Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Saratoga
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-3   Win (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (3/9/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (3/10/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (1/2/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (7/5/1/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUNNINGLY Jun23 Apr07 Sep04 Jul04   (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 8% 11.70    
2  FEATHERING         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  DARK PRINCESS May26 May12       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
4  SISTER MAHA         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  REVOLVING CREDIT         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
SCR  LITTLE PRANKSTER Jun24 Jun03 May02     (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
7  MS. SOLVEIG May28 Apr30 Mar12 Aug25 Jul27 (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 6% 16.70    
8  PORTAGE Jun23 May20 Mar16     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
 
SAR-2   07/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WALSTIB         (mcpeek g)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  LINDSAY'S BUTTON         (lynch natalia)TORRES A 114 15.00    
3  ASTRONOMICO Jun24 Jun04       (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 119 8.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  MUCHO DE LA MANCHA         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
5  HONEST AL         (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
6  CATIRE VIZCAYA         (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 119 8.00    
7  ANTONIO OF VENICE Jun23 May12       (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.60 32% 2.10    
8  GROUP TICKET Jul02 Jun17       (sweezey kent)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
 
SAR-3   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING JAMES (IRE) Jun24 May21 Apr29 Mar04 Feb11 (summers chad)ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
SCR  GIRAMONTE May26 Jan21 Jan01 Nov26 Nov05 (gyarmati leah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 30.00    
SCR  HEYMACKIT'SJACK May26 May13 Mar17 Feb22 Jan21 (kimmel c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
4  WAR TERMINATOR Jun23 Jun09 Jan22 Dec30 Oct30 (contessa c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00    
5  HIGHLY FLAMMABLE Jun24 May28 Apr23 Jun11 Apr09 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  SANDRONE May13 Apr15 Nov26 Oct30 Aug25 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
7  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Jul15 May28 Apr29 Nov20 Oct06 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 13% 6.90    
8  DESTIN'S MISSION Jul02 Jun18 May01 Mar29 Jan03 (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 17% 5.10    
SCR  CAMM' DUKE Jun09 Mar31 Mar05 Feb11 Jan21 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  JESTER'S SONG Jun24 May12 May05 Mar10 Dec17 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.00    
 
SAR-4   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Jul04 May26 Apr27 Mar26 Feb17 (reynolds patrick )CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
2  WITH THIS VOW Jun16 Feb07 Oct30 Oct02 Sep01 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  PRETTI XTREME Apr07 Mar05 Jan28 Dec18 Nov04 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 36% 1.80    
4  GOOD PENNY Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Jan13 Dec16 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
5  HALO CITY Jun02 May26 Apr03 Nov11 Oct27 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
6  GREATEST LOVE Jun22 Apr20 Mar17 Feb26 Jan20 (chatterpaul naipa)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND May11 Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 Jan15 (baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 20.00    
 
SAR-5   07/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN THAT SAINT         (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
2  UNCLE EDDIE Jun28         (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 15% 5.50    
3  CRAZY MASON Jun17         (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
4  BALANCE SHEET         (serpe m)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  COWBOY LUKE         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
6  MAYOR JACK Jun22         (giddings m)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
SCR  RUN JALEN RUN         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
8  THREEWHITESOLDIERS         (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  ROCK STAR BOY Jun04         (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
SAR-6   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAN PANTALEO         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PARADE RING (IRE)         (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE) Jun11         (arnold r)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 70% 0.40    
4  LAMORNA         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
5  IMPUDENCE         (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DANCING NANCY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
7  RAICHU Jun02         (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 119 20.00    
8  NEOM BEACH         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
9  GEMOFAPERFORMANCE         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
10  EVER SO SWEET (IRE)         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  LATER DARLING         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SCR  LIFE'S JOY         (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS Jun10 Apr06 Feb17     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 1.00 60% 0.70    
1A  CALL ME HARRY Jul03 Apr30 Mar10 Feb10 Nov19 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.00    
2  CITIZEN K May29 Apr13 Sep04 Jul16 May21 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 9% 10.50    
3  AGENT CREED Jun23 May28 Nov05 Oct06 Aug20 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
4  CONMAN Jun09 May19 Apr15 Mar11 Oct29 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 18.50    
5  FRANK'S ART May28 Apr27 Nov18 Oct30 Sep04 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
6  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Jun23 May20 Apr22 Mar19 Feb15 (abreu fernan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GHOST GIANT Jun17 May28 Apr27 Mar15 Feb25 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
8  GRADED ON A CURVE Jun06 May17 Mar11 Jan20 Jan04 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Jun23 May28 Dec08 Oct16 Sep24 (duggan p)RIDER TBA 122 15.00    
SCR  THRILL OF IT Jun22 Apr30 Mar24 Jul28 May30 (terranova john)TORRES A 117 8.00    
SCR  WILD BANKER Jun11 May11 Apr14 Mar10 Feb10 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER Jul08 May27 Apr30 Apr14 Mar19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60    
 
