Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - February 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3/6)-(8/4/1/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/1/3)-(10/1/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/3)-(10/1/7/9/3)-(6/4/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-2   WIN (10/1/7/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/7/9/3)-(10/1/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/7/9/3)-(10/1/7/9/3)-(10/1/7/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/7/9/3)-(6/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/1/7/9/3)-(6/4/1/3)-(8/4/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-3   WIN (6/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/3)-(8/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/3)-(8/4/3/7)-(3/4/1/7/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (8/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/7)-(3/4/1/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/7)-(3/4/1/7/8)-(1/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (3/4/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/7/8)-(3/4/1/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/7/8)-(3/4/1/7/8)-(3/4/1/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/1/7/8)-(1/3/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/7/8)-(1/3/9)-(5/4/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-6   WIN (1/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/9)-(1/3/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/9)-(1/3/9/7)-(1/3/9/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/9)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9)-(5/4/3)-(9/7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-7   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(9/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(9/7/5/1)-(4/9/7/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-8   WIN (9/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/5/1)-(9/7/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/5/1)-(9/7/5/1/6)-(9/7/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/5/1)-(4/9/7/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-9   WIN (4/9/7/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/7/11/1)-(4/9/7/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/7/11/1)-(4/9/7/11/1)-(4/9/7/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTER LUCK Jan26 Dec21 Aug12     (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 9% 9.60    
2  SWAYBACK JACK Dec27 Dec06 Oct06 Sep23 Sep09 (nocero carmino)FELIX E 120 20.00    
3  DOUBLE DOUBLE Jan26 Jan05       (hernandez)CORREA L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  FLY BY NIGHT (NZ)         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  I FEELUCKY TONITE Jan04 Jul22       (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 6.00    
6  TORMENTA JERRY Dec27 Dec09 Sep25 Sep05   (davis christop)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 ★    
7  BROADWAY RED Dec29 Dec08 Nov09 Oct20   (delong ben)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00    
8  STUNNEM Nov18 Nov02 Oct11 Sep14 Aug26 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
9  RUMORS TO BLAME Jan04 Dec06 Nov10     (west w)CONNER TYLER 120 20.00    
10  SPYRO Jan04 Dec14       (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
 
TP-2   02/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLARA BELLE Jan18 Jan06 Dec08 Aug31 Aug11 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  CLASSY DREAM Jan06 Nov17 Oct16 Aug19 Jul18 (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 15.00    
3  BLUE NEITH Jan18 Dec15 Sep21 Aug24 Jul04 (watkins m)FELIX E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOO CROWDED Jan18 Oct15 Oct02 Aug30 Aug22 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 124 30.00    
5  RECOGNIZE ME Jan27 Dec27 Dec01 Nov02 Sep30 (bahena ismael)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
6  LUCKY SHORE Dec27 Dec15 Nov13 Oct26 Sep15 (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 124 20.00    
7  KIT CAN RUN Jan27 Sep30 Sep06 Aug17 Jul15 (gutierr)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 8% 11.20    
8  FREDERICIA Jan18 Dec15 Oct10 Sep20 Aug22 (klopp randy)PAULY SUMMER 114 6.00    
9  RIBALDRY (IRE) Jan06 Dec08 Nov15 Oct26 Sep02 (van th)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 4.50 7% 12.40    
10  LADY HAMILTON Jan27 Jan04 Dec21 Aug31 Jul09 (contreras cipr)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
TP-3   02/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTRA EXTRAORDINARY         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
2  FOURFIFTYSEVEN Jan10 Dec09 Oct30 Oct12   (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00    
3  SENSIBLE CHOICE Jan10 Nov07 Oct19 Sep27   (greenhi)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  VINO ROSATO Jan10 Nov29 Nov07     (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 18% 4.70    
5  SERENE WATERS Dec30 Nov11       (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
6  SAVANNAMARIE Jan10 Nov22 Oct27 Sep03 Jul22 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 116 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  WINDY WALK Jan03 Nov16 Oct19     (davis christop)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
 
TP-4   02/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVELOPING THE WAY Sep29 Sep02 Aug13 Jun16 May19 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50    
SCR  DEUS EX MACHINA Jan18 Dec30 Feb04 Jan20 Dec16 (garcia ge)CORREA L 125 8.00    
3  HASKELLED Jan24 Jan11 Dec15 Nov14 Nov02 (delacruz mej)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 8.00 10% 8.90    
4  MY FRIEND LOUIE Jan12 Dec29 Dec02     (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 127 6.00 15% 5.80    
5  BREAKOUT STAR Dec30 Nov14 Nov02 Oct10 Sep19 (paquett)DE CRUZ 125 10.00    
6  SOCIAL HISTORY Jan24 Dec21 Nov15 Oct28 Sep22 (danner doug)PAULY SUMMER 108 20.00    
7  SAILOR'S CHANCE Jan24 Dec30 Dec09 Sep12 Aug17 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 125 10.00 7% 12.40    
8  TIGER PAW (IRE) Jan24 Jan06 Dec01 Sep13 Sep02 (meah m)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
9  COTE D'IVOIRE Jan24 Dec29 Dec16 Jun09 May26 (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 5.00    
 
