Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/8/5)-(4/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/8/5)-(4/9/8/5)-(4/9/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/8/5)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/8/5)-(5/2/1)-(2/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(2/6/4)-(3/1/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(3/1/8/4)-(5/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/8/4)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/4)-(5/6/1)-(4/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/5/2)-(5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(5/6)-(7/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/6)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWENTY FOUR KARAT Jul17 Jul04 Jun11 May28 Apr02 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 119 20.00    
CHECK OUT LINE Jul17 Jul09 Jun10 Apr29 Apr04 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00    
SCR  PANAMANIAC Aug01 Jul03 Jun05 May18 Oct11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
MISS SPRINGSTEEN Jul25 Jun19 May30 Jan15 Dec30 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 49% 1.00    
CLIFTONS BALLERINA Aug01 Sep18 Sep12 Aug03 Jul17 (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
KERRI'S MIRACLE Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May28 May07 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.50    
SEEYOUINMOTOWN Jul25 Jun24 May14 Apr25 Apr11 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 Jun05 May18 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
THE MIRACLE KIUT Aug01 Jul11 Mar28 Mar13 Dec21 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 23% 3.40    
 
TDN-2   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEBIRD SING Jul18 Jun24 May29 Sep09 Jul01 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
J P'S GLADYS Jul22 May08 Apr03 Mar17 Feb26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 6.00 14% 6.00    
BLUE SAGE (IRE) Jul08 Jun13 Dec22 Dec07 Nov28 (skerrett jeff)SIMPSON JASON 123 12.00    
BAREBACK FUN Jul22 Jul03 Jun11 May27 May09 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.00    
INCESSANT Jul22 Oct01 Sep06 Aug08 Jul16 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  IMMACULATE HEART Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 Oct18 Aug23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50    
MAGICGIRL Jul29 Jul08 Jun13 May22 May04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00    
 
TDN-3   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIP'N' SPEED         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ANY KIND by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
NIGHT NURSE         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of DOUKAS by KANTHAROS)
SCR  PAMMY SUE Jun26         (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CHARM CITY GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
MARABELLA         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00 10% 9.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of JUSTALITTLESMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SLEW CROWN Jul23         (rini anthony)HALDAR J 118 15.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CLOUDY DAY by CROWN OF THORNS)
FRENCH BENEFITS (FR)         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by ROMAN CANDLE out of CANDY RUSH by TWIRLING CANDY)
JENN SWEET JENN Jul23         (rin)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 8.00    
  (by DAK ATTACK out of GISELLE MA BELLE by INDIAN OCEAN)
 
TDN-4   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL SCORE Jul24 Jul03 May29 May13 Apr22 (gonzalez ricardo)PEREZ A 115 10.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  VAMONOS PIACENTE Jul24 Jun17 May29 Apr10 Jan22 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
WHISKEY DIAMOND Jul24 Jul15 Jun19 Feb15 Jan17 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 47% 1.10    
ZASHIXIARAYAN Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb19   (o)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
WAY OF THE WORLD Jul31 Jun19 May31 May11 Apr24 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
TITEBLUEJEANS Jul31 Jul03 Jun10 May20 May06 (canegata ja)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.50    
WILD MARIAH Jul03 Jun10 May29 Apr22 Apr10 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 115 12.00    
MOST ADORABLE Jul24 Jul03 Jun10 May13 Apr10 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 7% 14.20    
MI CANCION Jul29 Jun12 May27 May08 Feb19 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 4.50    
 
TDN-5   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Jul25 Jul16 Jun07 May06 Mar27 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
POINTOF ATTRACTION Jul15 Jun18 Dec30 Dec14 Nov14 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 1.80    
I'M JAC'D Jul25 Jul09 Jan31 Jan09 Dec20 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
GHOSTLY REVIVAL Jul25 Jul09 Jun18 Apr11 Mar25 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
SPICE ICE Feb08 Jan10 Dec12 Nov28 Nov09 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
MY PINK BUNNY TALE Jul31 May15 Apr25 Mar30 Mar08 (cline c)AVILES YAN 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
TDN-6   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIPLEY EFFECT Jul01 May30 May15 Apr23 Sep25 (jackson james)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
SKY Jul29 Jul09 Jun18 Jun11 May27 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNWHIRLED Jul16 Jun13 May16 Apr20 Mar30 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
FULL TIME STRUTIN Jul25 Jul04 Jun17 Jun04 Nov07 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
KRABI Jul29 Jul16 Jun28 May31 May12 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
PEARLINTHEROUGH Jul18 Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 May15 (genovese richard )PEREZ A 123 1.80    
 
TDN-7   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALE OF THE LYON Jun10 Mar17 Feb20 Jan01 Dec11 (poole m)AVILES YAN 123 4.50    
CITY SIGNS Aug01 Jun05 May14 Apr24 Jan01 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50    
CARMEN OHIO Jun27 Jun08 May21 Oct12 Sep26 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 10.00    
JETTIN PEGASUS Aug01 Jul09 Jun11 Apr29 Apr11 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50    
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Nov28 Nov14 Oct28 Sep26 Aug31 (u)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 2.00 65% 0.50    
HERE COMES JIGS Jul17 Jun16 May21 May07 Apr04 (ccamaque marco)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO PAY NO HAY Jul24 Jul02 Jun11 May20 Apr28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BIDE A WEE ISLAND by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
ELKO Jul24 Jul02 Apr04     (vecchio car)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PRINCESS ASPEN by BIRDSTONE)
ALTER THE STARS Jul24 Jun28 Jun12 Feb24 Jan17 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 123 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by ALTERNATION out of STARSHIP UNIVERSE by MINESHAFT)
SPITE LITE Feb04 Nov24 Nov01     (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PATIENCE LOVE by PADDY O'PRADO)
CATCHMENOW Jul24 Oct05 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 10.00    
  (by TRUE MARCO out of SAINT BARBARA by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
SCR  POSITIVELY Jul22 Jul03 Jun08 May22   (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of MIDNIGHTINPOSITANO by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
REVENUE TRAIN Jul29 Jul11 Jun26 Nov20 Sep14 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CAPE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.