Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Thursday - May 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-4   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (6/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   05/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABELLE May04 Apr11 Feb05 Dec30 Dec14 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
SWEET BELEN May22 Mar28 Mar19 Feb27 Feb05 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
BLAZING ZENNA May04 Mar28 Feb22 Feb07 Dec06 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00    
RIPLEY EFFECT May15 Apr23 Sep25 Sep07 Aug24 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
OPULENT WAYS Oct04 Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jun14 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
TONALA May08 Mar28 Mar12 Jan30 Jan01 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
LA REINA DEL NORTE May08 Apr11 Apr03 Mar17 Mar05 (rotunno sydne)PETERSON FERRIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   05/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUEGO CALIENTE Mar27 Feb21 Feb08 Jan23 Jan08 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
ITASCA May18 Apr22 Dec18 Nov20 Oct31 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
HAD RIGHT May09 Apr29 Apr03 Mar18 Mar04 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50    
ORO DE MORO MORO May14 Apr30 Apr13 Apr08 Feb20 (rivera nestor)CESPEDES JHORMA 116 2.00    
LUCKY ANDY Apr23 Oct31 Oct13 Aug22 Jul31 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 31% 2.30    
UHAVETOBEKITTENME May13 Apr25 Apr10 Apr01 Jan30 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   05/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS ME QUICK May04 Mar27 Mar12 Feb01 Nov14 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 4.00    
MISS SPRINGSTEEN Jan15 Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 Nov14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 7% 13.80    
BUCKEYE CRUISER May09 Apr24       (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.60 56% 0.80    
CALI CRUISER May20 Mar29 Feb25 Feb04 Jan24 (inirio ol)PILARES P 119 2.00    
SCR  BIG FACTS May18 Nov14 Oct28 Sep05   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 4.50    
 
TDN-4   05/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENETIAN DREAM May20 Jan10 Dec26 Dec18 Nov30 (bailey ricard)PETERSON FERRIN 123 15.00    
NO ANGEL May09 Feb11 Sep17 Jul01 Jun04 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
STATESBORO Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 Dec06 Nov02 (winters michell)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 12% 7.10    
BOURBON WISDOM Oct13 Sep18 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00    
MONTAUK COVE May06 Apr02 Jan30 Dec30 Dec06 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
FAT DADDY Nov05 Oct15 Sep26 Sep12 Aug10 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 60% 0.70    
 
TDN-5   05/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH FIRE May09 Apr13 Mar26 Feb29 Feb13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.60    
POWER BANKER May04 Apr02 Mar13 Feb29 Feb13 (cline c)BRACHO A 123 3.50    
LA ROSA May09 Sep30 Aug24 Jul19 Jul07 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
BISCAYNE BAY May04 Apr01 Mar07 Feb20 Feb06 (zielinsk)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  STAR MABEE Apr29 Sep26 Sep06 Aug10 Jul19 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
OUT FOR FUN May18 May04 Apr24 Apr11 Apr02 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   05/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIMO ROBERTO May07 Mar25 Mar06 Feb21 Dec30 (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
DIAL DIRECT May04 Mar28 Nov30 Nov16 Oct28 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 68% 0.50    
PRESSLEY RIDGE Apr24 Mar18 Feb29 Feb08 Jan24 (huffman m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
GOOD MUSIC May09 Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Dec28 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GHOST OF LONDYN Apr08 Mar25 Mar07 Feb29 Feb15 (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 117 12.00    
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Apr24 Apr03 Mar18 Nov29 Nov14 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 3.00 10% 9.50    
KELLEHER May01 Apr11 Mar08 Jan23 Jan02 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 4.00    
 
TDN-7   05/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSATIABLE EVA May09 Jan10 Oct08 Aug12 Jul22 (canegata james)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
VINOS ANGEL Apr25 Oct02 Aug12 Jul07   (morey e)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 25% 3.00    
CANDYMONIUM May13 Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
MY SUZIE Q May01 Apr22 Mar20 Mar07   (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 25% 3.00    
SURPRISED GEM May15 Apr25 Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 20.00    
OROZIMBA May13 Jan26 Nov19     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 8.00 16% 5.10    
TORREY STREET May08 Apr21 Mar28 Mar02 Feb17 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.50    
NOT TODAY May13 May01 Mar20 Feb20 Jan24 (ray kevin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00    
 
TDN-8   05/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A VAN ON THE RUN Mar28 Mar05 Feb22 Feb06 Dec19 (huffman candace)TOLEDO S 119 6.00    
GRAY TORMENTOR May13 Apr23 Nov16 Oct31 Oct12 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
SMOKE SCREEN May13 Mar28 Mar05     (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
RAMBLER May13 Apr23 Apr09 Mar05 Sep26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
SCR  K C OUTWORK Apr23 Mar28       (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
PRIVATE MOMENT         (hurley l)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 58% 0.70    
DOUBLE AGENT May13 Apr23 Oct12 Sep13   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 9% 10.40    
EL SORDO Apr10 Mar25 Mar14 Feb22 Dec12 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00 10% 8.70    
AFFAIR TO REMEMBER May06 Dec19 Nov16 Oct12   (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.