SAR-8   07/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSIENKO Jun16 May14 Mar25 Feb10 Dec08 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 23% 3.40    
2  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY May26 Apr30 Apr21 Mar12 Feb12 (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  KNOWING GLANCE Jun10 Apr16 Mar10 Jul31 Jun24 (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
4  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN May14 Apr25 Mar31 Jan29 Jan01 (shirer a)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA Jul07 Jun02 Mar19 Feb05 Jan08 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00    
6  INVALUABLE May11 Apr13 Jan04 Dec08 Nov12 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 8% 11.30    
7  RUVIES IN TIME Jun16 Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 Jan29 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
8  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Jun01 May04 Apr13 Jan22 Jan06 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 9% 9.60    
 
SAR-9   07/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARI GOLD Dec10 Nov06 Oct02 Sep03   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
2  FULL SCREEN Jun04 May07 Nov18 Oct21 Aug28 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
3  LUCKY CURLIN Jul04 May06 Apr01 Feb26 Feb04 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 122 30.00    
4  PINE KNOLL Jul07 Jun15 Mar16 Jan27 Jan07 (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
5  JAMES ALOYSIUS May27 Apr15 Mar08 Apr23   (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
6  SARATOGA FLASH May14 Apr02 Feb12 Dec24 Oct13 (joseph a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00    
7  EXACT ESTIMATE Jun17 Apr26 Mar17 Jun10 Apr24 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 3.50 24% 3.20    
8  TOUGH TICKETS Jun20 May22 May03 Apr11 Mar07 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 20.00    
9  OCALA DREAM May29 May06 Dec04 Oct30 Sep29 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
10  CHASING THE CROWN Jun22 Apr29 Feb25 Jan28 May15 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 10% 9.00    
11  WHISPER NOT (GB) May25 May05 Apr02 Aug04 Jun12 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  NAPOLEONIC WAR Aug28 Jul09 Jun04 May05 Apr08 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
SCR  HIGH TIDE Jun04 Jul14 May13 May06 Apr16 (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
SCR  GUNTOWN May13 Apr22 Mar26 Feb25 Jan29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.80    
 
SAR-10   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GEM MINT TEN Jun18 May14 Apr07 Feb26 Jan26 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
2  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Jun18 May06 Apr07 Nov26 Sep23 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY Jun25 Jun11 Feb18 Jan08 Dec17 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
4  VACATION DANCE Jun18 May20 Apr27 Dec17 Nov05 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
5  MAMA BANNED ME Jun15 May13 Apr14 Jan06 Dec08 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 118 30.00    
6  WILLINTORISKITALL Jun11 May05       (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
7  RAMBLIN' WRECK Jun18 Dec17 Nov26 Oct02 Sep16 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 29% 2.50    
8  TWENTY SIX BLACK Jun18 May13 Apr07 Jul27   (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS May29 Dec17 Oct30 Sep29 Aug26 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.