Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - January 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/7)-(6/2/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/7)-(6/2/1/7/3)-(6/2/1/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/1/7)-(5/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/7)-(5/7/9)-(5/10/8/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/9)-(5/7/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/9)-(5/7/2/8/9)-(5/7/2/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/9)-(5/10/8/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9)-(5/10/8/2/7)-(4/8/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-3   WIN (5/10/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/8/2/7)-(5/10/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/8/2/7)-(5/10/8/2/7)-(5/10/8/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/8/2/7)-(4/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/10/8/2/7)-(4/8/3)-(2/8/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/3)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3)-(2/8/3/6)-(7/1/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/3/6)-(7/1/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/6)-(7/1/8/4)-(10/3/8/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (7/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/4)-(10/3/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/4)-(10/3/8/6/4)-(7/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-7   WIN (10/3/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/8/6/4)-(10/3/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/8/6/4)-(10/3/8/6/4)-(10/3/8/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/8/6/4)-(7/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE'S CREED Dec07 Jul29 Jul15 Feb12 Dec29 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50 11% 8.40    
2  RAMMER JAMMER Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  VORTEX (GB) Dec29 Dec03 May12 Mar11 Feb10 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 ★    
4  CHILI RED Dec17 Nov24 Oct20 Aug05 Jul14 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
5  COME ON COME ON Nov24 Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Dec09 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00    
6  MISTER MULDOON Oct14 Sep02 Jun18 May29 May04 (robertson )WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 4.00 31% 2.30    
7  MAGIC MONDAY Oct21 Jul13 Apr20 Oct30 Oct09 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 12.00 10% 9.00    
8  POINT AT YOU Nov15 Oct06 Sep29 Aug26   (claire alex)GUTIERREZ REYLU 114 8.00    
9  CARLOS PUNCH Dec21 Nov30 Sep05 Aug12 Jul31 (broussar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
 
FG-2   01/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHYBOY'S LILSIS Oct27 Aug28 Jul06 Jun16 May26 (senegal dalton )MCMAHON J 121 20.00    
2  LOYAL TO THE CHIEF Dec14 Aug20 Jul30 Jun26 Jun10 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50 ★    
3  MYDEALOFTHEDAY Dec21 Oct19 Jul27 Jun29 Apr20 (constantine caro)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00    
4  WHY WAIT Dec01 Jun10 May28 Feb02 Jan14 (dandridge cou)HERNANDEZ K 121 10.00    
5  WHAT CAN I SAY Dec17 Jul10 Jun12 Mar23 Feb10 (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50 60% 0.70    
6  CRYPTO BRAVE Dec01 Nov08 Oct19 Aug28 Aug12 (zenon shel)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
7  MACEE Dec10 Jul20 Jun08 May11 Apr27 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 14% 6.40    
8  HOT PATOOTIE Dec17 Dec01 Sep09 Jul15 May19 (ney john)RIQUELME J 121 6.00 ★    
9  TWN MS MIDSHIP Nov08 Oct19 Sep09 Jul01 May29 (ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   01/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVAMANI (FR) Dec29 Nov23 Nov01 Oct06 Aug31 (govea cesar)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00    
2  OPTIMUS KAT Dec08 Nov17 Oct13 Aug19 Jun24 (sharp joe)TORRES A 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
3  SILENT POWER Nov02 Aug03 Jul01 May27 Apr14 (gelner j)PARKER L 121 12.00    
4  HALEYS SAILOR Dec14 Nov23 Sep12 Aug19 Jul22 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
5  FREEDOM FACTOR Dec14 Sep11 Aug07 Jul23 Jun24 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00 22% 3.60    
6  MEN OF KYLE Dec17 Nov23 Aug19 Jul23 May22 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 12.00    
7  MALTHAEL Dec14 Dec01 Jun03 May01 Mar12 (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 5% 18.90    
8  TWOKO BAY Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 May29 Feb09 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  COASTAL WATERS Oct27 Oct06 Sep10 Aug03 Jul16 (lund valor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00    
10  LITTLE G T Dec08 Nov17 Aug24 Jul20 Nov22 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
11  MAU MAU (BRZ) Dec02 Sep15 Aug26 Jun22 Jun04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00    
 
FG-4   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVERENT Dec16 Nov30 Sep12 Aug28 Jul23 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  HARD FOUR Nov30 Jul22 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 (david s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
3  HOOSIER Dec21 Nov18 Nov04 Oct11 Aug10 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 10% 9.30    
4  DREWMAZING Dec21 Nov30 Nov04 Oct14 Jul14 (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  ORDER UP Dec21 Oct14 May26 May08 Aug03 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 121 10.00 ★    
6  SKIPPA Dec20 Nov04 Sep04 Aug13 Jul22 (fuseli)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
7  OLDER AND WISER Nov23 Aug10 Jun22 Apr14 Feb10 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 121 4.00    
8  F T W SLAM Nov30 Aug10 Jul22 Jun15 Mar02 (ducoing j)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 22% 3.40    
 
