Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/3/4)-(5/8/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(5/8/3/9)-(7/2/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/9)-(5/8/3/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/9)-(5/8/3/6/9)-(5/8/3/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/3/9)-(7/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/9)-(7/2/3/5)-(10/5/1/9/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/5)-(10/5/1/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/5)-(10/5/1/9/2)-(8/3/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (10/5/1/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/1/9/2)-(10/5/1/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/1/9/2)-(10/5/1/9/2)-(10/5/1/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/1/9/2)-(8/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/1/9/2)-(8/3/6/2)-(6/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/2)-(6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/2)-(6/8/7)-(5/9/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7/4)-(6/8/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(5/9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (5/9/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/3)-(5/9/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/3)-(5/9/4/6/3)-(5/9/4/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMING THE TIGRESS Mar15 Feb29 Feb19 Feb04 Jan11 (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 0.80 ★    
1A  SHE'S AWESOME Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 Nov18 Nov09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.80 52% 0.90    
SCR  TIMED OUT Feb10 Jan04 Dec14 Dec07 Sep28 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
3  SLACK TIDE Mar15 Feb23 Feb10 Jan19 Dec07 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
4  VIOLENT VIXEN Feb29 Jan14 Dec16 Nov04 Oct13 (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 113 4.50    
5  WILLFUL DESIRE Nov19 Nov02 Sep24 Aug26 Aug18 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 13% 6.80    
6  RUVIES IN TIME Mar30 Mar10 Feb29 Feb03 Sep09 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
 
AQU-2   04/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRTUAL REALITY Mar07 Nov26 Sep22 Aug10 Jul13 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 0.60 69% 0.50    
1A  PITCH CLOCK Jun23 May05 Mar04     (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 0.60 ★    
2  SWEET MYSTERY Feb11 Dec31 Nov26 Oct29 Oct05 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 127 3.50 10% 9.30    
3  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Mar07 Feb24 Jan05 Dec22 Dec10 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 12.00    
SCR  MIDTOWN LIGHTS Mar15 Feb19 Jan19 Jun18 May29 (cox h)LEZCANO JOSE 127 5.00    
5  RISK FREE Mar09 Feb24 Feb02 Jan11 Dec07 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  VERY PRACTICAL Mar09 Jan14 Dec01     (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
 
AQU-3   04/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Top Flight Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPARATIVE Mar09 Feb02 Jan06 Nov25 May19 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.00 45% 1.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COLLECTIVE by CHARISMATIC)
2  TOWHEAD Mar14 Feb19 May19 Apr01 Feb25 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SMARTLY AGREE by SMART STRIKE)
3  TIZZY IN THE SKY Feb17 Dec02 Nov03 Oct04 Aug30 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.20 27% 2.70    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of TIZ THE TIDE by TIZNOW)
4  SPIKED Mar14 Feb10 Apr21 Feb24 Jan12 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of LA CANELA by CONGRATS)
5  MOVIE MOXY Mar30 Feb25 Feb10 Dec01 Jun24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-4   04/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROUBLED LUCK Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 Jan14 Dec31 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  TOP OF THE TABLE Mar02         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  SENDERA Mar28 Jan12       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 9% 10.70    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SEE YA SIGNE by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
4  TURNUPTHEMUSIC Mar07         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  BOOK OF WISDOM Feb10 Jan14 Dec16 Oct21 Sep28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 42% 1.40    
  (by SOLOMINI out of TAPPIN'AT THE DOOR by TAPIT)
6  CALL HER BLUFF Mar07 Feb09 Jan18 Dec17 Dec09 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 ★    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
7  SHE'S A NATURAL Mar22 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec07 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 10.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
8  ISLAND FOX         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of I DAZZLE by HOLD THAT TIGER)
9  HAPPY'S SMILE Mar22 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Nov21 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
 
