Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(4/8/2/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(4/8/2/1/7)-(5/7/6/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/8/2/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/1/7)-(4/8/2/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/1/7)-(4/8/2/1/7)-(4/8/2/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/2/1/7)-(5/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/1/7)-(5/7/6/1)-(7/3/8/6/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/1)-(7/3/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/1)-(7/3/8/6/4)-(3/4/2/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/3/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/6/4)-(7/3/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/6/4)-(7/3/8/6/4)-(7/3/8/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/8/6/4)-(3/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/6/4)-(3/4/2/7)-(2/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/5/2/7)-(3/4/5/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(2/3/1)-(3/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/8/10)-(2/1/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/10)-(3/5/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/10)-(3/5/8/10)-(3/5/8/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/10)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/10)-(2/1/3/7)-(8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/7)-(8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/7)-(8/9)-(2/7/3/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-9   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/9)-(2/7/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-10   WIN (2/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE Dec12 Nov18 Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
2  IN TO THE NIGHT Dec01 Oct30 Oct15 Sep24 Aug27 (meeks karl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00 8% 11.10    
3  BIG GINGER Nov22 Oct31 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
4  GENERAL GINNY Dec12 Nov20 Nov04 Oct05 Sep25 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FULL TIME STRUTIN Dec12 Nov21 Nov12 Oct28 Oct19 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
6  THINK BLUE Dec11 Nov19 Oct22 Oct13 Sep22 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00    
7  TEAM HOT LINE Dec11 Dec01 Nov20 Nov05 Oct09 (meeks karl)STOKES J 124 4.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  THIS ONE CAN RUN Nov25 Nov10 Oct14 Jul22 Jul08 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-2   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE EDGED Nov12 Sep18 Sep26 Aug30 Jul05 (castil)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Nov18 Sep30 Sep04 Sep04 Aug01 (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOST ADORABLE Dec09 Nov20 Oct19 Sep30 Sep04 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
4  TALE OF THE LYON Dec18 Nov12 Oct29 Sep30 Sep18 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 126 1.20 51% 1.00    
5  STATE OF GRACE Oct13 Sep04 Aug21 Jul17 Jul02 (norris ste)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 5.00    
6  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Dec16 Sep17 Aug19 Jun25 Jun10 (urieta johan)AYALA J 126 4.00    
7  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Nov12 Oct29 Oct19 Sep30 Aug29 (crumley jev)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  DANCE DRAMA Dec02 Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 Sep03 (flores christi)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 23% 3.40    
9  I GOT HOPE Nov18 Aug29 Aug05 Jul17 Jun08 (rom)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-3   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DELIGHTFUL CAT Dec04 Nov18 Oct26 Oct03 Aug29 (jarvis kathy)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRETTY PATTY Dec18 May18 May04 Apr25 Mar28 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 2.50    
3  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Jun11 May04 Apr02 Mar13 Feb29 (huffman cand)AYALA J 124 10.00    
4  HIGH FIRE Nov04 Sep09 Jul17 Jun27 May30 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
5  CROSSED UP Dec11 Nov04 Oct26 Sep19 Aug21 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  GO GIRL Dec28 Dec03 Nov18 Sep19 Jul10 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 17.50    
7  SUSHI Q Nov18 Oct29 Aug20 Jan18 Jan01 (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  KERRI'S MIRACLE Dec28 Nov18 Sep30 Sep11 Aug14 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Dec28 Dec11 Nov25 Nov07 Oct30 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
2  ROYALLY FLUSHED Dec19 Dec04 Nov18 Oct22 Oct11 (short travis)AYALA J 124 12.00    
3  RUN FOR REAGAN Dec28 Dec10 Nov27 Nov08 Sep27 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  EUPHORIA STAR Sep14 Aug11 Aug02 Jul14 Jun22 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MSHINDI Dec27 Nov20 Nov07 Oct23 Oct07 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 6.00    
6  WILD TIME Dec08 Nov25 Oct29 Oct10 Sep28 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MARKHAMIAN Dec28 Dec10 Oct13 Sep30 Mar05 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.00 49% 1.00    
8  BUCKET LIST Dec11 Nov26 Oct29 Oct09 Sep18 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  MOON OVER DUBAI Dec28 Dec10 Nov20 Nov07 Oct23 (poole jami)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
10  AURA OF GOLD Dec28 Nov25 Nov07 Oct19 Sep05 (madrigal)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE STEP ASIDE Dec23 Dec03 Nov07 Oct23 Oct03 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
2  AFLEET O ME Dec03 Nov07 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 (flores christi)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAVALETTO Dec03 Jul04 Jun18 May15 Apr03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 65% 0.50    
4  SHOWTIME BOY Dec19 Dec03 Nov07 Oct03 Sep11 (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00 7% 12.60    
5  ROLLIN MY WAY Dec23 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 Sep11 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 ★    
6  LOTSA MATCHA Dec23 Dec03 Nov06 Oct21 Oct03 (gonzalez ric)MEJIAS RICARDO 124 20.00    
7  LONE BOY Dec09 Nov06 Sep16 Aug26 Aug23 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  WHISKEY HELPS Dec23 Dec03 Nov07 Aug08 Jul19 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
9  HARTSTEIN Aug22 Aug01 Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 4.00    
 
