Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (8/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1)-(8/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/1)-(9/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/1)-(9/3/10)-(9/8/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (9/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/10)-(9/3/2/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/3/10)-(9/3/2/10)-(9/3/2/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/3/10)-(9/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/10)-(9/8/7/5)-(7/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (9/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/5)-(9/8/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/5)-(9/8/7/4/5)-(9/8/7/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/7/5)-(7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/7/5)-(7/4/6)-(3/6/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(3/6/4/1)-(4/1/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/9/1)-(3/6/4/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/4/1)-(4/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(4/1/10)-(1/5/10/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/10)-(4/1/9/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/10)-(4/1/9/8/10)-(4/1/9/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/10)-(1/5/10/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/10)-(1/5/10/4/6)-(4/6/3/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/5/10/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/10/4/6)-(1/5/10/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/10/4/6)-(1/5/10/4/6)-(1/5/10/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/10/4/6)-(4/6/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/10/4/6)-(4/6/3/10)-(4/10/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/6/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/10)-(4/6/3/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/10)-(4/6/3/2/10)-(4/6/3/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/3/10)-(4/10/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/10/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/2)-(4/10/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/2)-(4/10/6/1/2)-(4/10/6/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Nov29 Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 Sep06 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 10.00 8% 11.40    
2  MONTANA JOYCE Dec06 Nov25 Nov02 May25 May03 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 30.00    
3  LIL ANNIE ROSE Nov24 Oct08 Aug06 Jul01 Jun04 (ubide max)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.50    
4  DANCE STEP Dec06 Nov15 Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
5  R LOVE ON THE RUN Dec06 Nov22 Oct19 Sep15 Aug19 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50    
6  TRULY A DREAM Dec06 Nov22 Oct18 Jul06 Jun21 (mendieta al)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 20.00    
7  BEAST BUNNY Oct24 Oct09 Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 (fisher david)FELICIANO R 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
8  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Nov22 Oct04 Sep21 Aug18 Jul07 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
TAM-2   12/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEST ABOVE Sep06 Aug26 Aug16 Jul26 Jul04 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
2  GREENPOINT Dec01 Sep24 Jun11 May07 Apr08 (hunt donald)ALLEN D 120 5.00 ★    
3  GARY'S FLYING LION Dec08 Nov17 Oct01 Sep08 Jul28 (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
4  ACTION DREAM Dec09 Nov25 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 (dobber a)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 30.00    
5  THE GOLDEN ONE Dec13 Nov25 Oct25 Oct14 Sep02 (lopez mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 12.00    
SCR  GENERAL COMMAND Dec13 Aug20 Jul29 Apr22 Apr12 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 113 5.00    
SCR  WILLIAM GUSTAVO Nov18 Aug10 Jul24 Feb11 Jan20 (ramirez jos)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00    
8  WOOTDAREITIS Dec02 Nov10 Oct14 Sep15 Sep01 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
9  SENTIR ZULIANO Dec01 Aug25 Jul07 Jun01 Mar15 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
10  STELLWAGEN BANKER Oct27 Oct14 Sep27 Sep16 Sep01 (lopez mario )GARCIA GEOVANY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CADILLAC BLACK         (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00    
 
TAM-3   12/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINING STONE Dec16 Oct25 Oct05 Sep22 Sep10 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 20.00    
2  RAGMAN Oct08 Sep25 Aug26 Jun25   (philipp karyn)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
3  NOBLE HERO Dec06         (dobber a)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 30.00    
4  TWO MINUTES APART Dec06 Oct13 Aug23 Aug11 Jul15 (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 ★    
5  BUFFALO SPIRIT Nov25 Oct20 Aug13     (pompay terri)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  AMERICAN LAD Jun27 Sep03       (crook-demasi ka)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
7  GUN RIGHT Dec06 May20 Apr16 Mar10   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
8  SPANISH NOBLE Dec06 Oct06 Jan27 Jan06   (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
9  MINTENON Dec06 Oct13 Sep29 Sep02 Aug23 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
10  ADIOS JOE Jan07 Sep24       (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 121 30.00    
SCR  SIR DANIEL Dec09 Nov12 Oct15 Sep10   (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 121 8.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Dec09 Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr02 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 117 6.00    
SCR  FLAVIAN Apr02 Dec09 Oct30 Sep17 Aug12 (smith g)CENTENO E 124 10.00    
SCR  TIMO Dec16 Oct22 Sep28 Aug24 Jul28 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 124 2.00    
 
TAM-4   12/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS BABY Sep22 Aug27 May18 Apr14 Mar11 (vinson g)FERRER C 120 4.50    
2  BERAVINA Oct12 Aug17 Jul05 Jun18 May23 (stormfelt jul)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 15.00    
3  MERCY WARREN Nov04 Sep30 Aug28 Jul23 Jun30 (o'connor r)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 ★    
4  NIGHT CAP Aug29 May28 Mar24 Feb18 Jan14 (bennett g)VARGAS A 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  MAMA MARIA Nov17 Aug19 Jul15 Jun16 Apr28 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
6  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Nov24 Sep16 Mar11 Feb11 Jan11 (bennett geral)SOSA LAUREANO 113 5.00 13% 6.70    
7  DREAMSTER Nov24 Aug19 Jul29 Jun25 Apr30 (lightner)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-5   12/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A JOY Nov25 Oct27 Sep09 Aug11 Jul16 (werneth a)KRIGGER K 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLOUDY BAY Sep30 Aug28 Jul22 Jun30 May29 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 15.00    
3  CYMBAL COURT Nov10 Sep24 Jun15 Mar26 Dec09 (orseno joseph )CASTANON L 118 5.00 51% 1.00    
4  GOODBETTERBEST Dec03 Sep21 Sep08 Apr13 Mar26 (gutierrez fa)MORELOS E 118 8.00 7% 13.80    
5  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Dec01 Nov03 Oct08     (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 118 5.00    
6  SARATOGA GAZE Dec01 Oct06 Aug27 Jul13 May28 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
7  ARMONIA Dec15 Nov24 Jul08 Jun10 May21 (suarez wlai)OLIVEROS CARLOS 118 30.00    
8  REBEL CONSORT Dec01 Nov09 Oct06 Sep16 Sep06 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00    
9  PROFIT HUNTER Aug21 Jul17       (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  NELIDA Dec01 Aug20 Jul21     (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
 
