Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BEL-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/1)-(2/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BEL-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/4/3)-(5/4/6/2/9) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
BEL-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(5/4/6/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(5/4/6/2/9)-(8/4/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-4   WIN (5/4/6/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2/9)-(5/4/6/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2/9)-(5/4/6/2/9)-(5/4/6/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/6/2/9)-(8/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/2/9)-(8/4/5/7)-(5/4/1/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-5   WIN (8/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/7)-(5/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/7)-(5/4/1/8)-(1/9/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BEL-6   WIN (5/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/8)-(1/9/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/8)-(1/9/6/5)-(9/3/8/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-7   WIN (1/9/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/6/5)-(1/9/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/6/5)-(1/9/6/5)-(1/9/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/6/5)-(9/3/8/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/6/5)-(9/3/8/1/5)-(8/1/7/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
BEL-8   WIN (9/3/8/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/8/1/5)-(9/3/8/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/8/1/5)-(9/3/8/1/5)-(9/3/8/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/8/1/5)-(8/1/7/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
BEL-9   WIN (8/1/7/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/5/3)-(8/1/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/5/3)-(8/1/7/5/3)-(8/1/7/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL AT MIDNIGHT         (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 8.00 9% 9.60    
  (by UNIFIED out of PINATA CAT by TIZNOW)
ILIKEFUNSIZE         (farrior anthon)ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
  (by UPSTART out of FRENCH SADIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
JUST THE OAKS Jun02 May11 May04     (chapman jame)TORRES A 114 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SENSIBLE GAL by STREET SENSE)
WINE ON TAP         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 0.80 45% 1.20    
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS LA QUINTA by QUALITY ROAD)
LOOKS FIRST         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 16% 5.10    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SPINNING LOOKS by HARD SPUN)
 
BEL-2   06/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERONICA GREENE May07 Apr08 Nov13 Sep18 Jul23 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 17% 4.80    
I'M BUZZY May07 Apr16 Mar11 Feb25 Jan29 (englehart ch)TORRES A 117 30.00    
PLEASANT PASSAGE Apr08 Nov04 Oct01 Aug21   (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 116 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  BY ALL MEANS (IRE) May07         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 11% 7.70    
CUPID'S STRIKE Oct20 Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 Jun25 (farrior anthon)ORTIZ L 122 12.00    
FOR THE FLAG Apr23 Mar12       (toner j)FRANCO MANUEL 126 5.00    
SCR  DANCING SOPHIA May26 Mar26 Feb24 Jan13 Dec10 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.60    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY May26 Apr30 Apr21 Mar12 Feb12 (barrera oscar )ORTIZ L 126 1.40    
 
BEL-3   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER QUALITY Apr28 Apr15 Mar10 Mar05 Jan29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
MIDNIGHT WORKER May13 Apr29 Apr13 Mar26 Mar04 (chichakly am)TORRES A 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
MERCHANTS OF COOL May28 Oct23 Oct13 Mar19 Jan09 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 20.00 9% 10.70    
NORGAY May21 May13 Apr20 Apr01 Mar17 (barrera osca)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50 23% 3.40    
MINISTERIAL Apr20 Feb24 Dec30 Oct13 Aug19 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 126 1.40    
PRINCE OF JOY May21 Apr28 Apr15 Mar05 Feb10 (legall r)DAVIS A 126 12.00    
 
BEL-4   06/18/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENT CONTROL May13 Jan20 Dec27 Nov12 Oct09 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
WAFLR May13         (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 13% 6.70    
ACADEMY CHOICE May13 Apr23       (begg bent)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
TIE BREAKER May19 Apr23 Apr07 Mar17 Feb17 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
BRENNAN'S WAR May19 Jan08 Nov18 Oct07 Jul31 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
VAUNTED May19         (ryerson jame)TORRES A 113 6.00 15% 5.70    
FORTY ONE TALES Mar04         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SUBVERSIVE May19         (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
THATSMYBOXER         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 12% 7.40    
10  IMPULSIVE SPENDING May19 Apr16 Apr07 Mar11   (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 12.00    
11  A LISTER Nov06 Oct07 Sep24 May06 Apr22 (pringle ed)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 20.00    
12  MILAGROSO May19 Apr23 Feb11 Jan21 Dec11 (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 30.00    
SCR  KERN RIVER May20         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  KID EMERALD May29 Oct21 Sep23     (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
SCR  ONE FOR MY BROTHER Jun01 Apr26       (donk david)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE MARTY May05 Apr07 Nov13 Sep29 Sep05 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.00    
 
