Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - April 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(3/4/6)-(1/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/6/4)-(1/7/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/1)-(5/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/1)-(5/7/4/6)-(7/3/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/6)-(7/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UKRAINIAN PRINCESS Mar21 Feb17 Jun01 Apr23 Feb26 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW Apr04 Mar15 Oct12 Jul26   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 2.00 19% 4.30    
3  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE Apr10 Mar02 Dec14 Aug24 Aug03 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 4.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN ROSIE Feb19 Jan18       (ferraro anth)COA J 120 5.00    
5  CRYSTAL Apr04         (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  INDYAN PENNY Nov22 Nov07 Oct25 Sep27 Aug30 (clarke matthew)ROHENA JR 124 10.00    
7  PAULIES ANGEL Oct25 Oct11 Jul04 Jun26 May29 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 15.00    
 
FL-2   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MAGS Nov01 Oct04 Sep18 Jul05 Jun20 (sparling wayn)ROJAS MARTINA 122 15.00    
SCR  TRACI'S GIRL Nov01 Oct02 Aug29 Aug02 Jul18 (sparling way)BERRIOS C 122 15.00    
2  BON FIRE DIVA Nov15 Nov07 Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 (williams omani)FRET STEVEN 122 12.00    
3  WARTAPPED Jan28 Jan11 Dec08 Nov19 Oct31 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 1.80    
4  SWEET SUGAR BABY Nov15 Nov01 Oct16 Sep06 Aug02 (breed deb)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
5  AUTOMATED TELLER Aug21 Jul26 Jun26 Jun15 May30 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
6  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Jan11 Dec10 Oct31 Oct17 Oct04 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  BAD CONNECTION Nov15 Nov01 Oct16 Oct02 Sep05 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
FL-3   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASS APPEAL Nov13 Oct31 Sep26 Aug22 Aug08 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 122 3.50 ★    
1A  SMOOTH TALES Nov22 Nov13 Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 (murphy timothy)COA J 122 3.50    
2  BIG BAD BUD Dec27 Dec06 Nov21 Nov13 Oct31 (maver eduardo)DAVILA A 122 10.00    
3  FATHER WALSH Nov15 Oct25 Aug16 Jul17 Jun21 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
4  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Nov18 Nov02 Sep03 Jul30 Jul16 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
5  MARGARITA SUNRISE Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 (tasso mark)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
6  ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Sep19 Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 Jun27 (clarke ma)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-4   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD MAN WINTER Nov22 Nov13 Oct11 Jul12 May30 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
2  QUICKFLASH Mar28 Feb25 Feb10 Jan04 Nov30 (potts wayne)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
3  HOLY COWBOY Nov22 Oct25 Oct03 Sep19 Aug22 (breed deb)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 8.00    
4  SNEADS Dec06 Nov21 Nov13 Oct25 Oct17 (murphy timothy)COA J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  EXECUTIVE SIGHT Dec15 Dec01 Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 119 12.00    
6  SON OF DARKNESS Mar08 Feb02 Dec14 Nov13 Oct17 (o'callah)DAVIS A 124 4.00 ★    
7  DEE BO Mar22 Mar06 Feb16 Jan25 Dec27 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
FL-5   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE MAIZE         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 8.00 47% 1.10    
2  UNCAPTURED QUEEN Apr04         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 4.00    
SCR  SOL EMPERATRIZ Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 Feb22 Jan18 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 116 2.00    
4  ARCHIVIST Mar30 Feb28 Jan31 Jan14 Nov24 (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 120 2.50    
5  LADY LAWRENCE Mar17 Feb03 Jan11     (reed a)COA J 120 10.00    
6  JEN'S KISS Apr14 Mar17 Jan18     (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MEL'S ANGEL Jan19 Dec16 Nov12 Oct20 Oct10 (gid)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 14% 5.90    
 
FL-6   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY MAKING KAZ Mar13 Feb08 Dec22 Nov29 Nov09 (vasquez ramon)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
1A  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 Sep27 Sep11 (vasquez ram)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00    
2  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Mar22 Mar07 Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00    
3  DEE'S WISEGUY Sep20 Aug17 Jun26 Jun12 May09 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
4  KENTUCKY JOKER Mar24 Mar09 Feb04 Dec28 Nov10 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  NEON SIGN Apr12 Jun09 May18 May06 Mar29 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
6  KOOL KATHMANDU Apr12 Jan01 Nov22 Oct22 Sep16 (bak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 19% 4.20    
7  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Nov16 Oct20 Aug26 Jul28 Apr25 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 2.50    
 
FL-7   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THROWBACK Mar30 Mar06 Jan12 Dec21 Dec01 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00    
2  FLATTERY'S MUSIC Dec06 Nov14 Oct23 Oct09 Sep06 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 121 12.00    
3  LOCKBOX Mar16 Feb23 Feb04 Jan11 Dec28 (d'alessandro ralp)PEREZ E 121 8.00    
4  LINCOLNVILLE BEACH Apr04 Mar07 Feb17 Jan11 Nov16 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.50 7% 13.00    
5  LITTLE MS SUNSHINE Aug21 Jul24 Jun26     (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 121 1.40 55% 0.80    
6  DARN THAT SONG Mar10 Feb23 Jan28 Jan07 May09 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 121 6.00 6% 16.50    
7  CURL TALK Feb03 Jul13 Jun14 May23 May03 (turetsky judy)DAVILA A 121 4.00 12% 7.30    
 
FL-8   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPING PASSION Apr09 Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 Jan24 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
2  ALARRA Nov07 Oct23 Sep27 Aug15 Aug01 (clarke matthew)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
3  SUN AND WIND Mar29 Feb18 Jan19 Dec16 Oct20 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
4  SASSY TALLAHASSEE Mar13 Feb22 Jan24 Dec30 Dec15 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 4.00    
5  RULER OF THE NIGHT Nov15 Oct25 Aug29 Jun26 Jun05 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
6  SWEET SENSATION Feb29 Feb01 Jan19 Jan04 Dec08 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  BUSTINROXY Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 Aug08 Jul24 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
8  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Mar14 Feb22 Jan24 Dec28 Nov29 (wadams dewigh)DAVILA R 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.