Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - June 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(8/6/3/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(8/6/3/4/9)-(7/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/6/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/4/9)-(8/6/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/4/9)-(8/6/3/4/9)-(8/6/3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/3/4/9)-(7/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/4/9)-(7/8/1/2)-(3/1/7/10/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2)-(7/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/2)-(3/1/7/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/2)-(3/1/7/10/9)-(4/8/7/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/1/7/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/10/9)-(3/1/7/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/10/9)-(3/1/7/10/9)-(3/1/7/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/7/10/9)-(4/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/10/9)-(4/8/7/5)-(3/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/5)-(4/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/5)-(4/8/7/5)-(4/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/5)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/5)-(3/1/6)-(6/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(6/2/1)-(3/1/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (3/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL COMEDIAN Jun01 Apr20 Mar15 Feb17 Dec28 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
2  MARTINKELLY May17 Apr28 Mar23 Feb24 Jan17 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  CARGO SHIP May31 May17 Apr19 Mar16 Feb01 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  ODDS ON Jun01 Apr19 Apr02 Mar08 Feb18 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
5  HASHTAG WINNING May31 May06 Apr21 Mar17 Feb24 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 6% 15.30    
6  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT May31 Apr27 Mar10 Feb16 Jan26 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 120 3.50    
 
PEN-2   06/20/2023 5490ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO MO May18 Apr21 Mar30 Mar17 Feb17 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
2  CRIMSON LILLE May25 May05 Feb22 Jan25 Jan11 (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 12.00    
3  LOIS'S CAUSE May19 Apr26 Mar30 Mar10 Feb24 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00 7% 12.70    
4  FIVEALARM FREAKOUT May12 Mar29 Feb09 Jan15   (rubley ke)RODRIGUEZ R 119 12.00 7% 12.70    
5  HUSHEMUP Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan15 Dec09 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
6  AFRICAN ANGEL May15 Apr12 Mar03 Feb10 Dec14 (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
7  TRUE QUEEN May19 Mar17 Feb18 Aug31 Aug13 (rose orland)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 10.00    
8  BLUEBERRY PIE May26 Nov05 Sep28 Aug31 Aug10 (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
9  SKIPOVER May24 Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 (cooper stacey)BAKER J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  FEMINISTA May26 Nov13 Nov05 Oct08 Sep05 (brion keri)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 3.00    
SCR  FINISHING TOUCH Jun02 May06 Apr27 Mar29 Mar10 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S MISS May25 May12 Apr26     (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
 