BEL-5   06/18/2023 4620ft TURF RC11 FIRM New York Stallion Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINCE THE PRINCE Jun01 May06 Apr14 Jul27   (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIPLING'S JOY by KIPLING)
SCR  POWER ATTACK May13 Oct09 Sep17 Jul30 Jul08 (sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STREET MAGIC by STREET HERO)
TEN CENT TOWN Apr22 Mar17 Jul29 Jun24   (morey william)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of HELEONOR RUGBY by TRIBAL RULE)
VACATION DANCE May20 Apr27 Dec17 Nov05 Oct09 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of MATINEE EXPRESS by ZENSATIONAL)
GEM MINT TEN May14 Apr07 Feb26 Jan26   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 12% 7.20    
  (by LAOBAN out of DIXIE GEM by ROBYN DANCER)
RAMBLIN' WRECK Dec17 Nov26 Oct02 Sep16 Aug11 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of DAKOTA KID by CONFIDE)
ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA May06 Apr07 Nov26 Sep23 Aug10 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of LADYWELL COURT by POWERSCOURT (GB))
TWENTY SIX BLACK May13 Apr07 Jul27     (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BRAZO DE ORO by FIRST DUDE)
THETHRILLOFVICTORY Jun03 May06 Oct27 Sep16 Aug19 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BIG THRILL by BIG DRAMA)
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS May29 Dec17 Oct30 Sep29 Aug26 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of QUEEN OF THE NIGHT by SADLER'S WELLS)
SCR  WILLINTORISKITALL Jun11 May05       (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
  (by SUPERESTRELLA out of STOP THE SPENDING by POMEROY)
 
BEL-6   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIXWILLBERICH Feb24 Dec10 Nov06     (morley thoma)TORRES A 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
STEADY PROGRESS May19 Apr29 Apr21 Apr15 Mar31 (chatterpaul nai)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SHARPOON May19 Apr01 Dec09 Nov25 Sep30 (fisher lin)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 30.00    
OLD POINT May19 Apr21 Mar31 Mar12 Feb25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 13% 6.70    
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE May06 Mar26 Feb26 Feb04   (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60 63% 0.60    
UNION TAP Apr15 Mar18       (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
GLOBALIZATION Jun04         (summers )DAVIS A 118 15.00    
MISTER MOORE May27 Apr16 Mar10     (lerman roy )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BEL-7   06/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOME FOR CHRISTMAS May26 Apr27 Nov18 Sep25 Aug14 (clement christo)DAVIS KATIE 124 1.60 54% 0.80    
SCR  CHASING DAYLIGHT May19 Apr13 Jun24     (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60    
JUST A NYQUIST May28 May04 Mar26 Mar12 Feb24 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 15.00    
SYNONYMOUS May12 Apr23 Feb20 Feb05 Jan13 (pregman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 12.00    
MORE MANGO May28 May12 Apr27 Mar17 Feb12 (ferraro jame)TORRES A 119 15.00    
RACING COLORS Jun04 May11 Apr23 Mar30 Feb20 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
CROWDING OUT May12 Mar11 Feb09 Dec15 Sep25 (walder peter )ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
REDZILLA May18 May04 Apr01 Mar22 Mar04 (paragall)DAVIS A 126 20.00    
SCR  RAFFINITY Apr23 Mar30 Mar17 Feb20 Jan13 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00    
STELLA MARS Apr28 Nov17 Oct20 Sep05 Jul29 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
BEL-8   06/18/2023 4620ft TURF RC11 FIRM New York Stallion Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED MOON May21 Apr08 Mar14     (morey willia)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 6% 15.50    
  (by REDESDALE out of DUBAI MOON by MALIBU MOON)
DREAM ON CARA Jun01 Apr23 Apr06 Mar18 Jan19 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
MIDTOWN LIGHTS May29 Apr23 Mar17 Feb17 Dec17 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of MIZ MIDTOWN by EXCHANGE RATE)
JOEYBIGNOSE May18 Apr16 Apr02 Feb26 Jan20 (lynch natali)TORRES A 118 20.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of ENTRUSTMENT by FORESTRY)
MAGGIE T May04 Apr28 Mar12 Feb02 Jan06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESTIN out of WE KEPT HER by VICTORY GALLOP)
BEA BEA KAZ May19 Jan20 Nov30     (synnefias d)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of BEA BEA by CITY ZIP)
CAMP AKEELA May14 Apr14 Mar11 Feb26 Feb09 (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TREE CHOPPER by WOODMAN)
LES BON TEMPS May29 Apr23 Mar24 Feb19 Dec17 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 8% 11.80    
  (by LAOBAN out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
STOLEN FUTURE May14 Apr08 Mar05     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 49% 1.00    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of SUGAR BOSS by STREET BOSS)
10  MZ BIG BUCKS May04 Apr08       (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of FRIVOLOUS BUCK by CATIENUS)
11  LITTLE LINZEE Apr23 Mar24 Jan22 Dec17 Oct30 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of GEE LINZ by FROST GIANT)
 
BEL-9   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALIBI IKE Apr26 Feb03 Jul22 Apr13   (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
RUNAWAY ROAD Apr08 Feb16       (walder peter)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SWAY'SINMYDNA May26 May14 Apr29 Apr21 Mar11 (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND AGAIN Apr29 Apr01 Mar05 Feb25 Jan19 (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
ALPHA SONNY         (ferraro james )BROWN DALTON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
WEALLLIKEDHIM May14 Apr21 Mar31 Mar10 Dec29 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 30.00    
BOLD HONOR May19 Apr29 Apr01 Feb25   (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 11% 8.40    
HOOEY May05 Apr16       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
BRASS MONKEY Apr21 Apr01 Mar05 Feb12   (klesa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.