Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - November 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/6)-(1/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(3/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/6)-(3/6/4)-(1/8/9/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/8/9/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/8/9/2/6)-(1/3/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/8/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/2/6)-(1/8/9/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/2/6)-(1/8/9/2/6)-(1/8/9/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/9/2/6)-(1/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9/2/6)-(1/3/8/4)-(4/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/4)-(4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/4)-(4/8/7)-(4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/7)-(4/8/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7)-(4/8/7/5/3)-(4/8/7/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/8/7)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7)-(4/1/3)-(10/7/5/8/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(10/7/5/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(10/7/5/8/6)-(3/5/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-8   WIN (10/7/5/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/8/6)-(10/7/5/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/8/6)-(10/7/5/8/6)-(10/7/5/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/5/8/6)-(3/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/7/5/8/6)-(3/5/7)-(11/5/1/4/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(11/5/1/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-10   WIN (11/5/1/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/1/4/9)-(11/5/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/1/4/9)-(11/5/1/4/9)-(11/5/1/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/30/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT-11:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNAFFECTED Nov03 Sep18 Aug28 Jun28 Jun04 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00    
2  JANSSEN Oct31 Sep22 Aug28 Jul24 Jul05 (lakeman andre)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 38% 1.70    
3  LANDAUER Oct24 Sep27 Sep01 Mar21 Feb25 (sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 3.00    
4  DREAM ALLIANCE Aug05         (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00    
5  NEPTUNE BEACH Oct31 Sep01 Aug18 Jun22 May03 (rodriguez rudy )OTERO AAROM 111 10.00 12% 7.40    
6  DR HIGH         (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIZ THE PRINCE Nov02 Oct04 Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 121 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
AQU-2   11/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOURS IN A DAY Oct25 Sep28 Aug17 Jul24 Jul07 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.80 29% 2.50    
SCR  BEARY FUNNY Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Aug21 Aug04 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.80    
2  PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Nov13 Oct02 Sep16 Sep04 Jul24 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
3  GOLDEN PURCHASE Nov10 Oct25 Oct13 Sep07 Aug18 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
4  CONNIVING Nov17 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 Aug31 (romero j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 3.50    
5  YORK TAVERN Nov10 Oct13 Sep21 Aug18 Jul14 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  MR. MENDELSSOHN Nov09 Sep19 Aug31 Jun07 Apr20 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BATTLE OF BRITAIN Nov09 Oct12 Sep27 Sep01 Aug04 (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
AQU-3   11/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETTER PERFECT Aug01         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SYLLABLE by SUPER SAVER)
2  TOMORROW'S WISH Oct05 Aug10       (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
  (by HONOR CODE out of WISHFUL SPLENDOR by SMART STRIKE)
3  HE HAS IT ALL Aug15 Jul20 Jun14 May18 Apr13 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by LAOBAN out of ZAMQUICK by POMEROY)
4  SOUNDS LIKE FUN Mar24 Mar03 Jan27 Nov09   (pregman)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MISSISSIPPI SOUND by UNION RAGS)
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY Nov08 Oct18 Oct05 Sep19 Sep02 (gutierrez jame)LUZZI J 124 10.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  ELVIS HIMSELF Nov05 Jul13 Jun22     (salazar marco)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MOSTLY ELVIS by PEACE RULES)
SCR  COACH PITINO         (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LEMME by LEMON DROP KID)
 
AQU-4   11/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRINITY RIVER Nov03 Oct19 Aug30     (rice l)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of WHITE ROCK LAKE by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  NEW MATTHEW Nov03 Oct26       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of COMPULSION by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  RUNAMOR         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CURLAMOROUS by CURLIN)
4  BIGFOOT SIGHTING Oct19         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of VOYELLE by BROKEN VOW)
5  SUNDAY GILT Nov02 Sep21       (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
6  RESILIENT HERO Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 May27   (jimenez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ESPIRITU by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  PREMIER CRU Nov22 Nov04       (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PREMIERE DAME by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  TAP IT EASY Oct31         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of SMOKIN BREEZE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  ARCH'S ASSAULT Nov03 Sep23       (baker char)RIVERA R 119 6.00 10% 9.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ARCH'S SMILE by ARCH)
 
