Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - May 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(4/5/2)-(4/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/2/1)-(1/2/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/2/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/4/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/4)-(1/4/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/4)-(1/4/6/5)-(2/8/7/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/5)-(2/8/7/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/5)-(2/8/7/3)-(1/8/3/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/3)-(1/8/3/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/3)-(1/8/3/4)-(9/4/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/4)-(9/4/1/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (9/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/1/2)-(9/4/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/4/1/2)-(9/4/1/2)-(9/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   05/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE WITH A ROSE Apr23 Apr05 Mar19 Mar05 Jan21 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 3.00    
ISHKA BARHA Sep28 Sep14 Sep07 Aug24   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
BABY BLUE May11 Mar29 Feb01 Jan13 Oct01 (valdez moise)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  PATH TO VICTORY Mar04 Feb01 Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 124 4.00    
GARBET May17 Apr19 Mar14     (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 2.50    
CEREAL I D Apr26 Mar29 Mar15 Mar09 Feb08 (miller henry )BECKMAN ALICE 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-2   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRICK TOWN Mar31 Feb26 Dec16 Dec02 Nov22 (judd cassa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00    
HE'S A GOOD DANCER May17 Mar31 Oct22 Oct02 Sep25 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 6.00 11% 8.20    
ROCKIN THE PALACE Apr17 Mar01 Jan19 Dec13 Oct26 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
GREY CHARMER Mar25 Feb24 Nov30 Nov22 Nov01 (sims phi)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
UNCLE JOCK May15 Apr21 Sep20 Aug22 Jul17 (potts g)ALLEN D 116 4.50 16% 5.30    
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO May15 Apr08 Feb18 Oct24 Oct04 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 116 2.50    
 
PID-3   05/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CESAR Apr30 Apr01 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
TURNS May17 Apr26 Mar31 Mar16 Feb22 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 10% 8.80    
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES May17 Apr21 Dec10 Nov13 Oct25 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 116 3.50    
NIGHT TIME RULER May10 Apr11 Mar21 Mar06 Feb23 (urieta johann)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.40 55% 0.80    
SCR  PURE SPRING May17 Oct20 Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 (boyer david )ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
DAWGMENTALITY May15 Apr15 Mar15 Oct25 Oct04 (potts g)WALKER M 116 3.00    
 
PID-4   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIP CODE ENVY May15 Mar26 Feb25 Oct05 Sep05 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 1.80 57% 0.80    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of KNOX COUNTY ZIP by CITY ZIP)
MAGIC LIFE Jun08         (rice adam)AYALA J 118 2.50 18% 4.40    
  (by KLIMT out of BERNATINA by BERNARDINI)
REAL GOOD VYBZ May16 May02 Mar19 Jan30 Jan17 (williams omani)STANLEY O 124 10.00    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of REAL GOOD TIME by HARD SPUN)
LADY AREION         (connelly t)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CHITU out of PERSEPHONE by REAL SOLUTION)
ANA L May15 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 Jul11 (cheeks katy)RIQUELME J 118 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of DELIGHTFUL MELODY by TAPIT)
UPPITY UP         (potts g)SPIETH S 118 3.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
PEACE IN PARADISE         (parente )GALLARDO A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TIZ PARADISE by TIZNOW)
 
PID-5   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASPLUNDER May16 Mar19 Feb26 Dec21 Oct24 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 116 2.50 46% 1.20    
MAGIC BOMB May16 Apr29 Apr22 Mar15 Feb26 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.00    
CITY TRIPPER May15 Oct24 Sep22 Sep06 Aug23 (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 116 3.50    
LEONARD'S LEGACY Oct20 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
HINDENBURG May22 Dec24 Nov12 Oct26 Oct08 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
AWESOME PUDDING Oct12 Aug30 Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 12.00 6% 14.60    
SLIPPERY WHEN WET May16 May07 Apr08 Mar19 Feb26 (hayes leland)ALLEN D 116 6.00    
 
PID-6   05/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPETTACOLI (ARG) May23 Apr14 Jul19 Jul07 Jun29 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
COUNTY COURT May16 Aug17 Aug01 Jul21 Jul07 (rojas e)FLORES E 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
FARAT May16 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 (markgraf d)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
RATTLESNAKE RIDGE Apr16 Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 Feb10 (gonzalez aldan)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
PHARAOH FANCY PANT Apr16 Apr02 Mar04 Feb18 Jan25 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
SCR  TEMPUS May23 Oct13 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 3.50    
SNAKERATTLEANDROLL May16 Oct03 Sep21 Sep12 Sep06 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 9% 10.20    
C THE KING May23 May16 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 (depasqua)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
 
PID-7   05/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECLARED May16 Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 Aug03 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
VALENTINE BUG May17 Oct04 Sep19 Sep08 Jul27 (connelly tere)WALKER M 122 10.00    
BARNEGAT LIGHT May05 Apr05 Oct12 Sep07 Aug20 (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
THE BLACK STRAT Apr24 Mar20 Feb27 Feb07 Jan09 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ON THE COUCH Feb25 Feb11 Jan15 Dec31 Dec10 (barron r)MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
SCR  REINVEST Apr15 Mar22 Feb04     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 116 10.00    
HAIG POINT Mar25 Feb18 Feb02 Jan21 Dec28 (judd cassandra)WALES GARY 122 4.50    
J BERESFORD TIPTON May17 Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 Dec14 (potts g)SPIETH S 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
BRAZILLIONAIRE Dec04 Oct26 Aug14 Jul23 Jun25 (englehart je)AYALA J 122 10.00    
SCR  BANDIT SWANSON Apr16 Mar23 Feb04 Jan04 Nov24 (hernande)GALLARDO A 122 3.50    
 
PID-8   05/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VELOCIMO May21 Apr19 Mar17 Feb24 Jan11 (sharp j)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 11% 8.30    
YARDMAN Oct06         (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  HOLD THE WARRIOR Aug22 Jul28 Jul19 Jun14   (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 118 15.00    
POINT LOMA May23 Oct11 Sep22 Jul19   (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 118 4.50 16% 5.30    
FLAT BUSTED Mar01 Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 124 8.00    
MOMENT AT SEA Sep27         (zook w)AYALA J 118 20.00    
NATHANIEL'S HOPE Oct06 Sep21 Aug29 Jul26 Jul12 (cheeks p)SPIETH S 124 2.50    
ROUND ROBIN Apr28 Mar31 Mar09 Jan11 Dec07 (hendriks)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
PITON Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug09 Jul25 (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.