Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - March 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/1/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/1/11)-(8/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TP-2   WIN (4/1/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/11)-(4/1/11/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/11)-(4/1/11/6/2)-(4/1/11/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/11)-(8/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/11)-(8/2/5)-(3/1/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TP-3   WIN (8/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/5)-(8/2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/5)-(8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/5)-(3/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5)-(3/1/8)-(1/4/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-4   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8/5/6)-(3/1/8/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/8)-(1/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8)-(1/4/5/3)-(6/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-5   WIN (1/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/3)-(1/4/5/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/3)-(1/4/5/3/2)-(1/4/5/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/5/3)-(6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/3)-(6/8/3)-(2/4/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-6   WIN (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/3)-(6/8/3/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3)-(6/8/3/4/9)-(6/8/3/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/8/3)-(2/4/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3)-(2/4/10/1)-(3/5/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-7   WIN (2/4/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/10/1)-(2/4/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/10/1)-(2/4/10/1)-(2/4/10/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/10/1)-(3/5/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-8   WIN (3/5/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/12)-(3/5/12/13/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/12)-(3/5/12/13/1)-(3/5/12/13/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLIMTSTER         (begley greg)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 ★    
2  GOLDEN BUCK Nov27 Sep22       (castanon jo)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
SCR  DREW D'ORO Aug08 Jun04 May12     (klopp randy)PAULY SUMMER 110 10.00    
4  PRINCE COLTON Mar13 Feb17 Jan31 Jan18 Dec28 (elliott michel)CEDILLO ABEL 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
5  MIGHTY LES Mar13         (ruis sr)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
6  HEAVY HITTER Mar16 Mar06 Feb01 Jan04 Dec06 (fernandez e)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  NO MANCHES Oct03 Jul21 Jun06 May15   (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
8  COMMANDER'S COIN         (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00    
9  MOON CHARGER Feb28 Feb14 Feb02 Jan11 Dec27 (alvarez ner)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
 
TP-2   03/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFFICIAL BUSINESS Feb23 Jan11 Dec21 Oct06 Sep14 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  JOVA Mar06 Feb01 Jan04 Dec08 Nov17 (contreras cipr)SANJUR SANTO 121 10.00 ★    
3  CARL G Feb15 Jan11 Nov04 Oct21 Sep30 (lynch e)MOJICA JR 121 10.00    
4  RICHIESINTHEHOUSE Mar06 Feb15 Jan04 Dec08 Nov17 (radosevich jak)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.50 70% 0.40    
5  FASTBYTE Mar02 Jan12 Dec22 Nov10 Oct19 (kubinova)RODRIGUEZ A 121 15.00    
6  TELEPHONE TALKER Mar06 Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Oct13 (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 ★    
7  DRAGON DREW Mar09 Feb22 Jan31 Jan04 Nov17 (cook brian)ROMAN A 121 12.00    
8  PINEDALE Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 May14 (cristel mark)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 15.00    
9  J W RUCKUS Mar09 Feb10 Jan25 Jan12 Dec21 (smith larry)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 15.00    
10  LAST ROO Mar06 Feb15 Feb01 Jan04 Dec21 (beck rowe)BERMUDEZ E 121 20.00    
11  CUT GLASS Mar09 Feb01 Jan17 Nov01 Oct03 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
12  BLESS THE KITTEN Mar07 Jan31 Dec30 Dec02 Sep15 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00    
SCR  GREY CHARMER Feb10 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 Jul12 (sims matthe)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00    
 
TP-3   03/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEWARDS RULES Feb15 Jan31 Dec14 Sep26 Sep05 (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 123 15.00    
2  ROCKIN JUSTICE Feb15 Jan31 Dec14 Nov16 Sep07 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  SAMI'S TROOPER Mar09 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec21 (richardville)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00    
4  BLAZEN ROAD Mar01 Feb15 Jan11 Nov18 Oct31 (manley steve)CEDILLO ABEL 123 10.00 ★    
5  LORD REVELSTOKE Mar16 Feb02 Dec14 Oct10 Sep21 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BROKEN JUSTICE Mar14 Feb14 Jan24 Dec30 Dec09 (short ricky )BURGOS ALBERTO 123 30.00    
7  KEEN ON YOU Feb28 Oct24 Oct05 Sep27 Sep10 (miller jerome)GARCIA MARTIN 123 20.00    
8  KAZAN (IRE) Mar08 Feb18 Feb10 Jan06 Nov23 (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  IOYA AGAIN Mar16 Nov17 Sep03 Aug09 Jul13 (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50    
SCR  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Mar09 Feb29 Feb07 Jan13 Dec22 (caramori caio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00    
 
TP-4   03/28/2024 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDER THE BED Mar13 Feb01 Jan13 Dec13 Jan13 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Feb29 Feb01 Jan18 Nov04 Oct19 (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00    
3  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS Feb15 Jan03 Nov04 Aug19 Oct13 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  CHIQUITA MOSCA Jan25 Dec05 Nov24 Oct27 Sep23 (bahena ismael)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 30.00    
5  NOMADIC PRIDE Feb16 Dec16 Sep24 Aug18 Jun29 (amoss thomas )CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 ★    
6  COMMANDANDCONTROL Jan31 Dec06 Sep15 Aug18 Jun16 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 124 20.00 ★    
7  JUNGLE CAT Feb29 Jan31 Dec30 Nov30 Oct26 (brisset r)LEPAROUX R 124 8.00    
8  STRONG ODOR Feb17 Jan14 Dec02 Oct21 Sep03 (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMAZON QUEEN Mar13 Feb15 Jan18 Dec09 Oct15 (lauer michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 6.00    
10  MISS GOODBAR Mar13 Feb24 Feb01 Jan13 Dec21 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
 
