Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - December 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(1/6/2)-(3/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(3/4/6)-(1/2/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(1/2/5/7)-(2/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/7)-(2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/7)-(2/1/7)-(6/1/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/7)-(4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/7)-(4/1)-(1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/5/8/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/5/8/6/1)-(4/5/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/3)-(4/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/1/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
AQU-9   WIN (4/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY Nov12 Oct28 Jul02 Jun04 May11 (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 121 3.00 9% 9.80    
2  GROWTH MINDSET Nov24 Nov02 Oct13 Jan29 Dec17 (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
3  I LOVE CARA Nov09 Nov02 Aug17     (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.50    
4  NO SURRENDER Nov12 Oct13       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00    
5  GOLDEN PURCHASE Nov09 Nov02 Oct05 Aug17 Jul19 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 6.00    
6  UNION TAP Nov09 Jul19 Jun18 Apr15 Mar18 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00 7% 13.70    
7  A LISTER Nov19 Sep21 Aug23 Jun18 Nov06 (pringle edmu)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
 
AQU-2   12/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACE ABARRIO Nov16 Oct07 Aug26 Aug18 Jul23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
2  OPPORTUNITY SET Nov09 Oct15 Sep14 Aug04 Mar03 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 11% 8.10    
3  MASTERWORK Nov09 Mar31 Mar19 Feb19   (klesar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
4  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Nov10 Oct22 Oct05 Aug25 Aug05 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
5  THANK YOU JON Nov11 Oct20 Sep04 Aug05 Jul07 (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00    
6  DEPUTY CONNECT Nov02 Oct19 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 27% 2.60    
 
AQU-3   12/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KINGDOM Nov11 Oct24 May24 Apr15 Mar11 (jacob)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 2.50    
SCR  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Nov10 Nov02 Jul04 May13 May05 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50    
2  BURN JAKEY BURN Nov16 Nov02 Aug17 Jul08 Jul17 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
3  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Nov02 Oct06 Sep16 Aug31 Aug17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  CAUSES TROUBLE Oct24 Sep20 Sep06 Aug28 Jul24 (wyner )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  BOBBY THE TANK May21 Apr27 Feb20 Jan01 Dec04 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
6  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Nov10 Oct27 Oct05 Sep09 Aug13 (wilson fai)RIVERA R 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   12/01/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD BANKER Nov04 Oct05 Sep17 Aug02 Jun11 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 51% 0.90    
1A  STYNER Oct17 Sep06 Aug25 Jul24 Jun26 (englehart jeffr)RUIZ ELISEO 116 1.20    
2  BOBBY G Nov12 Oct18 Oct04 Aug02 Jul22 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 15% 5.80    
3  HANG TIGHT Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 Sep03 Aug02 (romero jes)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
4  LORD GATLING Nov04 Oct21 Sep17 Aug03 Jul01 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
5  COOL QUARTET Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 Sep08 Jul08 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 14% 6.30    
6  ACHILLES HEEL Nov11 Oct07 Aug16 Jul22 Jul03 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00    
7  DONTBELATE Oct21 Oct12 Aug05 Jul19 May18 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   12/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIKITIS Sep28 Sep03 Aug13     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 25% 3.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of THE GIRL FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
2  CURLIN'S GIRL Nov05         (dutrow anthon)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 46% 1.20    
  (by CURLIN out of QUALITY ROCKS by ROCK HARD TEN)
3  KATHYNMARISSA         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LA DALILA by MILT'S OVERTURE)
4  VERY PRACTICAL         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of WITH INTENTION by REGAL INTENTION)
5  WHOCOULDASKFORMO         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MIDNIGHT BELLE by BERNARDINI)
6  WYNNING TOUCH Oct14         (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WYNNING RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  EXTRA DIRTY Nov24 Oct14 Aug13     (chatterpau)RIVERA R 114 20.00 8% 11.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CLASSIC VISION by MUNNINGS)
 
AQU-6   12/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICY FLAVOR Nov11 Oct20 Sep01 Nov20 Oct15 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
2  TEN CENT TOWN Oct15 Aug12 Jul10 Jun18 Apr22 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
3  DR. KRAFT Aug15 Jun26 May14 Apr22 Mar31 (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5% 17.50    
4  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Oct15 Aug31 Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
5  MY MAN MATTY Feb25 Feb05 Jan12 Nov27   (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00    
6  SIGNAL CORPS Mar04         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  FORWARD MOTION Oct09 Sep20 Aug28 Jul31 Jul12 (ferraro )DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  PRINCE OF TRUTH Oct28 Sep04 Aug17     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-7   12/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORGAY Jul16 Jun18 May21 May13 Apr20 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRUEBELIEVE Oct13 Sep16 Sep10 Jun02 Oct13 (barrera )DAVIS A 121 12.00    
2  CHEEKY TICO Oct15 Sep22 Jul03 Jun04 May13 (noda orlando)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00    
3  GRANDPA'S KID Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 Aug26 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
4  AMANI'S EAGLE Nov16 Oct13 Aug31 Aug10 Jun29 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 74% 0.30    
5  UNION LIGHTS Oct15 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 ★    
6  M B'S MUNNING Nov17 Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 8.00 ★    
7  SALUTE TO AMERICA May07 Apr13 Mar05 Feb19 Jan27 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
8  REGALITY Mar30 Feb10 Jan14 Jan02 Dec14 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 116 5.00 ★    
9  PRINCE OF JOY Oct15 Sep22 Jul16 Jun18 May21 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 30.00    
10  BLU GROTTO Oct13 Sep22 Jul03 May13 Feb17 (rodriguez ru)HARKIE K 121 15.00    
 
AQU-8   12/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET WILLEMINA Nov11 Oct27 Sep20 Sep04 Aug29 (lake a)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 67% 0.50    
2  EVIDENCIAS (BRZ) Oct27         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
3  CAIRO SUGAR Oct29 Oct06 Jul24 Jul02 Jun21 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOSIENKO Oct12 Aug19 Jul20 Jun16 May14 (lalman den)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
5  HOT FUDGE Jun16 May07 Apr16 Mar18 Jan29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.40 ★    
6  MOVIE MOXY Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 Mar25 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50    
 
AQU-9   12/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROUBLED LUCK Nov10 Oct13       (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 30% 2.30    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  SNARKY Oct12 Sep01 Aug10     (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of ELBA'S FIRST by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  HANDLE ON YOU Oct29 Oct01 Aug30     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 13% 6.80    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ARCH ROYAL by ARCH)
4  PRINCESS VINO         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 31% 2.30    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LUNAR GAZE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PHOTO FINISH Oct21         (cruz jesus)RIVERA R 114 4.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SUPER MAMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  ZHEN LOU         (d'alessandro)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of LOUWALA CLOUGH by DON'T GET MAD)
7  FLIGHT CONTROL         (klesaris robert)RUIZ ELISEO 114 20.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SENORITA MARGARITA by SECRETARY OF WAR)
8  SPEIGHTS DANCE Nov09 Nov02 Sep16     (duggan p)LUZZI J 119 5.00 5% 17.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of NESSELRODE by LEMON DROP KID)
9  H M S VICTORY Nov16 Jul02       (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
10  FIVE TO TWO         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of PAS DE DEUCE by CURLIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.