Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(9/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(9/3/5)-(8/11/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (9/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/5)-(9/3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/3/5)-(9/3/5/4)-(9/3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/3/5)-(8/11/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5)-(8/11/6/4)-(5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/11/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/11/6/4)-(8/11/6/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/11/6/4)-(8/11/6/4/10)-(8/11/6/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/11/6/4)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/11/6/4)-(5/2/1)-(1/10/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(1/10/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(1/10/9/3)-(7/2/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/10/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/9/3)-(1/10/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/9/3)-(1/10/9/3)-(1/10/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/10/9/3)-(7/2/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/10/9/3)-(7/2/3/9)-(5/3/6/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-6   WIN (7/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/9)-(7/2/3/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/9)-(7/2/3/8/9)-(7/2/3/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/3/9)-(5/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/9)-(5/3/6/4)-(3/8/4/6/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/4)-(3/8/4/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (3/8/4/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/6/7)-(3/8/4/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/6/7)-(3/8/4/6/7)-(3/8/4/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEFORM Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Jun02 Oct14 (habeeb don)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.50    
2  LUMINOUS RULER Dec31 Nov25 Oct19     (barnett c)RIQUELME J 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MRS. SPEAKER Jan25 Jan11 Nov30 Oct22 Sep27 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 1.20 45% 1.20    
4  GRAY PEARL Jan25 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Sep12 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 20.00    
5  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL Jan25 Jan11 Dec21 Sep28 Sep05 (mcgee paul)GRAHAM J 125 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  SEARCH Aug23 Jul21 Jul08 Nov30 Oct28 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 125 4.50    
 
FG-2   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AURORA AUSTRALIS Jan26 Dec22       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00    
2  MY SUGAR FIX Jan15 Dec29 Dec08 Aug21   (schwandt e)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 20.00    
3  NICELY UNIFIED Jan15 Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 Oct27 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 3.50 7% 13.60    
4  HOT GOLDEN GIRL Jan05 Dec29 May18 Apr29 Apr15 (david b)NAVAS YOEL 120 4.50 ★    
5  FIST CITY Jan26 Dec08       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 6.00 6% 14.70    
6  JAZZ JAZZ JAZZ Jan15 Dec29 Aug06 Jul29 Jul03 (hirdes john)GREEN AUBRIE 125 30.00    
7  GIANT TUDE Jan26 Dec10       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 6.00    
SCR  EMILYHASHERTURN Feb02 Dec22 Dec01 Sep04 Jul14 (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 117 4.50    
9  CAROLINA JACY Jan15 Dec29 Aug03 Jul14   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
FG-3   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHIN DRAMA Jan26 Jan04 Jun30 May15 Apr28 (morrell cynthi)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00    
2  OLE STUD MUFFIN Dec16 May26 May10 Mar23 Mar04 (ladner herma)MURRAY M 122 20.00    
3  RICKY RIGHT Jan18 Sep12 Jun25 May22 May06 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
4  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Feb03 Jan04 Dec09 Nov24 Nov09 (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SNAKEBIT Jan18 Jan04 Nov24 Sep11 Aug21 (hatcher nat)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 30.00    
6  SINGLE SHOT Jan04 Jan26 Dec11 Jun11 May21 (schwandt emile)CURTIS BEN 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  GO BROTHER GO Feb02 Dec09 Nov24 May15 Mar26 (mouton )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
8  SLICK AND FAST Feb03 Jan18 Mar11 Feb23 Jan28 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00 43% 1.30    
9  VIKING LEGACY Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 Jul22 Jun24 (woodley j)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
10  MARVINS' POSSE Jan18 Jan01 Dec07 Oct11 Aug12 (gelner jay)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 10.00 ★    
11  CAJUN CRAZY Feb02 Dec30 Nov24 Nov02 Jan12 (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  TONTERIA Feb03 Jan04 Sep12 Aug19 Jul01 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00    
SCR  RACY BILLE Jan18 Dec14 Oct18 Jul06 Jun03 (briley lonnie)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
SCR  BOSTON BLITZ Jan27 Dec16 Feb10 Jan20   (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00    
 
