  SKIPPERINI Oct22 Sep23 Apr29 Apr19 Feb19 (puckett dwight)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00    
 
TAM-4   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHO GIRL         (rini anthony)SPIETH S 119 12.00    
2  RETIRED KATHY Sep02 Aug09       (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
3  CORINTH Nov22 Sep30 Sep07 Aug11 Jul20 (munoz )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 12.00    
4  LADY KHOZ Nov10         (laurato michae)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Nov22 Oct28 Oct08 Sep10 Sep01 (munoz carlos)CASTANON L 119 8.00    
6  TUNGARA Oct22         (d'ang)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
7  HARD SPICE         (santillana)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  MOR FOXY         (clay pat)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00    
9  SHEZA NASTY GIRL Oct18 Sep21       (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-5   12/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Oct07 Sep09 Jul23 Jul01   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  INCHON Nov11 Oct11 Aug16 Jul26   (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  NINJA STAR Nov03 Oct17 Sep09 Aug16 Aug07 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 ★    
4  CROWNED JEWEL Nov09 Oct05 Sep05     (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 10.00    
5  GROUP TICKET Oct29 Sep09 Aug04 Jul20 Jul02 (stormfelt)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
6  REAL SENSATION Oct14 Aug25 Aug06 Jul16   (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
7  OUTOFTHEDARK Sep09 Aug10 Jul20     (padilla tim)HIRALDO JOHN 118 20.00 26% 2.80    
8  RUDDY BUDDY Nov19 Nov04 Oct08 Sep09 Aug19 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 3.00    
9  UNCLE KENNY Oct23 Sep26 Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 (potts g)WALKER M 118 10.00    
 
TAM-6   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE         (vinson john )BATISTA A 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  DASH TO FINISH Oct07         (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
3  FRIZZANTE Aug17 Jul19       (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  IMPERIALTY Oct15 Sep09 Aug25 Aug10 Jul27 (munoz car)VARGAS A 119 10.00    
5  PAEZ Sep07 Aug25 Aug11     (nunez mauricio)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
6  BEAR HUNT         (laurin roger)CASTANON L 119 15.00 12% 7.40    
7  LOUIE THE SUN KING Nov03         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 2.50    
8  LEGENDARY BEAST         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 13% 7.00    
9  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Sep25 Aug23 Jul19 Jun14 May31 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
10  DANO         (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00 11% 8.50    
 
TAM-7   12/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENLY APPOINTED Oct05 Sep07 Aug12 Jul15 May24 (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of THE RIGHT PEW by PULPIT)
2  FRIENDSHIP ROAD Aug12 Mar03 Jan21 Apr21 Mar23 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 ★    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TOKYO TIME by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  LIVELY REMARK May06 Apr23 Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 124 30.00    
  (by THE JOKE IS OVER out of HONEY GO LIVELY by T J JACKSON)
4  FOREVER ROSE (GER) Oct05         (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 121 10.00    
  (by CRACKSMAN out of FOREVER BEAUTY by SUNSHINE FOREVER)
5  PRINCESS DAMIAH Aug05         (ma)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 124 30.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of GLORY BLAZE by FORESTRY)
6  SHE WILL DANCE (IRE) Oct12 Aug30       (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EVIDENTLY by SMART STRIKE)
7  LE BEAU Oct28 Oct12 Sep09 Mar11 Feb05 (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MORTGAGE THE HOUSE by CHESTER HOUSE)
8  AKAYLA (IRE) Nov05 Sep16 Oct22 Aug28   (brown c)MENESES MARCOS 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of POST PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
9  TACHEENE Oct26         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 30.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of GRECIAN DEVIL by ATTICUS)
10  PACIFIC VIEW Oct25 Sep04 Aug17 Aug03 Jul09 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  LADY THOR Nov17 Aug26 Jul30 Jul07 Jun19 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 121 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DISTINTA by SUMMER BIRD)
SCR  STORM CREED Nov05 Oct21 Sep29 Sep06 Aug25 (parra hern)URDANETA J 124 30.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of OFFSHORE LADY by BERNARDINI)
 
TAM-8   12/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL VERDICT Oct10         (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 122 6.00    
SCR  GRAND FESTIVAL Oct28 Oct19 Mar16 Nov19 Oct28 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 30.00    
3  EAST TO BEAST Aug18 Nov05       (crichton rohan)LOPEZ E 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  IM STILL BRAVE Oct16 Oct02 Aug13     (torres pa)VARGAS A 122 5.00    
5  HEAVY WEIGHT Nov22 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 Jun10 (munoz carlos)CASTANON L 124 20.00    
6  GARY'S FLYING LION Nov17 Oct01 Sep08 Jul28 Jul01 (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
7  CHOWMEIN Nov22 Jun12 May21 Apr29 Apr16 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  WYNN TRIP Nov22 Oct25 Oct05 Sep03 Aug16 (robertson m)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 10.00 7% 12.90    
9  SASSY B KEEN         (clay pat)TARASENCO P 122 12.00 18% 4.60    
10  SEAX Nov22 Oct18 Sep13 Aug16 Aug04 (ochoa gerar)ORTIZ A 122 20.00    
11  MIRO Oct08 Sep17 Sep08 Aug13 Jul28 (laurato m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 15.00    
12  OUR DARK COURAGE Aug25 Aug10       (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 115 30.00    
SCR  SIR AUSTIN Nov29 Oct28 Oct08 Sep17 Aug18 (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00    
SCR  CALLIHOO Nov17 Oct20 Oct01 Aug25   (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00    
 
TAM-9   12/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYLLABUS Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Jul26 Jun24 (dominguez )ORDONEZ R 121 20.00 8% 12.10    
2  LITTLE GIA Sep05 Aug01 Jun08 Apr09 Mar31 (vaccarezza car)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 10% 8.80    
3  BABY LUCK Nov22 Sep07 Aug31 Jul14 Apr19 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 121 5.00 25% 3.00    
4  PEACE FIRE Nov22 Oct29 Oct14 Sep29 Aug23 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
5  GO MIKA May03 Apr15 Mar22 Feb17 Jan21 (avila c)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
6  GRANDMA'S PUDDING Nov05 Sep29 Feb01 Dec23 Nov11 (rodriguez angel )RIVERA JON 114 8.00 8% 10.80    
7  ROB THE TREASURE Nov22 Sep15 Sep03 Aug27 Jul28 (dini mike)VARGAS A 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
8  SUSIE'S SAVER Dec01 Sep14 Aug09 Jul16 Jul02 (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00    
SCR  TRES MARIA'S DREAM Nov25 Oct12 Sep16 Aug06 Jul15 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00    
10  CALISUE Nov22 Feb24 Feb12 Jan21 Jan11 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
11  WORKIN ECLIPTICAL Oct24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 (hunt don)GALLARDO A 121 20.00    
SCR  DAHGO Oct06 Aug13 Jun03 Mar25 Mar10 (cudworth paul)LOPEZ E 121 30.00    
SCR  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Oct06 Sep03 Aug02 Jun30 Jun02 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
SCR  TIPHARAH Oct10 Oct02 Sep06 Aug18 Aug04 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 114 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.