Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - February 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (1/11/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/11/3/4)-(1/11/3/12/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/11/3/4)-(1/11/3/12/4)-(1/11/3/12/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/11/3/4)-(4/1/7/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/11/3/4)-(4/1/7/3/2)-(11/2/12/7/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
OP-2   WIN (4/1/7/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3/2)-(4/1/7/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3/2)-(4/1/7/3/2)-(4/1/7/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/7/3/2)-(11/2/12/7/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/3/2)-(11/2/12/7/10)-(10/7/9/5/8) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
OP-3   WIN (11/2/12/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/12/7/10)-(11/2/12/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/12/7/10)-(11/2/12/7/10)-(11/2/12/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/2/12/7/10)-(10/7/9/5/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/2/12/7/10)-(10/7/9/5/8)-(10/7/1/9/4) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
OP-4   WIN (10/7/9/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/9/5/8)-(10/7/9/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/9/5/8)-(10/7/9/5/8)-(10/7/9/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/9/5/8)-(10/7/1/9/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/7/9/5/8)-(10/7/1/9/4)-(4/9/3/2/7) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
OP-5   WIN (10/7/1/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/1/9/4)-(10/7/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/1/9/4)-(10/7/1/9/4)-(10/7/1/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/1/9/4)-(4/9/3/2/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/7/1/9/4)-(4/9/3/2/7)-(8/3/1/4/9) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
OP-6   WIN (4/9/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/3/2/7)-(4/9/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/3/2/7)-(4/9/3/2/7)-(4/9/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/3/2/7)-(8/3/1/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/9/3/2/7)-(8/3/1/4/9)-(10/4/9/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-7   WIN (8/3/1/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/4/9)-(8/3/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/4/9)-(8/3/1/4/9)-(8/3/1/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/1/4/9)-(10/4/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/4/9)-(10/4/9/5)-(8/4/3/7/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-8   WIN (10/4/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/9/5)-(10/4/1/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/9/5)-(10/4/1/9/5)-(10/4/1/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/4/9/5)-(8/4/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-9   WIN (8/4/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/7/1)-(8/4/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/7/1)-(8/4/3/7/1)-(8/4/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN WILHELMINA Feb02 Jan19 Dec06 May03 Apr20 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  GOLDEN EDGE Jan31 Jan18       (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 114 20.00    
3  NOW HEAR THIS Feb02         (hewitt michael)ELLIOTT JANE 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHO LU Feb02 Apr04 Mar16 Feb03 Dec31 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HAMAZIMAUX Feb02 Jan18       (martin timothy )BOWEN ROCCO 114 12.00    
6  LILLY MAE Dec13         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 10.00    
7  MO HOPEFUL Feb02 Dec06 Feb10 Dec31   (wilson melton)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00    
8  CHUCK WILLS WIDOW Feb02 Dec06 May03 Apr21 Apr04 (mcbride bur)POSTON K 110 10.00    
9  SOUTHERN SPEIGHT Apr04 Mar03       (brennan t)BEALMEAR C 115 30.00    
10  GRIZMO Jan31 Sep03       (cates al)HARR KELSI 120 30.00    
11  RANCH REBEL Feb02         (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 114 2.50 28% 2.60    
12  MAZARN Jan31         (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 114 4.00 ★    
 
OP-2   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON DROP SHOT Jan26 Jan03 Dec20 Dec07 Sep26 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00    
1A  WITHOUT OBJECTION Jan31 Jan04 Sep09 Aug07 Jul11 (puhl kim)WALES T 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  SEVEN FLAT Dec22 Nov19 Oct26 Oct09 Sep12 (amoss tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUPER BRADY Jan26 Jan03 Nov13 Oct02 Sep05 (green )GUTIERREZ RAMOS 111 15.00 6% 15.80    
4  SUMMER SPLASH Nov20 Aug12 Aug27 Jun18 Apr20 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  PRINCIPE CARLO Jan24 Dec21 Dec07 Nov16 Nov02 (jacobson d)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.50    
6  VERB Jan26 Nov29 Nov16 Aug07 Jun27 (hewitt mi)BEALMEAR C 115 20.00    
7  RAM Jan26 Dec27 Dec01 Jul31 May19 (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 9% 10.80    
8  ENJOY IT STRAIT Nov09 Oct18 Sep01 Aug01 Jun23 (williams )TORRES A 121 8.00    
9  DUTCH MILLS Jan19 Oct09 Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 (compton g)DE CRUZ 121 10.00    
 