AQU-5   11/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNAPPIN BUTTONS May09 Apr11 Mar01     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 63% 0.60    
2  BELLA VOCE Oct20 Jul18 Jun25 May28   (rice linda)RIVERA R 120 4.00    
3  PATTY VAN TWINKLE Oct27 Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
4  DIAMOND STATUS Oct18 Sep02 Jun14 May09 Oct28 (martin carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  VALENTINE GIFT Oct24 Sep20 Aug17 Jul18 Jun15 (ribaudo robert )CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
SCR  SHE'S COOL Nov22 Oct20 Aug11 Jun28 May31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
7  DASHING DELLA Nov01 Oct18 Aug10 Jul17 Jun27 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00    
8  JUSTHEART Oct24 Sep20 Aug28 Aug01 Jun21 (brown br)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   11/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAGUARDIA Nov04 Oct16 Oct03     (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 30.00    
2  ROYAL EVENT         (martin car)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
3  GIANT'S AUDIBLE Oct26 Sep02       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 ★    
4  DIABLO'S MISCHIEF         (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
5  SABBY SUNSET         (terran)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00 ★    
6  MIDNIGHT GLIMMER Nov09         (miceli michael)LUZZI J 119 10.00    
7  AWESOME ROBERTA Nov09 Oct06       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
8  TAKE ME TO LONDYN Oct31         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
9  RYE ON THE ROCKS Nov02         (hennig )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 20.00    
 
AQU-7   11/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIPSATIONAL May27 May20 Mar22 Mar09 Dec16 (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
2  ARI'S MAGIC Mar30 Feb03 Jan05     (rodriguez )RIVERA R 120 12.00    
3  STOLEN MAGIC Jun07 Apr26 Feb25 Jan27 Nov17 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRINTRACK Oct17 Sep21 Aug10 Jul25 Jun30 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 57% 0.70    
5  WAR STRIDE Oct30 Oct14 Jan07 Dec09 Nov12 (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
SCR  IRIDESCENT Oct31 Sep15 Aug11 Jul18 May12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
7  CRAZY MASON May11 Mar09 Feb10 Jan14 Dec02 (sacco d)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  VETTRIANO (IRE) Oct18 Aug24 Jun29 May18 Aug11 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80    
 
AQU-8   11/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET WISDOM Apr21 Mar14 Feb11 Jan13 Nov17 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
SCR  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Nov16 Oct24 Oct05 Aug23 Aug01 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 12.00    
3  YO BANANA BOY Nov15 Sep14 Jul20 Jun14 Apr26 (heath dest)RIVERA R 122 8.00    
4  ACOUSTIC AVE Oct18 Sep01 Jun27 May23 Apr28 (maker m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00    
5  AGGELOS THE GREAT Oct18 Aug25 Jul15 Jun28 Dec15 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 7% 12.70    
6  SURPRISE BOSS Sep11 May18 Feb23 Sep23 Aug22 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  CALDO CANDY Aug01 Jun06 Mar24 Jan28 Dec09 (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
8  FLYING EMPEROR Jul10 May27 May06 Oct16 Aug16 (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  LOCKE AND KEY Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 Aug17 Jul21 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 122 5.00    
10  WHATCHATALKINABOUT Oct18 Oct16 Aug27 May12   (ward a)MORALES PABLO 118 1.40 35% 1.90    
 
AQU-9   11/30/2024 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Comely Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY ANA Oct26 Sep20 Aug16 Jun01 May03 (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of QUIET GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  DOROTHY'S DREAMS Oct26 Oct03 Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 120 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DYNAZAPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  ALPINE PRINCESS Sep29 Mar23 Feb17 Dec23 Nov26 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 36% 1.80    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
SCR  JUST MUSIC Oct19 Aug23 Jul21 Jul11 Jul04 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
5  LIFE TALK Sep21 Apr06 Feb10 Dec02 Nov03 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TOUCHY FEELY by BROAD BRUSH)
SCR  AUDACIOUS Oct23 Sep14 Aug03 Jun06   (pletcher todd)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VERACITY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  SCALABLE Sep21 Jul27 Jun29 May03 Mar30 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 8% 11.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PASSION FLOWER by TAPIT)
 
AQU-10   11/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Aug17 Jul25 Jun09 Apr18 Mar27 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 8.00 11% 7.80    
2  I SEE YOU LOOKIN Nov09 Oct13 Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
SCR  SMILE MON Nov14 Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
4  STRIKING SPARKS Nov13 Oct16 Sep23 Aug07 Jul20 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRIGADE COMMANDER Nov02 Sep21 Aug23 Jul21 May27 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 24% 3.10    
6  SORORITY PRANK Nov09 Oct19 Oct04 Aug15 Jul27 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
7  LIBERTE DE BAYEUX Nov09 Oct03 Sep26 Aug29   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
8  LIFE AND LIGHT Nov09 Oct10 Sep13 Aug04 Apr25 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 30.00    
9  THE MONOPOLY MAN Oct31 Oct14 Sep16 Jul20 Apr28 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  HAVE YOU HEARD Oct19 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 May18 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
11  MODICA Nov02 Oct19 Sep19 Aug04 May23 (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.