Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(6/2/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(8/9) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/1)-(8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/1)-(8/9)-(11/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/9/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/9)-(8/9/4/6)-(8/9/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/9)-(11/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/9)-(11/1/6)-(14/6/11/7/16) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-4   WIN (11/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/1/6)-(11/1/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/1/6)-(11/1/6/2/4)-(11/1/6/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/1/6)-(14/6/11/7/16) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/1/6)-(14/6/11/7/16)-(8/9/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (14/6/11/7/16) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (14/6/11/7/16)-(14/6/11/7/16) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (14/6/11/7/16)-(14/6/11/7/16)-(14/6/11/7/16) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (14/6/11/7/16)-(8/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (14/6/11/7/16)-(8/9/7/4)-(7/11/2/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (8/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/4)-(8/9/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/4)-(8/9/7/4)-(8/9/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/7/4)-(7/11/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/7/4)-(7/11/2/8)-(9/2/1/10/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-7   WIN (7/11/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/11/2/8)-(7/11/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/11/2/8)-(7/11/2/8)-(7/11/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/11/2/8)-(9/2/1/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (9/2/1/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/10/3)-(9/2/1/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/10/3)-(9/2/1/10/3)-(9/2/1/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE LASSIE Feb03 Jan07 Nov17 Sep05 Aug08 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  TRAVAILLE Jan25 Dec31 Mar09     (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50    
3  BOLD EXAGGERATION Feb08 Nov30 Nov21 Oct12 Sep03 (tillis e)GREEN AUBRIE 125 20.00    
4  LITTLE BLAZE Feb03 Dec31 Nov19 Oct14 Aug07 (vaccar)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.40 35% 1.80    
5  JUNIORS JOANIE Feb04 Jan13 Aug28 Aug07   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00    
6  FIRST LOVE Feb03 Jan11 Dec14 Dec03 Apr01 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 ★    
 
FG-2   03/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PI YO PRINCESS Feb09 Jan19 Dec30 Dec10 May05 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  FOUR PRINCESSES Feb09 Jan20 Nov25 Nov04 Jun29 (landry ra)LANERIE J 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  SIMPLE PLEASURE Feb22 Jan20 Dec13 Nov30 Jul14 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00    
4  BEYOND THE HYPE Feb10 Jan12 Dec27 Nov22 Oct07 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00    
5  CATHERINE BLAZE Feb15 Jan21 Jan04 Dec21 Oct18 (leonard geor)TORRES A 121 6.00    
6  MARY JACK Jan27 Jan06 Dec15 Nov25 Nov17 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
7  SHE'S A BIG STAR Jan27 Dec29 Dec15 Aug19 Jul31 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 6.00    
8  DRE ME LESS Feb09 Jan27 Jan01 Oct25 Aug12 (casse n)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
FG-3   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGSCOTE Feb12 Jan21 Dec14 Nov24   (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
2  HIGH ENOUGH Feb01 Jan11 Dec22 Nov25 Oct29 (habeeb don)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
3  SMOOTHDINI Feb09 Nov23 Nov05 Sep29   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00    
4  ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Feb04 Jan12       (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  MASTEROFHISCRAFT Dec15 Nov25 Oct28 Sep22 Sep01 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 3.00    
6  TIZZY INDY Feb17 Jan20 Dec15 Nov23 Nov08 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  HAWKS CREEK Feb17 Feb03 Jan07 Nov23 Oct03 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119 4.00    
8  WARDY Feb09 Dec01       (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 56% 0.80    
9  J T'S IMAGINATION Feb09 Dec29 Dec01 Nov05 Oct01 (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  RULEROFTHEUNIVERSE Feb09 Dec23 Jul14 Jun15   (diodoro robe)TORRES A 119 3.50    
 
FG-4   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TAP BABY Feb04 Jan06 Dec15 Nov11 Oct18 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  LAST OF THE PAST Jan18         (peterson j)ALBERT S 125 12.00 ★    
SCR  AUTUMN ROB Feb08 Dec02 Nov10 Oct28 Aug29 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 15.00    
4  STAR READY Jan18 Dec29 Aug14 Jul24 Jun19 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 125 15.00 ★    
5  BELLAMY BROTHER Feb02 Jan11 Dec02 Nov22 May13 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 125 8.00    
6  QUEENIE'S LEROY Feb04 Jan12 Dec29 Dec01 Dec01 (marecha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  MINE YOUR BIZ Feb22 Feb04 Jan12 Dec29 Dec01 (peterson j)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 20.00    
8  WILD FIST Feb16 Feb02 Dec20 Nov08 Aug29 (zenon )GUERRERO ANDRES 125 20.00    
9  KEV MAN Feb17 Jan20       (williams ke)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 8.00    
10  RENATI Feb04 Jan12 Dec17 Nov23 Feb24 (duke steven)MELANCON G 125 6.00    
11  A TRUE TARGET Jan11 Dec21       (duhon o)GRAHAM J 117 4.50 57% 0.80    
 
