Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - October 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (10/6/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/7/9)-(10/6/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/7/9)-(10/6/7/9)-(10/6/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6/7/9)-(1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/6/7/9)-(1/5/2)-(2/1/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(2/1/7/4)-(3/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/4)-(3/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/4)-(3/4/2/1)-(4/8/7/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-4   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(4/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(4/8/7/3)-(7/9/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/10/3)-(4/8/7/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/7/3)-(7/9/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/3)-(7/9/3/4)-(2/3/1/5/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (7/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/3/4)-(7/9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/3/4)-(7/9/3/4)-(7/9/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/3/4)-(2/3/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/3/4)-(2/3/1/5/8)-(3/9/1/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-7   WIN (2/3/1/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5/8)-(2/3/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5/8)-(2/3/1/5/8)-(2/3/1/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/1/5/8)-(3/9/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (3/9/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/1/2)-(3/9/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/1/2)-(3/9/1/2)-(3/9/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z ZS RED Oct05 Aug26 Aug15 Jul13 Jul06 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00    
CANT BE TOUCHED Jan01 Nov25 Nov03 Oct02 Sep18 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 123 20.00    
SCR  TRIBAL SPIRIT Oct07 Aug11 Jul18 May31 May18 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00    
SCR  ORNERY ANGEL Sep05 Aug12 Jul01 Jun13 May30 (randazzo f)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 30.00    
MISS LUV SHACK Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 Jul19 Jun27 (glyshaw t)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
GO STORMIN GIRL Sep26 Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 Jun22 (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 6.00 17% 4.90    
MAGIC BEAUTY Sep19 Jul20 May16 Apr25 Mar16 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
MS. THE LAW Oct03 Aug10 Jun20 May25 May10 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
QUIET DAWN Sep26 Sep14 Aug11 Aug01 Jun07 (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun07 (martinez a)PEREZ E 123 4.50 43% 1.30    
11  SKYLERVILLE Oct05 Sep18 Aug16 Jul15 May23 (klopp ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 2.50    
 
IND-2   10/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 2 F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN ANGEL Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 Aug21   (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 121 2.50 62% 0.60    
DESPEIGHTFUL Sep06 Aug19       (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
C C GRAND Sep25 Aug19       (lyster st)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.50    
LUCY THE GOOSE Sep28 Aug19       (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 15.00    
CHANNAH DEL MAR Sep28 Sep08 Aug19     (patrick ga)MORALES JOSHUA 118 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  POP CHART Sep28 Sep11       (hernandez re)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 5.00    
LUNA DIVA Sep07 Jul06       (duran antonio)MOJICA O 118 20.00    
GREEN CHILE Sep28 May19 Apr13     (hancock a)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00    
SWEET ENCHANTMENT Sep28         (hernandez r)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 20.00    
 
IND-3   10/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARGENT HULKA Oct04 Sep06 Jul13 Jun24 Jun13 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.80 23% 3.30    
  (by DOWSING out of BECAUSES by COLONIAL COLONY)
ORA CERTA Oct09         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of NOSSA VEZ by WAR CHANT)
CHARMING VICTORY Oct04 Sep06 Aug17 Aug10 Nov17 (holden j)RAMOS D 119 30.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of CHARMED FER SURE by ECKELSON)
MOTION TO ADJOURN Sep19 Sep11 Jul07 Jun21 May25 (raper ron)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of EXPLOSIVE DISCO by EXPLOSIVE TRUTH)
SUNDAY TRYST Aug17 Jul20 Jun24     (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of WEEKEND TRYST by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
REVS MEDAL Oct09 Oct02 Sep11 Aug05 Jul13 (phillips ter)MORALES JOSHUA 122 12.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of SWEET REVEILLE by SUAVE)
MONUMENTALJUSTICE Oct12 Sep27 Jun21 May30   (medina )DE CRUZ 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SHELTOWEE'S GOLD by DIALED IN)
SCR  SPEEDBAYOU Aug19 Aug04 Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 122 30.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of WILD RITZY by OFFLEE WILD)
PAIGE PERFECT Oct09 Sep19 Sep07 Aug30 Aug05 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 125 8.00    
  (by PERFECT CIRCLE out of PAIGES PEBBLE by STALWART)
10  IMPLODING Oct09 Sep07 May30 May09 Oct31 (paye jose)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of ACCESSORIZING by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  BUCKLE UP Oct09 Aug30 Aug05 Jul20 Jun13 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SMART KIT by KITALPHA)
SCR  CARNACK ON TOUR Sep16 Aug31 Aug17 Aug02 Jul06 (douglas)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
  (by CARNACKS CHOICE out of CARLY ON TOUR by TOUR D'OR)
 
IND-4   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT WEST Sep30 Sep14 Aug28 Aug02 Jun14 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
PHANTOM RIDE Sep25 Aug15 Jul09 Jun10 Mar26 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
GUNOE Sep11 Jul06 May08 Mar17 Jul31 (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
ETHEREAL ROAD Sep25 Nov04 Oct20 Sep24 Sep03 (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
C F V BULLET Sep25 Jun27 Jan06 Dec09 Nov22 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 123 6.00    
YONO Sep27 Sep10 Aug10 Jul22 May12 (hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00    
IMPULSIVENESS Oct10 Sep30 Aug30 Jul08 Jun14 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 125 15.00    
STIRDATPOT Jul22 Jul06 Apr29 Jun19   (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 123 6.00    
 
