Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - April 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/3)-(1/7/6/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/7/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/7/6/2)-(7/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/2)-(7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/2)-(7/4)-(6/8/4/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/4)-(6/8/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(6/8/4/1)-(5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/1)-(6/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/1)-(6/8/4/1)-(6/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/1)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/1)-(5/1/3)-(4/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/6/8)-(6/4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/8)-(6/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/1)-(6/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/1)-(6/4/3/1)-(6/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRONTLINER Feb24 Jan18 Jan03 Nov13 Oct17 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
2  APACHE Mar05 Feb24 Jan31 Jan15 Jan03 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00    
3  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 Dec18 Dec05 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
4  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Mar06 Jan31 Dec30 Nov30 Oct21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 1.60 31% 2.20    
SCR  LOCK ON Jan30 Jan15 Dec18 Nov29 Nov15 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   04/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MORE GUNS Mar04 Feb12 Jan18 Dec27 Nov29 (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 6.00    
2  ELEGGUA Mar13 Mar04 Feb22 Feb12 Jan02 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 126 15.00    
3  HOW U DOIN Feb24 Feb03 Jan27 Dec23 Dec08 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Mar07 Feb20 Jan22 Dec05 Nov14 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00    
5  MACHISTO Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Jan10 Mar19 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.20 67% 0.50    
 
MVR-3   04/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD MARIAH Mar19 Feb27 Feb14 Aug14 Aug01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.20 33% 2.10    
2  SUPER SCAMP Mar14 Feb24 Jan09 Dec11 Sep13 (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Mar14 Feb24 Jan09 Dec11 Sep13 (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 5.00    
4  WHATDID I BUY Mar14 Feb14 Jan30 Aug15   (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
5  SEE YA SISTA Mar12 Aug30 Aug09 Jul13 Jun19 (tumblin an)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 15.00    
6  Z Z BIRD         (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 10.00 9% 9.80    
7  EXTRA CRAFTY Mar14 Feb24 Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 3.50 30% 2.40    
 
MVR-4   04/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIMSON ROCKET Mar20 Feb14 Jan31 Jan18 Jan03 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50    
SCR  ZELIG Mar17 Feb15 Feb05 Dec07 Nov08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50    
3  STRIKE A BEAT Mar17 Feb29 Feb15 Jan11 Dec12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00    
4  UNCLE KEVIN Feb29 Feb15 Jan01 Dec12 Jun24 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  MONOLITO Jan27 Dec13 Nov20 Aug09 Oct05 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 8.00    
SCR  TIDE RISING Mar17 Feb05 Jan18 Jan02 Dec19 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00    
7  WIZARD WILLIE Mar17 Feb29 Feb05 Jan22 Jan01 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
MVR-5   04/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOSH'N Mar11 Feb21 Jan31 Jan22 Dec26 (murillo-rodrigu)LEON A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  EL MARRO Mar11 Feb21 Jan02 Dec13 Dec04 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
3  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Mar11 Feb27 Dec19 Nov30 Nov07 (bailey ricard)TOLEDO S 124 3.50    
4  MCGRAW Jan31 Jan01 Sep23 Aug12 Jul29 (fadlovich mega)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  GIV'EM THE BIZ Mar11 Feb14 Jan31 Jan08 Nov06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
6  OHIO PLAYER Mar11 Feb06 Jan24 Dec14 Dec04 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  GIFT OF OAK Mar13 Feb29 Mar16 Jan15   (haehn terry )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
8  HOPPY GILMORE Mar11 Feb21 Jan31 Jan02 Dec13 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 12% 7.40    
 
MVR-6   04/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYA DEL SUR Mar09 Feb25 Dec31 Dec08 Nov24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 17% 4.90    
2  TATTERED HEART Mar18 Feb22 Jan30 Jan08 Dec05 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
3  CROSSED UP Mar14 Feb29 Feb13 Jan18 Dec19 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  BISCAYNE BAY Mar07 Feb20 Feb06 Jan22 Jan01 (zielinski ri)BATISTA A 124 4.50    
5  MISS SHADY Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 Feb07 Jan25 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  CAGUA Mar17 Feb26 Feb13 Feb05 Dec27 (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 4.00    
 
MVR-7   04/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Feb28 Jun24 Jun01 Apr26 Jan28 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
SCR  CLEVELAND POWER Feb14 Jan30 Jan15 Dec30 Dec14 (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
3  OUR BUCKWHEAT Feb28 Feb14 Dec28 Nov28 Oct04 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
4  MEDIA DARLING Feb28 Sep25 Aug12 May05 Apr06 (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  PAINT THE TOWN Mar14 Feb28 Jan11 Nov28 Oct23 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 5.00    
6  PROSECUTOR Mar18 Feb29 Feb14 Jan15 Dec26 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 3.00 21% 3.70    
7  STUNT MAN Mar13 Feb28 Feb15 Feb06 Jan01 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
8  KNOCK WOOD Mar14 Feb28 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
MVR-8   04/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENJOY THE CRACKEN Mar14 Mar04       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of ENJOY THE FAMILY by BROTHER DEREK)
2  TWICE SHY Mar04         (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
  (by PERFECT CIRCLE out of SWIFTBROOKBDANCING by MONTBROOK)
3  MEXITEXAFORNIA Mar14 Oct23 Sep28 Sep05 Aug11 (crumle)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 11% 8.20    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
4  MISSION CONTROL Mar09         (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 2.00 28% 2.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
5  PARTY POOPER Mar09         (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of INTERCOASTAL by GEMOLOGIST)
6  REAL NAUGHTY Feb29 Feb17 Jan12 Dec16 Sep16 (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by CONGRATS out of NAUGHTY SISTER by ARCHARCHARCH)
7  BLAZIANO Mar14 Jan18 Nov27 Nov01   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 20.00    
  (by MIXMASTER out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.