Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - March 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(4/5/3)-(3/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(3/2/5)-(5/1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/1/4/2)-(6/2/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/2)-(6/2/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/2)-(6/2/7/1)-(1/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/1)-(1/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/1)-(1/9/7)-(4/11/2/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/7)-(1/9/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/7)-(1/9/7/4/5)-(1/9/7/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/9/7)-(4/11/2/9/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7)-(4/11/2/9/7)-(6/12/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/11/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/11/2/9/7)-(4/11/2/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/11/2/9/7)-(4/11/2/9/7)-(4/11/2/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/11/2/9/7)-(6/12/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-8   WIN (6/12/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/12/4/1)-(6/12/4/1/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/12/4/1)-(6/12/4/1/11)-(6/12/4/1/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   03/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEQUAYA Oct31 Sep04 Aug23 Aug17 Jul27 (cook brian)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 6.00    
ALLOTROPE Feb02 Jan12 Nov21 Oct18 Aug30 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
MISS TENA MARIE Nov10 Oct24 Oct03 Sep16 Jun27 (burdes)BAILON JADHIR 116 5.00    
ALEXANDRA'S SONG Feb21 Dec26 Nov11 May23 Apr07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Feb23 Feb12 Oct24 Oct03 Sep16 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 109 10.00    
GABRIELLA ATTACK Nov18 Sep12 Aug27 Jun20 May30 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
RUN BAMBI RUN Jan11 Dec09 Nov21 Jul30   (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-2   03/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT HIGHWAY Mar23 Dec12 Nov08 Oct06 Sep28 (ramos francisc)COLON H 122 6.00    
SMILE LIKE KYLE Feb17 Jan06 Nov18 Nov04 Aug28 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
PERFUMER Jan11 Nov29 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 (quinonez max)FELIX E 122 8.00 6% 14.60    
ROUNDER Jan31 Jul07 Apr28 Mar09 Feb17 (van t)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
IZEONDEC Mar08 Jan26 Dec17 Nov30 Nov04 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 115 1.60 8% 10.90    
PALHACO Mar02 Feb10 Jan18 Dec20 Nov26 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 116 4.50    
 
HAW-3   03/31/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Jan06 Dec08 Nov25 Oct28 Jun03 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00    
SHEZ RECKLESS Jun22 May25 Apr18 Apr02 Mar05 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
LILY'S WOOFY Mar23 Feb29 Feb03 Jan12 Nov07 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
JOLIE RULER Dec12 Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 (ramos francisc)COLON H 122 3.50    
STACK SHACK Jan04 Dec10 Nov18 Sep28 Sep03 (cook brian)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
I LUV THIS BAR Nov14 Sep05 Aug26 Aug01 Jul15 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
 
HAW-4   03/31/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELEN MAE'S SONG Feb01 Dec21 Jul06 May30 May02 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
TAP N TWINE Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 Jun18 May28 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
LOONA LUV Feb28 Feb07 Dec05 Nov13 Oct31 (cook brian)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
COOKIN ROSES Nov14 Oct17 Sep23 Sep05 Aug19 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
GO STORMIN GIRL Jan03 Oct23 Sep26 Aug31 Jul26 (cook brian)EMIGH A 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
SHEZA HOOT Oct03 Sep16 Aug23 Aug12 Aug03 (perez manny)LOPEZ A 122 10.00    
AUNT STELLA Mar23 Nov14 Oct31 Sep26 Sep09 (castro isidr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
 
HAW-5   03/31/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON TEDDY Mar23 Nov13 Nov01 Sep04 Aug23 (reyes martin)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 8% 11.90    
BOISE Feb10 Jan17 Jan04 Dec08 Nov17 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
UNCAPTURED PULSE Oct07 Sep23 Sep16 Sep07 Aug23 (perez manny)COLON H 122 8.00    
MEDAL OF FACT Oct31 Sep23 Sep12 Aug02 Jul16 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00    
KINGSWOOD Mar09 Jan27 Dec21 Oct25 Aug21 (arnett jon)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.50    
TIME HEIST Nov20 Oct21 Oct06 Sep15 Aug13 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
RISKY BOY Mar23 Nov01 Oct09 Sep23 Aug30 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 6.00 8% 11.00    
GALLANT BUCK Feb13 Jan12 Dec21 Nov24 Oct17 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 115 10.00    
 
