Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(3/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(3/1/8)-(1/5/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/8)-(1/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8)-(1/5/8/3)-(4/1/7/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/3)-(1/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/3)-(1/5/8/3)-(1/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/8/3)-(4/1/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/3)-(4/1/7/6/3)-(3/1/6/5/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/1/7/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/6/3)-(4/1/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/6/3)-(4/1/7/6/3)-(4/1/7/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/7/6/3)-(3/1/6/5/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/6/3)-(3/1/6/5/9)-(5/2/9/4/6) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
MVR-5   WIN (3/1/6/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5/9)-(3/1/6/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5/9)-(3/1/6/5/9)-(3/1/6/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/6/5/9)-(5/2/9/4/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/5/9)-(5/2/9/4/6)-(7/4/8/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/2/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/4/6)-(5/2/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/4/6)-(5/2/9/4/6)-(5/2/9/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/9/4/6)-(7/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9/4/6)-(7/4/8/2)-(5/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/2)-(5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/2)-(5/6/4)-(3/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (3/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRUMBEG Nov05 Oct26 Oct03 Sep14 Sep05 (campos paulo)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
2  SUSHI Q Oct29 Aug20 Jan18 Jan01 Dec11 (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 2.00    
3  LADY ABRIL Jun03 Mar07 Feb20 Jan01 Dec18 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
4  MISS BUMBUM Oct29 Oct03 Sep04 Aug08 Jul19 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  TRULY INCLUSIVE Sep09 Jul04 Jun03 May04 Mar12 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  CARMEN OHIO Oct29 Oct11 Sep03 Aug14 Jun27 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 2.50    
 
MVR-2   11/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUEGO CALIENTE May30 Mar27 Feb21 Feb08 Jan23 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  JAHEZ Oct23 Sep25 Sep13 Aug28 Aug17 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 15.00    
3  BOBBY'S GIFT Nov05 Sep28 Sep06 Jul12 May24 (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
4  DEEP FAITH Oct03 Sep18 Jul20 Jun29 May29 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
SCR  REBELDE Nov01 Oct17 Aug16 Jul21 Feb01 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
6  WAR NOVEL Aug03 Jun08 May18 Apr24 Apr06 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
7  NOT YET CHARLIE Oct21 Aug16 Jul10 Jun12 Jun01 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
8  DELTA RIDGE Oct21 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Aug07 (pappada julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAGE CAT Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Jul30 Jun18 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
2  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Sep16 Aug22 Aug14 Jul25 Jul09 (romero a)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
3  I GOT HOPE Aug29 Aug05 Jul17 Jun08 Apr04 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SARAH JANE Oct29 Oct03 Sep14 Jul25 Jul04 (bates l)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50    
5  CHLOES ANGEL Sep03 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Jan23 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Sep30 Sep04 Sep04 Aug01 Jun15 (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00    
SCR  OUT FOR FUN Oct26 Sep18 Sep02 Aug21 Aug07 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 8.00    
8  CITY SIGNS Oct30 Aug14 Aug01 Jun05 May14 (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
 
MVR-4   11/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURBO TRIP Nov02 Sep24 Jun10 May21 May07 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
2  AMERICAN CONSULATE Oct30 Oct09 Sep21 Sep11 Aug26 (freeman kenn)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00    
3  EAST BY WEST Nov02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 (winters mich)HALDAR J 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  CONVERT Oct28 Oct03       (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  KLAY B EVEN MONEY Nov02 Oct08 Sep21 Aug31 Aug22 (wilson davi)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 20.00    
6  CHAPS KNIGHT Oct24 Oct09 Sep30 May28 Mar29 (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 7% 12.90    
7  AVAILABILITY Oct28 Oct01 Sep10 Aug19 Jul06 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
8  C S EXPRESS Nov02 Oct21 Aug05 Jun08 May23 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
9  GAISGEACH Nov05 Sep24 Sep26 Sep08 Jul26 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
 
