Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Sunday - July 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (8/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/1/4)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/4)-(3/1/6)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(2/3/5)-(6/1/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(6/1/3/7)-(5/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-4   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/7)-(5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/7)-(5/3/1)-(6/4/5/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/4/5/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/4/5/7/3)-(8/2/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-6   WIN (6/4/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/7/3)-(6/4/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/7/3)-(6/4/5/7/3)-(6/4/5/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/5/7/3)-(8/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/7/3)-(8/2/5/6)-(8/6/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-7   WIN (8/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/6)-(8/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/6)-(8/2/5/6)-(8/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/5/6)-(8/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5/6)-(8/6/4/7)-(8/3/1/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-8   WIN (8/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/4/7)-(8/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-9   WIN (8/3/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/4/6)-(8/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/4/6)-(8/3/1/4/6)-(8/3/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   07/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERCHANGER         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 11% 8.10    
2  SHAKIN THE BELLE Jun04 May27       (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
3  WISECRAKEN Dec01 Oct23 Sep25     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
4  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Jun04 May14 Apr02 Sep29 Sep15 (paragallo je)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROCKSTAR RED Jun02 May07 Mar18 Jan21   (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
6  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY Jun04 May11 Apr15     (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00    
7  STEADY SCHEMING Jun04 May11 Apr13     (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
8  COLLECT FROM IKE May26 Apr14       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
BEL-2   07/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FIRST LOVE Jun01 May04 Apr13 Mar05 Jan22 (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
2  AMANDA'S FOLLY May20 May04 Apr27 Apr08 Mar12 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
3  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Jun01 May11 Apr13 Mar31 Feb18 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
4  MIA BEA STAR Jun01 May04 Apr21 Apr02 Mar12 (persaud rand)TORRES A 117 6.00    
5  VALLARAND Jun22 Jun02 May18 Apr13 Feb17 (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
6  SWEET MYSTERY May04 Apr21 Dec29 Dec01 Oct30 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
BEL-3   07/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Perfect Sting Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOMER LIST (FR) Jun03 Oct29 Aug25 Jul14 Jun03 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EQUIVOCAL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) Oct08 Aug27 Jul16 May21 Apr16 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.00 64% 0.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SEALIFE by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
3  HAUGHTY May06 Aug20 Jul09 Jun03   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 10% 9.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SOARING EMOTIONS by KINGMAMBO)
4  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Jun18 Jun03 May19 Dec30 Nov25 (bedard alan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of MISS DOLAN'S ROSE by JUDGE T C)
5  EVVIE JETS May07 Apr16 Nov20 Oct22 Sep24 (kantarmaci m)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
BEL-4   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNA LOCA May20 Apr28 Mar17 Feb19 Jan06 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 12% 7.40    
2  GIRL AFRAID Jan22 Jan04 Dec17 Nov19 Nov02 (kintz matth)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
3  TRIBAL QUEEN Jun04 Jan20 Dec03 Oct27 Aug07 (dutrow anthony )DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 10% 9.20    
4  BABY SOX Jun03 May12 Mar19 Jan13 Nov27 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
5  FANCY AZTECA Apr27 Apr07 Mar18 Feb02 Jan22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
6  CANDY CARAMEL Jun03 Apr21 Mar11 Feb10 Jan14 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  VAX May20 Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 Nov27 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 8% 12.00    
 
