Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Friday - February 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-2   Win (1/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-3   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-4   Win (9/3/6/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-5   Win (10/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-6   Win (3/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-7   Win (9/5/10/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-8   Win (7/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   02/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING ALWAYS Feb02 Jan07 Apr19 Mar18 Jan12 (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00    
SAVED BY GRACE Feb04 Jan19 Dec27 Dec03 Nov17 (scherer gary)CURTIS BEN 112 6.00    
CANA GRIS Jan26 Jan13 Dec08     (jeansonne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
FRONT AND SILVER Feb04 Dec22 Sep04     (jeansonne ju)LOVEBERRY JARETH 112 3.50 67% 0.50    
LEGALLY LUCKY Jan25 Dec17 Nov14 Oct01 Sep07 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 3.00 8% 11.20    
PLANTS AND BIRDS Jan21 Aug04 Jul07 May20 Apr26 (cuccia j)MURRAY M 121 8.00    
LILY'S CREED Jan21 Jan04 Jun11 May19 Apr27 (scherer t)NAVAS YOEL 116 2.50    
 
FG-2   02/23/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($59K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT POLK Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 Nov17 Aug05 (mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
FOLLOW THE SAINT Jan05 Nov18 Oct21 Jul29 Jun29 (delany sarah)TORRES A 120 8.00    
GRACELEADSUSHOME Dec30 May10 Feb20 Feb05 Dec26 (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 3.50    
LOVERS NEVER SAY Feb03 Jan25 Dec30 Dec22 Dec01 (mojica ed)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
SHE TOLD YOU SO Dec30 Sep09 Aug14 Mar18 Feb25 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SIXTH ANNIVERSARY Jan25 Dec30 Dec01 Sep03 Aug05 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
MONEY WELL SPENT Jan25 Dec30 Aug27 May18 May04 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
FG-3   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RADIANT REBEL Feb03 Jan13       (terre david)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
SHEZAPERFECTDREAM Jan04 Dec15       (delahoussaye glen)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
GIGI'S LUV Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 Sep04 Aug26 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 35% 1.90    
HOLY MOLY SHIPMAN Feb03 Jan18       (silva miguel)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
AMERICAN CHICK Jan19 Dec27       (breaux samuel)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
STEAL ME OVER Feb02 Jan12       (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 120 15.00    
DARK SKYER Dec01 Aug04 Jul14     (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
BETONYA Feb02 Jan15 Oct07 Jun11 May30 (avant kell)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
OUR INDIAN GIRL Feb02 Jan13 Nov18 Sep10   (hargrave a)RIQUELME J 120 10.00    
10  MY IDEA Feb10 Jan19 Nov11 Oct27 Aug04 (knudsen kent)GRAHAM J 120 4.50    
 
FG-4   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIBEST (ARG) Feb04 Jan25 Jan06 Nov08 Oct01 (claire alexis)TORRES A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
LET'S GO BRANDI         (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 125 6.00 9% 9.90    
CHROME RACER Feb04 Jul26 Jun17 Mar05 Feb11 (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
MARIAH (CHI) Jan13 Dec13 Nov16 Oct21 Jul22 (alberto a)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
HIGHER NOTE Jul20 Jul08 May26 May06 Feb26 (marechal merlin)MELANCON G 125 12.00    
IMPERATOR FURIOSA Jan28 Jan06 Nov24 Nov08 Oct18 (forster grant )MURRAY M 125 4.50 10% 9.10    
DYLAN'S DREAM Feb08 Jan05 Nov30 Nov10   (arndt theodore)LANERIE J 117 12.00    
MISS PEARL HART Jan26 Jan06 Dec15 Sep28 Aug28 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 5.00    
TROUBLE FREE         (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.00 36% 1.80    
 
