Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - February 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(4/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(4/9/6)-(1/5/10) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TP-2   WIN (4/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/6)-(4/9/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/6)-(4/9/6/5/8)-(4/9/6/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/9/6)-(1/5/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/9/6)-(1/5/10)-(9/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TP-3   WIN (1/5/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/10)-(1/5/10/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/10)-(1/5/10/2)-(1/5/10/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/10)-(9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/10)-(9/3)-(2/12) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-4   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/3/5/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3)-(9/3/5/11)-(9/3/5/11) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/3)-(2/12) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (9/3)-(2/12)-(2/1/12/8/10) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TP-5   WIN (2/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/12)-(2/12/10/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/12)-(2/12/10/6)-(2/12/10/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/12)-(2/1/12/8/10) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/12)-(2/1/12/8/10)-(3/9/2/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/1/12/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/12/8/10)-(2/1/12/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/12/8/10)-(2/1/12/8/10)-(2/1/12/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/12/8/10)-(3/9/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/12/8/10)-(3/9/2/1)-(2/3/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (3/9/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/1)-(3/9/2/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/1)-(3/9/2/1/7)-(3/9/2/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/2/1)-(2/3/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-8   WIN (2/3/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/12)-(2/3/12/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/12)-(2/3/12/11)-(2/3/12/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THISPOINTINTIME Jan11 Dec19 Dec02 Nov03 Oct22 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00 10% 9.00    
KOBE BEACH Jan11 Dec28 Oct04 Sep16 Sep01 (rodriquez regul)MOJICA JR 120 12.00    
THREE MILE LIMIT Dec14 Nov19 Nov06 Oct16 Sep30 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 5.00    
SCR  FUTURE VISION Dec18 Dec04 Nov12 Oct16 Oct07 (jua)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
TAPIT SAM Dec30 Dec10 Nov27 Nov12 Oct09 (reavis )DE CRUZ 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
FAST ROY May27 Apr29 Apr08 Mar23   (short thomas)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
ANGUSONIC Nov30 Oct16 Aug31 Aug07 Jun27 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 4.50 13% 6.90    
EVEN MONEY Dec28 Nov23 Nov16 Oct06 Sep20 (sanchez j)HISBY RONALD 120 20.00    
MASTER LEA Jan12 Dec17 Oct26 Sep27 Aug30 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00    
SCR  TRIPLE CHROME Dec30 Dec07 Nov26 Oct23 Oct02 (vanden britt)FELIX E 120 3.50 35% 1.80    
11  OVER PROTECTIVE Jan19 Jan06 Dec28 Dec02 Sep09 (kinmon keit)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 10.00    
12  WE THANK YOU Dec28 Dec07 Nov11 Oct04 Sep23 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
13  PRESTONSBIRD Jan11 Nov06 Oct12 Sep28 Sep06 (richardson )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
14  CONGRATS FOR GLORY Jan19 Dec28 Dec07 Oct04 Aug16 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
 
TP-2   02/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KIMBERLEY DREAM Nov27 Oct31 Oct09 Sep28 Sep12 (winston d)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
WATERS OF MEROM Jan25 Dec14 Nov25 Nov16 Nov03 (vasquez germ)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
FORGLO Jan14 Jan04 Dec17 Dec03 Nov15 (brownfield claude)FELIX E 120 12.00    
QUARTERFLASH Jan20 Dec28 Dec16 Nov22 Oct10 (girten tim)RAMOS D 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
LOOKIN TO FLY Jan04 Dec11 Oct13 Sep05 Aug12 (morey willia)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50    
ADDISON Jan13 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 15.00 12% 7.40    
FASHION DIVA Dec17 Nov15 Oct12 Sep15 Jul19 (greenhill je)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Dec31 Nov13 Sep24 Sep12 Aug06 (reavis )DE CRUZ 120 4.50    
COMPLETE Jan04 Dec17 Dec03 Nov23 Nov01 (cook jason)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
10  SAFE TRAVELS Jan14 Dec31 Oct28 Oct02 Sep05 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 115 5.00    
 
TP-3   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYCOMB Dec15 Oct17 Sep16 Aug12 Jun22 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 3.00 33% 2.10    
BODIEFUL Dec30 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 Sep26 (wittek karyn)CANNON DECLAN 125 5.00    
CORTADO Dec28 Dec02 Nov11 Apr24 Apr16 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 12.00    
SLENDER BETSY Dec30 Dec02 Oct13 Sep29 Sep20 (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 125 12.00    
QUEEN IN THE NORTH Jan06 Sep26 Aug18 Jul11 Jun01 (girten tim)RAMOS D 125 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  CARMEL SUNRISE Dec29 Dec04 Nov06 Oct01   (reed r)MCKEE J 118 15.00    
SHE'S A KEEPER Dec30 Dec15       (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 125 15.00    
THIS IS ANFIELD Dec30 Oct12       (wells duane)LEBRON VICTOR 118 15.00    
MARLAND         (anderso)DE CRUZ 125 12.00    
10  LADY LIVERMORE Dec30 May24       (pitts helen)ELLIOTT JANE 125 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
TP-4   02/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE SIMBA Jan12 Aug01       (howard john)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
SHARP AZ NAILS Jan07 Dec09 Nov11 Sep13   (winebaugh ch)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00    
GO BERTI         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
HENDRIX Jan07 Dec09 Nov11 Oct14   (grubbs l)FELIX E 120 10.00    
OCEAN POINTE Jan01 Dec11 Sep30 Sep08   (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 120 12.00    
SCR  PAYNTED BLUE Jan06 Nov17       (blair j)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
GO FOR IT Jan12 Dec30 Nov17 Nov09 Sep26 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00    
SCR  RISKY CHOICE Jan05 Nov16 Aug09 Jul15   (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 113 50.00    
MAGNIFICENT MILE Dec11 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
10  LIFE AND LIGHT Jan12 Dec11 Oct27     (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
11  WASHINGTON'S UNION Jan13 Dec16 Oct28     (sims matt)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  NIKOLAS ARTHUR Jan08 Nov09       (van tho)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
13  CONNECT ME Jan05 Dec02 Nov09 Oct22 Sep22 (estvanko ri)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00    
 
