Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Oaklawn Park
Saturday - December 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

OP-1   EXA (7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-7 $20.10 $8.10 68%
    TRI (7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-7-8 $25.90 $13.90 116%
    SFT (7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-7-8-2 $22.47 $20.07 836%
OP-2   SFT (1/4/6/8/7)-(1/4/6/8/7)-(1/4/6/8/7)-(1/4/6/8/7) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-1-8-6 $23.45 $11.45 95%
OP-3   PK3 (7/8/1/2)-(1/4/6/8/7)-(10/4/11/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1-4-1/3/10 $58.40 $18.40 46%
OP-4   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-8 $15.90 $9.90 165%
    PK3 (1/4/6/8/7)-(10/4/11/3)-(4/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-1/3/10-6 $31.50 $1.50 5%
OP-5   WIN (12/13/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00  11 $27.20 $19.20 240%
    DD (4/6/8)-(12/13/2/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-11 $63.10 $51.10 426%
    PK3 (10/4/11/3)-(4/6/8)-(12/13/2/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1/3/10-6-11 $126.80 $102.80 428%
    PK4 (1/4/6/8/7)-(10/4/11/3)-(4/6/8)-(12/13/2/11) 240 $0.50 $120  4-1/3/10-6-11 $382.50 $262.50 219%
    PK5 (7/8/1/2)-(1/4/6/8/7)-(10/4/11/3)-(4/6/8)-(12/13/2/11) 960 $0.50 $480  1-4-1/3/10-6-11 $3042 $2562 534%
OP-9   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-7 $7.80 $1.80 30%
OP-10   WIN (7/3/2/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $11.00 $1.00 10%
    DD (5/7/2)-(7/3/2/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00  5-2 $18.30 $3.30 22%

Simulator Race results

 
OP-1   12/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:141 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBELIOUS 1 4 64 6 5 3.2 1 (mcknight nor)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 4.50 19% 4.30 2.70 W
TIZ WICKED STRONG 6 7 43 4 2nk 1nk 2 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 124 4.00 37% 1.70 4.40 P
AIRBORNE ELITE 7 2 22 21 1nk 2nk 3 (cunningha)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 23% 3.40 1.20 S
GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 2 5 54 5 4 5 4 (shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
CHARBON 5 3 12 11 3.2 4 5 (rosin coty )HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 8.00 21.80  
GLUCKSTADT 3 6 76 7 7 7 6 (haran john)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 15.00 23.30  
SAGITTARIUS 4 1 3 3 6 6 7 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 8.00 5.70  
SCR  CONTEMPLATION               (stidham m)TORRES A 120 3.00    
 
OP-2   12/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:144 1:403   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPO LUCA 4 7 8 7 5 13 1¾ (joseph saffie)JARA FERNANDO 120 1.40 17% 4.80 1.70 W
TRUTH BOMB 1 8 5 42 2 23 2¾ (cox h)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50 48% 1.10 2.20 P
DOWN THE ISLANDS 8 1 1½ 11 1 34 3 (sweezey kent)JUAREZ NIK 120 15.00 5% 19.00 13.10 S
STONINGTON 6 5 7 8 8 410 413 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50 11% 8.20 4.30  
VINO VIDI VICI 3 10 6 5 43 511 513¼ (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00 20.40  
NOBLE REIGN 9 2 9 9 7 713 614¼ (milligan )TORRES A 120 20.00 16.70  
BIG BOURBON RIVER 5 3 2½ 21 3 613 717¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 7.10  
GOLDEN LIGHT 7 6 10 1010¾ 1015 926½ 827½ (rosin w)BACON W 115 30.00 5% 19.00 49.50  
TWEET SOME MO 2 4 3½ 31 6 824 928¾ (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00 67.20  
10  HONOR BO 10 9 42 6 9 1027 1030¼ (vance d)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00 50.20  
 
