Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - June 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(8/5/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(8/5/3/6)-(2/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (8/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/6)-(8/5/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/6)-(8/5/3/6/7)-(8/5/3/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/3/6)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/6)-(2/1/3)-(5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/1/2)-(6/5/7/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(6/5/7/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(6/5/7/3/4)-(7/9/5/3/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (6/5/7/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/3/4)-(6/5/7/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/3/4)-(6/5/7/3/4)-(6/5/7/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/7/3/4)-(7/9/5/3/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/3/4)-(7/9/5/3/8)-(3/2/8/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-6   WIN (7/9/5/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/5/3/8)-(7/9/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/5/3/8)-(7/9/5/3/8)-(7/9/5/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/5/3/8)-(3/2/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/5/3/8)-(3/2/8/4)-(7/4/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (3/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/8/4)-(7/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8/4)-(7/4/6/3)-(11/2/1/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/3)-(11/2/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (11/2/1/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/1/9/5)-(11/2/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/1/9/5)-(11/2/1/9/5)-(11/2/1/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   06/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTUMN'S TURN Jun02 May18 Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
2  SAVE TIME May09 Apr07 Feb11     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 0.80 42% 1.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHAMBER by TAPIT)
3  CLASSY MISCHIEF Jun06 Sep28 Aug20 Jul30 Jul13 (contes)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)
4  MATURITY DATE Apr21 Mar10 Dec30 Oct01 Aug18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of SING LADY SING by SCAT DADDY)
5  RISING INFLATION May18 Aug31       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
  (by MITOLE out of ANY GIVEN TRACE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
BAQ-2   06/21/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON GATE         (clement chris)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SINE WAVE by BIG BROWN)
2  THE SUGARS May16         (terran)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  CAROL SAID NO         (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 6% 14.70    
  (by VOLATILE out of FIVE STAR FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
4  LADY RIVER LILY Jun01         (seyler dougl)HARKIE K 119 50.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MOSCOW RIVER by HARD SPUN)
5  GOOD LONG CRY May11         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 6% 14.60    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of HIGH CRY by STREET CRY)
6  BURNER ACCOUNT         (casse mark)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 6% 14.70    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WIN MONEY MY HONEY by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  ABIENTOT         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of READY READY READY by MORE THAN READY)
8  LAUGHING LADY         (dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EMPIRE LADY by EMPIRE MAKER)
9  WARMING         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of HAUTE STYLE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
BAQ-3   06/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDY KNOWS May27 Apr26 Apr14 Mar24 Mar07 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 118 3.50 35% 1.80    
2  CHOCOLATE SHAKE May17 Apr12 Feb25 Jul01 Jun10 (david car)BOCACHICA J 113 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  CO CONSPIRATOR May27 May11 Apr25 Mar30 Mar10 (jones )GRISALES DANILO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LORD CAPTAIN May26 May04 Apr28 Apr05 Feb25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80    
5  HIGHER QUALITY May18 Apr25 Jan04 Dec09 Nov26 (potts wayne)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00    
SCR  CENTAVO May18 May04 Apr26 Mar30 Mar22 (chatterpaul nai)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
 
BAQ-4   06/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MYSTIC NIGHT Mar29 Mar01 Jan12 Oct13 Sep21 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 15% 5.70    
SCR  TETSU Apr19 Mar30 Feb19 Feb09 Dec29 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20    
2  BLAKE B. May26 May11 Apr14 Mar24 Feb09 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 6% 16.70    
3  CLASSIC MARK Dec10 Oct21 Sep21 Aug24 Jul04 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 118 10.00    
4  BOLD VICTORY May02 Mar30 Mar16 Feb16 Jan04 (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
5  BOURBON CALLING May26 May02 Apr07 Mar07 Feb25 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 50% 1.00    
6  SKYLANDER May25 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 Feb03 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
 