MVR-6   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERATE Dec11 Oct06 Jun13 May15 Mar11 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 8.00 9% 9.90    
2  DOUGIE D ORO Nov25 Oct26 Oct08 Aug12 Jun02 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 54% 0.80    
3  IT'S OFFICIAL Apr25 Mar26 Mar06 Feb20 Jan08 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 9% 9.90    
4  HENRY MAC Nov25 Aug10 Jul15 Jun07 May01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
SCR  BACK TO OHIO Dec10 Oct26 Oct03 Sep05 Aug13 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60    
6  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Dec18 Nov25 Nov05 Oct26 Oct03 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 123 10.00    
 
MVR-7   01/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONSTER HUNTER Dec26 Dec16 Nov27 Nov11 Oct29 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 126 3.00    
2  GOLD BUCKLE Dec26 Oct26 Sep09 Aug15 Jul09 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00    
3  UBIQUITOUS Dec26 Dec02 Nov12 Oct24 Oct17 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 76% 0.30    
SCR  DEEP FAITH Dec26 Dec08 Nov18 Oct03 Sep18 (morale)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00    
5  SIGHT UNSEEN Dec26 Nov19 Nov05 Oct23 Nov21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 ★    
SCR  JARLIAN Dec26 Dec16 Dec05 Nov05 Sep25 (vlaun manuel)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 20.00    
7  LAUDA SPEED Nov19 Nov04 Oct02 Aug26 Aug05 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
8  KHOZANDO Dec17 Nov17 Nov06 Oct22 Sep18 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  POLITICAL Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Sep02 Jul08 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 15.00    
10  FIRST CITIZEN Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 Nov12 Oct19 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Dec11 Nov25 Nov13 Nov05 Oct26 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 1.60 18% 4.50    
2  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Nov04 Oct10 Sep10 Aug20 Dec26 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  CORNER OFFICE Dec18 Nov26 Oct26 Sep17 Aug20 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  RUMBLE STRIP RON Dec11 Nov04 Jul04 Jun12 Apr11 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
5  QUIET AMIGO Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 Sep10 Dec26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
6  CONDEMNATION Dec17 Nov14 Oct29 Oct07 Sep26 (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 6.00    
7  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Nov18 Nov04 Oct03 Jul31 Jul10 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  PALACE TEMPTATION Dec17 Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 Sep21 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00    
9  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Dec04 May29 May08 Apr23 Apr02 (tumblin andrew)STOKES J 124 20.00    
 
MVR-9   01/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROGUE ELEMENT Dec11 Nov04 Oct13 Oct03 Sep08 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
2  MILLARD'S SMILE Dec12 Nov26 Nov02 Oct13 Oct03 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
SCR  ONLY GET'N BETTER Dec17 Dec02 Nov12 Oct30 Oct10 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
SCR  PEPPER PIKE Dec12 Nov26 Nov14 Oct30 Sep18 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
SCR  REINVEST Nov19 Nov06 Oct11 Aug20 Jul16 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
6  OILER Dec09 Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 Oct01 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00    
SCR  KADESH Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
8  SOUPER FORTUNE Dec17 Dec03 Nov11 Oct24 Oct03 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 66% 0.50    
9  SMASH Dec10 Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
 
MVR-10   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. FREDERICKSON Dec14         (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 122 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SENTIENT by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
2  HEAVYLIKEACHEVY Dec02 Nov20       (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of BEAR'S PEARL by SEEKING THE DIA)
3  FAST LUCK Dec12 Nov25 Oct30 Oct02 Sep19 (short thomas)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
SCR  FAST TALKIN MAN Dec21 Dec01       (sullivan e)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of FANCY DIAMOND by EASTERN ECHO)
5  SAVE FERRIS Dec12 Nov25       (zielinski ri)AYALA J 122 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SANDRA'S DAY by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  HIGHTEMP         (urieta johanna)STOKES J 122 15.00    
  (by UNUSUAL HEATWAVE out of I KNOT by OFFLEE WILD)
7  BRIGHT CHARGER Dec20 Dec01 Nov15 Oct30 Oct10 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 11% 8.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of A PLUS by SMARTY JONES)
8  NERO RAY Dec28         (acevedo israe)BRACHO A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  RUFUS Dec12 Nov25 Nov11     (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KEY VISTA by REDATTORE (BRZ))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.