TAM-6   12/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COPPER BOUND Dec02 Nov22 Oct18 Aug31 Jul04 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 32% 2.20    
2  CAJUN GAL         (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 112 20.00    
3  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 Oct08 Sep10 (munoz carlos)CASTANON L 119 5.00    
4  THREE RUN BOLT Dec02         (bennett s)FERRER C 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
5  SOFSTER Dec02 Oct25 Oct06 Sep21 Sep01 (hayford je)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00    
6  BELLY DANCE Dec08 Nov12 Sep28 Sep06 Aug18 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
7  MOR FOXY Dec08         (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00    
8  CALI CRUISER         (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 ★    
9  LADY KHOZ Dec08 Nov10       (laurato mich)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 ★    
10  GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  MACHO GIRL Dec08         (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 15.00    
12  BUCCHANERA Jul21         (torres r)DIAZ S 119 30.00    
SCR  COLLECTED DREAMS Dec09 May30       (munoz carlos)GALVAN JHAIR 119 15.00    
 
TAM-7   12/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONVERSING Nov08 Oct13 Oct02 Aug20   (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  HENDRICKSON Nov18 Oct09 Aug22 Jul15   (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 4.50    
3  THE SKIPSTER Sep15 Sep02 Jul27 Jul06 Apr22 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 121 15.00    
4  WILLOW WOOD Nov16 Jun17 May29 Feb15 Jan21 (delacour a)SANCHEZ J 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  FLAWLESS BOURBON Dec01 Oct09 Sep18 Sep12 Aug29 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 8.00 16% 5.40    
6  E MINOR Oct26 Sep18 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD Sep09 Sep02 Aug12 Aug04 Jun03 (pompay t)GALLARDO A 121 6.00    
8  ROCKINGHAM JOE Oct27 Oct08 Aug19 Aug02 Jul14 (downing william)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
SCR  SIR TERRE Nov12 Oct22 Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 (sacco gregory )CASTANON L 121 8.00    
10  INITFORTHELOVE May29 Mar25 Feb25 Feb11 Jan21 (bennett s)FERRER C 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  READY TO FLY Dec01 Sep04 Jul30 Jul21 Jun25 (mcburney )VARGAS A 121 8.00    
SCR  MR MATUSCHEK Oct28 Oct05 Sep15 Aug26 Jul27 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 10.00    
SCR  POSSIBLEMENTE Nov18 Oct16 May30 Apr21 Mar12 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  DARK AND FITZY Dec06 Nov04 Oct12 Sep01 Aug19 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 12.00    
 
TAM-8   12/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADMIRAL CURL         (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DOTHRAKI SEA by UNION RAGS)
2  FUJIN Oct12 Jul30 Jul07 May14 Mar26 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SEASONED by PULPIT)
3  BANG A RANG Oct25 Oct12       (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of LIVINGSTON'S LADY by MR. LIVINGSTON)
4  OVER THE SURFACE         (weaver g)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LA MADRINA by TAPIT)
5  SECRET TREASURE Jun09 May14 Apr08 Jan21 Dec26 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
6  VALIANT WEST Sep17         (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by WEST COAST out of RUN AND GO by UNION RAGS)
7  BROADCASTER (IRE)         (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BIRD FU by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
8  BLACK SHAMAN Jul16         (rondon-mora)ORTIZ A 122 30.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of SAHARA BREEZE by MORE THAN READY)
9  ANGER RISING         (gulick jam)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HOUSE OF DIXIE by WAR FRONT)
10  CAPITAN GEORGE         (ramirez j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of WITCHESOFWESTFIELD by CAPE CANAVERAL)
 
TAM-9   12/23/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE SHALL SEE         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SHARE THE MUSIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  ROULA'S REVENGE         (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MISS TEN K         (caramori caio)JARA FERNANDO 122 12.00    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of IMPERIAL LANE by IMPERIALISM)
4  SIRIUS LIGHT Oct29 Nov10 Sep01 Aug05 Jun29 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FLATBOW by BROKEN VOW)
5  TABOR TIME Nov18 Sep23       (crook-demasi ka)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WHISKEY TAIL by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  DIAMONDS JOY         (gulick jam)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 5% 17.30    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DIAMONDINTHECENTER by GEMOLOGIST)
7  TEDDY BALABAN         (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 124 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SUNRISE KITTY by COWTOWN CAT)
SCR  CHERIE AMOUR Oct26 Oct05       (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GIFT OF GLORY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
9  JORDI'S DREAM Aug31 Aug18 Jun30     (manchan bertr)SOSA LAUREANO 115 12.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TIZ WORLDLY by TIZNOW)
10  PRINCESS BRITNI Oct23         (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by GIRVIN out of BLUESVILLE by BRING THE HEAT)
11  REE Oct08 Jul21 Jun16 Dec18 Nov26 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of ATTEMPT TO NAME by CONSOLIDATOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.