Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - January 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(5/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/2)-(5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/2)-(5/8/2)-(7/2/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/2)-(5/8/2/7)-(5/8/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/2)-(7/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2)-(7/2/4/9)-(1/5/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (7/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/9)-(7/2/4/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/9)-(7/2/4/10/9)-(7/2/4/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/4/9)-(1/5/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/9)-(1/5/6/2)-(1/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/4/2)-(1/5/6/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/6/2)-(1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/2)-(1/2/8)-(2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/8)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8)-(2/3/5)-(8/2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(8/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(8/2/1/6)-(7/6/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/6)-(8/2/1/11/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/6)-(8/2/1/11/6)-(8/2/1/11/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/1/6)-(7/6/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-9   WIN (7/6/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/9)-(7/6/4/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/9)-(7/6/4/10/9)-(7/6/4/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIELD OF VISION Dec14 Nov23 Nov08 Jul31 Jul06 (alfortish sean)MELANCON G 121 5.00    
2  DUVEE Dec29 Dec07 Mar10 Feb02 Jan05 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.50 14% 6.20    
3  RANCH BADGE Dec29 Dec07 Nov18 Mar24 Mar01 (hodges e)GRAHAM J 121 5.00    
SCR  COURTMAN Dec15 Nov23 Apr07 Mar02 Jan26 (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50    
5  PESO PESADO Dec21 Aug21 Jun08 May11 Apr22 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 121 6.00    
6  RANCH WATER Dec29 Nov24 Oct20 Aug11 Jul21 (landry ra)LANERIE J 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
7  BIG BOO Dec29 Dec07 Nov23 Sep11 Aug27 (singh s)SINGH R 121 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
FG-2   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTENING MO Dec09 Oct19 Jul07 Jun09 May11 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 125 5.00 14% 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BAMA MO by UNCLE MO)
2  PURSUIT L'HARMONIE Dec09 Jan27 Jan05 Dec02 Nov18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 3.50 10% 9.10    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SAFARI CALAMARI by HALF OURS)
3  EVERYLITTLESINGH Dec09 Nov25 Jun04 May14 Mar24 (singh s)SINGH R 125 6.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of PEAKABOO BRIDE by LANGFUHR)
4  LAWLESS TIMES Dec09 Nov08 Oct19 Sep02 Dec08 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by CUPID out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  BROADWAY STAR Nov25 Aug03       (cuccia j)MURRAY M 125 8.00 18% 4.60    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CLOSING REPORT by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
6  TAP IRON FIST Dec09 Oct19 Aug11 Jul20 May18 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 125 8.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of AYALA STRAND by TIZNOW)
7  MO DIVA Nov18         (stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 6.00    
  (by MO TOM out of DISTINCT DIVA by WITH DISTINCTION)
8  MOION Dec10 Nov18 Jul01 Jun03   (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of AS THE SNOW FLIES by MALIBU MOON)
 
FG-3   01/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OVERANALYTICAL Dec07 Oct11 Sep12 Jul07 Jun04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50    
2  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Dec30 Nov21 Aug13 Jul10 Jun10 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 122 10.00 7% 13.70    
3  SIR LIAM Dec29 Dec07 May25 May04 Apr13 (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
SCR  FAITH RUNNER Dec29 Oct13 Sep11 Aug09 Jun07 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
5  MAURITIUS Jun25 May26 Apr22 Mar10 Jan26 (morley thomas)COHEN DAVID 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
6  RONIC Nov17 Oct21 Sep23 Sep07 Aug13 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 12.00    
7  EL PERFECTO Dec29 Dec07 Nov17 Sep04 Jul23 (claire alexi)TORRES A 122 8.00 ★    
8  UNDER SURVEILLANCE Dec07 Nov12 Oct22 Aug13 Jul30 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 8% 12.10    
9  HE GOTS TO GO Dec29 Dec07 Oct25 Sep23 Aug28 (wilson shane)PARKER L 122 12.00    
 
FG-4   01/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE RUNNER Dec10 Aug12 Jul14 Jun09 May27 (richards c)WELLINGTON KYLIE 113 30.00    
2  J Z'S FIRST Dec10 Nov17 Oct28 Aug26 Aug12 (broberg karl)MELANCON G 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  CAVIAR RESOLUTION Dec29 Dec10 Nov17 Aug21 May22 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
4  PI YO PRINCESS Dec30 Dec10 May05 Feb24 Feb03 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 10% 8.70    
5  AVERI EVER AFTER Dec29 Nov17 Sep09 Aug26 Jul01 (duke steven)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 6.00    
6  LACIS JEWEL Jan05 Dec07 Jun09 Mar16 Feb03 (flugence henry)MCMAHON J 118 20.00    
7  WATRUGONNADOKAREN Dec29 Nov18 Sep11 Aug20 Jul03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 46% 1.20    
8  SUPORB Jan04 Dec15 Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 (alba-hernandez i)RIQUELME J 121 20.00    
9  FAT AND FURIOUS Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Oct23 Sep02 (silva miguel)TORRES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  NO NANNETTE NO Dec29 Dec10 Nov17 Oct21 Aug24 (rodriguez edua)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.50 ★    
 
