Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - December 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLETE Nov23 Nov01 Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 (hammond ki)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 ★    
2  RUNAWAY MOM Oct21 Aug28 Jul22 Jul08 May25 (kinmon keit)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 20.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY NELLIE Nov09 Oct09 Sep20 Sep01 Aug18 (bends p)MOJICA JR 121 15.00    
4  CONUNDRUM QUEEN Oct21 Sep10 Aug21 Jun25 May06 (d'angelo )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.50 ★    
5  LA TOURISTA Nov24 Nov06 Oct09 Aug28 Aug06 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00    
6  LETSGOANDGETTHEDO Sep18 Jun22 Jun01 Mar24 Feb24 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 5.00 11% 8.20    
7  FORGLO Nov15 Oct10 Sep29 Sep13 Aug18 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 121 8.00 ★    
8  BERTRADA Nov01 Oct19 Oct10 Sep01 Aug18 (helmbrecht w)HALDAR J 121 10.00    
9  KANFU Nov11 Oct16 Sep24 Aug29 Jun27 (granitz)DE CRUZ 121 3.50 66% 0.50    
 
TP-2   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAN FLINTSTONE Nov11 Oct01 Aug26 Jul15 Jun25 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 121 4.00 9% 9.80    
2  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Oct25 Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 10.00 7% 13.70    
3  ARTIE'S LADY Nov10 Jun11       (schwarm lou)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
4  WILDCARD PRADO Nov16 Oct27 Sep26 Sep09 Aug31 (richard)DE CRUZ 121 10.00    
5  CLEAR FOR ACTION Oct12 Aug02 Apr01 Mar05 Jan02 (fletcher we)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00 14% 6.20    
6  CAN'T HIDE FROM ME Nov16 Oct12 Sep13 Aug19 Jul15 (stinson wi)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50 11% 8.30    
7  MARKITOFF Sep28 Aug19 Jul15 May16 May04 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00    
8  HE TAKES CHARGE Nov16 Oct27 Sep26 Aug31 Aug02 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 6.00    
9  COUNT FROST Nov02 Sep28 Sep05 Aug03 Jul05 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
10  BLESS THE KITTEN Nov12 Oct13 Sep02 Aug17 Aug05 (grubbs jamie )LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
11  LORD REVELSTOKE Nov09 Oct12 Sep23 Aug17 Jun27 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 121 10.00    
 
TP-3   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORIARTY Nov20 Oct21 Sep27 Aug23 Aug14 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
2  QUEEN TAPITURE Nov20 Nov06 Oct05 Sep02 Aug23 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00 14% 5.90    
3  TESHIMA Oct30         (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00    
4  PEACEFUL MOMENT Nov06 Oct13 Sep24     (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  GAMBI Nov06 Oct11       (alessi james)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00    
6  KILMOREY         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 15.00 6% 15.50    
7  CEE MINUS Sep26 Sep07       (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 6.00    
8  WRITTEN CONSENT         (ewing michael )ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00 6% 15.50    
9  BIG PHILLY         (cowans wi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  JAYLA Sep05 Aug15 Jun28     (lovell miche)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00    
 
TP-4   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIALED INNA Nov08 Oct20 Sep13 Sep02 Aug16 (alessi james)TERRAZA GERMAN 111 30.00    
2  SOPHISTICATED Nov02 Aug23 Jul29 Jul08 Jun01 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 116 20.00    
3  BOURBON GYPSY Nov05 Aug29 Aug20 Jun18 Apr30 (buckley )RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00    
4  BLUE LILY Sep13 Jul19 Jun13 Mar26 Feb19 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 10.00    
5  DECREE OF LOVE Nov08 Oct24 Sep13     (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  FIST FULL OF DICE Nov06 Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 Jul17 (combs bentley)ROCCO S 121 4.00 8% 11.70    
7  ABITIBI Oct28 Sep23 Jan08     (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 12% 7.10    
8  AUNT RUTH Sep22 Sep08 Aug31 Jul21 Jul12 (foster )DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
9  SPLIT DECISION Nov08 Oct11 Aug31 Jul07 Jun09 (ewing a)MOJICA JR 118 15.00    
10  SILVER SEA Oct29 Sep10 Jul09 May25 Feb12 (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
11  BIA BOLT RUNNER Nov08 Oct24 Oct11 Feb17   (gonzalez lil)RAMOS D 121 15.00 7% 13.80    
 
