Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/3/5)-(1/7/2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(6/4/3/7)-(1/9/5/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7/8)-(6/4/3/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/3/7)-(1/9/5/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/7)-(1/9/5/8/7)-(6/2/8/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/9/5/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/8/7)-(1/9/5/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/8/7)-(1/9/5/8/7)-(1/9/5/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/5/8/7)-(6/2/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/8/7)-(6/2/8/1)-(9/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1/3)-(6/2/8/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/8/1)-(9/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/1)-(9/1/2)-(2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/2)-(9/1/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/2)-(9/1/2/6/8)-(9/1/2/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/2)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/1/2)-(2/4)-(5/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/7/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/7/8/6)-(2/4/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4)-(5/6/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/6/4/1)-(8) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1/3)-(5/6/4/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/4/1)-(8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/2/10/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (8)-(8/2/10/1)-(8/2/10/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRONTLINER Dec28 Dec15 Nov28 Oct24 Oct10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  NASHVEGAS Nov17 Sep18 Aug06 Jun24 Jun08 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 15% 5.80    
3  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Dec28 Oct10 Sep12 Aug18 Jul07 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  HIDING THE BRICK Jan02 Dec14 Dec05 Nov07 Oct23 (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 10.00    
5  JOSHY JAK Dec28 Dec11 Nov07 Oct30   (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 4.00 ★    
6  LIMIT UP Dec14 Nov21 Oct30 Oct05 Aug24 (andrade hugo)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
7  GEHRIG Dec21 Dec08 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
8  CLAW Jan02 Dec15 Nov22 Nov10 Oct26 (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING SENORITA Jan04 Dec21 Dec05 Nov19 Oct25 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
2  MY PINK BABY BIRD Jan04 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Sep22 (vickers r)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 15.00    
3  CROSSED UP Dec31 Dec11 Dec03 Oct10 Aug26 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 1.80 11% 8.50    
4  BAREFOOT BEACH Jan04 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Sep27 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  EASTER PRIDE Jan04 Dec22 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
6  LADY ABRIL Jan04 Dec27 Nov28 Nov16 Oct24 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 126 4.50 32% 2.10    
7  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Oct05 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  LATE DATE Jan05 Nov08 Oct22 Oct06 Sep06 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK ON KITTEN Dec27 Nov08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep23 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
2  SEMINOLE JUSTICE Jan03 Dec15 Oct26 Oct13 Aug31 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50    
3  JUSTENUFFTUFF Dec03 Nov16 Oct24 May21 Apr27 (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 15.00    
4  PROFESSIONAL Jan03 Dec28 Dec12 Nov08 Oct12 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00    
5  ROSAS WAY Dec27 Jul05 Jun20 May21 May04 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 15.00 10% 9.00    
6  BUCKY Jan05 Jul26 Jul11 Jun30 Jun08 (hernandez ricard)CCAMAQUE M 126 20.00    
7  KING OF THE RING Jan03 Dec15 Dec03 Aug08 Jun08 (pappada a)REYES FRANK 126 8.00 7% 14.20    
8  KLAATU Jan03 Dec14 Nov19 Nov02 Oct13 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 7% 13.70    
9  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Dec27 Dec03 Nov12 Oct15 Sep21 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 11% 7.90    
10  LEXATOGA Dec27 Dec15 Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00    
 
MVR-4   01/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M A COOL MAN Dec05 Nov13 Oct30 Oct17 Sep28 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  AMERICAN UNION Dec28 Dec15 Nov22 Oct22 Sep14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
3  ARTIE MY BOY Dec14 Dec07 Nov28 Nov14 Oct11 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★    
4  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Dec28 Dec12 Nov17 Oct25 Oct11 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00    
5  TOO LEGIT Dec28 Dec14 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