FG-5   01/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAPA JOJO Nov16 Feb10 Jan13 Dec16 Nov26 (guillory henry )MCMAHON J 125 10.00    
  (by JAFMIL out of PULPINIT by PULPIT)
2  ATHENS MOON Nov22 Sep30 Sep09 Jul07 May21 (stall m)LANERIE J 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of GASP by TINAJERO)
3  SAGITTARIUS Oct13         (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MORE CHOCOLATE by MALIBU MOON)
4  FREE RAMBLING MAN Dec17 Oct26 May27 Apr27 Mar23 (calhoun william )PARKER L 125 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of NAUGHTY LITTLE NUN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  BEAUMONT RED Dec15 Nov22 Nov01     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 10.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of SWANKY JAS by FLAT OUT)
6  REASON TO DREAM Oct08         (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 8.00 12% 7.40    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  BOLT FROM ABOVE Aug21 Jun10 May27 May10   (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 125 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON SQUEEZE by LEMON DROP KID)
8  MISSIONAIRE Sep30 Sep03 Apr27 Mar18 Jan28 (diodoro robe)TORRES A 125 4.50 20% 3.90    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DIVINITE by MR. SIDNEY)
9  ROCKSTAR RED Oct25 Aug23 Jul16 Jul02 Jun02 (johnston lan)MURRAY M 125 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DARING DUCHESS by ARCH)
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Nov09 Jun16 May21 Mar19 Feb11 (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
FG-6   01/05/2024 5490ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BARILEY Dec29 Dec16 Nov23 Oct13 Sep17 (leonard i)PARKER L 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  KEYS INCLUDED Dec08 Nov23 Sep02 Apr20 Mar22 (zeringue w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00    
3  ZAICI Dec14 Nov24 Aug10 Jul13 Jun24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00    
4  HOODLUM Dec14 Nov12 Feb25 Feb15 Jan21 (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 6% 16.70    
5  YES POINT Oct04 Sep02 Aug04 May25 Apr29 (mckeever a)ALBERT S 121 20.00    
6  BONUS APPRECIATION Dec16 Nov08 Oct18 Jul28 Jul15 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 6.00    
7  AND FIFTY Nov25 Jul20 Mar18 Feb21 Jan08 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
8  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Dec09 Nov17 Oct28 Oct04 Sep15 (cravens ronnie )COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
FG-7   01/05/2024 4950ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLLOW THE SAINT Nov18 Oct21 Jul29 Jun29 May21 (delany sarah)PARKER L 121 15.00    
2  SPEEDY DUDETTE Dec09 May08 Mar18 Feb26 Jan29 (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00    
3  A G'S CHARLOTTE Dec09 Nov17 Aug05 Jul08 Jun03 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 14% 5.90    
4  FORT POLK Dec09 Nov17 Aug05 Jun03 May21 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOR HARPER Dec01 Aug27 Jul22 Jun03 May04 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
6  SNOWBALL Nov04 Jul01 Jun03 May05 Apr12 (breaux sam)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 6% 15.60    
7  EVE'S DELIGHT Dec08 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul01 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 10.00    
8  WHOLELOTTAMO Dec09 Nov17 Oct06 Sep24 Aug05 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 121 5.00 11% 7.80    
9  CHEAPSKATE DIVA Dec09 Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 May04 (felks jose)MARQUEZ L 121 5.00    
10  STAR MOMENT Dec09 Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 May05 (calhoun william)LANERIE J 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
 
FG-8   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LACEY'S STAR Dec17 Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 Jun15 (avant ke)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUEENS RIOT Dec08 Aug21 Jul23     (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 125 20.00    
3  PINCHING PENNIES Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 Jun19 Jan26 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 4.50 ★    
4  SAINT MARY Nov24 Oct27 Jul20 Jun22 May26 (brinkman bre)TORRES A 125 8.00    
5  WAKE UP DOLORES Dec08 Nov08       (breaux sam)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 12.00    
6  MIA ANTONIA Dec09 Mar24 Mar09 Feb03 Jan13 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 3.50 ★    
7  LET'S TALK DIRTY Dec08 Sep04       (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 117 4.50 77% 0.30    
8  STRUMMIN MARY Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 Oct27 Jul22 (duke steven)LANERIE J 125 5.00    
9  HOT GOLDEN GIRL Dec29 May18 Apr29 Apr15 Mar24 (david b)NAVAS YOEL 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.