BEL-5   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNHOLY May21         (asmussen st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 8% 12.10    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of CLEARLY CHEATING by BROKEN VOW)
2  SHE SLAYS         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ESPIRITU by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  SHOTGUN PATSY         (mott willia)MARTINEZ R 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of FREUD'S NOTEBOOK by FREUD)
4  BE BEST May05 Mar11       (terranova jo)TORRES A 114 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVELY ISLE by DOUBLE HONOR)
5  SOUFFLE (GB) Jun03 Sep17 Jul28     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by ZAFONIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  LADY FORTUNA         (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of SOLAR VORTEX by ORB)
SCR  ISLAND ROSE         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of REAL CLEVER TRICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
BEL-6   07/02/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVISION Jun15 Mar31 Mar24 Dec30 Nov11 (lynch natalia)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
SCR  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Jun18 May06 Mar26 Feb26 Feb04 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 118 5.00    
2  WHISTLER'S HONOR Jul15 May30       (abreu r)ORTIZ L 125 4.50    
3  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Jun09 May19 Apr13 Nov26 Oct29 (friedman mitch)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  KING OF COMEDY Jun10 May14 Nov11 Sep23 Aug10 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 9% 10.50    
5  BARREL OF QUESTS Jun10 May19 Apr08 Sep04 Aug17 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLEAR CONSCIENCE Jun10 Apr14 Nov11     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
7  SELL SOMETHING Jun10 May14 Apr16 Nov26 Oct29 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT Jun10 May19 Apr13 Mar17 Jan08 (ryerson james )PRAT FLAVIEN 125 12.00    
9  BLAME IT ON DADDY Jun09 Oct30 Sep29 Sep05 Aug11 (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS May29 Dec17 Oct30 Sep29 Aug26 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
 
BEL-7   07/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY INVASION May28 Apr14 Mar12 Feb26 Feb02 (schettin)DAVIS A 125 6.00    
2  BERNT AGAIN May28 May06 Feb12 Jan14 Nov26 (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
3  SUSIE'S SAVER Jun17 May19 May12 Apr23 Apr02 (paragallo je)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 20.00    
4  DIVINE WINE Jun11 May12 Apr02 Mar12 Jan28 (rodriguez gus)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50    
5  SNOW LOVES A FIGHT May28 Apr28 Mar23 Jul14 May28 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 8% 11.70    
6  ROSEMARY POTATOES May18 Apr28 Nov17 Nov06 Sep22 (arenas marc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAIRONI Jun03 Apr08 Jan28 Jan07 Nov18 (miceli michael)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
8  SISTER NELL Apr21 Mar23 Mar02 Jan20 Dec04 (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 123 5.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  DOLCE SERA Jun01 May20 Apr28 Mar31 Feb24 (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50    
SCR  CARBON Jun16 May20 May04 Apr02 Feb09 (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 123 1.60    
 
BEL-8   07/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST IN ROME Jun15 May27 May13 Apr27 Apr01 (younghans willi)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50    
2  ALFIO Jun10 May16 Apr26 Apr05 Mar06 (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
3  FLAMINGO HAWK May19 Mar26 Nov12 Sep21 Aug18 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
4  FIRST DEPUTY Jun03 Apr30 Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 (begg james )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 6% 15.00    
SCR  RISK PROFILE Jun24 May19 Apr20 Mar12 Feb09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
6  RAGTIME BLUES May13 Apr20 Mar25 Feb12 Dec04 (rodriguez gus)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
7  DURKIN'S CALL May04 Apr07 Mar25 Feb17 Jan21 (baker charlt)TORRES A 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  NO MORE TALK Jun03 May26 May15 Apr28 Apr15 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
BEL-9   07/02/2023 6600ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETTLING STORM Jun03 Mar19       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 14% 6.20    
  (by TONALIST out of STORM TIDE by STORM CAT)
2  TRES CHIC (ARG) May27         (mcpeek kenn)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00    
  (by SEAHENGE out of TACANUYA by SOUTHERN HALO)
3  WARDEYA May03 Feb12       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by TAPIT out of SABLAH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  JET CITY WOMAN Apr20 Mar04 Feb04     (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SAUCY JADE by ROCK HARD TEN)
5  GEOMETRIQUE Jun03 May14 Apr20 Jan15 Dec11 (ribaudo robe)TORRES A 119 20.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of EQUILATERAL by ARCH)
6  HIGH STICK Jun10 May14 Aug18 Jul06   (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of MONEY MY HONEY by RED BULLET)
7  WAY TOO EARLY May07 Mar23 Feb19 Jan08 Nov20 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VERDURA by SMART STRIKE)
8  TAWARET Apr28 Mar19       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TAPAS by SKY CLASSIC)
9  LIBRETTO (IRE) Jun03 May07 Mar04 Nov20 Sep18 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LOPERA by MONSUN (GER))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.