Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BEL-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BEL-3   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BEL-4   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(5/1/12/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-5   WIN (5/1/12/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/12/11/9)-(5/1/12/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/12/11/9)-(5/1/12/11/9)-(5/1/12/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/12/11/9)-(7/6/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-6   WIN (7/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/4)-(1/3/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-7   WIN (1/3/5/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/7/4)-(1/3/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/7/4)-(1/3/5/7/4)-(1/3/5/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/5/7/4)-(2/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BEL-8   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/9/2/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BEL-9   WIN (5/9/2/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/8/6)-(5/9/2/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/8/6)-(5/9/2/8/6)-(5/9/2/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBSCRIBED         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 5.00 ★    
  (by CUPID out of ARCH ARCH ROSE by ARCHARCHARCH)
2  TECH DUINN         (venham d)CECIL Y 119 15.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SEAHAG by CASHEL CASTLE)
3  MISCHIEF JOKE Apr07         (maker michael )ORTIZ L 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHESABITDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  ANTONIO OF VENICE         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
5  WHATCHATALKINABOUT         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 30% 2.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of SUPER SAVVY by SUPER SAVER)
6  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW         (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 116 10.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of COYOTE PRETTY by UNION RAGS)
 
BEL-2   05/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWISTED FILIGREE         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SATURN LACE by KODIAC)
2  MOURNE MOUNTAINS         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 116 4.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MISS MAMBO by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  AIR INVASION         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of CURLS IN PLACE by CURLIN)
4  DREW D'ORO         (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 5% 17.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SIPMYCHARDONNAYNAE by BODEMEISTER)
5  REAPPLY         (chapma)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 5% 17.60    
  (by UNIFIED out of CELESTIAL SMILE by TIZNOW)
6  HEATHCLIFF         (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of EXSQUEEZE ME by EXHI)
7  SHIP CADET         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELLA MIA by HARBOR THE GOLD)
 
BEL-3   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOLO CONTESTO Apr15 Feb19 Jan21 Jan13 Dec30 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY Apr21 Mar10 Jan21 Dec29   (englehar)DAVIS A 120 8.00    
SCR  CHARLIE FIVE O Apr27 Apr20 Apr06 Mar25 Mar12 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 116 20.00    
4  NAKED AND FAMOUS Mar11 Feb09 Jan29 Jan08 Aug25 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  JESTER'S SONG May05 Mar10 Dec17 Nov05 Sep15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 3.50    
6  ALWAYS CHARMING Apr01 Jun16 May21 Feb21 Jan27 (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50    
7  WIN FOR GOLD Apr15 Mar26 Feb20 Feb11 Jan12 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50 14% 6.40    
 
BEL-4   05/12/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSAKEYPER Apr19 Mar26 Jan11 Nov10 Sep18 (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
2  JILL'S A HOT MESS Oct15 Sep16 Aug18 Jul22 May27 (lucas bonnie)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
3  PROPER GRAMMAR Nov19 Oct07 Aug21 Jul30 Jul14 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00    
4  STRONG ODOR Apr01 Feb24 Jan28 Dec09 Oct29 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
5  CROWDING OUT Mar11 Feb09 Dec15 Sep25 Sep05 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
6  SPICY MARGARITA Apr15 Mar12 Mar03 Feb18 Dec16 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 123 5.00 19% 4.20    
7  MORE MANGO Apr27 Mar17 Feb12 Jan12 Dec18 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
8  JACKIE THE JOKER Apr12 Mar28 Mar02 Jan13 Dec12 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00    
 
BEL-5   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCHERZER         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 11% 7.70    
2  ALICE KRAMDEN Jul27         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
SCR  SPECIAL PAL         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
4  WINE GODDESS Apr30 Apr14 Mar24 Feb17 Feb02 (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
5  LIMANI Apr08 Feb10 Apr10 Feb13   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  MRS BELL Apr30 Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Feb17 (lucas bonnie)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
7  BUSTINROXY Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Jan14   (nevin michell)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00    
8  FORALLTHEGIRLS Feb26         (noda orlando)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
9  MY INNER VOICE Apr20 Mar31 Feb17     (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAGNOLIA WIND Mar24 Mar03 Jan20     (diprima )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
11  DERWIN'S PAYNTER Apr14 Feb18 Jan28 Dec18   (serpe phi)VARGAS A 118 20.00 5% 17.90    
12  MY MALIBU HONEY Mar18         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 9% 10.10    
 
