Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - January 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/3/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/3/8/5)-(4/6/11/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/5)-(4/6/11/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/5)-(4/6/11/1)-(8/9/4/11) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/6/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/11/1)-(4/6/11/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/11/1)-(4/6/11/10/1)-(4/6/11/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/11/1)-(8/9/4/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/11/1)-(8/9/4/11)-(6/7/9/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-4   WIN (8/9/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/11)-(8/9/4/1/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/11)-(8/9/4/1/11)-(8/9/4/1/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/4/11)-(6/7/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/11)-(6/7/9/2)-(2/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (6/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/2)-(6/7/9/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/2)-(6/7/9/8/2)-(6/7/9/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/9/2)-(2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/9/2)-(2/3/8)-(1/2/4/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/9/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/9/4/8)-(2/3/9/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(1/2/4/11/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8)-(1/2/4/11/3)-(7/8/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/2/4/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/11/3)-(1/2/4/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/11/3)-(1/2/4/11/3)-(1/2/4/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/4/11/3)-(7/8/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET MELODY Dec22 Dec01 Jul29 Jan29 Nov19 (williams k)ALBERT S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  IZE SMILING Dec21 Nov30 May01     (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
3  PLANTS AND BIRDS Aug04 Jul07 May20 Apr26 Mar03 (cuccia j)MURRAY M 120 4.50    
4  PRIZE DEBATE Jan04 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 Jul21 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 122 3.50    
5  CATHERINE BLAZE Jan04 Dec21 Oct18 Sep28 Sep07 (leonard geor)TORRES A 122 3.50    
6  LILY'S CREED Jan04 Jun11 May19 Apr27 Mar24 (scherer t)NAVAS YOEL 117 3.50 ★    
 
FG-2   01/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOORAY AUSTIN Jan01 Dec09 Nov07 Oct01 Jul30 (alfortish sean)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 47% 1.10    
2  BOULDERING Dec15 Nov18 Sep10 Aug12 Jul13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
3  JACK BOB AND LARRY Dec29 Nov21 Feb25 Dec22 Nov17 (johnson b)LANERIE J 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
4  COACH KENNY Jan04 Dec03 Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 (ducoing j)GRAHAM J 121 4.00    
5  RELENTLESS DANCER Jan01 Aug07 Jun11 May06 Mar25 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BIND FAITH Nov10 Oct18 Aug12 Jul07 May19 (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50    
7  MAGAWILDTIME Dec08 Nov23 Apr21 Jan18 Dec22 (cormier winston)MELANCON G 121 8.00    
8  DREWMAZING Jan05 Dec21 Nov30 Nov04 Oct14 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 6% 16.40    
 
FG-3   01/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TROUBLE         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  CATAPULTED Dec29         (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 12.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of C D'CAT by D'WILDCAT)
3  WEC KEAH         (stidham )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUPER BUGGY by GRAND SLAM)
4  TAMMY LYNN Nov11 Oct06 Sep02     (stall m)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  ALEXIS ROSE         (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HILLS OF BEVERLY by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  CLEAR VOICE Dec17 Oct29 Sep16     (devaux ch)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HEIDI MARIA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  MT. MASADA Jan01         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of SPEIGHT'S COMETE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  HAUNTRESS Dec31 Nov17 Oct19     (casse mark)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of VIOLENT LADY by VIOLENCE)
9  MOR MOR MUSIC Sep12         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
10  THIS MUST BE LOVE         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DISCERN by DISTANT VIEW)
11  TIPSY RUNNER Dec29 Nov17 Aug28 Aug04   (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STAND BACK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
12  WILLOWY Dec27 Nov25 Oct29 Sep27 Aug26 (catalano wa)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 30.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SHE'S ON PARADE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
13  HUB CITY Nov25         (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of KEIRA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  COLLIER Dec16 Nov01 Oct08 Sep14 Aug18 (borel rena)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 30.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of JUNGLE LANE by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
FG-4   01/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOINT VENTURE Dec15 Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep18 (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 125 5.00 ★    
2  PAPA FLEW BOMBERS Nov02 Oct07 Sep12 Aug21 Aug12 (husak gar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 12.00    
3  SOCIAL APPEAL Dec15 Dec03 Aug12 Jun24   (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 30.00    
4  PEARSE Dec29 Nov09 Oct09 Aug09 Jun24 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 3.50 7% 12.70    
5  ICE COLD JIMMY         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 20.00    
SCR  DATS TRUE LOVE Dec31 Oct29       (flint steve)MELANCON G 125 20.00    
7  FOE Dec31 Dec10 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 125 6.00    
8  SPOKEN CODE Dec22 Nov23 Sep19     (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 117 5.00 36% 1.80    
9  JOHNNNY'S GAME Dec31 Dec10 Jul22     (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 125 5.00 35% 1.90    
10  KOOPS Jul30 Sep22       (sharp joe)TORRES A 125 4.50    
11  BOLIVER Dec31 Dec03 May05 Apr23 Mar10 (duhon o)MCMAHON J 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-5   01/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN AT BETTY Dec07 Oct25 Sep02 Aug19 Jul10 (charles jonatha)MCMAHON J 120 30.00    
2  ZULTAN Dec20 Dec01 Oct19 Sep10 Aug04 (modica oscar)DEL-CID MARLON 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MILLARD'S SMILE Dec29 Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 Sep26 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 115 15.00    
SCR  PAYNT BATTLE Dec29 Dec01 Nov04 Oct14 Sep12 (zenon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
SCR  KINETIC SWAGGER Oct25 Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Jul16 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
6  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Dec29 Dec08 Nov17 Oct13 Aug26 (falcone rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 49% 1.00    
7  SUPER WISE Jan07 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 Sep03 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 13% 6.50    
8  NILES CHANNEL Dec29 Dec08 Nov17 Aug28 Jul19 (tracy tanner)CURTIS BEN 122 3.50 ★    
9  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 Oct24 Sep22 (cravens iii)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
10  BLURT Dec29 Oct31 Oct17 Sep30 Sep03 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 120 20.00    
11  CHAOSMOS Dec29 Dec02 Nov17 Nov03 Aug12 (richard russell )RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
12  OF THE MOMENT Dec29 Dec07 Oct21 Sep27 Oct23 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
 