TP-5   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT NOIR         (sanchez j)HISBY RONALD 120 15.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of CANTHANDLETHETRUTH by BERNSTEIN)
MONT MERCOU Jan06         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 13% 6.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SLEWFOUNDMONEY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
BEAU DAY Oct30 Oct09       (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of BEAUDACIOUS LADY by BEAU GENIUS)
STORMIN MIDNIGHT         (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of LUCY DE by DECARCHY)
RED FIVE         (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by ASTERN out of SIBILANT by STREET SENSE)
KING OF KENTUCKY         (o'neill doug)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ROYAL ANCESTRY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BOOK OF KELLS Jan06 Jun26 May29 May04   (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of HIT GIRL by FIRST SAMURAI)
ALIBI IKE Jul22 Apr13       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DRAGIC by BROKEN VOW)
MISTER KITTY         (wong jo)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
10  BRAZEN BOY Dec29 Nov24 Oct30     (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of WHAT A SASSY GAL by MINESHAFT)
11  JAKES CHANNEL Dec30         (rednour joh)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SETTLING IN by GREEN DESERT)
12  HE GOTS TO GO Dec22         (waltz brian)FELIX E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TRIZELLE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  RETAINED Jan07 Dec09 Oct14 Sep11 Aug06 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 1.80 61% 0.60    
  (by BAYERN out of RARITIES by CITY ZIP)
SCR  HAIL ALLEN Jan06         (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
TP-6   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAGON DREW Jan18 Jan04 Dec17 Dec08 Oct20 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
TUFFER THAN TUFF Jan14 Nov21 Nov02 Oct25 Oct06 (hammond )RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  WILLYMAR Jan19 Jan11 Dec22 Dec14 Nov28 (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 108 30.00    
HIDING THE BRICK Jan02 Dec14 Dec05 Nov07 Oct23 (short t)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
SCR  RAF Jan18 Dec21 Jul19 Jun24 Jun11 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA O 120 30.00    
KEEN ON YOU Jan12 Dec14 Dec01 Oct18 Sep27 (cundiff waylo)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  VIOLENT GIGI Dec10 Nov27 Nov14 Sep21 Aug04 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50    
THE BOSS FACTOR Jan04 Nov13 Oct30 Oct21 Sep24 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 8% 11.10    
REUX (GB) Jan27 Jan11 Dec16 Sep30 Sep17 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
10  FRISCO LINE Jan18 Dec16 Nov27 Oct28 Oct09 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 12.00 6% 15.70    
11  EL BOHEMIO Jan04 Nov21 Oct23 Oct07 Sep30 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 120 30.00    
12  TWO WORLDS Jan07 Dec17 Oct28 Sep20 Sep06 (vanden britt)FELIX E 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
13  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Dec14 Nov20 Nov13 Oct22 Oct02 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 120 20.00    
14  DANANG Jan14 Nov21 Nov09 Oct20 Sep08 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
 
TP-7   02/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PEABODY Jan11 Dec03 Nov12 Oct16 Sep01 (newton tro)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 7% 12.70    
FRIGID LADY Jan12 Nov19 Oct22 Sep18 Aug26 (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
CAPELLA Dec29         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  GONNA CUT IT Jan12 Dec14 Nov17 Jun29 Jun08 (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00    
PROUVER Dec14 Oct13 Sep04     (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 20.00    
WILLOW BEND Nov27 Oct28 Sep23 Aug13   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
RISING HEAT Jan01         (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
KATIE GOT LUCKY Dec14 Oct28 Sep07 Aug23   (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 122 20.00    
NOM DE PLUME Dec11         (lobo h)RAMOS D 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
TP-8   02/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORT LOWELL Jan13 Dec02 Oct26 Oct05 Jun11 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 124 20.00    
MORE THAN WORK Dec31 Dec03 Feb19 Jan22   (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
MICROPHONE (IRE) Oct21 Aug28 Jun16 Apr15 Feb27 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 10.00 16% 5.40    
MALIBU MIKE Jan13 Dec16 Oct08 Aug10 Jul19 (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00    
SCR  MILITARY FORCE Jan21 Dec31 Nov10 Oct10 Mar26 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
TWO BIRDS Jan20 Dec15 Nov06 Oct12 Sep11 (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 6.00    
JR'S GIFT Jan20 Dec29 Oct27 Oct12 Aug26 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 15.00    
DOG RED Dec28 Nov23       (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
BOX OFFICE WARRIOR Jan20 Dec09 Nov10 Oct26 Oct06 (dyer john)FELIX E 124 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY CAMPER Jan14 Dec14 Nov19 Nov04 May07 (manley steve)MOJICA O 124 20.00    
11  GRAPHIC DETAIL Dec29 Dec02 Apr02 Feb05 Jan01 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50    
12  FORREST CITY Dec21 Dec08       (klopp ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 20.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  ON THIN ICE Dec30 Dec03 Nov06 Mar05 Jan07 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
14  AMERICAN ICON Jan27 Dec31 Dec14 Nov27 Nov16 (vasquez germ)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.