Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - October 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/4)-(4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/4)-(4/2/5)-(3/6/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/6/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/6/9/4)-(1/7/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/9/4)-(1/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/4)-(1/7/2/6)-(7/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/6)-(7/1/5)-(6/5/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(6/5/3/2)-(11/8/4/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/2)-(11/8/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/2)-(11/8/4/2/1)-(6/3/8/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-7   WIN (11/8/4/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/8/4/2/1)-(11/8/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/8/4/2/1)-(11/8/4/2/1)-(11/8/4/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/8/4/2/1)-(6/3/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/5)-(6/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/5)-(6/3/8/5)-(6/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER Oct11 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Aug15 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
SCR  CRACK THE MOON Oct06 Sep22 Sep11 Sep01 Aug11 (poole c)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
3  OWN THE TOWN Sep30 Jul08 Jun17 May14 Dec13 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 1.60 65% 0.60    
4  TOYI Oct10 Sep24 Aug27 Aug15 Jul17 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Sep30 Jul30 Jul08 May27 May04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
6  BROADWAY JONES Sep09 Aug13 Jul08 Jun17 May13 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 4.50    
7  ROCK ON KITTEN Jun24 Jun05 May06 Apr08 Mar20 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CUGINE Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Jun24 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
MVR-2   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINE AND WAVES Oct10 Sep23 Sep02 Aug05 Jul20 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
2  SESSA SISU Sep23 Aug20 Sep14 Aug18   (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  SPARKLY Oct10 Sep12 Jun11 May20 May03 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 121 3.50    
4  VEGAS LOVE Sep25 Aug23       (morey e)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
5  SARISSA Sep11 Aug14 Jul17 Jun27 May04 (sandy stephen)BRACHO A 124 6.00 7% 14.20    
6  ALTER THE STARS Oct07 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 Jul24 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
 
MVR-3   10/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY ROOM Sep27 Sep02 Jul29 Jul12 Jun14 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
2  THE EQUINEST Oct01 Sep18 Aug27 Apr24 Apr09 (bailey ri)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 15.00    
3  SLAVA UKRAINI Oct03 Sep26 Sep19 Sep01 Aug04 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
4  FOOD FOODIE Oct11 Aug27 Jul26 Jul15 Jul01 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STEP AHEAD Oct11 Sep05 Jun08 May23 Apr29 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00    
6  JIMMY JUNGA Oct11 Sep05 Aug13 Jul10 Jun08 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
7  GRAND DEAL Oct01 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jun27 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
8  STEVIE T Oct10 Sep23 Aug19 Jul17 Jun27 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 126 8.00    
9  BIG POPPER Oct11 Sep05 Aug19 Jul25 Jul10 (romero a)PEREZ A 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-4   10/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEN MASTER Oct03 Jul26 Jul01 Jun01 May09 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  OVER THE HILLS Oct06 May20 Apr25 Feb20 Jan25 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 8% 11.10    
3  AYE AYE SIR Jul24 Jul10 Jun12 May22 Nov02 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 124 4.00    
4  DOCTOR WU Oct07 Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00    
5  MAJESTIC FLAG Oct11 Sep09 Aug19 Jul25 Jun22 (jackson jam)NUNEZ Y 124 4.50    
6  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Oct07 Sep19 Aug12 Jun25 Jun04 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOING IN STYLE Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul24 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-5   10/22/2024 10560ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Oct04 Sep20 Sep05 Aug27 Aug14 (caramori caio)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  PICO D'ORO Oct16 Oct07 Sep04 Aug19 Jul19 (caramori caio)MEZA JOSE 124 3.00    
3  EXALTED JOY Oct07 Sep23 Aug15 Jul24 Jul02 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
4  ROYAL DRAGOON Oct11 Sep20 Sep10 Aug13 Aug01 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
5  MUGSY MALONE Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 Jul02 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOON CHARGER Sep19 Aug31 Aug23 Aug07 Jul25 (alvarez nery)TAPARA BRANDON 121 15.00    
7  COUNT FROST Oct04 Sep14 Sep05 Aug08 Jun27 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
8  VAIL OF HONOR Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug15 Jul15 (higham nicole)TOLEDO S 124 3.50    
 
MVR-6   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Sep26 Sep04 Apr24 Apr01 Mar11 (bailey ricar)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
2  RANDELLO Oct03 Sep11 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  JOKEMEISTER Aug29 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May20 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 9% 10.70    
4  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Sep26 Apr25 Jun02 Apr26 Mar28 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
5  ROCKSTAR RO Sep19 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 11% 8.20    
6  FLIPPING FISH Sep19 Sep02 Aug12 Jul02 Jun22 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 2.00 57% 0.70    
7  FIRST SONG Aug30 Jul30 Jun22 Jun10 May15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
8  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Oct01 Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00    
 
MVR-7   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTANGO Oct07 Sep16 Jul05 Jun01 May07 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIMESATAPPIN May06 Apr23 Feb20 Feb01 Jan03 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MEXITEXAFORNIA Oct07 Sep09 Aug15 Jul24 Jun12 (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
4  LAST COOKIE Sep29 Sep09 Aug19 Aug01 Jul16 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Aug21 Aug11 (kocijan m)HERNANDEZ H 126 15.00    
6  TAP VALLEY Oct07 Sep16 Aug12 Jul24 Jun12 (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 121 3.50    
7  MASTER OF THE NITE Sep30 Aug19 Jul30 Jul05 Jun19 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 121 15.00    
8  LUPO'S LEGACY Dec07 Nov18 Nov03 Aug20 Jul31 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
9  PLAIN AND SIMPLE Sep30 Sep09 Aug28 May26   (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 121 12.00    
10  BE ON NOTICE Oct07 Oct01 Sep11 Sep01 Aug12 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 6.00    
11  HUB Sep24 Jun02 May09 Apr27   (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-8   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRYCANE DON Oct07 Aug28 May10     (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 121 20.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WILD ISLAND STORM by WILD HORSES)
2  BYRTHDAY BOY Oct04         (erwin andre)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 20.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of DADDY SAID by FIVE STAR DAY)
3  RUN PANCITA Oct07 Aug28       (morales saul )BRACHO A 123 3.50 13% 6.70    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of DAYLIGHT KATY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  FORMYBOYS Oct11 Sep30 Sep09 Aug28 Jul29 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
5  MOONSHINE JOE Sep30 Aug28 Jun20     (radosevich j)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MOONSHINE PROMISE by WILL HE SHINE)
6  FORT GRANDE Oct07 Sep16 Aug28     (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by FORT LARNED out of RAIN FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  VERNON'S BEST Oct11 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 123 5.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
8  INDY'S HOPE Oct11 Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of WITHALITTLEHOPE by HOLD ME BACK)
SCR  FATHER FRANK Oct04 Sep21 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 10.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of HOLY HABIT by HOLY BULL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.