BAQ-5   06/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEY THE FISH May24 May10 Apr21 Apr04 Mar08 (persaud r)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
2  GRINGOTTS May25 May10 Apr21 Apr04 Mar22 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
3  TRADE SECRET May25 Apr13 Mar22 Mar08 Feb24 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 6% 14.80    
4  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN May10 Apr21 Mar30 Mar01 Feb02 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SLACK TIDE Apr14 Mar15 Feb23 Feb10 Jan19 (reynolds p)RIVERA R 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
6  AWESOME ANNMARIE May16 Mar24 Feb25 Jan17 Dec24 (walder peter )VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  MY FIRST LOVE May05 Apr18 Apr04 Mar15 Feb19 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 14% 6.00    
8  MERAVIGLIOSO May10 Apr18 Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 (barrera )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 8.00    
9  JOLLY MISS JILL May10 Apr21 Apr04 Mar24 Feb24 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   06/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF COMEDY May24 Nov10 Sep15 Aug17 Jul02 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  MIGHTY ATLAS May27 May04 Apr13 Mar15 Aug26 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00    
2  SELL SOMETHING May24 Nov16 Oct04 Aug05 Jul02 (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
3  ROUGH DRAFT Apr21 Mar21 Mar07 Jan25 Jan05 (abreu fernand)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 10% 9.30    
4  BAR FOURTEEN May24 Apr26 Mar07 Jan04 Dec13 (brown r)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00    
5  LOCKE AND KEY May17 Apr26 Mar29 Mar09 Jan11 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
6  LET'S GO BIG BLUE May24 Nov10 Oct15 Sep15 Aug17 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
7  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS May11 Nov18 Sep02 Aug05 Jun17 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
8  CABLE READY May25 May03 Apr14 Nov07 Oct30 (dixon k)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BORN DANCER May24 Nov10 Aug27 Jun23 Oct21 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  MAJESTIC FRONTIER May18 Apr26 Apr13 Mar30 Mar17 (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   06/21/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY FREE BIRD May25 Sep04 Aug09 Jul09 Jun23 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of STORMY SATURDAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  FABULOUS FOX Jan06 Dec09 Oct29     (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 24% 3.30    
  (by NYQUIST out of EDITH COURT by POMEROY)
3  CERRETTA Jun06 Apr25 Oct26 Sep14 Jul22 (bond kevin)RIVERA R 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LIFT by IRISH OPEN)
4  BETTER BE SMART May16 Apr06 Mar02     (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BETTER YOU THAN ME by BERNARDINI)
SCR  HEAVENLY GIRL May25 Apr25 Jul26     (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BRAZO DE ORO by FIRST DUDE)
6  H M S VICTORY Dec01 Nov16 Jul02     (cash r)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
7  JUSTHEART May19 Apr14       (brown r)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of ALL BRONZE by DESERT WARRIOR)
8  CAPITAL SPENDING May25 Apr25       (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 21% 3.90    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SANDY BELLE by MORE THAN READY)
9  SPLASHY Jun08 Oct26 Jul29 Jul03 May21 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
 
BAQ-8   06/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU MOONSHINE Feb25 Jan28 Nov24 Jul29 Feb05 (baker charl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
2  PRETTI XTREME Apr18 Mar15 Feb10 Jan14 Nov25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
3  AMANDA'S FOLLY May10 Dec28 Oct29 Sep04 Aug27 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DAME CINCO May03 Apr14 Mar17 Feb02 Jan05 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
5  INTO HAPPINESS Apr14 Feb10 Dec28 Nov25 Nov05 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
6  TONED UP Apr18 Mar28 Feb11 Dec28 Nov25 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 7% 14.00    
7  SIGNAL FROM NOISE Aug30 Jul30 Jun10 Mar10 Jan11 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
 
BAQ-9   06/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Apr19 Apr03 Feb02 Jan24 Dec09 (paragallo jenni)DAVIS KATIE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BETTA GO GO GO May27 May10 Apr19 Mar08 Jan17 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 10% 8.90    
3  ZEN AIR Jan03         (lerman s)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
4  LCGOLUCKY Jun06 May10       (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00    
5  MITOLE'S DIAMOND Apr26         (shivmangal)RIVERA R 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  COMANCHE PEAK (GB) Jun06 Jan01 Oct28     (bernardi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 20.00    
7  EL ALACRAN Jun02 Mar07 Feb10 Jan13 Nov25 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
8  FLUORESCENT BAY May25 Feb18 Feb10 Jan04 Aug23 (davis robbi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
9  PAPPOU'S LAUGH Apr21 Dec14       (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SMOOTH AN EASY May27 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 Nov22 (seyler dougl)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
11  NOSTALGIC ONE Nov16 Sep03 Jul28 Jul07 Dec10 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 125 1.40 60% 0.70    
12  OXFORD UNION May19 May14       (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00    
SCR  BRITISH SEA Jun14 Apr28 Dec15 Nov04 Sep09 (brion keri)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
SCR  ISOMARSHALL Feb25 Feb04       (keithan rac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
SCR  MASTER OF MALICE May18 Jun15       (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.