HAW-6   03/31/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVZONAROLL Feb22 Dec21 Dec02 Sep28 Sep06 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
FAST CROSS TRAFFIC Nov07 Oct24 Sep19 Sep02 Aug19 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 122 12.00    
LARRY THE POET Oct15 Aug27 Jul30 Jul12 Jun15 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
VALIANT WEST Jan17 Dec23 Sep17     (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
ELI'S PROMISE Dec08 Oct25 Aug20 Jul31 Jun25 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
DUST DANCER (GB) Jun03 May20 May09 Apr18 Apr06 (bentler don)FELIX E 122 15.00    
CASH FEVER Feb29 Feb03 Jan01 Dec01   (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Jan19 Dec30 Nov21 Oct11 Sep02 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
TWIRLING ROSES Feb12 Jan15 Dec21 Dec02 Oct21 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 3.00 18% 4.40    
 
HAW-7   03/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEEALEA Feb15 Jan15 Nov04 Oct19 Sep26 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 115 10.00    
SUPER WISE Mar14 Jan21 Jan07 Dec08 Nov17 (scherer gary)MOJICA O 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
SCAT SHACK Dec06 Nov20 Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 (ramos francisc)COLON H 122 20.00    
KNIGHT'S CROSS Mar07 Dec29 Nov01 Oct09 Aug23 (van t)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
GLOBAL EMPIRE Nov29 Nov04 Oct17 Oct03 Aug30 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Jan07 Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
ROGUE ELEMENT Jan12 Dec21 Dec01 Sep15 Sep02 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEMINOLE BEACH Nov18 Oct31 Oct17 Sep30 Sep23 (randazzo fr)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 20.00    
C F V WICKED RED Feb01 Dec11 Nov18 Oct29 Sep20 (gonzalez agusti)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Jan27 Dec28 Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00    
11  DAVIDIC LINE Feb15 Dec01 Oct26 Sep23 Sep10 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
HAW-8   03/31/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACIFIC VIEW Jan05 Dec08 Oct25 Sep04 Aug17 (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 12.00 10% 8.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CALL ME PENNY Mar17 Feb16 Jan18 Sep27 Aug23 (caramori eduardo)ORM CORY 124 6.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Mar02 Jan20       (roussel j)MOJICA O 118 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CREME DE CASSIS Jun09 May12 Mar16     (tracy tann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00 10% 8.70    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of CREME DE CACOA by EASYFROMTHEGITGO)
SUPER CHRISTIE Dec03 Sep14 Aug08 Jun17 Jun11 (ackerman d )SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 15.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CHRISTIE VILLAGE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
DI'S SURPRISE         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CHICKASAW GAL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BERNAR MOSA Mar06 Feb07 Jan17 Dec13 Nov02 (maker j)NAVAS YOEL 111 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ROUGHING by ESKENDEREYA)
JOYZELLA Aug27 Aug10 Aug03 Jul16 Jun22 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
CITY SHACK Nov15 Oct25       (burdess t)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 30.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of HAVANA STROLL by STROLL)
10  BEAUTY OF THE NILE         (morey e)FELIX E 124 6.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of CHELSEA MARKET by VERRAZANO)
11  ALDORA Jan03 Dec06 Oct29 Sep16   (catalano m)EMIGH A 118 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of WINTER DAWN by SKY MESA)
12  FAST N HAPPY Jan06 Dec22 Nov26 Sep24 Aug18 (young r)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 25% 3.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE FAST FROG by FIRST SAMURAI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.