OP-3   02/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT A GUY Feb03 Jan18 Dec14 Jul27 Jun30 (martin timoth)BACON W 120 20.00    
2  SIR EXTON Jan23 Dec15 Nov10 Mar07 Jan21 (stidham m)BEALMEAR C 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
3  CRUE'S N CONTROL Feb02 Jan04 Dec07 May27 May15 (dixon tim)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
4  NOBLE REIGN Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Oct31 Oct01 (milligan )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 30.00    
5  CAVANAL Feb03 Dec20 Nov14 Oct05 Sep04 (moquett r)TORRES A 112 8.00    
6  HONOR BO Jan19 Dec14 Nov14     (vance d)BOWEN ROCCO 117 20.00    
7  ROYAL COURT Feb03 Dec04 Aug10 Jul04 Jun05 (stuart shea)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 4.00 9% 9.90    
8  AUDAX MINOR Jan19 Dec13 Nov15 Oct27 Oct03 (mcknight )DE CRUZ 117 8.00    
9  CHARMING TIGER Dec29 Dec06 Oct26     (colebrook ben)JARA FERNANDO 117 20.00    
10  ALL GREEN LIGHTS Feb01 Dec20 Apr13 Mar14 Feb23 (prather john)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  DEVILS FORK Jan25 Jan04 Jan26 Dec09   (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
12  CHOU CHOU D'AVEN (FR) Jan23 Dec22 Dec06 Oct25 Sep29 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 125 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
OP-4   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ADIVA Jan31 Jan17 Dec15 Oct13 Sep29 (haran john)JUAREZ NIK 122 20.00    
SCR  TWAS LOLA Feb03 Jan05 Oct03 Sep19 Jul07 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
2  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD Nov13 Oct28 Oct05 Jul29 Jun26 (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
3  DREAM PRINCESS Jan17 Sep05 Jul28 Jun22 Jun08 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50    
4  DESSERT FIRST Dec28 Nov29 Oct31 Oct06 Sep15 (lopez el)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
5  SPITE LITE Jan18 Dec15 Oct10 Sep02 Aug14 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 125 10.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  BLAZINGLY Jan24 Dec21 May11 Apr26 Mar29 (simonovich )POSTON K 112 30.00    
7  CHANDANA Jan31 Jan03 Dec06 Nov14 May17 (morse l)BACON W 117 3.00 24% 3.20    
8  FLOATING Jul12 Jun07 May20 Apr07 Feb17 (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BE MY BESTIE Dec21 Sep05 Jul02 Jun08 May25 (hernandez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 9% 10.20    
10  SEQUIN LADY Jan03 Nov27 Nov09 Oct09 Sep20 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
11  ROYAL BLUSH Jan17 Dec01 Nov07 Oct06 Sep07 (mcknight norm)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 20.00    
12  DIXIE PENNY Jan24 Dec21 Sep24 Aug20 Aug06 (becker scott)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
 
OP-5   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECTED GLORY Jan23 Sep09 Aug26 Jul28 Jul07 (martin wi)TORRES A 122 12.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  H. T. XENA Jan31 Jun03 May13 Apr28 Mar17 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 122 12.00    
2  CHIP SHORTAGE Dec15 Sep26 Sep09 Aug18 Aug03 (ward dan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
3  LEGALLY CHARITABLE Dec12 Nov22 Nov01 Sep26 Sep05 (mcknight norm)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 8.00    
4  MIESHA Jan26 Dec27 Dec04 Nov19 Nov04 (rone m)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  AFRAID IM NOTCENTS Oct31 Apr23 Apr03 Mar18 Mar04 (mason ingrid)JUAREZ NIK 122 20.00    
6  DONYA KNOW IT Jan24 Dec15 Nov26 Oct20 Sep15 (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 117 30.00    
7  SINGING EMMA Feb03 Jan03 Dec07 Sep26 Aug26 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
8  OPPOSITE THE CROWD Jan23 Dec15 Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 (haran john)BACON W 117 5.00    
9  FEARLESS KRISTIE Feb03 Jan03 Sep26 Sep09 Aug26 (jordan ja)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00 6% 15.50    
10  BACKED BY GOLD Feb03 Jan03 Sep13 Aug29 Aug14 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
11  SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW Dec27 Sep05 Aug17 May16 Mar30 (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 1.60    
12  LITTLE BURRITO Jan03 Sep16 Aug13 Jul31 Jun08 (martin kev)ERAMIA E 117 30.00    
 
