Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - February 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MVR-2   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(2/1)-(7/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(7/6/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(7/6/5/4)-(2/1/6/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/4)-(2/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/4)-(2/1/6/3)-(5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/3)-(5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/3)-(5/3/1)-(8/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(8/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/3)-(8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A SOLDIER Feb06 Jan09 Dec11 Aug03 Jul05 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 126 3.00 6% 16.20    
2  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Jan09 Dec11 Sep13 Aug15 Aug03 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 2.50 ★    
3  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Jan30 Jan15 Dec14 Nov29 Oct30 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 118 2.00 62% 0.60    
4  CRYSTAL M Nov29 Oct23 Sep16 Oct31 Oct05 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
5  EXTRA CRAFTY Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 Aug30 Aug09 (guciardo robert)RIVERA R 126 5.00    
6  SUPER SCAMP Jan09 Dec11 Sep13 Aug05 Jul05 (cline c)DIAZ R 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKES SENSE TO ME Feb13 Nov16 Oct28 Oct17 Sep26 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 4.50    
SCR  TIMELY SECRET Jan11 Dec03 Oct01 Jul22 Jun04 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
SCR  PLANET FROLIC Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 Nov02 Oct18 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60    
4  LUCKY COUGAR Feb15 Jan31 Dec28 Dec02 Nov22 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00 ★    
SCR  LOST BIKINI Jan11 Dec19 Nov23 Oct01 Aug22 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 4.00    
 
MVR-3   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERVIEW STEVIE Jan30 Jan08 Dec13 Nov29 Nov19 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
SCR  RUN RAEGAN RUN Jan13 Dec01 Nov09 Oct15 Sep09 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
SCR  GIN N SIN Jan11 Nov07 Oct15 Sep23 Sep14 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
4  CURIOSITY KILLS Feb13 Jan30 Jan08 Dec05 Nov07 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
5  OOPSIE DOOPSIE Feb01 Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 May07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
6  O K BABY Jan25 Jan04 Dec05 Nov19 Oct24 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISS SHADY Feb07 Jan25 Jan11 Dec11 Dec03 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
MVR-4   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY LU WHO Feb06 Dec04 Jul22 Jun23 Jun07 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  CANDY ISLAND Feb06 Jan18 Dec05 Oct25 Sep20 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  LIBERTY BELLE Feb03 Jan11 Dec19 Dec05 Nov20 (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 4.00    
SCR  DUNVEGAN DOLL Jan09 Dec05 Nov09 Oct10 Sep20 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
5  HONEY BELLA Jan24 Jan12 Dec06 Nov15 Sep30 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
6  SHEISTHEHERO Aug06 Jul12 Jun11 Jun07 May22 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUNNETH OVER Nov29 Nov07 Sep27 Sep15 Aug19 (bates l)AVILES YAN 126 20.00    
2  XHILARATINGPURPOSE Nov27         (poole c)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 15.00    
3  BROADWAY CHARM Feb06 Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 Nov15 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 15.00    
4  CITRINA Feb12 Jan03 Dec16 Nov30 Nov11 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 118 8.00 15% 5.90    
5  BIG R. NAUFFAL Feb12 Jan12 Nov27 Oct21   (farrior )MARTINEZ A 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  MALI BALI Feb12 Jan24 Dec27 Nov29 Nov07 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 21% 3.90    
7  WORKING HOLIDAY Feb12 Nov30 Nov10 Oct26 Oct05 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
8  XPENSIVE PRINCESS Nov27         (poole ja)FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00    
SCR  DOUBLE OVERTIME Oct03 Sep06 Jul10 Apr14   (reed r)HALDAR J 126 3.50    
10  TEST YOUR FAITH Feb15 Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct11 (wade justin)VEGA L 126 12.00    
 
MVR-6   02/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARSH TRUTH Feb08 Jan24 Dec28 Dec11 Nov27 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
2  YIPPEE KI YAY Feb14 Jan25 Dec28 Nov27 Jun15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  ORLEANS STORM Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 (tumblin )MARTINEZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAPPY TAKEOVER Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 Dec11 Aug10 (campbell anthon)VEGA L 124 15.00    
5  NOAH MY BABY Feb08 Jan10 Dec19 Nov16 Oct31 (poole m)AVILES YAN 116 1.80    
6  SLICK EDDIE Feb08 May22 Jan04 Dec19 Dec03 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 5% 18.00    
7  TAMMY'S TOY Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 Jan17 Nov14 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   02/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADESH Feb01 Jan18 May23 Feb27 Jan31 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
2  TUFF ATTACK Feb05 Jan23 Jan08 Dec26 Dec18 (romero jose )TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
3  BOBBY'S GIFT Feb08 Jan10 Dec27 Dec07 Feb16 (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  SEND ME ON Jan23 Jan02 Dec04 Oct09 Sep12 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 128 4.00    
5  STRIKE THE TOP Jan23 Nov27 Oct31 Oct10 Oct01 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
6  T MONEY Feb14 Jan11 Dec14 Nov22 Aug22 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 122 10.00    
SCR  PERFETTO Feb15 Dec05 Oct23 Oct11 Jul10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 8.00    
SCR  NOT YET CHARLIE Feb21 Feb07 Jan04 Dec10 Nov01 (cline c)RIVERA R 126 3.00    
 
MVR-8   02/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRONTLINER Jan18 Jan03 Nov13 Oct17 Sep06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
SCR  TWO GUNS Feb14 Jan15 Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 6.00    
3  ESTILO FAVORITO Feb12 Jan22 Jan01 Dec19 Dec04 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  APACHE Jan31 Jan15 Jan03 Nov26 Nov13 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
SCR  FREE SQUARE Feb05 Dec29 Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
SCR  BAD LITTLE BEAST Nov19 Oct25 Oct05 Sep04 Aug17 (londono j)AVILES YAN 122 12.00    
7  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Jan31 Jan15 Dec20 Nov29 Nov06 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
8  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Feb14 Jan31 Dec14 Nov02 Sep23 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.