BEL-6   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Apr06 Mar18 Feb10 Jan08 Dec11 (arriaga antoni)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00    
2  KANT HURRY LOVE Mar25 Feb25 Feb05 Jan06 Nov18 (duggan david)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50    
3  LADY MILAGRO Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 Dec31 (martin carlos)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 12% 7.60    
4  BANK ON ANNA Dec04 Oct06 Aug12 Jul23 May20 (serpe philip )FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HYDRA Apr07 Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 Dec16 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
6  YOU LOOK COLD Mar31 Feb26 Jan28 Oct26 Aug08 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
7  ROSEBUG Jan27 Mar19 Jan23     (mott i)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
BEL-7   05/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTMESSWITHTESS Mar26 Feb24 Jan25 Dec23 Dec04 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 126 1.00 41% 1.50    
2  SYNONYMOUS Apr23 Feb20 Feb05 Jan13 Dec08 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00    
3  FROM HELLO Apr21 Mar24       (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 13% 6.50    
4  FREUDIAN Apr23 Mar19 Feb24 Jan20 Dec18 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 119 10.00 6% 15.60    
5  EXCEPT TEMPTATION Mar11 Oct20 Sep22 Sep02 Aug05 (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
6  SUSIE'S SAVER Apr23 Apr02 Mar22 Mar08 Feb18 (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00    
7  BELLA PRINCIPESSA Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 Aug11 Jul17 (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 9% 9.80    
8  LADY OF THOROTON Apr21 Nov19 Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00    
9  DIVINE WINE Apr02 Mar12 Jan28 Dec31 Dec08 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION Apr14 Mar12 Feb26 Feb02 Jan13 (schettin)DAVIS A 126 15.00    
SCR  LOLA FLO Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 May22 May01 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
 
BEL-8   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gold Fever Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEY FRESHWATER Apr08 Mar19 Feb11 Jan01 Nov27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAKE TURKANA by MORE THAN READY)
2  SQUIRE CREEK Apr08 Mar02       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.40 39% 1.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of COVENANT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  PROVE RIGHT Apr08 Mar31 Mar06 Feb11 Jan07 (chapman james )ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Dec03 Oct15 Sep24     (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50 25% 3.10    
  (by STREET SENSE out of LUCKY COVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Mar19 Feb11 Jan07 Oct17 Oct01 (breen j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MY EVERY WISH by LANGFUHR)
6  DREW'S GOLD Feb11 Jan28 May12     (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FROLIC'S REVENGE by VINDICATION)
 
BEL-9   05/12/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY FANE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of INDULGENT by BERNARDINI)
2  TACTICAL JOKE Jan27         (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of COMPETITION by DIXIE UNION)
3  WONDER GIRL Apr16 Mar10 Feb17 Jan29   (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of LADY LYDIE by TALE OF EKATI)
4  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB)         (motion gra)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of SHOMARIA by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
5  RUGELACH Apr15 Mar18       (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PROUD AND CHARMING by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  I'M GLAD (IRE) Apr09 Jul22 May28 Apr15   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KINGMAN (GB) out of KAMAKURA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  DARK PRINCESS         (rice lind)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SILENT QUEEN by KING OF KINGS (IRE))
8  LOVE TO SHOP Aug28         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 12% 7.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TIFFANY CASE by UNCLE MO)
9  QUIESCENT Apr15 Aug28       (ribaudo robert )CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of SAARLIGHT by SAARLAND)
10  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) Aug25         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of ONLY MINE by BARBARIC SPIRIT)
11  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Sep04 Jul31       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.