OP-3   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AIR IT OUT 8 5 2nk 2nk   1 1 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.00 43% 1.30 1.40 W
PHENOMENAL DREAM 1 8 7 74   2 2 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 2.00  
LOVE IN LIGHTS (GB) 2 9 910¼ 8   6 3 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 10% 9.50 5.40 S
IT'S A RAINY DAY 4 2 3½ 33   4 410 (milligan ca)POSTON K 107 30.00 54.10  
11  I GOT A GUY 9 3 6 4   5 511 (martin ti)TORRES A 124 4.50 9% 10.70 8.60  
COACH SAM P 6 1 1nk 1nk   35 611¼ (hewitt michael)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00 9.80  
PAINT ROCK MARTINI 3 7 8 98   815½ 715½ (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 57.60  
STATLER 5 4 4 6   710½ 816 (martin kevin)TORRES HUGO 117 4.50 13.80  
SEEKING THE GAME 7 6 53 5   916 919 (hewitt michae)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 20.00 64.00  
SCR  BROTHER EVAN               (loy dewai)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 20.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  NON FUNGIBLE               (green )GUTIERREZ RAMOS 112 20.00    
 
OP-4   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:224 :464 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAN THE FIRE 4 2 21 2nk   1 12 (garcia genaro)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 15% 5.50 2.80 W
W W CRAZY 5 4 4 3½   3 22 (santamari)TORRES A 121 12.00 5% 19.00 3.60 P
THE QUEENS JULES 3 1 11 1nk   2 3 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 3.50  
DERBY DATE 1 5 52 5   43 4 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 10.00 3.30  
BEN DIESEL 2 3 3 4¾   5 56 (rone mike)CHUAN MARTIN 124 4.00 54% 0.90 2.50  
SCR  FEVER NATION               (manley st)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00    
SCR  I GOT NO MUNNY               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.00    
SCR  SUPER BRADY               (mason ingrid)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
 
OP-5   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BLESSED VISION 10 4 65 7   2½ 11 (dixon tim)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60 W
WICKED PRINCE 4 3 3 32   3½ 21 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 20.00 93.50  
13  HESS 12 7 5 43   52 3 (morse rand)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.50 7% 12.40 1.70 S
12  MONEYSTRIKE 11 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 4 (wilson melton)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00 70% 0.40 8.70  
DALTON'S RUTROW 8 10 7 6   41 5 (swearinge)TORRES A 121 6.00 6.10  
10  STREET COMMANDER 9 9 8 9   8 6 (cates al)HARR KELSI 121 8.00 15.10  
CHEZ WHIZ 7 12 1113¼ 119   9 76 (creighton bre)BACON W 114 4.50 8.30  
SPOONMAN 6 5 9 8   75 8 (martin ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 20.60  
MR. COUGAR 1 11 1215¼ 1214½   12 9 (wester)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 111 30.00 97.60  
OUTLAW RUN 2 8 10 10   117 109 (cline n)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00 5% 19.00 31.40  
RYNO WRECKER 3 1 1½ 1nk   64 1111 (rone mike)CHUAN MARTIN 122 3.00 3.50  
POINT BLANK 5 6 4 5   10 1212¼ (fires h)JUAREZ NIK 121 12.00 25.50  
SCR  NATORADE               (van th)ROMERO M 114 15.00    
SCR  PARTYINTHESTREETS               (martin timo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 20.00    
 
OP-6   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :46 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIFFANY TWIST 4 5 512 5   3 1hd (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 3.30  
INSIGHTFUL MISS 3 4 4 43   12 2hd (duncan trisha)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 3.50 6.10  
ATLANTIC STRIKE 1 1 1nk 1½   22 3 (ramirez-r)TORRES A 124 1.80 45% 1.20 1.30 S
CLASS CODE 5 6 613½ 611   6 410 (jewell ian)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 9% 9.70 17.50  
SHIP IT 2 2 34 31   47 512½ (becker scott)WALES T 121 10.00 9% 10.40 5.00  
ICY RIVER 6 3 2nk 2½   5 618¼ (hernandez arma)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 4.40  
SCR  CHARMONTE               (mason ingrid)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 10.00    
SCR  SINGING EMMA               (loy dew)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
 
