Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(4/6/5)-(4/2/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(4/2/7)-(4/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(4/3/1)-(3/4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/4/1/6)-(4/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/6)-(4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/6)-(4/3/2)-(1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(1/4/2)-(5/2/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/2/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/4)-(5/2/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/4)-(5/2/9/4)-(5/2/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE RICH KITTEN Oct21 Oct04 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 15% 5.80    
2  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Oct21 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Aug09 (romero jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 15.00    
3  WELLOILEDCAT Oct02 Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 Jul05 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
4  MANDOLIN BREEZE Oct21 Sep21 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50    
5  MY TWO JAKES Oct21 Oct04 Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 122 5.00    
6  DOLCE MARIE Oct21 Oct04       (urieta johann)BRACHO A 122 1.20 60% 0.70    
7  HALO EFFECT Oct21 Oct03 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   11/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL WEST Oct21 Sep28 Aug30 Aug17 Jul31 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 4.50    
2  RULING FRONT Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 Jun15 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 126 10.00    
3  BROADWAY JONES Oct21 Sep14 Jul28 Jul08 Jun30 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 126 4.00    
4  LAZARUS PROJECT Oct21 Sep26 Sep18 Sep05 Aug29 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 1.20 48% 1.10    
5  BIG FALCON ROCKET Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Sep12 Aug30 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00 9% 9.90    
6  REINSURE Jul06 Jun07 May20 May01 Mar27 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 5.00 15% 5.60    
 
MVR-3   11/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERO'S DAUGHTER Oct10 Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 Jul05 (loudin-)BRAVO MISAEL 119 8.00    
2  FLAXEN Oct16 Sep14 Mar23 Mar07 Feb06 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
3  SCOOP THERE IT IS Sep28 Sep19 Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.00    
4  MACHTENHAIRONFIRE Sep19 Sep10 Aug27 Jul18 Jun27 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
5  SKY Oct23 Sep20 Sep06 Aug07 Jul20 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00    
6  COURTED Oct23 Sep20 Aug29 Jul26 Jul17 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
7  YEGUITA QUEEN Oct24 Oct10 Sep28 Sep12 Aug31 (urieta joha)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 8% 11.00    
 
MVR-4   11/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD EYES Oct23 Sep28 Sep06 Aug16 Jul19 (salcedo )FERNANDEZ R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  SWEETER THAN HONEY Sep28 Sep22 Sep01 Aug23 Aug03 (figueroa ces)CRUZ JUAN 124 20.00    
3  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Oct02 Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 8% 11.70    
4  RATATAT Oct21 Sep21 Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 0.80 68% 0.50    
5  GIMME CLEARANCE Sep28 Sep01 Aug10 Aug03 Jun22 (silva fernan)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00    
6  LATE DATE Oct03 Sep22 Sep01 Aug09 Aug01 (lopez carlos)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   11/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOSH'N Oct21 Sep18 Aug31 Aug09 Jul19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 4.00 12% 7.30    
2  THE PINK Z Oct23 Sep06 Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
3  SURROUNDER Oct09 Sep13 Sep04 Aug07 Jul25 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  WILDCAT BILL Oct13 Sep19 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  ACCURATE Oct12 Sep28 Sep20 Aug14 Jul18 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
6  STUNT MAN Oct13 Sep04 Jul13 Jun24 May17 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 5% 17.30    
7  KEEPING SCORE Oct13 Sep19 Sep04 Aug12 Jul12 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
8  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Jul14 Jun14 Nov22 Nov07   (bennett r)CORREA L 124 8.00    
9  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Sep28 Aug29 Jul15 Jun07 May26 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   11/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO PLAYER Oct09 Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 Jul11 (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
2  MUCHO PRIMO Oct30 May16 Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BABA LOOEY Oct13 Sep04 Aug15 Jul18 Jun07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  THAT'S THE WAY Oct09 Jun07 May23 Mar21 Mar06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  PLATE IT UP Oct09 Sep27 Sep18 Sep07 Aug21 (tumblin and)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00    
6  JACK BE FAST Oct09 Sep27 Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 8.00    
7  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Oct12 Sep01 Aug12 Aug01 Jul15 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 3.50    
 
MVR-7   11/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S REDNECKER Sep28 Aug08 Jul18 Mar26 Feb25 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
2  OAXACA Aug26 Aug06 Jul07 Jun10 May12 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
3  EGG NOG Oct24 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Aug15 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00    
4  HARTFUL HOPE Sep22 Sep07 Aug10 Jul13 Jun18 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  BOURBONWITHGINGER May30 May02 Mar28 Feb14 Jan09 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
6  LEWD Oct10 Sep07 Aug29 Aug07 Jul20 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   11/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIV'EM THE BIZ Sep19 Aug28 Aug12 Jul12 Jun20 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 124 5.00    
2  LUCKY STREAK Oct03 Jul22 Jun24 May11 Apr26 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
3  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Sep03 Aug27 Jul15 Jun25 May28 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
4  ROCK ON KITTEN Oct10 Sep10 Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEY EUGENE Sep25 Aug23 Jul27 Jun24 May20 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  THE COACHMAN Jul04 Jun12 May31 May08 Apr26 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
7  SIMPLY VALID Oct06 Sep13 Aug15 Jul14 Jun23 (atala jose)HALDAR J 124 8.00    
8  PATIO PARTY Oct24 Sep26 Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 (galloway khadeem)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
9  FIRST SONG Oct24 Sep28 Aug26 Aug03 Jul06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.