Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Saturday - May 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/7)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7)-(4/1/5)-(2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BEL-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(2/4)-(3/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BEL-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/2/5)-(4/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BEL-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(4/6/1)-(5/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BEL-5   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/2/6)-(1/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BEL-6   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(1/3/5)-(7/8/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-7   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(7/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(7/8/6/1)-(4/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-8   WIN (7/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/1)-(4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/1)-(4/1/6)-(9/10/5/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-9   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(9/10/5/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BEL-10   WIN (9/10/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/11)-(9/10/5/12/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/11)-(9/10/5/12/11)-(9/10/5/12/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OBSCURED BY CLOUDS Feb27 Dec02 Oct28 Sep18   (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
2  FRISKY JIM         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  HAPPY BOB Dec15 Nov11 Aug13 Jun26   (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  RUN DIEM Z         (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
5  SHAKIN THE BELLE         (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 10.00    
6  TALKIN PHAROAH Apr14 Aug07 Apr20     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 15% 5.60    
7  AL'S FROSTED         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BEL-2   05/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIPPING GOLD Apr12 Mar05 Nov19 Oct21 Sep05 (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 26% 2.90    
1A  Q F SEVENTY FIVE May04 Jun30 Jun03 May06 Feb25 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 ★    
2  DAUNT May11 Nov26 Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50    
3  NIGHT JUMPER Apr16 Mar31 Dec26 Nov05 Sep30 (dini mike)ORTIZ L 126 12.00    
4  PORTFOLIO COMPANY Apr15 Jan01 Oct29 Aug13 Jun26 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  SPACE LAUNCH Nov19 Sep16 Jul01 May29   (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  TONAL IMPACT Apr29 Apr06 Mar25 Feb19 Jan29 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 124 0.80    
 
BEL-3   05/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROKEN SPUR Mar30 Jul03 May22 Apr03   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.40 ★    
2  VARIABLE COST (GB) May11         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  YORKSHIRE PRINCE Apr15 Feb18 Jan21 Dec03 Oct22 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
4  MR FLOWERS         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
5  GOLDEN PURCHASE May21 May06 Apr21 Apr02 Mar24 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
6  FIRE BARON Apr01 Mar12 Mar04 Feb18 Feb04 (paragallo je)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 10.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
 
BEL-4   05/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3 ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE AND LIGHT May07 Apr15 Mar25 Feb24 Feb03 (pring)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 12.00    
2  THUNDERIAN Apr27 Apr15 Mar25 Mar19 Dec02 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  WARRIOR RICHARD Apr23 Mar31 Mar12 Feb09 Jan13 (falcone robe)TORRES A 113 4.50 43% 1.30    
4  ALTERNATE REALITY Apr21 Mar10 Jan21 Dec29   (englehar)DAVIS A 120 4.00    
5  WINTERS LION Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 Dec10 Nov16 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 12% 7.70    
6  SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE May06 Mar11       (cibelli jane)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
 
BEL-5   05/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRABELLA Apr01 Jul01       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 15% 5.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VAUDEVILLIAN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  DOUBLE DREAM (BRZ)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
  (by GHADEER (FR) out of OCALA'S DREAM (BRZ) by CLACKSON (BRZ))
3  ZAPPERA Apr08         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 ★    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ETINCELLE by DYNAFORMER)
4  DORAL Apr07 Feb19 Jan22     (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  TRES CHIC (ARG)         (mcpeek kenneth )DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
  (by SEAHENGE out of TACANUYA by SOUTHERN HALO)
6  UTILIZATION RATE (FR) Apr08 Mar05       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by LE HAVRE (IRE) out of IRONIQUE by IRON (FR))
7  EMPATHY May03         (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of JODY'S SONG by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  GIFTED Apr30 Mar31 Mar04 Feb05 Nov25 (mott i)RIDER TBA 118 1.40    
  (by TAPIT out of WITH HONORS by WAR FRONT)
 
BEL-6   05/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL BOWMAN May13 Apr28 Apr07 Mar23 Feb20 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50    
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY May19 Mar31 Feb19 Jan27 Dec11 (jacobson david)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50    
2  HAPPY FARM Apr23 Mar30 Mar05 Jan22 Dec30 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 29% 2.40    
3  VITTORIO Apr20 Mar18 Feb05 Apr02 Feb04 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 121 1.60    
4  LOST IN ROME May13 Apr27 Apr01 Mar25 Feb25 (younghan)DAVIS A 121 30.00    
5  MAJORITY PARTNER Apr30 Apr14 Mar19 Mar11 Feb17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  MARKET ALERT May14 Apr16 Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 6% 15.90    
 