6  NYOMAN Dec30 Dec09 Nov20 Jul19 Jun25 (villa francis)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 4.50 30% 2.30    
7  AJWIBAH Dec14 Nov30 Nov10 Oct16 Sep20 (er)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
8  DIAMONDS ENJOY Dec12 Nov07 Sep22 Aug18 Aug01 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
9  THE FILTER Dec28 Dec14 Dec05 Nov16 Nov07 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON PARADIS Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 Nov02 Oct23 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 7% 13.80    
2  TALK DIRTY Jan05 Aug23 Aug10 Aug01 Jul12 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MYRRH Jan02 Nov30 Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.00    
4  WICKED VALENTINE Dec11 Nov28 Nov15 Nov02 Oct23 (mcdonald will)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
5  BEING CREATIVE Dec31 Dec10 Nov20 Nov06 Oct21 (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
6  MOANA'S TALE Jan05 Dec15 Dec05 Nov22 Nov08 (dodge albert)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 ★    
7  RUN AWAY FEVER Dec12 Dec05 Nov08 Oct31 Oct13 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00    
8  TICKLISH Dec12 Dec07 Nov23 Nov13 Oct31 (reust megan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 ★    
9  MUSICAL RIDE Jan03 Oct11 Sep15 Aug13 Jul17 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 66% 0.50    
10  DREAM TO WIN Jul12 Jun13 May26 Jan14   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUJARA Dec30 Jul21 Jun22 Jun03 May18 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 10.00    
2  R THREE ANGELS Nov21 Oct29 Oct04 Aug26 Aug13 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  BALLROOM BLITZ Dec28 Dec15 Nov15 Oct29 Sep27 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00    
4  AUNT BEE Dec30 Dec20 Nov28 Nov12 Oct22 (cash l)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  POWER BANKER Dec30 Nov16 Nov03 Sep23 Sep13 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 8.00    
6  SHE'S CRAFTY Dec28 Nov28 Nov15 Oct29 Oct13 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 6.00 ★    
7  WINDY LU WHO Dec28 Nov28 Oct26 Oct04 May12 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 123 4.50 ★    
8  WINE ME UP BABY Jan04 Dec20 Dec06 Nov17 Oct06 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTISIMFLASHY Jan02 Dec03 Oct29 Sep23 Aug15 (poole joe)CORREA L 116 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Jan05 Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00    
3  BEAUTIFUL LASS Jan05 Dec21 Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★    
4  SEEKING THE MONEY Jan05 Dec12 Nov23 Oct25 Oct12 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 4.50 7% 13.80    
5  KICHI KITSU Nov07 Aug13 Jul26     (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 47% 1.10    
6  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Dec12 Nov23 Nov07 Jun11 May11 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  REYS PINA COLADA Dec12 Nov23 May09 Apr02 Feb26 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
8  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Dec27 Dec13 Oct29 Oct06 Sep14 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00    
9  GIMME CLEARANCE Jan05 Nov21 Nov07 Oct22 Oct06 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSACIABLE PRINCE Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 Aug30 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SUSTAIN by VINDICATION)
2  C J ALL THE WAY Dec30 Nov10 Oct11 Sep24 May28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of JOYOUS MUSIC by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  ZINFATUATION Dec21 Dec06 Sep14 Aug29 Jul11 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
4  BLAZIANO Nov27 Nov01       (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00    
  (by MIXMASTER out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
5  SUPER BROTHER Dec21 Jul28 Jun24 Jun02 Apr30 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 121 15.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of EXPANSE by DISTANT VIEW)
SCR  WOODLINE Nov19 Jul19 Jun19 May28 Apr29 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BLIP N' TH BYE by TALE OF EKATI)
7  BUCKEYE RED Dec12 Nov10 Aug01     (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 20.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of ABYSS by OCEAN CREST)
8  CHARTED Nov29         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 126 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WEAR RED by HENNY HUGHES)
9  WAITES KINGDOM Aug10 Jul27       (waite )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of CONQUEST SUMMERFUN by SUMMER BIRD)
10  HABITUS (GB) Dec29 Dec09 Nov11 Sep12 Aug12 (shifflett ch)ARAGON ROLANDO 126 20.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF Jun18 Apr30       (meyers shane)PEREZ E 126 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEONA'S KNIGHT by SUAVE PROSPECT)
12  WATERBOY Jan01 Dec08 Sep21 Sep09 Jul13 (shifflett che)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 126 20.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of MAW by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.