Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - April 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(2/3/6)-(1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(1)-(5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/5/6/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1)-(5/8/6)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6)-(4/6)-(6/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(6/1/2)-(6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(6)-(6/4/8/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/8/5/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6)-(6/4/8/1/7) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/4/8/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/1/7)-(1/6/4/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/1/7)-(1/6/4/8/7)-(1/6/4/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLIMMERGLASS Feb07 Jan04 Dec19 Dec06 Nov07 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
LADY JASPER Mar21 Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 Aug01 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00    
SCR  APPEALING SENORITA Apr10 Mar23 Mar06 Feb23 Feb07 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 11% 7.80    
MIDNIGHT IN OHIO Jul05         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
SEEKING THE MONEY Mar20 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
CUE THE BAND Dec27 Nov17 Oct29 Sep26 Sep08 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
MARGARITA CINCO Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 Dec27 Nov28 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-2   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLEET RUN Mar15 Feb18 Jan25 Jan12   (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00    
LORD OF LEGENDS Apr11 Mar20 Feb04 Jan15 Nov10 (buhrow jamie )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
PEANUTS PERFECTION Jun28 May30 Mar02 Jan12   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.50 27% 2.60    
SEMINOLE JUSTICE Feb27 Jan30 Jan18 Jan03 Dec15 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00    
DUEL FUEL Apr13 Mar23 Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 (romero oscar)TORREALBA JG 118 5.00    
BIG TRIP Feb09 Jan11 Dec15 Sep05 Aug17 (brown t)RIVERA R 123 8.00 8% 12.30    
DERBYS MONEYMAKER Dec12 Nov29 Nov16 Nov08 Sep27 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00    
 
TDN-3   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Mar09 Nov07       (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 118 1.80 69% 0.40    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
MISS MARY JEAN Mar27 Mar09       (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
GHOSTLY REVIVAL Mar16 Mar09 Feb14     (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
CANELA FINA Feb06 Dec27 Dec13     (dubie k)PILARES P 119 12.00    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
TITEBLUEJEANS Apr06 Mar27 Mar09 Feb15 Jan26 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of RANSOM BRIDE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
MISS IRISH ZIP Apr06 Dec19       (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
  (by MARLIN PASS out of IRISH JAY by POLITICAL FORCE)
MY TWO JAKES Apr06 Mar16 Oct10 Sep14 Aug24 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
TDN-4   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIERRA DIAMOND Mar02 Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 Nov19 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
SCR  LIBERTY BELLE Apr13 Feb28 Feb06 Jan28 Dec21 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
SHELLEY'S GEM Feb02 Jan09 Dec08 Nov30 Oct25 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
RADIANTRITHYM Mar02 Feb08 Jan28 Jan09 Nov09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
BLUSHING BETTY Feb08 Dec19 Dec08 Nov03 Oct10 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
PRINCESS HALIME Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Jan11 Dec22 (yoder susan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIVINE MARTHA Mar28 Mar15 Nov01 Oct19 Sep25 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
RENO TOUCH Feb28 Jan04 Dec19 Nov19 Oct25 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
TDN-5   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYBEE STINGS Mar16 Feb15 Jan26     (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of LAVENDER PATCH by ARTIE SCHILLER)
BOLD NICKY Mar27 Mar16 Mar09 Nov21 Nov07 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
MERE BAG OF SHELLS Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 2.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MORANT BAY by BADGE OF SILVER)
EMERALD EYES         (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
WAY OF THE WORLD Oct29 Aug31       (gorham robert )TORREALBA JG 114 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of GREELEY'S WORLD by MR. GREELEY)
FABULOUS CLOWN Apr06 Mar27 Mar06 Jul05 Jun22 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 1.80 24% 3.10    
  (by BIONDETTI out of JACKIEOSOFABULOUS by KAHUNA JACK)
SCR  BEAUTIFULLBLACKSKY         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by GRITTANI out of PISTOLANNIE by NOON PROSPECT)
 
TDN-6   04/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PAINT THE TOWN Mar30 Feb16 Sep06     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  THAT'S THE WAY Mar21 Mar06 Sep28 Aug12 Jul28 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 2.50    
GIV'EM THE BIZ Apr03 Jan05 Dec06 Nov07 Oct13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 8% 12.10    
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Jan26 Dec29 Nov30 Nov14 Oct29 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 3.00    
CATMAN JACK Apr03 Dec14 Dec01 Nov22 Oct14 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00    
TWINSPIREDJOEY Apr03 Mar21 Feb27 Jan26 Jan12 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 12.00    
WOLFINE Oct10 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug13 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
TDN-7   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSIC GEM Apr12 Mar29 Mar06 Feb23 Feb08 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of AL'S BRIDE by ALCINDOR)
STRIKING AGAIN Aug10 Jul28 Jun29     (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 15.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
MY HOMBRE Mar13 Jun29 Jun14     (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
ATILANO'S THUNDER Apr12 Dec07 Nov09 Oct05 Sep19 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 20.00    
  (by MAGNIFICENT MAX (GB) out of TIZ OUR DREAM by TIZNOW)
BIG TIME FLIRT Mar29 Mar13 Jan24 Dec22 Nov29 (erdel john)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 12.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
NOSEY POWER Apr12 Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 Jan24 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 23% 3.30    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
WHY KENNY WHY Mar06 Feb14 Jan12     (casalinova tina)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
SOL OF VAQUERO Apr12 Feb08 Jul28     (campbell antho)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
SCR  OHIO RIVER Feb14 Jan12 Dec29     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DOLL DREAMS by HENNY HUGHES)
10  TRANSPIRED Apr12 Mar29 Jan26 Dec29 Dec14 (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 20.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of BACK FOR DINNER by PUT IT BACK)
 
TDN-8   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOODOOISM Mar22 Mar09 Feb27 Sep06 Aug22 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 6% 14.40    
1A  VAVITE Feb27 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 Nov28 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
V K PRINCESS Apr10 Jan24 Jan02 Dec14 Oct21 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 8.00    
STORMY BELLA Jan02 Dec14 Oct31 Sep13 Aug02 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.50    
UNDERCOVER LADY Mar13 Feb22 Dec30 Nov20 Oct17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 28% 2.60    
HOPS PETUNIA Apr10 Feb20 Jan30 Jan09 Dec28 (castillo jabdi)TORREALBA JG 114 12.00    
TURBIE Mar18 Mar02 Feb01 Jan15 Nov29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
LELAWALA Apr05 Mar23 Mar13 Feb20 Jan19 (poole c)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MARIMBA Apr10 Mar27 Feb27 Feb14 Jan30 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 10% 9.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.