BEL-7   05/27/2023 4620ft TURF RC12 FIRM Soaring Softly Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY BETH Feb05         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by HARD SPUN out of BOREALE by MAKFI (GB))
SCR  LOVE APPEALS Apr27 Apr01 Feb16     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GIOIA STELLA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  AMERICAN APPLE May03 Apr14 Nov04 Oct08 Sep14 (leitch daniel)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MISS MARY APPLES by CLEVER TRICK)
4  QUEEN PICASSO (GB) Mar05         (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
  (by KINGMAN (GB) out of ARIS by DANROAD)
5  QUARREL Nov19 Oct27 Sep22     (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PROMOTIONAL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
6  SENIOR PRANK Apr27 Feb05 Jan07     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of THUNDERING SKY by SKY MESA)
 
BEL-8   05/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FRIENDS BEER Apr14 Mar19 Mar04 Feb26 Feb11 (walder peter)TORRES A 118 3.00 12% 7.70    
2  DATESFREEDOM May05 Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb12 (delauro edw)MARTINEZ R 120 30.00    
3  ALCOOLS May13 Apr29 Mar25 Mar12 Feb26 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 120 10.00    
4  PIT BOSS May04 Apr14 Mar30 Mar10 Feb11 (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
5  BLAKE B. Apr01 Mar12 Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 (romero jesus)CASTELLANO J 123 20.00    
6  GLORY ROAD Apr27 Apr06 Mar25 Mar12 Feb09 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 12% 7.30    
7  ROCCO STRONG Oct15 Aug25 Apr22 Mar27 Feb26 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
8  DUST DEVIL Apr14 Mar25 Feb25 Jan22 Oct15 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
BEL-9   05/27/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Nov19 Oct22 Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  HOLD THE SALSA May04 Apr01 Jul02 Jun02 Apr29 (lugov)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00    
3  AFJAN May04 Apr23 Apr01 Mar17 Feb18 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00    
4  INFLATION ADJUSTED May04 Mar25 Feb03 Jan01 Nov20 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  SWING LOW May04 Mar05 Feb08 Jan29 Dec24 (sweezey ke)TORRES A 119 6.00    
6  FIGHTER IN THE WIN May04 Nov27 Oct21 Sep23 Jul22 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  MO Z         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.50    
 
BEL-10   05/27/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALATRONA Apr08 Sep30       (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of GATTINARA by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
SCR  SAIL WITH THE WIND         (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
  (by ASTERN out of KATS GIRL CALA by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  DREAM ON CARA Apr23 Apr06 Mar18 Jan19 Dec17 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
4  GRACEFUL ROSE May04 Dec30 Nov19 Oct21 Sep16 (gorham michael )DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BUCCELLA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
5  PHOTON Apr29 Dec16 Nov26 Oct29 Sep30 (breen j)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
  (by BAYERN out of LOU DOCTOR LOU by QUIET AMERICAN)
6  LAKESIDE GETAWAY Apr08 Mar16 Feb11 Jan08 Dec07 (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SUMMER ESCAPE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  AUTUMN Apr08         (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SAMSATIONAL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  SPINNING COLORS Nov27 Oct06 Sep02 Aug10   (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of KALEIDOSCOPE by HONEST PLEASURE)
9  LOON CRY May04 Apr08 Dec03     (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 34% 2.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FINAL ESCROW by BERNARDINI)
10  STRICTLY TABOO Apr08 Jan08       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by ASTERN out of SPUNTASTIC by HARD SPUN)
11  SNOWY EVENING Apr08 Feb24 Jan27 Jul28 Jul04 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of BACKSLASH by SHARP HUMOR)
12  THREE CUPS FULL         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 ★    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FLIPCUP by MILWAUKEE BREW)
SCR  NORTHWAY May05 Mar18 Feb20     (handal ra)VARGAS A 118 30.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SHINE UPON by CONGAREE)
14  BIG HAZEL May05 Feb11       (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of BLUEGRASS ARCH by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  SHE'S A NATURAL May05 Apr08 Feb10 Dec16 Nov26 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
SCR  ICHIBAN Apr15 Mar18 Jan21     (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.