TP-5   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR LILY ROBIN Nov10         (combs bentley)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00    
2  MALAWNIA Sep17 Aug13 Jul01     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 8.00    
3  MO DIVINE Nov12 Oct16       (hamilton )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00    
4  CHICA CHULA Oct29 Oct05 Sep20 Sep09 Jul08 (calvo kelsie)BECKMAN ALICE 112 15.00 ★    
5  KING'S MISTRESS Nov10         (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 10.00 ★    
6  NAVY FLEET Oct26 Sep14 Aug14     (lobo h)RAMOS D 119 8.00    
7  MISS PEABODY Nov12 Oct16 Sep01     (newton )DE CRUZ 119 2.50 25% 3.10    
8  TIMELY SECRET Nov20 Aug10 Jul19     (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 119 10.00    
9  GRAY FROST Nov02 Oct01 Aug14     (reed r)MCKEE J 119 5.00    
10  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Oct04 Sep10       (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
11  JU JU VIP Nov16         (courville ric)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
SCR  CERCHI Sep27         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  NAUTICAL MILE Sep27         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00    
SCR  MOMENT TO SHINE Nov16         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
TP-6   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSOLITO Nov23 Oct22 Sep15 Jan29   (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 ★    
2  GUIDED ARROW Nov23 Oct12 Aug24 Jun29   (garcia )DE CRUZ 121 8.00 ★    
3  RAMPATIOUS Oct16 Sep18 Jul31 Apr29   (mora leandro)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
4  GRASSROOTS Nov10 Oct06       (shifflett ch)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 30.00    
5  NASHOBA'S JOY Nov11 Oct08 Sep03     (morey william)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00 21% 3.80    
6  MORE THAN WORK Feb19 Jan22       (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  KING CURLIN         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
SCR  YORK TAVERN Nov03 Sep18 Jul16 Jun08   (devaux cher)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 3.50    
9  PUSH BUTTON Nov11 Oct22 Sep10     (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
TP-7   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SOUPER SWEET Oct19 Sep05 Jul25 Jun09 May24 (trombetta)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 10.00    
2  DYNASTY OF HER OWN Oct19 Sep19 Aug15 Jul24 Jun04 (beattie m)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
SCR  RICHIES GREAT GIRL Oct16 Sep21 Aug22 Jul27 Jul18 (cano ju)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
4  THUNDERING CREED Oct16 Sep01 Aug06 Jun29 May27 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  CREATIVE CREDIT Oct16 Sep24 Sep10 Aug07 Jul13 (haehn r)OUZTS W 124 20.00    
6  AMBASSADOR LUNA Oct29 Aug07 Jun05 May05 Mar04 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00    
7  MINER'S QUEEN Oct29 Sep01 Aug03 Jul04 Jun12 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
8  LAST LEAF Oct22 Sep24 Aug14 Jul16 Jun18 (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00    
9  READY TO VENTURE (GB) Oct26 Sep29 Aug22 Jul08 Jun10 (stidham mi)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
10  FIRE ON TIME Nov20 Jun09 Apr24 Jan13   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
11  LEMOS CUNHA Oct29 Sep01 Aug15 Jul13 Jun29 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
12  MINUTE WALTZ Nov10 Oct22 Oct01 Sep05 Jun26 (bauer philip )CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
13  BEAT THE SYSTEM Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug13   (morey willia)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 20.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  MISS T TOO Nov10 Jan06       (mccarthy mich)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 10% 9.10    
 
TP-8   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNPREDICTABLE BAY Nov09 Nov02 Oct17 Oct05 Sep27 (hammond k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  SOARING BIRD Nov13 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 May12 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 8% 11.60    
3  MERLIN'S SONG Oct10 May31 May15     (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00    
4  EYES OF GLORY Oct28 Oct09 Sep13 Sep01 Aug09 (vosler eugen)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 50.00    
5  SPECTACULAR GEM Oct15 May24 May05 Apr02 Feb19 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  JOKER ON JACK Oct07 Aug08       (ward wes)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
7  DOUBLE THUNDER Nov04 Oct26 Sep24 Aug26   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 20.00    
8  AMICABLE (IRE) Nov15 Oct29 Oct13 Sep22 Sep08 (livers char)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 50.00    
9  JOYFUL HEART Nov12 Oct13 Sep13 Aug12 Jul15 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.00 6% 16.50    
10  GOOD ON YA Nov09 Oct10 Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 (londono odin)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
11  BOHEMIAN BOY Oct30 Sep18 Aug14 Jul24 Jun24 (casse mark)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 10% 9.30    
12  GAGETOWN Oct16 Sep25 Aug17 Jul20 Jul04 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
13  POLAR WIND Nov09 Oct17 Sep22 Aug02 Jul12 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
SCR  KOUFAX Oct02 Aug22 Jul15 Jun02 May07 (foley greg)ROCCO S 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.