Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (8/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/3)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/3)-(6/3/5)-(2/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(2/6/7)-(5/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(5/6/2)-(7/6/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(7/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(7/6/1/8)-(2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/8)-(7/6/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/8)-(7/6/1/2/8)-(7/6/1/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/1/8)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/8)-(2/5)-(4/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/7/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/7/9/5)-(2/7/9/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/5)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(4/5/2)-(9/13/8/7/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(9/13/8/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/13/8/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/13/8/7/6)-(9/13/8/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/13/8/7/6)-(9/13/8/7/6)-(9/13/8/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDEPENDENT PAUL Jul09         (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
2  RING ME         (terranova )RIVERA R 117 4.50 31% 2.30    
3  CALL BOB Dec23 Jan26       (caramori)DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIRST SONS Dec07         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 8% 12.10    
5  ALPHA SONNY Jan04 Dec07 Jul21 Jul07 Jun18 (ferraro ja)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 122 10.00    
6  SUPPORT THE CAT Jan04 Nov22 Oct16 Sep25 Sep04 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
7  MAJESTIC ARC Dec07 Nov10 Oct15 Sep22 Aug19 (shivmangal lol)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
8  FOUR EYES Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 Dec31 Dec10 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
AQU-2   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARISSE Nov19 Oct15 Jul13 Jun03 May05 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
2  DOLCE SERA Jan01 Nov30 Nov09 Oct08 Sep22 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
3  GHOSTLY GIRL Jan01 Dec03 Oct26 Oct07 Sep14 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 115 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  MYTOWN MYRULES Dec10 Sep21 Apr14 Mar11 Feb12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
5  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Dec08 Aug19 Sep30     (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 10% 9.20    
6  OCEAN GATEWAY Dec16 Jul13 Jun02 Apr30 Mar26 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
7  LADY BANKER Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Oct15 Sep08 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
 
AQU-3   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN PURCHASE Dec15 Dec01 Nov09 Nov02 Oct05 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00    
2  THREE ZERO Dec30 Nov16 Oct14 Sep16 Sep02 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.00 25% 3.00    
3  BORLETTI (IRE) Dec16 Nov25 Oct13 Sep04   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.00    
4  AL'S FROSTED Nov22 Oct16 Sep04 Aug05 Jul09 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 10.00    
5  SHARPAZ Dec30 Dec07 Nov10 Jun25 May29 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 ★    
6  GUN MAESTRO Dec30 Dec17 Nov17 Oct21 Sep01 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 2.50 25% 3.10    
7  REDEMPTION ROAD Oct30 Sep25 Jun19 Nov09 Oct17 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 15.00 17% 4.80    
 
AQU-4   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DORTH'S SOL DANCER Nov20 Oct10 Sep21 Aug28 Aug09 (ferraro antho)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
2  GRACE REFORMED Oct23 Oct07 Sep09 Aug25   (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRETTY UP Dec03 Oct12 Sep15 Aug10   (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
4  CLASSIC DIVA Nov26 Nov09 Sep07     (duggan dav)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
5  KAYMUS Dec16         (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 62% 0.60    
6  ALLEY'S SONG Dec14 Nov18 Oct01     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 8% 10.90    
7  TAVIN Jan01 Nov26 Nov09 Oct21 Sep28 (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 115 3.50 ★    
SCR  BARONESS BOURBON Dec10 Oct29 Oct01     (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
 
AQU-5   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOL EMPERATRIZ Dec16 Oct01       (potts wayne)HARKIE K 120 6.00 17% 4.70    
2  BROOKLYN ROSIE         (ferraro )DAVIS A 120 20.00 ★    
3  FIND YOUR JOY Aug02 Jul09       (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
4  TOAST TO SUCCESS         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 20.00    
SCR  JAY'S LOVE Jan05         (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
6  COLLECT THE DATA Dec17 Oct22       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 25% 3.00    
7  CALL HER BLUFF Dec17 Dec09 Nov09 Oct01 Sep01 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
8  JEN'S KISS         (quick patrick )LUZZI J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SNARKY Dec01 Oct12 Sep01 Aug10   (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 8.00    
10  DACTILOGRAFA Dec28 Dec16 Nov19     (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00    
 
AQU-6   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST DEPUTY Jan06 Dec09 Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 113 3.50    
SCR  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Dec11 Nov06 Oct13 Jan19 Oct17 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50    
2  COLONEL VARGO Jan08 Dec15 Nov24 Nov09 Sep17 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.60 69% 0.40    
3  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Dec12 Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 118 50.00    
4  MOUNT TRAVERS Nov25 Oct27 Oct07 Jul30 Jul13 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 12.00    
5  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Dec17 Nov06 Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 (breed ro)DAVIS A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE Dec09 Nov30 Nov25 Nov11 Sep28 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
7  SWIFT TAP May18 Apr14 Mar18 Feb11 Jan07 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 ★    
8  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Jan05 Dec09 Nov20 Nov08 Oct24 (sells rache)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
9  F F ROCKET Nov11 Nov03 Oct14 Mar26 Feb12 (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   01/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARKET ALERT Jan04 Dec10 Nov12 Oct04 Jul23 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
2  THE INSTITUTE Dec30 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Sep19 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 22% 3.60    
3  ROCKET AND ROLL Dec16 Nov16 Oct01 Aug27 Jan14 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
4  RADIO RED Dec07 Oct29 Sep21 Aug23 May29 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  AMUNDSON Nov30 Oct29 Aug23 Jun09 Apr30 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  CALLALOO Dec30 Dec03 Oct15 Oct01 Sep04 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
7  GENERAL BANKER Dec29 Dec03 Oct15 May14 Apr22 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 ★    
8  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Sep21 Mar19 Feb25 Jan15 Nov25 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
 
AQU-8   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLO EMPIRE Dec16 Dec02       (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 20.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ASHLEE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  SORORITY PRANK Dec29 Nov04 Oct04 Sep04   (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  FRATELLINO Dec29 Dec10 Sep21     (siculiet)DAVIS A 120 50.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIMBERLY JEAN by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Dec16         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
5  THIS TIME YES Oct20         (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CITRUS BLOOM by LEMON DROP KID)
6  IRISH TENOR         (kimmel john)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of HIGH PITCH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  LI'L LANG Dec29         (d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 9% 10.30    
  (by TAPITURE out of POSITIVELY JEAN by MIDSHIPMAN)
8  LAST DRINK         (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
  (by DESTIN out of I DRINK ALONE by INTIDAB)
9  ALLIED ATTACK Dec29 Nov18 Aug05     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 32% 2.10    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COMME CHEZ SOI by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  RED FLYER         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FREE AS TRISTAN by CRAFTY FRIEND)
11  JANSSEN Nov18         (lakeman andrew)LUZZI J 120 50.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of FABULEUX by BODEMEISTER)
12  PALACE BOSS Dec16         (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
13  SAINT GAUDENS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARTEMIS AGROTERA by ROMAN RULER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.