Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (4/2/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (9/4/7/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-6   Win (3/10/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (9/10/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (8/11/1/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-9   Win (4/1/11/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYTOWN MYRULES Feb11 Dec10 Sep21 Apr14 Mar11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
BIG HAZEL Sep19 Aug02 Jul25 Jul07 May16 (donk dav)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAST GLORY Sep27 Jul14 Jun20 May19 Nov25 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
ELLIPTIC (IRE) Sep19 Aug23 Aug03 Jun15 May16 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00    
SCR  BELLA VOCE Jul18 Jun25 May28     (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
PAM PAM Aug30 Jul22 Jul04 Jun12 Apr07 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
BROOKLYN DANTZ Aug07 Jul18 Jun20 May11 Apr26 (arenas ma)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 20.00    
MISS FASHIONISTA Aug10 Jul11 Jun14 Apr11 Mar14 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-2   10/06/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 Beldame Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGNAL FROM NOISE Sep01 Jul14 Jun21 Aug30 Jul30 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
BATUCADA Sep14 Jul20 Jun22 May31 May03 (joseph saf)SANTANA JR 123 8.00    
LIBBAN Sep14 Aug11 Jun29 May27 Apr27 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 7% 12.40    
RAGING SEA Aug23 Jul21 Jun08 Apr19 Nov25 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 0.20 62% 0.60    
FROSTY O TOOLE Sep18 Jul20 Jun22 May12 Apr04 (dini mike)FRANCO MANUEL 123 15.00    
MAJESTIC CREED Sep10 Sep03 Aug17 Jul08 Jun08 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 20.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY AZTECA Sep01 Jul20 Jun16 May09 Apr18 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 123 1.80    
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Aug16 Jun23 Oct29 Oct12 Sep02 (cash russe)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
MOSIENKO Sep26 Jul14 May12 Apr18 Jan27 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00    
WILLOW BEND Sep13 Aug11 Jun26 May23 Jan11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
RACHEL'S ROCK Aug11 Feb21 Dec17 Nov24 Oct28 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 20% 4.00    
KHALI MAGIC Jun20 May12 Mar15 Jan28 Dec31 (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 125 3.50 31% 2.30    
MIDTOWN LIGHTS Aug14 Jun09 May11 Mar15 Feb19 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
BAQ-4   10/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEED AND BEAUTY Sep13 Aug21 Jul26     (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 20.00    
BUBBE DEAREST Sep13 Aug08 Jul17     (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
AWESOME ROBERTA         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
D'S A ROCK         (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.00 34% 2.00    
JUST WORDS Sep13         (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 11% 8.00    
VINO PAELLA Aug25         (rodriguez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 10.00    
SCR  SELECTIVELY SWEET Sep13 Aug28 Jul26 Jul11   (chichakly amira)PANAIJO JORGE 119 30.00    
T D MAGEE Sep13         (levine bruce)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
SOMEONE Aug22 Jul26       (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
10  HONEY IN THE BANK         (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  SILENT SANDY Sep13         (sacco d)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
12  LIGHTNING MAMA Aug30 Jul17       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/06/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S FASCINATING         (dutrow anth)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MCKINZIE'S GLORY Sep01 Jul28       (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
JENN         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00    
PARAIBA BLUE Sep15         (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 50.00    
FORWARD DEPLOYED Aug17         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 33% 2.00    
SOOTHE Sep01         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
POOKIE Aug23         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
GOOD CONDUCT Aug23 Jul18       (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
WILD AND FREE Aug23 Jul21       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
DR GLICK Aug15         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
10  MAGENTA Sep01 Aug04 Jun16     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
11  CHELSEY'S CHOICE Aug15         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/06/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 Miss Grillo Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAISY FLYER Sep05 Jul21       (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 120 30.00    
SALT Aug23 Jul20 Jun29     (attard kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
VIRGIN COLADA Aug28 Jul21       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
SHIFTY Aug23 Jul04       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRACE AND GRIT Sep13         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
SHE'S GOT WILL Sep08 Aug15       (casse mark)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 20% 4.00    
RARE ART Aug23 Jul21       (dutrow w)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
SCYTHIAN Aug30 Aug04       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
ANNIE GOODBODY Aug22 Jul18       (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
10  LAVENDER DISASTER Sep15         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
11  CORRETO Sep01         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 6.00    
12  MARVELOUS MADISON Sep02         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENEW THE BLUE         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SHARE THE LUDT         (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 6.00    
FREE DANCE Sep02         (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
SPIRIT OF THE LAW Sep02 Aug03       (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
EMPIRE OF ANGELS         (miceli michael)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
ROCK STAR REBEL Sep02 Aug15       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
RESILIENT HERO Sep22 Sep07 May27     (jimenez jose)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
UNCLE BARRIE         (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 119 50.00    
KEEPINITREAL Aug15         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 58% 0.70    
10  THREE B'S Sep02 Jul19       (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 12% 7.70    
11  NATIONAL IDENTITY         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/06/2024 3960ft TURF RC12 Matron Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL NOT BE SWAYED Sep08 Aug07 Jul11     (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY Sep12 Aug24 Aug11 Jul05 Jun06 (mcentee paul)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
I'MWISHINGONASTAR Sep14 Aug23       (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
SERENE SPIRIT Aug17 Jul13       (duarte jr)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00    
MIRIAM'S FIRE (GB) Sep19         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 8% 11.60    
POP IDOL Aug31 Aug08 Jun22     (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
FLIRTING WITH TIME Aug29 Aug08 Jul18     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
LAURICE Aug31         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
SECOND CHANCE (VEN) Aug28 Jul25       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
10  ABIENTOT Sep08 Aug18 Jul18 Jun21   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  CIVETTA Sep08 Aug10       (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 25% 2.90    
12  YOUGOTTAHAVEHOPE Aug04         (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT PRINCE Aug24 Jul08 Jun07 Nov19 Oct28 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 13% 6.80    
WALLEY WORLD Apr27 Feb09 Nov19 Oct13 Sep02 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
SAMBURU (GB) Aug31 Jul13 Jun16 May27 Apr26 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
UNIT ECONOMICS (GB) Jul13 Jun15 Apr24 Mar20 Feb15 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  BORDER WAR Aug17 Jul20 Jun14 May17 Apr27 (toner j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 30.00    
SCR  VICTORS VALIANT Aug31 Aug07 Jul06 Jun07 May04 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00    
BARRAGE Aug31 Jun16 May11 Nov18 Oct06 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Aug25 Jul07 May24 Mar09 Nov10 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
RAMBLIN' WRECK Aug31 Jul13 Jun16 Oct28 Sep16 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  MORE VINO Sep19 Aug21 Jun23 Mar10   (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00    
11  BRING ME A CHECK Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 Jun07 May04 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 8% 11.90    
12  FLY RIGHT Aug31 Aug02 May19 Apr13 Mar16 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 122 15.00    
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Sep20 Jul31 Jun22 Apr18 Mar09 (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.