FG-5   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAUTIFUL ENDING Jan15 Dec09 Oct13 Aug19 Jul27 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 121 8.00    
2  CZAR'S BALLERINA Feb08 Jan15 Dec10 Nov22 Sep03 (ramirez eduardo)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA Feb22 Jan21 Jan13 Sep09 Aug11 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
4  SIKARA SIKARA Feb08 Jan15 Aug12 Aug03 Jul06 (delhomme j)ALBERT S 121 15.00    
5  MI LIA Dec09 Dec01 Oct21 Apr15 Mar26 (courville ricky)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
6  STARSNMOTION Feb08 Jan07 Dec10 Aug12 Jul03 (wilson shane)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
7  DADDY HEY DADDY Sep03 Aug19 Apr22 Dec09 Oct13 (garcia luis)RODRIGUEZ T 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIPTIDE ROSE Dec09 Sep11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun10 (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 20.00    
SCR  TRIPLE FOUR Apr15         (dodson cliff)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
SCR  IRONIT Jan15 Jun18 May29 May07 Mar18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00    
11  LEAD ME Feb08 Jan04 Dec10 Mar18 Feb20 (stall albert)TORRES A 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  SUPER ET Jan25 Jan04 Dec01 Sep09 Aug12 (hatcher na)ALBERT S 121 30.00    
SCR  MS. CAJUN QUEEN Dec30 Oct25 Sep03 Aug05 Jul04 (delany sarah)TORRES A 121 12.00    
14  DIXIE FARMER Feb08 Jan04 Dec06 Nov03 Sep09 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
15  ENTITLEMENT Jan07 Dec15 Jul06 Apr26 Mar12 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
16  LIGHTENING MO Jan19 Dec09 Oct19 Jul07 Jun09 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-6   03/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERB Feb01 Nov23 Sep25 Aug16 Jul03 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
2  DREAMER'S DISEASE Jan14 Dec22 Nov05 Oct23 Sep16 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
SCR  INDIA INK (ARG) Dec29 Jun30 Jun05 Feb22 Dec31 (wilban)RODRIGUEZ ARIEL 121 8.00    
4  MIDNIGHT FIRE Dec13 Oct26 Feb25 Jan27 Dec10 (brinkman bret)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SILVER WINGS Jan11 Dec16 Nov24 Sep05 Aug07 (ducoin)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00    
6  PREMIUM Feb12 Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 Nov23 (hargrave )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.50    
7  HERD IMMUNITY Jan25 Jan07 Dec16 Nov17 Oct13 (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 121 8.00 16% 5.30    
8  PRADO'S PRIORITY Jan25 Jan12 Dec08 Nov04 Jul28 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
9  BERTIE'S GALAXY Feb10 Jan13 Dec09 Jun03 May06 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
FG-7   03/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAFE RACER Jan11 Dec15 Oct06 Jun10 Jan06 (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
2  MONOLITH Feb11 Jan28 Dec15 Dec07 Nov21 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 125 15.00 7% 13.20    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of BRILLIANT AUDREY by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  PILKINGTON Nov08 Oct13 Sep09 Jul28   (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STORMIN ELLE by STORMELLO)
4  CELESTIAL JOY (GB) Jan21         (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 117 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BOLT FROM ABOVE Feb02 Jan05 Aug21 Jun10 May27 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 125 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON SQUEEZE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  WISSAM SHARAF Aug11         (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 125 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ELGHAYOOR by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  BIG TO DO         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 117 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TELL ME AGAIN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
8  FEAR OF UNION Sep15 Aug26 Jul16 May06   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  SPECIAL DISPATCH Feb03 Jan05       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JOHANSSON by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
10  ROCKSTAR RED Feb02 Jan05 Oct25 Aug23 Jul16 (johnston d)MCMAHON J 125 4.50    
  (by FROSTED out of DARING DUCHESS by ARCH)
11  SAGITTARIUS Feb02 Jan05 Oct13     (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MORE CHOCOLATE by MALIBU MOON)
 
FG-8   03/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY ANGEL         (woodley j)MCMAHON J 125 10.00 6% 15.60    
2  GEMMY Feb08 Jan11 Dec28 Dec14   (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  CHUCHI Jan25 Dec14 Sep02 Aug05 Jun16 (ellis j)RIQUELME J 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUR BOSS LADY Feb21 Dec28       (romero j)MELANCON G 123 15.00    
5  KRAZY KATIE Jul22 Jul01 Jun16 May12   (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00    
6  CAIRO CHARM Jan18 Jan01       (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.50    
7  SPARKLE CITY Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 Dec21 Dec13 (zeno b)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 8.00    
SCR  SASSY SPRY Jan27 Sep12 Sep02 Jul21 Feb22 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 125 5.00    
9  HIGHLANDER'S EDGE Jan11 Nov25 Nov01 Jun25   (gelner jayde)TORRES A 125 3.50 43% 1.30    
10  MALLORY'S OCEAN         (ladner chad)NAVAS YOEL 120 15.00 6% 15.60    
11  MALLORY UNBRIDLED Feb08 Jan06 Dec13 Oct25 Sep03 (zenon shelto)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.