PEN-3   06/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLE'S NOTION May31 Apr26 Apr13 Jan16 Dec13 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 9% 9.60    
2  READY REWARD May27 May05 Oct12 Sep14 Sep02 (dowling william)CENTENO E 120 4.50 8% 10.80    
3  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jun02 May10 Apr19 Mar23 Feb16 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
4  JO JO KATZ May24 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 Aug26 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
5  T REX May29 Oct25 Oct11 Sep19 Sep10 (rogers w)CORA D 120 10.00    
6  JACK SLYE Jun02 May17 Mar15 Feb15 Feb01 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
7  RECYCLE May29 Nov07 Sep19 Aug25 Aug17 (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
8  RECONVENE May27 Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 Jun26 (lawrence ja)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 14% 6.30    
9  MOON WARRIOR May17 May04 Mar22 Mar13 Feb17 (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
SCR  SPIRITUAL KING Mar04 Feb25 Jan19 Jan05   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  JUMP FOR THE WIN Jun02 May11 Apr28 Mar23 Feb23 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  BOCA GUY May27 Apr02 Mar03 Dec31 Dec14 (alvarado diane)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   06/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT May10 Mar23 Jan26 Nov30 Oct18 (crook-demasi kathlee)CORA D 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
2  SASSY BABE Jun04 May18 Oct27 Sep23 Sep07 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
3  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Jun04 May18 Nov22 Oct27 Sep25 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
4  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR May24 Apr20 Mar30 Mar10 Nov08 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 117 6.00    
5  JUSTICE OR APPEAL May16 Mar31 Mar08 Jan27 Dec21 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 117 10.00    
6  PROSPECTIVE CANDY May31 May19 Mar15 Feb20 Feb01 (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
7  MADE TO HUSTLE Aug11 Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 Jun05 (rogers ro)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 8% 10.90    
8  IN GOOD TROUBLE Jun09 May10 Apr25 Mar25 Mar08 (dunham bernard)ADORNO ABNER 117 8.00    
9  NEWSDLEY Jun02 May06 Mar10 Feb23   (sinnefia pauli)LUZZI J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY May12 Apr20 Mar23 Feb16 Jan30 (meister willia)HIRALDO JOHN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NAIL POLISH May24 Apr21 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
SCR  SCAMPER ALONG Dec03 Nov14 Oct27 Oct12 Sep10 (downing william)CENTENO E 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABHAR May19 Mar08 Feb23 Jan20 Dec14 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50    
SCR  AWESOME STEPHEN May26 Apr08 Feb13 Jan21   (allen fer)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
3  TRIPLE AMERICANO May31 Apr25 Apr13 Apr04 Feb13 (penaloza mi)RAMOS C 122 10.00    
4  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Oct19 Sep02 Jul28     (crane clovis)CORA D 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
5  GORUN May25 Apr20 Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 (martinez jo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOTORIOUS REY May19 Feb23 Jan13 Dec07 Nov18 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
7  CONNECTING Jun10 Apr10 Mar08 Mar01 Jan25 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  DANCIN IN DUBAI May05 Apr21 Apr14 Mar08 Feb23 (brown kelto)INIRIO J 122 3.00 10% 9.30    
9  SCYNTZ May04 Mar08 Feb23 Feb02 Dec30 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00    
 
PEN-6   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD CARAMELO May31 May06 Jan18 May26 May02 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  LAST MINUTE MARIO Jun09 May10 Apr19 Jan12 Dec18 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
3  CALCULATED THINKIN May31 Apr28 Mar16 Feb23 Feb15 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 3.00 57% 0.70    
4  E T'S SUPER STAR May24 Apr19 Mar16 Feb14 Jan25 (fields ke)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
5  LONGTAIL May17 Apr28 Mar17 Mar03 Dec30 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00    
6  AGAINST THE ODDS May17 Apr19 Mar23 Mar03 Feb02 (zalalas micha)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAD GENIUS May18 Apr28 Mar30 Jan21 Jan01 (kreiser timo)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50    
 
PEN-7   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESI'S REWARD Jun01 May06 Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 119 4.00 10% 9.50    
2  WARISHA May25         (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
3  GUSSIE'S NOTION Dec20 Nov18 Apr29 Apr06 Jan28 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 4.50    
4  HOP TO A DECISION Jun02 May19 Apr27 Oct05 Sep15 (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 5.00    
SCR  HOPEFULLY ICU Jun01 May18 Apr26 Mar15 Feb10 (synnefias pana)LUZZI J 122 3.50    
6  ROSE VALLEY May18 Apr26 Sep23 Aug24   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-8   06/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIN CYCLE May17 Apr19 Mar16 Feb15 Jan25 (mcclellan eri)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 20% 4.10    
2  GUSHING OIL May26 Mar29 Mar06 Feb21 Jan23 (martinez jo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 15.00 17% 4.70    
3  VITESSE May17 Apr12 Mar27 Jan25 Dec30 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  MINE TO HOLD Jun02 May05 Apr07 Mar03 Feb15 (synnefias pana)LUZZI J 124 2.00    
5  LAVERY Jun02 May20 May13 Apr19 Apr04 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.50    
6  TAINO May27 Oct28 Oct15 Sep30 Jul13 (iannotti thoma)HIRALDO JOHN 124 8.00    
7  ITGOT GRANDMA         (meister wil)INIRIO J 124 10.00 8% 11.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.