TP-5   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE MINUS Feb29 Feb15       (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by COASTLINE out of FLASH ROYALE by FLASHY BULL)
2  LIPOCHROME Dec21 Nov24 Nov01 Oct01   (torres c)RODRIGUEZ A 125 8.00 ★    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CANARY DIAMOND by ALPHABET SOUP)
3  SUNDANCE FEATURE         (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of KINSEY by DELAWARE TOWNSHIP)
4  UNDER ADVISEMENT Feb22 Jan04 Jul21 May28 Apr21 (arnold george )ASHTON GAVIN 125 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of WALTZINGINTHERAIN by TIZWAY)
5  LIFFEY Feb29 Feb01 Jan13 Dec14 Dec03 (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of VICTRESS by INCLUDE)
SCR  CHASE BY THE MOON         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MIA KARINA by JAZIL)
7  DREAM ON STORMY Nov01 Oct07 Sep15 Sep03   (winston d)OUZTS W 125 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of LU BATON by ROAR)
8  REINA RUANA         (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNO MAS PROMESA by MACHO UNO)
9  COLORMECAIRO         (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WATERCOLORS by THEATRICAL (IRE))
10  LIGHTBULB MOMENT Dec07 Oct28 Dec15     (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 125 15.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SCARY NOT SCARED by MALIBU MOON)
11  ELLIPTIC (IRE) Mar06         (vaccarezza )CONCEPCION AXEL 125 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of REDHEADS RULE by BIG BROWN)
12  ILLUSION         (brisset r)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TP-6   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARE A DIME Feb15 Feb07 Jul12 Jun21 Jun09 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 124 20.00    
2  LADY LIVERMORE Feb24 Feb01 Dec28 Nov29 Jun08 (armstrong ste)CANUTO THIAGO 124 15.00    
3  JURADICIAL Feb15 Jan04 Oct28 Oct10 Aug28 (melton chris)FUENTES ERICK 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  GATITA SUAVE Mar15 Feb08 Jan10 Nov29 Nov10 (walsh d)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★    
5  STORM CHARGING Feb15 Jan04 Oct25 Oct26 Oct11 (hester haley)OUZTS W 124 15.00    
6  SASSY AND BOLD Feb15 Dec28 Dec09 Oct06 Jul29 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
7  FRACING NASTY Dec06 May21 Apr28 Mar13 Jan19 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 5.00    
8  TABOO HOO Feb15 Jan10 Jul06 Jun16 May25 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
9  MISS FOXANN Mar09 Dec06 Nov08 Oct15 Sep29 (chavez manuel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 15.00 ★    
 
TP-7   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS GARY Jul14 Jun17 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 (davis joseph )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 20.00 16% 5.40    
2  NASTY HABIT Feb05 Dec17 Nov19 Apr14   (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
3  ALL JOKES ASIDE Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 Oct30 Sep30 (meah m)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00    
4  OLAZABAL Feb23 Feb10 Dec30 Sep20 Aug13 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  MY GRASS IS BLUE Feb28 Feb10 Jul17 Jun16 May24 (pitts c)LEZCANO ABEL 124 20.00    
SCR  KID MARVELOUS Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Jan10 Dec16 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 20.00    
7  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON Feb23 Dec20 Oct29 Aug13 Jul08 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
8  ZARTOWNIS Feb09 Dec29 Nov18 Oct26 Sep13 (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00    
9  DUNEDIN Sep02 Jul23 Jun24 May17 Apr28 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00    
10  EGON Apr29 Apr08       (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  PICO D'ORO Feb25 Feb15 Jan26 Dec29 Nov05 (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
 
TP-8   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOSING PRAYER Feb28         (baker james)ROCCO S 120 6.00 ★    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
SCR  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) Feb29 Jan27 Jan03 Dec13 Nov17 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
3  TWO LUCYS Dec13         (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 70% 0.40    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BETHAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  YUMA'S SHADOW         (kubinova elisk)ROMAN A 120 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of NITTA YUMA by QUALITY ROAD)
5  NAUGHTY MISS Sep20 Aug11 Jul16 Jun25   (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 6% 15.40    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of INCLUDING by INCLUDE)
6  TILL         (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BOURBON KITTY by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  ANA D' ORO         (douaihy m)CORREA L 120 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of CONSPIRING by MALIBU MOON)
8  ADRASTEIA Nov29 Nov16 Oct27 Sep28 Sep16 (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
9  MIDWAY VOW         (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of PLACE CARD by INHERENT KAL)
10  ZEN MOMENT         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of A P'S HIDDEN HONEY by A.P. INDY)
11  WINAKACHING         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of WONDER UPON A STAR by STREET CRY (IRE))
12  CLASSY'N CONNECTED Feb21 Jan18 Dec13 Oct26 Sep16 (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SMART DORIE by SMART STRIKE)
13  CHEMICAL REACTION         (west w)CEDILLO ABEL 120 10.00 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of IT'SCHEMISTRYBABY by MEADOWLAKE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.