Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Friday - March 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (6/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/3)-(6/8/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/2)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2)-(6)-(5/3/1/8/9) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
TP-2   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(5/3/1/8/9) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (6)-(5/3/1/8/9)-(10/8/7/12) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TP-3   WIN (5/3/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/8/9)-(5/3/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/8/9)-(5/3/1/8/9)-(5/3/1/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/1/8/9)-(10/8/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/8/9)-(10/8/7/12)-(7/9/13/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (10/8/7/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/7/12)-(10/8/7/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/7/12)-(10/8/7/12)-(10/8/7/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/8/7/12)-(7/9/13/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/8/7/12)-(7/9/13/1)-(7/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-5   WIN (7/9/13/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/13/1)-(7/9/13/1/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/13/1)-(7/9/13/1/12)-(7/9/13/1/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/13/1)-(7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/9/13/1)-(7/1)-(13/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/1)-(13/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(13/7/9)-(12/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TP-7   WIN (13/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (13/7/9)-(13/7/9/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (13/7/9)-(13/7/9/10/11)-(13/7/9/10/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (13/7/9)-(12/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (13/7/9)-(12/8/3)-(4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TP-8   WIN (12/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/8/3)-(12/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (12/8/3)-(12/8/3)-(12/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (12/8/3)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TP-9   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/10)-(4/3/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRENCH COMPOSER Feb12 Jan15 Dec31 Nov24 Nov10 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 15.00    
2  CIRCLE BACK JACK Feb10 Jan06 Dec16 Jul16 May23 (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 123 3.00 10% 9.40    
3  B D VALESKI Feb10 Dec31 Nov16 Sep11 Jul16 (foley greg)RAMOS D 123 5.00 ★    
4  BIG BOSS BEN Feb24 Dec31 Nov27 Nov02 Sep21 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 123 12.00    
5  MR. CUNNINGHAM Feb24 Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 Dec31 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00    
6  COUNTERSTRIKE Feb24 Jan28 Jun23 Apr21 Mar17 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 5.00 37% 1.70    
7  GOLDBUSTER Oct14 Aug31 Aug08     (murphy conor)MACHADO LUAN 117 15.00    
8  CLEAT Feb15 Dec28 Nov10 Oct29 Sep13 (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  AMSDEN         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
10  RUN RUN RAPIDASH Feb10 Jan13 May14 Apr10 Mar04 (kordenbrock matt)FELIX E 123 15.00    
 
TP-2   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO BERTI Feb03         (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
2  CODE OF KINGS Feb12 Jan06 Nov13 Oct23 Sep03 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MILE Feb03 Dec11 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
4  HE GOTS TO GO Feb03 Dec22       (waltz brian)FELIX E 120 12.00 ★    
5  CAMBIASO Jan08 Dec18 Dec11 Nov23 Nov09 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00 ★    
6  ACCIDENTAL HERO Jan05 Nov09 Oct19 Sep13 Aug09 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 4.00 12% 7.50    
7  HAIL ALLEN Feb04 Jan06       (blair jordan)ROCCO S 120 12.00    
8  LET IT RIDE CLYDE Feb02 Jan19 Jan07 Dec11 Dec02 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 20.00    
SCR  DECANTED Feb10 Nov18 Oct16 Sep14 Sep01 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
10  POST TENEBRAS LUX         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 15.00    
11  RED FIVE Feb03         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 12.00    
SCR  MISTER KITTY Feb03         (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
SCR  MADDON         (maker mi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00    
 
TP-3   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANTRY FLATS Feb04 Jan20 Jan01 Sep14 Jul17 (newton t)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.50 10% 9.20    
2  ARTIE'S LADY Feb11 Feb02 Jan06 Dec17 Dec03 (schwarm l)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
3  BLESS THE KITTEN Feb09 Jan18 Dec03 Nov12 Oct13 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  NILES CHANNEL Jan22 Dec17 Nov24 Nov05 Oct22 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 120 15.00    
5  THE QUEENS JULES Feb09 Dec18 Nov12 Oct15 Sep21 (van t)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  OUT WORK'N Feb18 Jan06 Dec30 Dec08 Nov25 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 50.00    
7  PROTONIC POWER Feb04 Jan07 Oct21 Oct01 Sep14 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
8  BEAR OAK Feb09 Jan18 Dec11 Nov12 Oct27 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  ARGENTELLO (IRE) Feb09 Jan27 Sep01 Apr20   (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SOARING BIRD Feb09 Jan01 Dec11 Nov13 Aug06 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
 