AQU-5   04/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND OPENING (IRE)         (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 15.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of RIBBON CUTTER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  FREEDSDALE Apr04         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
  (by REDESDALE out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Feb25 Feb03 Dec16     (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 7% 12.40    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
4  ANTONIO OF VENICE Mar17 Jan28 Dec16 Sep25 Aug18 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80    
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
5  BLACK ALMIGHTY Mar21 Feb19       (rice linda)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of POMPOUS LADY by POMEROY)
6  CABLE READY Nov07 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25   (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 30.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of CABLE by DYNAFORMER)
7  DOC SULLIVAN Feb25 Jan19 Dec29 Dec02   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
AQU-6   04/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DURKIN'S CALL Mar24 Jan27 Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 7% 12.80    
2  BLAKE B. Mar24 Feb09 Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 6% 16.90    
3  BOLD MEDICATION Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 Jan05 Dec06 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
4  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Feb23 Jan28 Jan05 Nov25 Nov04 (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 113 15.00    
5  DADDY KNOWS Mar24 Mar07 Feb18 Jan26 Dec17 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 8% 11.80    
6  PRINCE OF JOY Mar24 Mar02 Feb18 Jan26 Jan04 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00    
7  DATESFREEDOM Mar28 Mar17 Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
8  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Mar02 Feb19 Jan28 Jan06 Dec09 (shivmanga)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
9  EL HERMANO Mar12 Nov20 Nov08 Oct10 Sep27 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 3.50 6% 15.40    
10  GROUP EIGHTEEN Mar14 Feb08 Dec22 Nov19 Oct19 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-7   04/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAME CINCO Mar17 Feb02 Jan05 Dec31 Nov26 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
2  IT TAKES HEART Feb29 Jul27 Jun17 Apr23 Mar25 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STARSHIP DEFIANT Mar17 Mar09 Jan28 Jan11 Dec14 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 15% 5.70    
4  FRAU DIABLO Mar07 Feb02 Jan05 Dec07 Aug25 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  SWEETEST PRINCESS Mar24 Feb17 Feb02 Dec31 Dec10 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 10.00    
6  EFFICACIOUS Mar09 Jan25 Dec15 Oct18 Jul25 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 11% 7.90    
7  INTO HAPPINESS Feb10 Dec28 Nov25 Nov05 Oct04 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
8  TOUGH STREET Mar14 Feb19 Oct29 Oct04 Aug30 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
AQU-8   04/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARONESS BOURBON Mar14 Feb18 Jan19 Dec10 Oct29 (begg james )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
2  BUSTIN TIME Mar17 Feb18 Feb09 Oct28   (davis robb)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of MYAKKA CITY by CITY PLACE)
3  HANDLE ON YOU Mar14 Feb29 Jan19 Dec28 Dec01 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ARCH ROYAL by ARCH)
4  FAST AND FRISKY Mar14 Feb09 Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 ★    
  (by SOLOMINI out of IMPISHNESS by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  JAY'S LOVE Mar02 Feb03 Jan05     (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of FIRE TRICKS by HAT TRICK)
6  SOHANA Mar03 Feb09 Dec31     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by SOLOMINI out of PASSEPORTA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  MY SHEA D LADY Dec16 Nov18 Sep24 Aug27 Jul01 (david carlos)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of LADYBERG by TEUFLESBERG)
8  SUNDAY GIRL Feb10         (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LADY DAPHNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
AQU-9   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEN'S KISS Mar17 Jan18       (quick patrick )LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SCR  ACCOUNT RECEIVABLE Mar28 Mar01 Feb10     (martin car)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
3  MAJESTIC LAURA ANN Feb19         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  JUSTHEART         (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 113 12.00 10% 9.10    
5  HOUDINI'S BRIDE         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
6  DREAM ON CARA Mar29 Feb02 Jan07 Aug12 Jul03 (rodriguez)CAMACHO JR 125 6.00 ★    
7  FRANKIE'S ROSE Mar15 Feb19       (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
8  STEPPIN' HAWK Mar21 Feb17 Dec07 Jul09 May21 (hosang oliver)OLVER MADISON 125 5.00    
9  NECESSARYANDPROPER Mar17 Feb19 Jan11 Dec03 Nov09 (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  ALOTTA JAYS Mar03 Feb03 Jan11 Nov24 Oct20 (schettino do)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 20.00    
11  STORMIN HEIST Mar28 Dec29       (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.