Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - May 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/3/1) 9 $2.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(7/3/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/2/6)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/6)-(1/5/4)-(1/2/4) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(1/5/4/8/9)-(7/3/9/2) 40 $2.00 $80.00 
MNR-7   WIN (1/5/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/8/9)-(1/5/4/8/9) 20 $2.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/8/9)-(1/4/5/8/9)-(1/4/5/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/5/4/8/9)-(7/3/9/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/3/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/9/2)-(7/3/9/2/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (7/3/9/2)-(7/3/9/2/8)-(7/3/9/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIGHT MISS Apr13 Mar10 Mar02 Dec03 Nov09 (shanley timot)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00 6% 15.20    
2  LUCKYWISE Mar13 Feb20 Dec28 Nov22 Nov01 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
3  SPEEDY FIRE Apr30 Apr05 Mar27 Mar13 Jan24 (spiess m)VEGA L 120 6.00 ★    
4  DAYS REMEMBERED Apr10 Feb27 Feb01 Jan19 Dec31 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.60 48% 1.10    
5  TERRIFIC LADY Mar27 Mar13 Dec05 Nov06 Oct17 (robillard juli)DIAZ I 120 5.00    
6  THATS ALL SHEWROTE Apr30 Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 Feb01 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.80 16% 5.20    
7  SPORT PALACE Dec05 Nov09 Oct17 Sep14 Sep05 (barker james)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
 
MNR-2   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRYTON'S D J Jan12 Dec12 Nov27 Nov01 Sep28 (gerich frank)WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
2  EMJAY Dec14 Dec06 Oct25 Oct16 Aug24 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 16% 5.50    
3  WELLMAN Apr15 Feb21 Jan17 Dec17 Oct28 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
4  POTENTIAL GRIZZLY Jan19 Dec14 Nov27 Mar11 Feb17 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 8.00    
5  WAR NOVEL Apr15 Mar28 Mar08 Feb08 Jul07 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 4.50    
6  LEAD OFF Mar07 Feb11 Jan24 Sep27 Sep13 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 15% 5.70    
7  WICKED CHANCE Mar21 Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec06 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
MNR-3   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERSEAS LETTER Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 May18 Apr23 (eidsch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  BRAVE HILARIO Mar11 Feb11 Feb03 Jan27 Dec31 (stansbury j)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00    
3  SUMMER BOSS Sep08 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jun23 (fiesman l)WHITACRE B 120 4.50    
4  SHEA D CAPTURE Apr15 Apr03 Feb16 Jan23 Jan04 (gotera juan )TERRAZA GERMAN 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOLDEN OAK Feb16 Jan23 Jan12 Dec14 Dec06 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 18.10    
6  CATCHING MAGIC Apr03 Mar06 Feb16 Dec09 Dec01 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 0.80    
 
MNR-4   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRAGRANT Dec11 Oct18 Sep25 Aug07 Jun23 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 1.20 42% 1.40    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of FLATTERMEWITHROSES by FLATTER)
2  SUFFICE Mar12 Oct10 Sep08     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.40 31% 2.30    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUSTAINABLE by SOCIETY MAX)
3  LUNA MIA Apr13 Feb06 Dec07     (montano wilf)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of ULTRA EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  NOGRATZ Apr05 Mar08 Aug26 Aug11 Jul22 (fiesman r)CORREA L 123 8.00 6% 17.10    
  (by CONGRATS out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
5  HEAVENLY SMILE Aug24 Aug02 Jun22     (ewell sr)DIAZ I 116 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PURE SMILES by PURE PRIZE)
6  STRAIGHT TO GO Apr05 Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Nov09 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of FLARING by TWO STEP SALSA)
 
MNR-5   05/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESCAPE VELOCITY Mar13 Nov23 Nov17 Oct26 Oct04 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  HEZA HANDFUL Apr04 Jan03 Nov28 Oct10 Aug22 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.50    
3  DON'T POKE THE CAT Feb08 Jan02 Nov28 Nov02 Oct24 (murillo rod)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  ENJOY BASEBALL Apr15 Apr03 Mar27 Mar13 Feb08 (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
5  PONT DU GARD Jan17 Dec07 Nov27 Sep18 Sep06 (mcdonald )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00    
6  POCO CHARLIE Apr13 Mar16 Feb24 Jan08 Oct22 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  HIERRO Mar01 Dec30 Dec07 Nov11 Oct15 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 ★    
8  FULCO Mar18 Feb09 Jan11 Nov28 Oct24 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 8.00    
 
MNR-6   05/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTUNA ADIUVAT Nov21 Oct19 Sep26 Aug21 Jul24 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  HEIDI T Mar14 Feb28 Feb14 Jan27 Dec03 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50    
3  ICE FLOE Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 Oct03 Sep19 (robillard juli)DIAZ I 120 8.00    
4  DEL MAR FLASH Apr15 Apr01 Mar13 Feb11 Jan06 (silva pablo)RIVERA R 120 1.40    
SCR  HURRICANE DIRECTOR Apr15 Mar18 Jan12 Dec12 Nov30 (mcgil)MONSERRATE A 120 10.00 6% 16.70    
6  CHARM WEAVER May01 Mar23 Jan13 Dec02 Nov03 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
 
MNR-7   05/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUESTION AUTHORITY Apr12 Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 Jan16 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 4.50 30% 2.40    
2  BLUEBANK Apr11 Dec27 Dec12 Dec06 Nov09 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 20.00    
SCR  MISTER RANSOM May02 Dec11 Dec05 Nov29 Oct11 (meals lois)VEGA L 120 12.00    
4  COLAVITO Mar09 Nov28 Nov14 Oct19 Oct12 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
5  PALACE PRINCE Apr01 Mar13 Mar04 Jan31 Jan18 (silva pablo)RIVERA R 120 8.00 11% 7.80    
6  KNOWN May02 Feb04 Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
7  PERFETTO Apr15 Mar14 Feb22 Feb02 Jan17 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 1.40    
8  KITCHI Jan09 Dec28 Dec11 Nov28 Nov14 (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 8.00 6% 15.50    
9  HARD N'SWEET Apr15 Apr03 Mar09 Feb22 Feb02 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00 6% 16.30    
 
MNR-8   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED VALENTINE Jan30 Jan18 Dec11 Nov28 Nov15 (mcdonald willi)JURADO EDDIE 120 20.00    
2  LOVE RAN RED Apr20 Mar31 Aug12 Jul02 Jun05 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 8% 12.10    
3  SHAMAN'S PRODIGY Apr01 Mar05 Feb21 Feb14 Jan26 (silva pablo)VIGIL NOEL 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  PEACH BELLINI Apr06 Feb09 Jan30 Jan03 Dec05 (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
5  SWEET TOOTSIE LU Apr27 Dec11 Nov28 Nov15 Oct31 (jackson d)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
6  CODAS HONOR Mar30 Feb16 Feb04 Jan19 Dec10 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
7  SWEET VALERIA Apr30 Mar14 Feb27 Feb01 Jan21 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
8  HALOFIED May02 Apr10 Mar28 Mar14 Feb23 (iniri)MONSERRATE A 120 8.00 ★    
9  LATER DAYS Apr12 Mar25 Feb25 Feb06 Jan04 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 8% 11.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.