FG-6   01/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPIRE'S CLASSIC Dec23 Nov25 Oct29     (calhoun w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
2  MIDNIGHT AVENGER Dec30         (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  B FIFTY TWO Dec14 Nov24       (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  SIR EXTON Dec23 Nov25 Oct26     (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 6.00 ★    
5  RUNAWAY JOKE Dec14 Nov22 Oct18 Sep07   (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00    
6  KINGSCOTE Dec14 Nov24       (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
7  COUNT DRACULA Dec23         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
8  RUNNIN MUNNIN Nov19 Oct18 Sep22     (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Jan12 Dec16       (camejo m)NAVAS YOEL 117 6.00 ★    
 
FG-7   01/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABERNAYDO Dec23 Nov18       (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of WIND SPUN by HARD SPUN)
2  OCEAN VICTORY Dec23 Nov25       (walsh bre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by ASTERN out of FORTRESS by RAHY)
3  SUGAR HOOK Dec23 Nov18       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UPPERCUT by DISCREET CAT)
4  ZVEREV Nov25 Oct12 Sep02     (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 14% 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BALANCE by THUNDER GULCH)
5  HAMILTON'S WAY Dec15 Nov11 Oct06 Sep01 Aug05 (handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GO NONI GO by GET STORMY)
6  ULTIMATE VALUE         (walsh p)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ENRICHMENT by FISCAL)
7  KING MENDELSSOHN Dec31 Dec02       (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 122 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CROWN ROYAL QUEEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  CELESTIAL JOY (GB)         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 122 10.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  HOPE JOE'S RIGHT Dec15 Nov12 Sep21     (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of TIZJET by TIZNOW)
10  MAX IS G MONEY Dec22 Nov25 Oct21 Sep12 Aug12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of CHEETAH by FRANKEL)
11  DONEGAL DREAMER Dec08 Aug20       (noel dane)PARKER L 122 20.00 7% 13.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
 
FG-8   01/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEST WARPATH Dec08 Nov17 Oct03 Aug02 Jul12 (ecoffey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
2  KAELY'S BROTHER Jan07 Oct02 Dec05 Oct27 Sep22 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
3  HOMEVIEW Jan07 Dec30 Dec08 Nov17 Jul29 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 12.00    
4  MARK THE MOOSE Dec08 Nov01 Sep13 Aug02 Jul12 (borel renay)CURTIS BEN 121 6.00 8% 11.70    
5  SUN SQUALL May13 Apr21 Mar03 Nov19 Oct28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00 6% 16.80    
6  SIERRA HOTEL Dec08 Nov17 Aug27 Aug03 Jul19 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 116 15.00    
7  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Dec30 Dec02 Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 (rodriguez hug)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 36% 1.80    
8  TWO DOT Dec30 Dec08 Nov18 Jul04 Jun18 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  VERB Nov23 Sep25 Aug16 Jul03 Jun12 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50    
SCR  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Jan04 Oct28 Oct07 Aug29 Jul29 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
11  COURAGEOUS TIMMY Dec30 Dec08 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.