OP-7   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRODEUR 8 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 1nk (casse mark)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 12.90  
  (by NYQUIST out of TEA TIME by PULPIT)
EL PRESTIGIO 1 6 6 5   2½ 2nk (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 20% 4.10 1.10 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BARTLETT NARROWS by FLATTER)
CAN DO ANDREW 6 7 8 7   68 3 (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.00 45% 1.20 4.90 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RAINBOW SPARKLE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
POPPA ECHO 3 1 4 6   7 4 (milligan )TORRES A 120 15.00 31.90  
  (by ECHO TOWN out of QUEEN OF ACES by STREET BOSS)
GUN RUNNER CHARLIE 4 8 7 8   810¾ 5 (bainum kelly)CHUAN MARTIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNBRIDLED QUEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12  MAX GOT EXCITED 11 4 2½ 2nk   4 6 (creighton brett)JUAREZ NIK 120 15.00 24.00  
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of KATIE GET EXCITED by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
MOTEL PATEL 2 3 3 4   3 7 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 15% 5.60 6.10  
  (by VOLATILE out of SCAT'S LASSIE by SCAT DADDY)
WISE DECISION 5 5 5 33   5 812¾ (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00 16.40  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BELLE HILL by SKY MESA)
11  WE NEED A FAVOR 10 10 9 99   915¾ 914½ (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 30.00 5% 19.00 50.30  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of VIVIAN'S GRACE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  TRIGGER POINT 9 9 10 1011½   1022¾ 1022½ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 27.00  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DEBIT by TAPIT)
SAVING HEART 7 11 1121¼ 1131½   1138¾ 1136½ (morse l)VAZQUEZ A 120 15.00 20.40  
  (by ARMY MULE out of SPRINGSIDE by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  RESTLESS RENEGADE               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RESTLESS RIDER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  RT HOOK SUGAR RAY               (west henry)CASTILLO AMIN 115 30.00    
  (by GANDHI out of STERLINGS AMERICA by SILVER TRAIN)
 
OP-8   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B SUDD 2 6 33 2½   1nk 12 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 0.80 27% 2.70 1.00 W
MISCHIEVOUS M 6 1 1½ 1½   2nk 22 (vance tho)TORRES A 122 5.00 8.00  
RABBIT HOUND 1 7 8 8   4 3 (martin timoth)BACON W 115 8.00 17% 4.90 10.00 S
GOOGOL JOKE 3 5 7 78   5 48 (medina robe)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 20.00 7.10  
RAVIN'S TOWN 4 2 2½ 32   34 59 (haran john)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
KONTEEKEE 7 4 6 6   7 6 (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 20.00 32.00  
NORTHERN CHILL 5 8 4 4   67 710 (blair jor)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.00 25% 3.00 3.70  
JUST ASK WATTS 8 3 5 5   811½ 813¾ (ward dan)PEREZ CESAR 108 15.00 7.80  
 
OP-9   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Mistletoe Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:131 1:261   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORNINGSTONE 5 1 3 42 2½ 1 1 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 3.00 39% 1.60 2.40 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of ICE WOMEN by STREET SENSE)
TAXED 6 2 4 2½ 1½ 2 2 (morse ran)TORRES A 124 1.60 28% 2.60 0.90 P
  (by COLLECTED out of YANKEE UNION by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
BOW DRAW 1 4 2 31 3½ 3 3 (west henry)BOWEN ROCCO 124 20.00 29.50  
  (by OXBOW out of WICKED DRAW by WILD AND WICKED)
TAPIT JENALLIE 2 3 5 54 5 4 4 (milligan )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00 8% 11.80 5.80  
  (by TAPIT out of TAKE CHARGE TRESSA by WAR FRONT)
WILDWOOD BYE 3 5 67 6 6 57 512¾ (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00 25.40  
  (by KHOZAN out of WAVE BYE BYE by CONGRATS)
STELLAR LILY 4 6 1 1½ 42 611 620¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 4.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ANFIELD ROSE by WILBURN)
SCR  DECK OF CARDS               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 2.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of MOTHER OF SWORDS by WAR FRONT)
 
OP-10   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:22 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
W W SCOUT'S HONOR 2 1 11 1½   1 11 (becker scott)WALES T 122 5.00 6% 17.00 4.50 W
10  GUNFLASH 9 6 8 8   6 21 (ramirez-rod)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 3.70  
TODDCHERO 7 2 21 2½   2 3 (gelner jayde)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 41% 1.50 8.50 S
GOODASIWONSWAS 3 8 54 54   3 43 (shirer ma)TORRES A 124 2.50 29% 2.50 3.00  
MUMAYAZ 1 4 32 32   4 5 (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 8.40  
JUILLIARD 8 3 6 65   55 6 (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
GOLD SWEEP 4 9 7 77   7 76 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
MANTA REY 5 7 911½ 911   9 88 (haran john)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00 42.70  
DREWMANIA 6 5 4 42   8 9 (briley lo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00 18.80  
SCR  HEY EUGENE               (rone mike)CHUAN MARTIN 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.