Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Belmont Park
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BEL-1   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BEL-2   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-3   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-4   Win (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-5   Win (5/1/12/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BEL-6   Win (7/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-7   Win (1/3/5/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BEL-8   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-9   Win (5/9/2/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BEL-1   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBSCRIBED         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 5.00    
TECH DUINN         (venham d)CECIL Y 119 15.00    
MISCHIEF JOKE Apr07         (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
ANTONIO OF VENICE         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
WHATCHATALKINABOUT         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 30% 2.30    
FOLLOW YOUR ARROW         (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 116 10.00    
 
BEL-2   05/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWISTED FILIGREE         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
MOURNE MOUNTAINS         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 116 4.00    
SCR  AIR INVASION         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
DREW D'ORO         (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 5% 17.60    
REAPPLY         (chapman )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 5% 17.60    
HEATHCLIFF         (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
SHIP CADET         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
 
BEL-3   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOLO CONTESTO Apr15 Feb19 Jan21 Jan13 Dec30 (jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY Apr21 Mar10 Jan21 Dec29   (englehart )DAVIS A 120 8.00    
SCR  CHARLIE FIVE O Apr27 Apr20 Apr06 Mar25 Mar12 (jones e)OLVER MADISON 116 20.00    
NAKED AND FAMOUS Mar11 Feb09 Jan29 Jan08 Aug25 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
JESTER'S SONG May05 Mar10 Dec17 Nov05 Sep15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 3.50    
ALWAYS CHARMING Apr01 Jun16 May21 Feb21 Jan27 (klesaris robert)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50    
WIN FOR GOLD Apr15 Mar26 Feb20 Feb11 Jan12 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50 14% 6.40    
 
BEL-4   05/12/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSAKEYPER Apr19 Mar26 Jan11 Nov10 Sep18 (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
JILL'S A HOT MESS Oct15 Sep16 Aug18 Jul22 May27 (lucas bonnie)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
PROPER GRAMMAR Nov19 Oct07 Aug21 Jul30 Jul14 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00    
STRONG ODOR Apr01 Feb24 Jan28 Dec09 Oct29 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
CROWDING OUT Mar11 Feb09 Dec15 Sep25 Sep05 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
SPICY MARGARITA Apr15 Mar12 Mar03 Feb18 Dec16 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 123 5.00 19% 4.20    
MORE MANGO Apr27 Mar17 Feb12 Jan12 Dec18 (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
JACKIE THE JOKER Apr12 Mar28 Mar02 Jan13 Dec12 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00    
 
BEL-5   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHERZER         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 11% 7.70    
ALICE KRAMDEN Jul27         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
SCR  SPECIAL PAL         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
WINE GODDESS Apr30 Apr14 Mar24 Feb17 Feb02 (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
LIMANI Apr08 Feb10 Apr10 Feb13   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
MRS BELL Apr30 Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Feb17 (lucas bonnie)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
BUSTINROXY Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Jan14   (nevin michelle)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00    
FORALLTHEGIRLS Feb26         (noda orlando)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
MY INNER VOICE Apr20 Mar31 Feb17     (diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAGNOLIA WIND Mar24 Mar03 Jan20     (diprima gr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
11  DERWIN'S PAYNTER Apr14 Feb18 Jan28 Dec18   (serpe phili)VARGAS A 118 20.00 5% 17.90    
12  MY MALIBU HONEY Mar18         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 9% 10.10    
 
BEL-6   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Apr06 Mar18 Feb10 Jan08 Dec11 (arriaga antonio)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00    
KANT HURRY LOVE Mar25 Feb25 Feb05 Jan06 Nov18 (duggan p)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50    
LADY MILAGRO Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 Dec31 (martin f)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 12% 7.60    
BANK ON ANNA Dec04 Oct06 Aug12 Jul23 May20 (serpe m)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
HYDRA Apr07 Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 Dec16 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
YOU LOOK COLD Mar31 Feb26 Jan28 Oct26 Aug08 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
ROSEBUG Jan27 Mar19 Jan23     (mott i)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
BEL-7   05/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTMESSWITHTESS Mar26 Feb24 Jan25 Dec23 Dec04 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 126 1.00 41% 1.50    
SYNONYMOUS Apr23 Feb20 Feb05 Jan13 Dec08 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00    
FROM HELLO Apr21 Mar24       (brown )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 13% 6.50    
FREUDIAN Apr23 Mar19 Feb24 Jan20 Dec18 (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 119 10.00 6% 15.60    
EXCEPT TEMPTATION Mar11 Oct20 Sep22 Sep02 Aug05 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
SUSIE'S SAVER Apr23 Apr02 Mar22 Mar08 Feb18 (paragal)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00    
BELLA PRINCIPESSA Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 Aug11 Jul17 (klesaris rober)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 9% 9.80    
LADY OF THOROTON Apr21 Nov19 Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00    
DIVINE WINE Apr02 Mar12 Jan28 Dec31 Dec08 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION Apr14 Mar12 Feb26 Feb02 Jan13 (schettino )DAVIS A 126 15.00    
SCR  LOLA FLO Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 May22 May01 (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
 
BEL-8   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gold Fever Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY FRESHWATER Apr08 Mar19 Feb11 Jan01 Nov27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
SQUIRE CREEK Apr08 Mar02       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.40 39% 1.60    
SCR  PROVE RIGHT Apr08 Mar31 Mar06 Feb11 Jan07 (chapman k)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Dec03 Oct15 Sep24     (servis c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50 25% 3.10    
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Mar19 Feb11 Jan07 Oct17 Oct01 (breen j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
DREW'S GOLD Feb11 Jan28 May12     (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
 
BEL-9   05/12/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY FANE         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
TACTICAL JOKE Jan27         (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
WONDER GIRL Apr16 Mar10 Feb17 Jan29   (klesaris rober)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB)         (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
RUGELACH Apr15 Mar18       (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
I'M GLAD (IRE) Apr09 Jul22 May28 Apr15   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
DARK PRINCESS         (rice linda)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
LOVE TO SHOP Aug28         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 12% 7.50    
QUIESCENT Apr15 Aug28       (ribaudo j)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
10  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) Aug25         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
11  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Sep04 Jul31       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.