OP-6   02/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALACHI Jan17 Oct11 Sep11     (milligan c)ERAMIA E 122 6.00    
2  DOWN THE ISLANDS Jan19 Dec14 Dec01 Oct31 Sep12 (sweezey kent)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SURFIN' M Jan19 Dec15 Oct11     (martin william )BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.50 7% 14.10    
4  MAGNUM FORCE (IRE) Nov30 Nov01       (cox brad )TORRES A 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
5  WE NEED A FAVOR Dec29 Dec14 Sep28 Sep14 Aug11 (bainum ke)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
6  HWY TWENTY RIDE Jan25 Dec26       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 20.00    
7  MULA Feb02 Dec29       (santamaria c)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  PRIMO CANARY Jan17 Jan04       (hartman chris)BACON W 117 12.00    
9  REV'S TOMB Feb07 Jan17 Dec13 Nov30   (stuart shea)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 4.50 14% 6.10    
10  GO GO RO RO Jan23         (schultz lindsa)CHUAN MARTIN 117 30.00    
11  CUTLASS KING Oct27 Oct03 Sep11     (hernandez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
 
OP-7   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN CHILL Dec14 Nov06 Sep19 Aug12 Jul11 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
2  EPIC BATTLE Nov27 Sep22 Aug17 Jul21 Jun19 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00    
3  MIRACLE WORKER Jan23 Dec21 Oct30 Sep14 Jul07 (moquett ronal)BACON W 113 10.00 19% 4.40    
4  PARKWAY Dec13 Nov10 Oct04 Sep25 Sep14 (jacobson)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 9% 10.10    
5  AIRBORNE ELITE Jan26 Dec14 Nov06 Nov22 Oct15 (sweezey j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00    
6  SWEET AS SIN Jan04 Nov07 Oct14 Sep23 Aug31 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 5.00    
7  DEVILISH DESIRE Jan31 Dec21 Feb11 Jan07 Dec09 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 124 8.00    
8  PLAUSIBLE DENILE Jan23 Dec21 Jul14 May05 Apr14 (divito james )JARA FERNANDO 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
9  MONEYSHOT Feb03 Dec22 Sep14 Aug16 Aug05 (jewell ia)TORRES A 118 15.00 8% 12.10    
10  ORE MINE Jan23 Jun23 Jun07 Feb24 Oct13 (martin timothy )BOWEN ROCCO 118 20.00    
 
OP-8   02/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($131K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODCOURT Jan25 Jan05 Nov26 Oct24 Sep30 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  BLACK POWDER Jan05 Dec01 Nov15 Oct18 Sep22 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 5.00    
3  AWESOME AARON Jan25 Dec13 Nov06 Sep26 Aug18 (casse w)BACON W 113 15.00    
4  MACKMAN Jan25 Dec13 Nov09 Oct12 Sep15 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 12% 7.40    
5  GOLDEN GLIDER Dec22 Nov22 Jul20 Jun09 May24 (casse mar)TORRES A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ARCHIE THE GIZA Jan25 Jul05 May27 Apr20 Mar14 (medina r)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
7  YELLOW BRICK Jan25 Dec01 Nov10 Oct16 Sep19 (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
8  ONTHESTAGE Jan18 Dec12 Sep22 Aug12 Jun29 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 12.00    
9  CALL ME FAST Dec26 Dec01 Oct20 Aug31 Jul21 (sharp joe)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SIR GREYLIND Jan25 Jan04 Dec06 May31 May09 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
 
OP-9   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET SANDERS Jan19 May05 Apr19 Apr06 Mar15 (von hemel )ERAMIA E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  WON NINETY Feb01 Oct12 Sep26 Sep07 Aug16 (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 122 30.00    
3  SWEET FANTASY Jan26 Aug31 Aug21 Jul14 Jun22 (casse mark)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 4.50 10% 8.90    
4  CLASSIC CINEMA Jan19 Dec07 Apr19 Mar24 Mar07 (brennan t)TORRES A 122 4.00 25% 2.90    
5  SPOONMAN Jan26 Dec14 Sep26 Sep17 Sep04 (martin ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
6  MR. COMMANDER Dec08 Dec30 Oct21 Oct02 Sep22 (king barr)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
7  RYNO WRECKER Feb01 Dec14 Nov14 Oct21 Sep24 (rone mike)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  WHERE'S RANDY Jan26 Dec21 Apr19 Mar28 Feb25 (morse l)BACON W 117 2.50 39% 1.50    
9  PARTYINTHESTREETS Feb01 Aug28 Jun19 May27 Apr26 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 122 12.00    
10  STATLER Jan26 Dec27 Dec14 Sep26 Sep14 (martin)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 115 30.00    
11  CHEZ WHIZ Feb01 Jan19 Dec14 May04 Apr06 (creighton bre)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.50    
12  CLEAR ECHO Feb01 Apr13 Mar24 Mar15   (stuart sh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.