FG-5   02/23/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PESO IN MY POCKET Feb02 Dec16 Dec02 Sep12 Jul30 (munoz yovan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 10.00    
OF THE MOMENT Feb13 Jan21 Dec29 Dec07 Oct21 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
ALICIA'S KID Feb02 Jan11 Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
SEVEN SCENTS Feb02 Jan15 Nov24 Oct04 Sep13 (breaux samuel)TORRES A 121 8.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE CHARLIE Jan15 Oct13 Sep04 Jul16 Jun24 (ward dan)NAVAS YOEL 116 12.00    
TOUGH CHARLIE Feb02 Dec21 Aug13 May26 Apr01 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 118 4.00 32% 2.20    
GOLD PUNCH Jan25 Jan01 Nov23 Jul28 May06 (bourgeois kei)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
ROBO Feb11 Feb02 Jan15 Dec21 Dec03 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
JAKE THE BAND MAN Feb09 Oct07 Sep10 Aug13 Jul24 (knudsen kent)COHEN DAVID 118 10.00    
10  COROT Feb07 Oct20 Jul22 Jun05 May12 (broberg karl)LANERIE J 124 4.50 45% 1.20    
11  BABY BOOMER Feb09 Nov24 Nov03 Oct18 Aug20 (ward dan)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
SCR  VERB Feb01 Nov23 Sep25 Aug16 Jul03 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
 
FG-6   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUM CHARM Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 Oct12 Aug29 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
MAHOMEBRED Feb02 Jan07 Nov17 Oct20 Jul18 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
BEAUXS ARTES Dec20 Nov29 Oct12 Sep20 Aug26 (asmussen steven)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Feb12 Oct24 Oct03 Sep16 Aug01 (rodriguez eduardo)NAVAS YOEL 109 12.00    
MY LADY LUNA Jan07 Sep02 Jul08 May29 May13 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
MALLY'S MONSOON Jan07 Aug20 Jul29 Jun18 May10 (cormier d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
PURRFECT MOON Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Nov08 (silva miguel)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Nov17 (delahoussaye gle)GREEN AUBRIE 119 8.00    
BEDOWNTOFOOLAROUND Feb03 Dec23 Nov03 Aug14   (munoz yova)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-7   02/23/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLEET FROST Dec29 Nov24 Oct18     (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 5.00 12% 7.30    
MYA'S HALO Jan26 Dec08 Oct29 Sep13 Aug20 (kenneally ed)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
INTEGRATED DESIGN Sep13 Aug31 Aug01 Jul07   (hamilton sarah)CARROLL DECLAN 119 20.00    
TIPSY RUNNER Jan21 Dec29 Nov17 Aug28 Aug04 (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
FOXXY CLEOPATRA Jun12         (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 17% 5.10    
REGAL RUMOR Jan26 Dec03 Sep16 Aug26 Jul31 (catalano wayne)TORRES A 119 8.00    
SPIN THE BREEZE Jan20 Dec17 Aug02     (robertson hugh)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD Jan20 Dec14 Oct05     (atras rob)COHEN DAVID 119 10.00    
COPPER EM Feb02 Nov26 Oct27 Sep13 Aug06 (asmussen steven)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 30% 2.30    
10  WONDER OF YOU Jan06 Nov18       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 14% 6.30    
11  CHEEKY GAL Feb02 Dec17 Nov10 Oct21 Sep09 (miller peter)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
 
FG-8   02/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKEOVER FIFTYFOUR Dec07         (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00    
MIDLAND KID Feb09         (daigle wal)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
BOLIE Feb01 Jan11 Dec21     (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
KAH NIGH Feb09 Jan20 Dec21     (dussette alv)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
FREDDIE BY A NOSE Feb13 Nov25       (rivelli l)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
YOCKEY DOODLEDANDY Feb01 Dec21 Nov30     (david b)NAVAS YOEL 115 15.00    
NO MORE WORDS Jan04 Dec09       (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 50% 1.00    
BREAKING STAR Feb01 Jan12       (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
TABLEAUX RESEAUX Jan25 Jan04       (gelner j)TORRES A 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
10  CANAL ST. CUPID Feb01 Dec21 Nov30 Oct26 Oct13 (delahoussaye glen)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
11  POETIC ROAD Feb08 Jan11       (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.