Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - April 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(5/1/3)-(2/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(2/1/6)-(6/2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(6/2/5/1)-(3/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(3/1/2)-(5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(8/2)-(4/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/1/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/1/6/7)-(8/2/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2)-(4/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/9)-(4/9/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9)-(4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MLLE. MUNNINGS         (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00 11% 7.90    
2  WICKED REESE Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 Jan16 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
3  BONNIE'S BEST Mar08 Feb20 Jan16 Dec30 Dec15 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 8.00    
4  LADYBUGGIN Mar16 Mar08 Feb20 Sep20   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
5  OHIO LADY Mar16 Mar08 Feb15 Jan16   (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00    
6  AUGMENTING ASSETS Mar30 Jan24 Dec08 Nov23 Nov16 (rome)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 8.00 11% 8.30    
 
MVR-2   04/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN JOURNEY Mar27 Mar16 Feb08 Jan28 Jan05 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  NOT A WILD BRAT Mar27 Feb08 Dec01 Oct31 Sep26 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
3  DYNA'S HOLIDAY Mar16 Feb27 Jan16 Apr05 Feb16 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
4  SARAH JANE Mar16 Feb16 Jan16 Dec13 Oct11 (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.50    
5  SWEET EMPIRE Apr04 Mar16 Feb08 Jan26 Jan16 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 2.50 28% 2.50    
6  BISCAYNE BAY Mar27 Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 Dec05 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 4.00    
 
MVR-3   04/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KREWE CHIEF Mar28 Mar09 Feb22 Jan23 Dec11 (reed r)RIVERA R 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  KADESH Feb27 Jan31 Jul19 Jun20 May31 (reed larr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 4.00    
2  AUGER Mar22 Mar01 Feb01 Jan16 Dec28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 31% 2.30    
3  QUESTION AUTHORITY Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 Jan16 Jan02 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 6.00 ★    
4  THE DRAKE Jan24 Jan05 Dec14 Nov15 Oct12 (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
5  LAUDA SPEED Mar23 Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 Jan10 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00    
6  CHACO SPIRIT Mar22 Feb20 Jan30 Jan03 Dec13 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 126 2.50 13% 6.60    
7  MY BROTHER CAM Mar14 Mar01 Feb07 Jan19 Dec31 (ray ke)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLICKSNEAKYANDFAST Mar07 Oct31 Sep20 Aug03 May18 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
2  BIZZY GIRL Nov01 Sep02 Aug10     (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 117 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  GOSHEN Mar24 Mar11 Jan23 Dec31 Dec07 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 117 3.50    
4  CALLMEMARTHAJANE Mar28 Mar07 Dec30 Nov26 Sep03 (wong j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
5  ENCHANTEDLY Feb07 Dec29 Nov28 Mar24 Feb16 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
6  PROTOMAGIC Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 Feb01 Jan05 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 25% 2.90    
7  WILDCAT DREAM Mar23 Mar07 Feb07 Jan19 Nov16 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 126 12.00    
 
MVR-5   04/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DANES HEART Mar29 Mar13 Feb16 Jan09 Jun29 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 5.00 18% 4.70    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of HOPEFUL HEART by LOST SOLDIER)
SCR  DANES DANDY         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 ★    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of COSI FAN TUTTE by KRIS KIN)
2  VEGAS PLAYER         (poole m)BIRT BRAXON 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
3  PLAYING FOR KEEPS Oct11 Sep23       (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 114 1.20 52% 0.90    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
4  NOSEY POWER Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 ★    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
5  MUSIC GEM Mar29 Mar06 Feb23 Feb08 Jan04 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 119 15.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of AL'S BRIDE by ALCINDOR)
SCR  MOUNTAIN OF IRON         (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THABAZIMBI out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
7  TRANSPIRED Mar29 Jan26 Dec29 Dec14   (tumblin a)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 12.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of BACK FOR DINNER by PUT IT BACK)
8  SOL OF VAQUERO Feb08 Jul28       (campbell )BRICENO M 126 20.00    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
SCR  BIRD GONE WEST Feb23 Jan24       (west m)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of PAHLMUHREE by GONE WEST)
10  SOMETHING ON TAP Mar21 Mar06 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 (doering mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 6.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
11  ATILANO'S THUNDER Dec07 Nov09 Oct05 Sep19 Jul28 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 20.00    
  (by MAGNIFICENT MAX (GB) out of TIZ OUR DREAM by TIZNOW)
 
MVR-6   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARFAIT Oct29 Sep23 Aug26 Jul25 Jul04 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 2.50 14% 5.90    
2  ABIGAIL LEE Jun29 May26 May04 Apr12 Jan05 (waltermire br)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  ANGEL WINGS Feb15 Jan17 Dec15 Nov16 Oct31 (flores israel)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
4  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Apr04 Feb16 Dec21 Nov08 Oct10 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★    
5  SONNET Mar15 Oct18 Sep27 Jul13 May10 (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Mar23 Mar02 Feb15 Jan31 Dec20 (huffman canda)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 5.00    
7  NICEASAKITTENSEYES Mar23 Feb28 Feb06 Jan19 Dec30 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-7   04/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMANRASSETT Apr03 Mar16 Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 ★    
2  GARRETT Mar13 Feb22 Jan11 Dec12 Nov23 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  WELLER ROGUE Mar30 Mar06 Feb04 Jan21 Dec18 (sullivan elli)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
4  TO WIN Apr04 Mar02 Feb07 Jan11 Dec29 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
5  BOLD VICTORY Feb26 Jan29 Jan05 Dec02 Nov12 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
6  SILENCE Oct29 Sep14 Aug18 Jul28 Jun25 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 8.00 ★    
7  WEEKENDER Mar20 Jan11 Dec21 Dec01 Aug23 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00 ★    
8  WILD OX Mar13 Feb13 Dec21 Dec01 Nov01 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 124 4.50 34% 2.00    
9  NOT SO EASY Mar24 Feb18 Feb01 Jan06 Dec16 (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTROLLER Oct29 Sep26 Jul11     (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 2.50 ★    
1A  HIDDEN ACCESS Dec30 Nov30 Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 2.50    
2  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 Jan12 Dec14 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
SCR  ANIMO ROBERTO Mar29 Mar14 Jan24 Jan09 Dec29 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 112 10.00 ★    
4  BRONZE KETTLE Mar02 Feb14       (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 117 3.00 39% 1.50    
5  INDY CARR Mar29 Mar13 Feb23 Feb14 Aug18 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 ★    
6  MARCH MAGIC Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 Jul11 Jun29 (brow)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 4.50    
7  MIXTER JENSEN Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 Jan26 Dec19 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
8  SWEET JILL'S JACK Jan26 Jan12 Dec14 Oct24 Sep29 (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
9  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Mar14 Feb27 Jan12 Dec30 Nov14 (radosevich jake )RIVERA R 117 8.00 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.