IND-5   10/23/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAVU Dec18         (devaux cheri)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
RUTH OF JUDAH Aug13 Jul26       (roussel l)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
FLOR DE GRAY Jun22         (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of FUNKY FLOWER by STRYKER)
OCEAN SPIRIT (GB) Aug18 Nov04       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SPARKLING SURF by FRANKEL (GB))
CRIMALDI May14 Mar16 Feb16 Nov18   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 125 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
LILY'S HOME Sep26 Aug28 Mar09 Feb23 Feb11 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SNOWDUST by THE FACTOR)
NGALA Apr15 Apr01 Mar18     (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00 6% 14.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ANNUITY by FLATTER)
RUBY TAP Sep27 Aug01 Jun29 May20   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 31% 2.30    
  (by TAPIT out of MAJESTIC JEWEL by CINDAGO)
SCR  WARWOMAN Sep13 Oct15 Sep17 Aug06 Jul02 (torres c)RODRIGUEZ A 125 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LITTLE RIVER by EXCHANGE RATE)
10  THE PRINCESS SAYS Sep23 Jul31 Jun02 May14 Apr12 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of NAKED EMPRESS by FREUD)
SCR  EMPIRES PRINCESS Sep07         (stewart d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
12  PRINCESS BRITNI         (nations keith)PRESCOTT R 122 12.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of BLUESVILLE by BRING THE HEAT)
SCR  ARMY GIRL Oct05 Sep14 May20     (wisner trace)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SHEZA ROUNDER by STAR DABBLER)
SCR  ELEGANT MOVES Aug26 Aug11       (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of GOLDEN WIN DREAMS by PHILADREAM)
 
IND-6   10/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKE'S CYCLONE Oct12 Sep06 Aug08     (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 122 15.00    
  (by BIG BAD MIKE out of TORNADA by HIGH FLY)
SCR  NO MANCHES Oct03 Jul21 Jun06 May15   (wittek karyn)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 5.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of CASH ME OUSSIDE by PORTOBELLO ROAD)
IT'S LAST CALL Sep06 Aug15 Aug08 Jun20   (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of EILA by BENNY THE BULL)
FIREBALL JUSTICE Oct04 Sep25 Sep06     (klopp randy)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
JIMMY JUNGA Sep06         (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SMART STUFF by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
CONCENTRATION Sep08 Aug31 Aug19 Jul14   (hammond kim)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of THREE SPOKES by DAAHER)
MOPED MO Oct12 Sep19       (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 122 1.00 64% 0.60    
  (by MO TOWN out of MIDNIGHT HOOK by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  JUSTHAPPYTOBEHERE Oct04 Sep25 Aug15     (hammond kim)ELLIOTT JANE 122 10.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of WHISTLIN' JEAN by PURE PRIZE)
HADLEY'S MAX Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 Jul21   (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 12.00 7% 14.40    
  (by TAPITURE out of HARD TO GET EVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
10  SHIESTY TO CHASE Oct03         (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of EXCEDERE by SHAKESPEARE)
 
IND-7   10/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRIL'S GEM Sep28 Sep18 Sep03 Aug23 Jul30 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 8% 11.10    
FIRESIDE KITTEN Jul15 Jun13 May06 Mar31 Mar17 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
MIZZEN ASH Oct07 Sep03 Aug23 Jul27 Jun21 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.50 18% 4.60    
NORA'S STAR Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 Jun20 May17 (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
KICK OUT THE JAMS Oct07 Aug18 Aug05 Jul15 Jun10 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 8.00 8% 11.20    
DAISY BEE Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 Jul05 May20 (sweezey kent)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00    
GET N TIPSY Oct11 Sep21 Jul30 Jul15 May18 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 20.00    
WITH THIS VOW Sep01 Jul20 Jun16 Feb07 Oct30 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FAT AND FURIOUS Sep02 Jul30 Jul13 Jul01 Jun11 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 122 15.00    
10  AZAMANA EMPIRE Sep23 Sep01 Aug11 Jul11 Jun27 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 8.00    
11  WAY TOO SMARTE Sep03 Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
SCR  STORMY WAGER Sep14 Aug19 Jul21 Jun15 May22 (maker m)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
SCR  MISS GOODBAR Oct07 Sep27 Sep07 Aug15 Jul26 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 119 5.00    
SCR  BACKYARD HEN Oct07 Sep27 Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 (ales)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00    
 
IND-8   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR CHAOS Oct04 Sep13 Aug05 Jul05 Jun07 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
ONE FOR RICHIE Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 Jul06 Jun01 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON HEIST Sep29 Jul21 Jun22 May14 Apr28 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  COYOTE ROAD Oct02 Aug16 Jun22 May05 Apr11 (hernandez)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
PICKLE FEET Oct09 May03 Dec31 Nov22 Jun22 (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 122 30.00    
SCR  MAQAMAT Oct09 Sep14 Aug09 Mar30 Mar15 (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00    
TRASHTALKINYANKEE Oct02 May22 Jan01 Nov09 Oct10 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
INSOLITO Sep26 Sep07 Aug04 Jul06 May21 (estvanko )BERMUDEZ E 125 15.00    
RETAINED Sep20 Aug10 Jun22 May19 Apr18 (morey w)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
10  DON'T WAIT UP Aug17 Jul07 Jun18 Jun01 May08 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
SCR  LATIGO Oct04 Aug03 Jul05 May15 Apr19 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 119 4.50    
12  BRESLAU Oct01 Aug20 Jun27 May29 Apr22 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.