Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/2)-(6/4/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(6/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(6/1/9/4)-(3/4/1/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-2   WIN (6/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/4)-(6/1/9/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/4)-(6/1/9/4/3)-(6/1/9/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/9/4)-(3/4/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/9/4)-(3/4/1/7/6)-(3/4/7/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-3   WIN (3/4/1/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/7/6)-(3/4/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/7/6)-(3/4/1/7/6)-(3/4/1/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/1/7/6)-(3/4/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/7/6)-(3/4/7/1)-(1) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TP-4   WIN (3/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1/5)-(3/4/7/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/7/1)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/1)-(1)-(4/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-5   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/10/3/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/10/3/4)-(1/10/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(4/3/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(4/3/1)-(3/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TP-6   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(3/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/11)-(6/11/10/5/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TP-7   WIN (3/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/11)-(3/11/12) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/11)-(3/11/12)-(3/11/12) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/11)-(6/11/10/5/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
TP-8   WIN (6/11/10/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/10/5/7)-(6/11/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/10/5/7)-(6/11/10/5/7)-(6/11/10/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALFIE SOLOMONS Dec27 Nov23 Oct07 Aug11 Jun04 (cline rober)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 12.00 5% 17.60    
2  MUSIC TO MY EARS Dec14 Nov10 Oct13 Oct04 Sep01 (klopp randy)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  FIGHT ON Dec16 Nov18 May24 Apr26 Mar26 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 5.00 ★    
4  POWELL Dec16 Nov17 Sep27 Sep02 Aug05 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 15.00 16% 5.40    
5  KITTENS ADAIR Nov10 Oct13 Aug24 Aug04 Jul06 (egbert j)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00    
6  DARK HEDGES Dec17 Nov19 Oct28 Oct07 Sep25 (vanden britt)FELIX E 120 4.00 51% 1.00    
7  SAMURAI SAINT Jan04 Dec08 Nov15 Oct22 Oct10 (short t)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
8  UNCLE EARL Dec30 Nov10 Oct10 Sep13 Aug23 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
9  PRINCE ACT Dec01 Nov22 Nov11 Oct31 Oct17 (hammond k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00    
 
TP-2   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALMAFUERTE Dec31 Dec16 Nov27 Nov13 Oct15 (martinez a)MCKEE J 123 4.00 17% 5.10    
2  SHANNON'S GIRL Dec11 Nov30 Nov15 Nov02 Sep13 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 120 10.00    
3  JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL Nov22 Nov08 Oct29 Oct18 Sep21 (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 ★    
4  POQUITO ROSE Dec30 Oct04 Sep22 Aug17 Jul21 (radosevi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.00 10% 9.00    
5  KHOZYS CROWN Dec17 Nov26 Nov09 Oct29 Oct16 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
6  NANA'S GRAY Dec15 Nov20 Oct13 Sep21 Sep05 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  MAJESTIC CLIMB Dec30 Dec19 Nov09 Jun16 May23 (anderson trac)BECKMAN ALICE 113 20.00    
SCR  MOMOS HUMOR Nov09 Oct05 Sep12 Aug24 Aug09 (brownfiel)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 10.00    
9  MIDNIGHT FROST Dec30 Dec08 Sep29 Sep13 Sep06 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
10  CECILIA'S HOPE Nov09 Sep28 Aug17 Jul18 May18 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00    
 
TP-3   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLAZABAL Jan01 Dec09 Oct30 Oct02 Sep18 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
2  UNCLE HEADLEY Dec22 Sep03 Jun27 Apr28   (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 12.00    
3  AMERICAN BLAZE Dec28 Oct12 Aug27 Jul30   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  CHISELER Dec28 Nov05 Oct08 Sep17 Aug20 (foley greg)RAMOS D 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
5  HUNTERTOWN Nov04 Sep29 May11     (hernandez re)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00    
6  LIGHTNING CASHES Dec17         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 12.00 7% 13.40    
7  GETTIN PAID Nov17         (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 7% 12.90    
 
TP-4   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Dec30 Jul20 Jun30 May18 Mar26 (jarvis kathy)FELIX E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SLIABH AUGHTY (FR) Dec08 Nov09 Jun15 May12 Apr02 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
3  AVIANO Oct09 Aug20 Jul01 May06 Apr13 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  GOLDEN TEXT Dec30 Sep20 Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
5  T J MUNNINGS Jan06 Dec16 Dec02 Nov06 Oct12 (bogle fergus)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  SUPRISE CAT Dec17 Nov27 Nov12 Oct29 Oct07 (young r)SANJUR SANTO 120 30.00    
7  DANTE'S FIRE Dec30 Nov19 Oct09 Aug25 Jul27 (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 3.00 8% 12.30    
8  LOOK AWAY Dec30 Dec20 Nov27 Oct29 Oct09 (jones jef)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
9  RALLY SQUIRREL Dec08 Oct07 Jul16 Jun24 May28 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 6.00    
10  CARMEL BAY Dec28 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep25 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
 