TP-5   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO HEARTED Sep28 Sep09 Jul16 Jun12 May23 (matejka pav)PETERSON FERRIN 118 5.00 10% 9.20    
2  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE Jan05 Dec15 Sep26 Sep08 Aug04 (nihei miche)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.50    
3  GATITA SUAVE Jan10 Nov29 Nov10 Oct15 Sep03 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  CASTELMOLA Jan10 Nov29 Sep21 Feb23 Jan04 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
5  GOGO GEISHA Dec20 Nov09 Jul06 Jun14 May22 (hernandez)CORREA L 124 12.00    
SCR  MARSANNE Jan05 Dec09 May11 Apr06 Mar04 (alessi james)LEON SONNY 124 30.00    
7  ARTISTIC LANEY Jan09 Nov14 Jul22 Jun29   (west m)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 6% 15.50    
8  FAIR FOLLY Jan13 Dec09 Jul07 Nov18 Oct29 (wilkes r)CARROLL DECLAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GREEN CHILE Jan10 Dec16 Dec01 Nov07 Oct23 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 6.00    
10  ZERO CLICK Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 Oct31 Oct06 (norris mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00    
11  KAIYAS SONG Jan05 Dec28 Nov20 Oct06 Jun03 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 30.00    
 
TP-6   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M SO NAUGHTY         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  BANSHEE MOON Dec30         (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00    
3  WAILUA         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
4  DELIGHTED (IRE) Dec27         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL SUMMER Jan03 Nov27 Oct16     (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
6  DAWN'S CREED Jan03 Sep27       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 5.00    
7  SHE'S SPLENDID Jan18 Dec16 Nov17 Sep07   (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 ★    
8  CRAZY STACKS Jan03         (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00    
9  PICCANTE Dec27 Nov17       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-7   02/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAURA'S CHARM Dec14 Nov16 Oct20 Sep24 Jul22 (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.00    
2  FRANGO ELECTRICO Jan25 Nov16 Oct20 Sep27 Sep07 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00    
3  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE Aug06 Jul14 Jun22 May28 May12 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWALL Nov26 Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 Jul22 (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  UP AND DOWN Jan11 Dec13 Nov05 Oct11 Sep10 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 1.60 39% 1.60    
6  PEACOCK LASS Dec27 Jul08 Jun02 May03 Apr07 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 123 1.80    
 
TP-8   02/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELECTROSTATIC Dec30 Dec08 Oct07 Mar12   (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MR. PETERKIN Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 Sep15 Aug20 (norris mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 8.00    
3  CHAMBERS BAY Jan11 Sep19 Aug28 Jul03 May18 (donjuan serg)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00    
4  PERFECT PAINTING Jan04 Dec07 Oct24 Sep20 Jul27 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 125 12.00    
5  P K WOOD Jan04 Dec01 Nov01 Sep27 Sep02 (bahena is)CORREA L 125 10.00 11% 8.40    
6  AFJAN Jan25 Oct21 Aug18 Jun07 May27 (noble james )MORALES JOSHUA 125 3.00 ★    
7  LIAM THE BRAVE Jan04 Dec20 Dec07 Nov19 Sep11 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 125 4.50 14% 6.30    
8  GHOST BIKE Jan24 Jan11 Dec30 Dec01 Oct17 (pasley alvi)PETERSON FERRIN 125 8.00    
9  GUNLEATHER AL Jan04 Dec01 Sep13 Aug16 Oct18 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
TP-9   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNWRAPPED Jan12 Dec09 Oct25 Sep24 Jul23 (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  TROY BOY Oct25 Sep27 Sep20 Sep09 Aug16 (coomer philip)CANUTO THIAGO 125 30.00    
3  RISKY CHOICE Jan11 Dec15 Aug31 Aug02 Jun16 (spicer james )LEAHEY HANNAH 125 20.00    
4  LUVLESSTWO         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 125 5.00 52% 0.90    
5  JAHEZ Jan25 Jan05 Sep16 Sep09 Sep02 (fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 125 10.00    
6  HILTON HEAD Jan12 Dec20 Nov14 Oct09 Sep18 (davis j)DE CRUZ 125 8.00    
7  NORBERT Jan26 Jan11 Dec15 Nov10 Oct18 (galindo-torr)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  REAL NAUGHTY Jan12 Dec16 Sep16 Aug31 May06 (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50    
9  TEXCOCO Jan26 Jan11 Dec15 Nov30 Nov11 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 115 5.00 17% 4.80    
10  PAPA D L Jan25 Nov09 Oct30 Sep28 Sep14 (meredith charl)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00    
11  CACTUS KEVIN Jan12 Dec16 Oct12 Sep11 Jul31 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
12  LEAD ACTOR Jan11 Dec15 Nov30 Jul06 Jun17 (quezada inocen)PAULY SUMMER 115 15.00    
13  MICROBEASTIE Dec13 Dec05 Oct27 Oct08   (noble james )MORALES JOSHUA 125 12.00    
SCR  NAK NAK BOLT Jun09 Aug18 Jul02 Jun23   (ruis sr)GARCIA MARTIN 125 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.