Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(4/5/3)-(1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(1/6/5)-(4) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
MVR-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4)-(5/6/1/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4)-(5/6/1/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4)-(5/6/1/8)-(1/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/8)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/8)-(1/4/6)-(5/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(5/6/4)-(3/9/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/9/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/4/1)-(3/9/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/4/1)-(3/9/4/2/1)-(3/9/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LINDSY'S SHADOW Dec19         (reed r)HALDAR J 126 8.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of BIG BABY SLEW by CONCORD POINT)
2  QUICKSTYLE Feb06 Dec13 Aug11 Jun30 Jun04 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00    
  (by LEA out of SIMPLISTIC by ANDROMEDA'S HERO)
3  TEST YOUR FAITH Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct11 Sep12 (wade justin)VEGA L 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TAYLORS IRISH by DREWMAN)
SCR  ECHOLITE Dec13 Oct30 Sep14 Oct26 Oct01 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 2.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
5  ISLANDINTHESTREAM Feb09 Jan25 Dec13 Nov04 May20 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of COLORFUL CHARADES by DISCREET CAT)
6  REMEMBERING Jan24 Dec13 Oct13 Sep14 Aug18 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 1.40 68% 0.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
MVR-2   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3 ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  M EIGHTY Jan12 Nov29 Oct23     (reed r)HALDAR J 120 3.50    
2  SIR MASON Jan24 Dec27 Dec14 Nov29 Oct27 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00    
3  EL BAMBINO Feb01 Dec28 Nov22 Oct23 Oct03 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 120 5.00 7% 14.10    
4  POKER PARTNER Jan24 Dec28 Nov22 Oct23 Sep23 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
5  LUCKY COUGAR Jan31 Dec28 Dec02 Nov22 Oct14 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 115 2.50 22% 3.50    
6  DESTINO Jan25 Jan09 Dec27 Sep06 Aug25 (morales m)DIAZ I 122 10.00    
 
MVR-3   02/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFETTO Dec05 Oct23 Oct11 Jul10 Jun25 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  POLITICAL Feb01 Jan04 Dec04 Nov21 Oct29 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50    
SCR  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Jan30 Dec20 Dec07 Nov17 Oct09 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00    
4  PRIVATE LAKE Feb05 Jan10 Dec12 Nov13 Oct17 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
5  ALGORIX Sep27 Sep05 Aug16 Jul24 Jul03 (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PEACE OF EKATI Dec27 Dec04 Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 (po)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
7  YOUVESAIDITALL Feb08 Jan23 Dec26 Dec12 Dec05 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   02/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIGHTY FROSTED Jan31 Jan04 Dec03 Nov12 Oct29 (gotera car)LEON A 124 10.00    
SCR  IL MALANDRINO Dec06 Nov24 Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 (gotera jua)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00    
SCR  MR. CELLULAR Jan04 Dec12 Nov27 Nov09 Mar22 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
4  MR LAOBAN Feb05 Jan18 Jan04 Dec04 Nov27 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
5  INSACIABLE PRINCE Dec04 Oct30 Oct09 Sep06 Aug24 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
6  GRAND GIZMO Feb05 Jan04 Dec04 Oct09 Sep18 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-5   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO COPY Oct23 Sep04 Feb01 Dec21 Oct24 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 18.50    
2  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Jan22 Jan01 Nov27 Nov06 Jul14 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
3  DASH OF FIRE Jan31 Jan11 Dec28 Dec14 Nov14 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
4  WILDCAT BILL Jan22 Jan01 Dec14 Nov06 Oct13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50    
5  OVERLOAD Jan15 Dec26 Nov08 Oct04 Sep13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
6  COWTOWN BOSS Jan22 Jun24 Apr26 Apr03 Mar06 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
7  STUNT MAN Feb06 Jan01 Nov06 Oct13 Sep04 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
8  BAD BOY BOOGIE Feb06 Jan15 Dec26 Dec14 Nov16 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZELIG Feb05 Dec07 Nov08 Oct24 Sep28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  JUST CHESTER Jan22 Jan01 Dec19 Jun07 May20 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 126 12.00    
3  BIG FALCON ROCKET Dec27 Nov06 Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 8.00    
4  UNCLE KEVIN Jan01 Dec12 Jun24 May31 Jan26 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 20% 4.00    
5  EXALTED JOY Dec27 Dec12 Nov21 Nov02 Oct13 (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
6  STRIKE A BEAT Jan11 Dec12 Nov22 Nov08 May20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.00 9% 9.50    
SCR  TIDE RISING Feb05 Jan18 Jan02 Dec19 Dec07 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.50    
 
MVR-7   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR ENTERTAINER Jan18 Jan03 Dec20 Nov08 Oct25 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 5.00    
2  TOUCH CODE Feb01 Dec28 Nov23 Nov04 Sep20 (brown glen)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 3.50    
3  CENTSOFWANDER Jan03 Dec20 Nov27 Oct30 Oct13 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
4  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 Dec20 Dec04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
5  GOING IN STYLE Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 Dec20 Dec04 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
6  DEACON DOUGIE Jan18 Nov15 Aug12 Jul24 Jun24 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
MVR-8   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINSAULT         (rone penny)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of PINOTAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  OLLIE'S FOLLY Feb01 Jan02 Dec18 Nov30   (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 4.00 ★    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
3  WEEKEND RETREAT Feb01 Jan23 Dec18     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
4  EQUITY CAT Jan23         (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
5  GHOST OF LONDYN Jan02         (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
6  JODHPUR Sep05 Aug15 Jul06     (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LIL EGYPT by WAR CHANT)
7  SWAYBACK MOBIL Feb01 Jan23       (schuster robin)DIAZ I 122 10.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
8  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Jan08 Dec18 Oct28 Oct11   (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
9  C V DYNAMIC Feb01 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.