TP-5   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Dec21 Oct08       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
2  RURAL Dec29 Nov30       (preston randy)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
3  YOLO SANTIAGO Dec08 Nov19 Oct22     (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 ★    
4  WHISKEY ROAN Jun02         (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  LUTE'S ANGEL Dec29 Dec08 Sep28 Aug10 Aug03 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
6  MICHAEL GEORGE Dec21 Nov27 Nov19 Nov01 Oct22 (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00    
SCR  WAR SAFE Oct16 Sep04 Aug12 Jun04 May14 (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
8  FABRICATOR Dec31 Dec11       (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 122 6.00    
9  THE BOATMAN         (anderson l)FELIX E 122 20.00    
10  WEATHER PRAYER Jun08 Jan15       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00 ★    
11  LONGER VIEW Dec08 Nov14 Oct26 Oct03 Sep15 (elliott)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
12  ALFIO Dec09 Nov23 Oct26 Sep28 Sep20 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 122 12.00    
13  MAQAMAT Jan04 Dec21 Oct09 Aug28 Aug11 (engler jeff)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00    
SCR  VERSATILE Jan04 Dec09 Nov22 Nov02 Oct19 (garcia israe)HALDAR J 122 8.00    
 
TP-6   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUANA CAY Dec09 Oct31 Oct09 Sep15 Aug21 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 5% 18.00    
SCR  BARISTA Dec22 Nov19 Oct20 Apr02 Jan30 (baker jam)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00    
3  KING'S LEGACY Dec21 Oct13 Aug08 Jun10 Apr23 (van berg)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  POLKA POLENTA Dec22 Dec08 Oct31 Oct13 Aug29 (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 49% 1.10    
5  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Dec07 Nov15 Oct28 Aug19 Jul27 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 120 12.00    
SCR  GEORGETOWN ROAD Dec22 Oct05 Sep15 May26 Apr27 (mccarthy mich)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 ★    
7  BUCKEYE BLING Dec15 Oct29 Sep29 Sep08 Jul28 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
8  PURRFECT Dec16 Nov25 Oct06 Aug16 Jul12 (stidham mi)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 ★    
9  TELLER TO SING Nov12 Oct26 Oct09 Aug22 Jul27 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
 
TP-7   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE BRRRR Dec31 Oct30 Sep14 Aug17 Jul28 (chapman k)FELIX E 120 12.00    
2  OFFUTT COLE Dec17 Dec08 Oct26 Sep21 Jul15 (ginter raymon)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 10.00    
3  BRONZE BEAST Dec29 Dec07 Nov11 Oct02 Sep16 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 120 4.50 6% 17.10    
4  SMOOTH TALKING MAN Dec17 Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 Sep28 (guida ant)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
5  DOWN TO BIZZNESS Jan06 Dec07 Nov03 Oct07 Sep22 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 120 12.00    
6  BATTLING BAILIFF Jan01 Dec08 Jan21     (blair j)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
7  SONGWRITER Dec28 Dec07 Oct20 Oct02 Aug31 (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
8  DROP ANCHOR Jan06 Dec17 Nov11 Oct02 Sep16 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00    
9  CONGRATS FOR GLORY Dec28 Dec07 Oct04 Aug16 Jul26 (short thom)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00    
SCR  LIBERTY BLUE Dec29 Dec07 Oct25 Oct07 Sep21 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 4.00 27% 2.60    
11  KILLER BEE Nov15 Oct11 Sep14 Aug31 Jul21 (wisner trac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
12  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Dec31 Dec07 Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 (delong ben)HALDAR J 120 3.50 ★    
13  OVER PROTECTIVE Jan06 Dec28 Dec02 Sep09 Aug27 (kinmon keit)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 12.00    
SCR  GOLQUIST Dec04 Oct20 Oct01 Sep04 Aug10 (rice lin)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.50 41% 1.50    
 
TP-8   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEESBURG         (sims matthew)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
2  INVASIVE Dec11 Nov23       (kendall elise)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
3  YES POINT Jan05         (mckeever )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 20.00    
4  NEOKING         (elliott m)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
5  IN LIEU         (wojczynski ju)LEBRON VICTOR 120 12.00 6% 17.20    
6  TEAM LEADER Dec29 Oct15 Sep22 Jul30   (walsh br)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  LOOKIN' AT TURK         (danner doug)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 6% 17.20    
8  PLENTY OF TIME Nov23 Sep21       (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00    
9  LET IT RIDE CLYDE Jan07 Dec11 Dec02 Oct23   (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 113 20.00    
10  ROYALLY BITTER         (sims matth)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 6% 16.10    
11  FRADY Dec02 Oct18 Sep21 Aug22   (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
12  CRACK THE MOON Jan07 Dec09 Oct20 Sep22   (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.