FG-4   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POT'S PAYCHECK         (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of LAKE NATRON by MORE THAN READY)
2  SHE HAS IT ALL         (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SWEET BASIL by PULPIT)
3  BROADWAY STAR Jan19 Nov25 Aug03     (cuccia j)MURRAY M 125 3.50 ★    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CLOSING REPORT by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
4  ADIAMONDINTHESTORM Nov25 Jul10 Jul01     (dandridge )WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 8.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MAHOGANY STORM by FORESTRY)
5  RED WHISTLE Jan11         (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 125 4.00 38% 1.70    
  (by CATALINA RED out of WHISTLIN'ALONG by MINESHAFT)
6  IMMA MADI TUE Jan27         (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 5.00    
  (by BRAVE DAVE out of WALMA JEAN by IDE)
7  DELIGHTFUL HALO Dec10         (duke steven)HERNANDEZ K 117 6.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LOST MY HALO by FOREST CAMP)
 
FG-5   02/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST BATTLE Dec29 Nov17 Oct08 Sep07 Jul04 (felks jose)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  DEVIL'S HARVEST Jan28 Jan04 Nov15 Sep28 Sep07 (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 121 6.00    
3  ACTION SEEKER Jan13 Nov30 Oct16 Sep20 Sep06 (hernandez a)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TREATY Jan15 Dec16 Oct12 Sep20 Aug06 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00    
SCR  SIVAKO May28 Apr09 Dec30 Sep30 Sep01 (block chr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
SCR  MICROPHONE (IRE) Jan04 Dec22 Nov23 Nov02 May19 (west w)PARKER L 121 4.50    
SCR  EL PERFECTO Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Nov17 Sep04 (claire alexi)TORRES A 124 6.00    
8  TEMPLE CITY RUN Jan18 Dec07 Nov08 Sep24 Sep09 (guillor)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
9  CLARESTOWN Dec07 Oct26 Jul17 Jun11 May06 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 121 20.00 10% 9.00    
10  BUTLER CABIN Dec07 Sep23 Aug28 Jul29 Jul09 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA Jan04 Dec07 Oct25 Oct13 Sep14 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 121 5.00    
SCR  RICKY BOBBY Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 Jul29 Jul01 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00    
SCR  RUNNING LATE Jan04 Nov29 Oct14 Nov24 Sep14 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
 
FG-6   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI DREAMIN Jan26 Dec22 Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 (hernandez ar)TORRES A 121 8.00    
2  NAUGHTY LOTTIE Jan13 Dec22 Mar03 Feb11 Dec30 (ramirez eduardo)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  MISS TULSA Feb03 Dec30 Nov15 Oct07 Jun04 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 8.00 19% 4.40    
4  SHELLBY Jan05 Dec02 Oct17 May21 Apr23 (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
5  BREWHOUSE Jan26 Oct08 Jul30 Jul01 Sep08 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
6  SALLY'S SUPRISE Jan26 Jan06 Dec08 Oct14 Sep23 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 121 10.00    
7  ONEROLLOFTHEDICE Jan26 Dec22 Aug12 Sep03 Aug04 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
8  YOLANDA WHO Jan13 Nov19 Nov09 Oct15 Sep24 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 ★    
9  TAKE CHARGE WOMAN Jan26 Dec22 Oct12 Sep10 Mar25 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-7   02/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($58K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREWMANIA Dec08 Nov15 Oct07 Sep07   (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
2  GABARRA Jan19 Dec31 Nov25 Oct20   (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 4.00    
3  CLASSIC POWER (IRE) Jan19 Dec22 Nov10 Sep29 Sep01 (gelner j)PARKER L 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SMOKEY SMOKEY Dec08 Oct20 Sep24 Sep03 Aug12 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 11% 8.40    
5  COMMITTEE OF ONE Jan27 Nov03 Oct08 Sep07 Aug19 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  WORKS FOR ME Nov18 Nov04 Oct08 Aug27 Jun23 (lee josep)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 13% 6.70    
7  SPONGE BATH Dec22 Oct08 Aug31 Jul30   (catalano m)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
8  SCAT FREE Jan19 Dec22 Oct20 Aug29   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00    
 
FG-8   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JILLY'S WEST Jan18 Dec27 Oct14     (amoss m)NAVAS YOEL 115 6.00    
2  SWEET MARIN Dec21 Nov30       (hatcher na)ALBERT S 120 30.00    
3  KEEPEM SAFE         (hartman chris)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
4  CONTROLLED TEMPER Feb02 Jan13 Dec21 Nov16 Oct19 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  JOCELYN Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Oct26 (lopez elia)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
6  TOOTOO TOURIST         (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 9% 10.40    
7  MAYLEN Jan26 Dec14 Aug30     (leonard geo)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  HARD EXIT         (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  WEC KEAH Jan21         (stidham )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
SCR  PINK LADY LU SHA Jan26 Jan06 Oct10 Sep21   (lopez elias)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
SCR  MISS PEARL HART Jan26 Jan06 Dec15 Sep28 Aug28 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.