MVR-5   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Sep17 Aug21 Jun22 Jun05 May18 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 12% 7.60    
2  RED HEAD KID Oct30 Oct08 Sep17 Aug30 Jul30 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
3  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Nov04 Oct03 Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 (tumblin andre)BRACHO A 124 3.50 38% 1.70    
4  STUNT MAN Oct10 Sep26 Jun18 May18 Apr29 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 4.00    
5  BLAZING BURROUGHS Oct30 Sep07 Aug17 Aug08 Jul18 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 10.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  COWTOWN BOSS Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 May06 Mar13 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 9% 9.60    
7  WILDCAT BILL Oct29 Sep26 Sep09 Aug20 Feb15 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00    
8  DERBY INCLUDED Nov04 Oct10 Sep26 Dec26 Dec07 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
9  QUIET AMIGO Nov04 Oct10 Sep10 Dec26 Nov20 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BISCUITS AND GRITS Nov04 Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL'S DESTINY Nov06 Oct21 Sep16 May04 Apr03 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
2  THE MIRACLE KIUT Oct29 Oct01 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 18% 4.40    
3  POWER BANKER Jul25 Jul17 May30 May04 Apr02 (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 4.00    
4  OUT MY DEAR Sep09 Aug29 Jul15 Jun11 May21 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISSION GIRL Oct09 Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jun19 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  EXACTITUDE Oct29 Sep30 Aug28 Aug01 Jul09 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TWERK Nov04 Apr11 Feb29 Feb13 Dec19 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
8  MY TWO JAKES Nov06 Oct02 Sep11 Aug12 Jul25 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
9  LADY FORTUNE Nov04 Sep04 Aug01 Jul04 Jun18 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 7% 12.80    
 
MVR-7   11/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DR JACK FLYER Nov08 Sep27 Aug17 Jul25 Jul08 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80    
2  ROYALLY FLUSHED Oct22 Oct11 Sep12 Aug23 Aug07 (short travis)AYALA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DANCE MOVES Nov07 Sep28 Aug31 Aug02 Oct21 (haehn terry)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 20.00    
4  JIMMY JUNGA Oct22 Oct11 Sep05 Aug13 Jul10 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00 16% 5.50    
5  ANCIENT MAN Nov02 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 (hughes w)REYES FRANK 126 5.00    
6  THE EQUINEST Nov07 Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Aug27 (bailey ri)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 8.00    
7  SLAVA UKRAINI Nov02 Oct22 Oct03 Sep26 Sep19 (urieta jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00 51% 0.90    
8  FOOD FOODIE Nov02 Oct22 Oct11 Aug27 Jul26 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 8% 11.60    
 
MVR-8   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Sep25 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul16 (mauro julia)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
SCR  GETAWAY BAY Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 Jul11 Jul02 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00    
3  LIAM'S LASS Sep05 Aug15 Jul09 Jun13 May21 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 124 12.00    
4  CANDYMONIUM Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 Jul16 Jun13 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHARP AZ CAN BE Oct13 Sep16 Jul24 Jun11 May20 (urieta johanna)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  FLOWER MOUND Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
7  LADY WELLINGTON Oct21 Oct10 Aug30 Aug10 Jul18 (madrigal rodr)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
 
MVR-9   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Oct29 Oct14 Sep23 Jul18 Jun11 (bernardini p)AVILES YAN 124 2.50    
2  ELIKA Nov05 Oct28 Sep30 Sep17 Sep04 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
3  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Sep19 Jun22 May23 May14 Jan10 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  KERRI'S MIRACLE Sep30 Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
5  GO GIRL Sep19 Jul10 Jun19 May14 Apr25 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  HELLO SWEETS Jun24 Jun03 May14 Mar27 Mar12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
7  DELIGHTFUL CAT Oct26 Oct03 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 (jarvis kathy)BRACHO A 124 20.00 15% 5.80    
8  PUDD'N N PIE Oct22 Oct12 Sep25 Aug10 Jul05 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.