FG-5   01/19/2024 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS JEOPARDY Dec31 Dec09 Nov19     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 61% 0.60    
2  SCOOP Dec31 Nov30       (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SMART WITH HEART Dec31 Dec15 Oct13 Sep07   (camejo m)NAVAS YOEL 114 15.00    
4  GUEST OF HONOR Nov24 Oct26       (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 4.00 ★    
5  SMILING ELLIE Dec21 Nov17 Sep28 Aug17 Jul07 (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
6  KATIES FACTOR Dec29 Sep04 Jul22     (gelner jay)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 8.00 8% 11.00    
7  JOCASTA Dec31 Dec03 Nov02 Sep02   (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
8  SAVED BY GRACE Dec27 Dec03 Nov17 Aug05 Jul09 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 116 8.00    
9  ESPERE Oct19 Sep20 Jul01     (desormeaux )CARMONA SERAFIN 114 8.00    
SCR  PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD Dec14 Oct05       (atras rob)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00    
 
FG-6   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPTING LADY Dec14 Nov02 Sep27 Aug30 Aug03 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
  (by ENTICED out of FANTASTIC GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  LADY ABERDEEN Dec14         (walsh brenda)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HIGHLAND PRIDE by LION HEART)
3  GALADINI Dec17         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 ★    
  (by BERNARDINI out of J P GIRL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  BAGEL AND DELI         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 4.50    
  (by CONGRATS out of FUNNY MONEY by DEHERE)
5  STERLING LUCK Dec21 Sep20       (forster t)PARKER L 120 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CARA DURA by WAR FRONT)
6  SPLASH MASTER Nov19         (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
  (by MASTERY out of SEA ROAD by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  FLATHEAD FINALE Nov25         (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
  (by MASTERY out of GOLDEN FINALE by ARCH)
8  SWEET CHARLIZE Jan01 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07   (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of LIGHT FESTIVAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
FG-7   01/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GONE ELVIS Dec22 Nov10 Sep09 Jul28 Jul04 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 119 20.00    
2  ASPENITE Dec22 Nov25 Sep10 Aug31 Aug05 (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
3  COWES Dec22 Oct28 Oct08 Sep03   (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 119 4.00 12% 7.60    
4  CLASSIC POWER (IRE) Dec22 Nov10 Sep29 Sep01   (gelner j)PARKER L 119 3.00 ★    
5  GABARRA Dec31 Nov25 Oct20     (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SCAT FREE Dec22 Oct20 Aug29     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00    
7  SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Jan04 Dec19 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 116 4.50    
8  PRODIGY PARADISE Dec09 Nov18 Oct06     (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 116 5.00    
 
FG-8   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Jul23 Jun25 May28 Apr03 Mar07 (troiani)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 15% 5.70    
2  PRO OXIDANT Nov23 Oct28 Aug25 Jun01 Apr08 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  WENT WEST Sep05 Jul27 Jun11 Oct02 Feb21 (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
4  MORELLO (NZ) May06 Mar18 Feb17 Dec30 Oct29 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
SCR  SAINT SELBY Dec31 Dec17 Oct14 Sep01 Jul22 (sanche)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
6  CHASING TIME Nov23 Oct28 Sep02 Jul22 Jun30 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  KAVOD Dec23 Nov23 Oct07 Sep20 Jul27 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
8  CORONA BOLT Apr07 Mar05 Jan28 Dec26 Nov19 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
9  STRONG EAGLE Dec08 Nov03 Oct13 Aug11 Jul01 (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
10  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Dec03 Nov02 Sep29 Sep03 Aug16 (alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 122 20.00    
11  SURVEILLANCE Jul01 May26 May04 Apr15 Feb18 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 ★    
 
FG-9   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BITSY'S STAR Dec09         (david b)TORRES A 120 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BITSY'S PARADE DAY by STORM DAY)
2  COAL COAL BEER Dec30 Dec09 Nov25     (zeringue j)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of CREMA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  REGATTA BAY Dec23         (broussard jer)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
  (by DAAHER out of LITTLE BUTTERCUP by LABEEB (GB))
4  RAZOR CREST Dec23 Nov25       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of CHIRIMOYA by COBRA KING)
SCR  STAR STAR STAR Dec09         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
6  GAMER NATE Dec30 Dec09 Oct13     (briley lon)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of DA RIVER GIRL by ALTERNATION)
7  COURT JESTER Dec09 Oct26       (calhoun william)LANERIE J 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PLAYFUL DANCER by FLARE DANCER)
8  CAPTIVATING STAR Dec30         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of UNAMUSED by STREET SENSE)
9  ACE (IRE)         (cuccia j)MURRAY M 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of BONITA SALEETA by PORTO FORICOS)
10  CYPRESS GOLD Dec30 Dec09       (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 120 4.50 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of PENROSE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.