TP-4   03/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RILEY BEE Nov09 Oct22       (adams nancy)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
2  MATLOCK (IRE) Feb10         (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
3  LEESBURG Feb10 Jan19       (sims matt)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
4  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Feb17 Jan22 Jan05 Nov24 Oct18 (barkley jason)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
5  NOBLE CONNECTION Jul30         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00    
SCR  DANG IT CAIN Feb09         (delong ben)HALDAR J 120 15.00 ★    
7  ROYAL VICKY Feb17 Jan13 Dec09     (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  PINEAPPLE JUICE Feb22         (noc)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 26% 2.90    
9  FULL MAG Feb10 Dec30 Oct14     (grubbs )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
10  GO FOR IT Feb17 Feb03 Jan12 Dec30 Nov17 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
11  PRINCE SIMBA Feb03 Jan12 Aug01     (howard d)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
12  TALKSCHEAP Feb22 Jan11 Dec22 Nov25 Nov09 (alessi james)HESS SARA 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
13  RISKY CHOICE Feb24 Feb10 Jan05 Nov16 Aug09 (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 113 8.00    
SCR  CONNECT ME Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 Dec02 Nov09 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
 
TP-5   03/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREENER PASTURES Jan27 Jun19 May30 Apr02   (mccarthy mich)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SAMI'S TROOPER Jan28 Dec30       (richard)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
3  BOURBON HEIST Jan13 Dec11 Aug21 Jul31 Jun05 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50    
4  GO BALI GO Feb11 Dec28 Oct06 Sep13 Aug16 (nance jonathan)SANJUR SANTO 126 15.00    
5  ONE LAST HAND Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Mar12 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 126 15.00    
6  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Jan01 Dec16 Nov09 Aug17 Jul06 (contreras ci)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
7  GRAPHIC DETAIL Feb03 Dec29 Dec02 Apr02 Feb05 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 38% 1.70    
8  MAHONEY ROAD Feb01 Sep29 Apr16 Mar17   (foley greg)RAMOS D 123 30.00    
9  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Feb10 Jan13 Dec16 Nov19 Jan15 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
10  DIAMOND CITY Feb10 Jan06 Dec10 Aug19 Jul17 (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 30.00    
SCR  POLAR WIND Jan27 Dec21 Dec03 Nov09 Oct17 (won)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 20.00    
12  GILDED RULER Dec31 Feb05       (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 8.00 ★    
13  SOLIDIFY Jan27 Dec21 Jun26 Jun11 May15 (mor)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 12.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  EXPLOSIVE Feb24 Feb09 Jan07 Nov19 Oct02 (simms mark )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 10.00    
 
