Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont Park
Saturday - May 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BEL-1   Win (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-2   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BEL-4   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-5   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-6   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-7   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-8   Win (7/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-9   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-10   Win (9/10/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BEL-1   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBSCURED BY CLOUDS Feb27 Dec02 Oct28 Sep18   (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
FRISKY JIM         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
HAPPY BOB Dec15 Nov11 Aug13 Jun26   (schettino dominic)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  RUN DIEM Z         (handal raymon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
SHAKIN THE BELLE         (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 10.00    
TALKIN PHAROAH Apr14 Aug07 Apr20     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 15% 5.60    
AL'S FROSTED         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BEL-2   05/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIPPING GOLD Apr12 Mar05 Nov19 Oct21 Sep05 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 26% 2.90    
1A  Q F SEVENTY FIVE May04 Jun30 Jun03 May06 Feb25 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80    
DAUNT May11 Nov26 Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50    
NIGHT JUMPER Apr16 Mar31 Dec26 Nov05 Sep30 (dini mike)ORTIZ L 126 12.00    
PORTFOLIO COMPANY Apr15 Jan01 Oct29 Aug13 Jun26 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
SPACE LAUNCH Nov19 Sep16 Jul01 May29   (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  TONAL IMPACT Apr29 Apr06 Mar25 Feb19 Jan29 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 124 0.80    
 
BEL-3   05/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROKEN SPUR Mar30 Jul03 May22 Apr03   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.40    
VARIABLE COST (GB) May11         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  YORKSHIRE PRINCE Apr15 Feb18 Jan21 Dec03 Oct22 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
MR FLOWERS         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
GOLDEN PURCHASE May21 May06 Apr21 Apr02 Mar24 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
FIRE BARON Apr01 Mar12 Mar04 Feb18 Feb04 (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 10.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
 
BEL-4   05/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3 ALL PT- 2:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE AND LIGHT May07 Apr15 Mar25 Feb24 Feb03 (pringle)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 12.00    
THUNDERIAN Apr27 Apr15 Mar25 Mar19 Dec02 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
WARRIOR RICHARD Apr23 Mar31 Mar12 Feb09 Jan13 (falcone robert)TORRES A 113 4.50 43% 1.30    
ALTERNATE REALITY Apr21 Mar10 Jan21 Dec29   (englehart )DAVIS A 120 4.00    
WINTERS LION Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 Dec10 Nov16 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 12% 7.70    
SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE May06 Mar11       (cibelli jane)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
 
BEL-5   05/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRABELLA Apr01 Jul01       (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 15% 5.70    
DOUBLE DREAM (BRZ)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
ZAPPERA Apr08         (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
DORAL Apr07 Feb19 Jan22     (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
TRES CHIC (ARG)         (mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
UTILIZATION RATE (FR) Apr08 Mar05       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
EMPATHY May03         (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
SCR  GIFTED Apr30 Mar31 Mar04 Feb05 Nov25 (mott i)RIDER TBA 118 1.40    
 
BEL-6   05/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL BOWMAN May13 Apr28 Apr07 Mar23 Feb20 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50    
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY May19 Mar31 Feb19 Jan27 Dec11 (jacobson david)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50    
HAPPY FARM Apr23 Mar30 Mar05 Jan22 Dec30 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 29% 2.40    
VITTORIO Apr20 Mar18 Feb05 Apr02 Feb04 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 121 1.60    
LOST IN ROME May13 Apr27 Apr01 Mar25 Feb25 (younghans )DAVIS A 121 30.00    
MAJORITY PARTNER Apr30 Apr14 Mar19 Mar11 Feb17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
MARKET ALERT May14 Apr16 Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 6% 15.90    
 
BEL-7   05/27/2023 4620ft TURF RC12 FIRM Soaring Softly Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 4:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY BETH Feb05         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  LOVE APPEALS Apr27 Apr01 Feb16     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.20    
AMERICAN APPLE May03 Apr14 Nov04 Oct08 Sep14 (leitch daniel)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 35% 1.90    
QUEEN PICASSO (GB) Mar05         (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
QUARREL Nov19 Oct27 Sep22     (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SENIOR PRANK Apr27 Feb05 Jan07     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
 
BEL-8   05/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FRIENDS BEER Apr14 Mar19 Mar04 Feb26 Feb11 (walder r)TORRES A 118 3.00 12% 7.70    
DATESFREEDOM May05 Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb12 (delauro edwar)MARTINEZ R 120 30.00    
ALCOOLS May13 Apr29 Mar25 Mar12 Feb26 (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 120 10.00    
PIT BOSS May04 Apr14 Mar30 Mar10 Feb11 (bernardini g)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
BLAKE B. Apr01 Mar12 Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 (romero jesus)CASTELLANO J 123 20.00    
GLORY ROAD Apr27 Apr06 Mar25 Mar12 Feb09 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 12% 7.30    
ROCCO STRONG Oct15 Aug25 Apr22 Mar27 Feb26 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
DUST DEVIL Apr14 Mar25 Feb25 Jan22 Oct15 (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
BEL-9   05/27/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Nov19 Oct22 Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
HOLD THE SALSA May04 Apr01 Jul02 Jun02 Apr29 (lugovic)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00    
AFJAN May04 Apr23 Apr01 Mar17 Feb18 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00    
INFLATION ADJUSTED May04 Mar25 Feb03 Jan01 Nov20 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
SWING LOW May04 Mar05 Feb08 Jan29 Dec24 (sweezey kent)TORRES A 119 6.00    
FIGHTER IN THE WIN May04 Nov27 Oct21 Sep23 Jul22 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  MO Z         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.50    
 
BEL-10   05/27/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALATRONA Apr08 Sep30       (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
SCR  SAIL WITH THE WIND         (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
SCR  DREAM ON CARA Apr23 Apr06 Mar18 Jan19 Dec17 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
GRACEFUL ROSE May04 Dec30 Nov19 Oct21 Sep16 (gorham e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
PHOTON Apr29 Dec16 Nov26 Oct29 Sep30 (breen j)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
LAKESIDE GETAWAY Apr08 Mar16 Feb11 Jan08 Dec07 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
AUTUMN Apr08         (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
SPINNING COLORS Nov27 Oct06 Sep02 Aug10   (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00    
LOON CRY May04 Apr08 Dec03     (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 34% 2.00    
10  STRICTLY TABOO Apr08 Jan08       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
11  SNOWY EVENING Apr08 Feb24 Jan27 Jul28 Jul04 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  THREE CUPS FULL         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  NORTHWAY May05 Mar18 Feb20     (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 30.00    
14  BIG HAZEL May05 Feb11       (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  SHE'S A NATURAL May05 Apr08 Feb10 Dec16 Nov26 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
SCR  ICHIBAN Apr15 Mar18 Jan21     (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.