Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - October 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/2/1)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2/1)-(5/6/1)-(6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(6/5/2)-(3/8/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(3/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(3/8/7/6)-(1/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/7/6)-(1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/6)-(1/4/7)-(5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(5/2/4)-(6/3/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/1/4)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORO DE MORO MORO Sep11 Sep03 Aug06 Jul18 Jul02 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  VAIL OF HONOR Sep17 Sep02 Aug15 Jul15 Jul01 (higham nicole)TOLEDO S 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  CASUAL ATTIRE Sep17 Aug22 Aug02 Jun22 May29 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 121 4.50    
4  RED HEAD KID Sep17 Aug30 Jul30 Jun22 May23 (fe)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  TIER ONE Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 Jul18 Jun28 (fletcher jeff)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00 14% 6.30    
6  AULD LANGE SYNE Aug29 Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 May20 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 121 12.00    
7  WETZEL Sep17 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 Jun22 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 3.00    
8  MISSION CONTROL Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 Jul11 Jun27 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 54% 0.80    
 
TDN-2   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Sep16 Aug23 Aug05 Jul19 Jun26 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  LUCKY VICTOR Sep16 Aug26 Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 115 5.00 ★    
3  JODHPUR Sep26 Sep05 Feb15 Sep05 Aug15 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
SCR  LONE BOY Sep16 Aug26 Aug23 Aug10 Jun27 (bookman don)NUNEZ Y 119 30.00    
5  BOLD BUCKEYE Sep19 Aug28       (poole m)BRACHO A 123 3.00 55% 0.80    
6  COLOR BEARER Sep16 Aug26 Aug01 Jul23 Jul04 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
7  MAMAS HOME COOKING Sep19 Aug31 Aug15 Jul15 May31 (cline )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
8  OLLIE'S FOLLY Sep04 Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 May13 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 117 2.00    
 
TDN-3   10/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNT ON ME Sep24 Sep12       (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MIDTOWN MISS by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  BIONIC SAINT         (faulkner c)PEREZ A 118 12.00 6% 15.90    
  (by BIONDETTI out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
SCR  CATTY REMARK Sep24         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  WAVES OF LIBERTY Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 Jul04 Jun20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.80    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
5  GABADOST Sep24         (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by FORT LARNED out of THIRST FOR TRUTH by STAY THIRSTY)
6  MOBIL ENSIGN Sep24 Sep12 Aug22 Aug06   (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 118 2.00 54% 0.80    
  (by MOBIL out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
7  IAMAMASON Sep12 Aug22 Aug06 Jul01   (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 118 4.50    
  (by DRILL out of CINDINI by BERNARDINI)
 
TDN-4   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONE TEN Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul24 Jul11 (vecchio caryn)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00    
2  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Sep27 Sep10 Jul31 Jul21 Jun22 (sanchez-salomon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
3  DOUGIE D ORO Aug12 Jun02 May15 Nov21 Oct29 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  HIP HIP HOORAY Aug10 Jul16 Jun07 May15 Aug18 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
5  NIKOLAOU Sep10 Aug13 Jun16 May04 Feb23 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 4.50    
6  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Sep11 Aug20 May22 May01 Mar11 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SO DIALED IN Sep11 Aug20 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 11% 7.70    
8  TIME TO SHOOT Sep11 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 Oct13 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
 
TDN-5   10/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID RUSSELL Nov28 Oct10 Sep19 Aug14 Jul27 (juarez lorenz)BRACHO A 123 2.00 49% 1.10    
2  FOREIGN Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
3  SPIN DOCTOR Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Dec04 Nov21 (winters mich)HALDAR J 123 3.50    
4  UPGRADE AL Aug27 Jul04 Feb21 Jan31 Dec14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00 15% 5.80    
5  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Sep26 Sep17 Sep04 Aug12 Jun27 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.50    
SCR  AFLEET O ME Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 Jun05 (flores christia)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
7  GIV'EM THE BIZ Sep19 Aug12 May30 May01 Apr01 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   10/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY DIVISION Sep10 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 8.00    
2  SWEET LEMON DROP Sep18 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Jul03 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 10% 8.90    
3  EAGLE NEST Sep18 Aug27 Jul10 Jun17 May23 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00    
4  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Sep19 Aug12 Jul17 Jul10 May28 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPEEDY MOBILE Aug13 Jul25 Jan23 Nov07 Oct11 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  STONE COLD CAT Sep18 Aug29 Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 121 2.00    
 
TDN-7   10/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY RUCKUS Sep25 Aug07 Dec26 Sep21 Aug30 (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 17% 4.90    
2  TAMMY'S TOY Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 Jun27 (brown glenr)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 5.00    
3  HOTROD BOBBY Sep04 Feb14 Jan24 Dec28 Nov27 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
4  OHIO STRONG May09 Mar25 Mar06 Feb06 Jan15 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DANCE DRAMA Sep16 Sep03 Jun30 Jun17 May26 (flores christia)BOWEN ROCCO 116 3.50    
6  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Sep18 Aug28 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  HARSH TRUTH Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul18 Jun27 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DANIELA Sep18 Sep02 Aug07 Jul14 Jan11 (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00    
2  ROLLIN FREEDOM Sep23 Aug28 Aug10 Jul23 Jul02 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 117 4.00 ★    
SCR  LACY QUEEN Sep06 Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 Jun15 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 119 15.00    
4  AZ WE SPEAK Sep02 Aug10 Jun18 Jun03 May18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 19% 4.40    
5  VAL'S TWINSTAR Aug26 Jul23 Jul01     (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 117 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  SHE'S A SOLDIER Sep02 Aug10 Jul22 Jun18 May24 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Sep18 Sep02 Aug15 Aug07 Jul17 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
8  SHADY BABY Sep06 Aug21 Jul25 May15 Mar27 (aguirre juan)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.