TP-6   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKITOFF Feb22 Jan11 Jan01 Dec16 Dec03 (cook b)ROCCO S 120 4.00 5% 18.30    
2  CAPPY HOUR Feb09 Jan11 Dec22 Sep07 Aug14 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 ★    
3  CAROM Feb23 Jan27 Jan14 Dec09 Nov12 (antonuik )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00    
4  SCAT SHACK Jan25 Dec31 Dec18 Nov27 Nov12 (hel)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00 ★    
5  CLEARING WAIVERS May18 May07 Apr27     (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
6  AMENDED Dec27 Nov14 Aug16 Jul23 Jul17 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
7  BUGLE BARRY Jan14 Dec31 Sep29 Sep12 Apr02 (walsh r)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  MY PAL DAL Mar26 Feb26       (upton m)MOJICA JR 120 12.00    
9  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Feb22 Feb09 Dec29 Dec16 Nov22 (wong jonathan)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
SCR  SACRED RIDER Feb23 Jan14 Jan01 Nov04 Oct09 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
TP-7   03/10/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRONSIDES Jan21 Jan07 Nov25 Oct27 Oct07 (oli)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 117 20.00    
2  CODE RUNNER Jan20 Dec03 Oct09     (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00    
3  GREY STREAK Feb17 Jan18 Nov09 Oct04 Aug06 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
4  WARBIRD Oct26 Apr03 Feb23     (mccarthy)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
5  FOREIGN RELATIONS Feb16 Jan25 Dec17     (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 127 10.00    
6  MOUNT RUNDLE Oct26 Sep05 Aug07 Jun05 Apr23 (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.50    
7  MASTER OF THE RING Jan20 Jan06 Oct12     (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 Nov24 Sep16 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 124 4.00    
9  POET OF LIFE (IRE) Feb02 Jan06 Dec14 Jul02   (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  HARD RYE GUY Feb17 Jan25 Dec31 Nov05 Oct07 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 124 4.50 ★    
11  BOLD LOOKER Feb17 Jan11 Dec17 Nov03 Sep23 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00 ★    
12  EL FRANCO Feb18 Jan20 Dec30 Nov25 Nov03 (norris mike)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 50.00    
13  POLICY OPTION Feb17 Jan20 Jan06 Dec14 Nov09 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
TP-8   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING AFTER YOU Feb09 Jan11 Dec21     (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
2  MEAN SUE Jan04 Nov25 Oct26     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 15.00    
3  BOBBIE SOX Jan26 Jan05       (gonzalez rei)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 7% 14.30    
4  WILLOW BEND Feb03 Nov27 Oct28 Sep23 Aug13 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
5  ZAPPLE Aug14 Jul17       (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
6  CHARLEE MAE Feb05 Jan13 Dec31 Nov10 Oct12 (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 122 15.00    
SCR  RARIFY Oct27 Aug21 Jul24     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.40 29% 2.40    
8  AUNT BECCA Feb01         (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 8.00 9% 10.80    
9  TABOO HOO Jan24 Dec07       (anderso)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
10  LITURGIA Oct12 Sep21 Aug30 Jul31 Jun29 (hernandez rey)MCENTEE GRACE 122 30.00    
SCR  HOT LITTLE THING Oct05 Sep07 Aug06 Jul19   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
12  FUNNY MONEY HONEY (IRE)         (lobo h)RAMOS D 122 15.00 17% 5.00    
13  RUBY FOO Dec31 Dec04 Oct24     (stidham)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY DECISION Jan26 Jan13 Sep15 Aug14 Jul01 (delacruz )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 30.00    
 
TP-9   03/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAZARUS         (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FORBIDDEN BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
2  IM A MODEST MAN Feb16 Jan13 Dec29     (kinmon keith)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of PISH POSH by MUTAKDDIM)
3  KING OF KENTUCKY Feb03         (o'neill doug)LEZCANO ABEL 120 5.00 6% 15.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ROYAL ANCESTRY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  ROYAL SANDRIN Feb24 Jan20       (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.50 69% 0.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GENEROSIDADE by NEDAWI)
SCR  RIVER IN EGYPT Feb10 Jan27       (colebrook ben)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
6  DARK SIDE (IRE)         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHREYAS by DALAKHANI (IRE))
SCR  NAVY CROSS Feb24         (engler jeff)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of COCO'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
8  LE COOP Jan13         (humphries th)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of KATY LIED by KELA)
9  STORMIN MIDNIGHT Feb03         (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of LUCY DE by DECARCHY)
10  PERFECT UPSTART Jan13 Nov16 Sep21     (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
11  AUGUSTUS BLUE Feb10 Jan13 Oct18 Sep11 Aug13 (kerrick lacy)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BLUE DAHLIA by BUCKHAR)
12  MY BOY TONY         (ken)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BOLD CONTENDER by STRONG CONTENDER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.